Objectif Global climate change is widely considered one of the main concerns of humankind. However, predictions are highly uncertain, with no substantial improvement since more than three decades. They are hampered by the huge uncertainty of climate forcing, which is dominated by the uncertainty in anthropogenic aerosol-cloud-climate effects (“aerosol indirect effects”). The goal of QUAERERE (Latin for researching) is a reliable, observations-based, global quantification of these effects, which would also imply a constraint on climate sensitivity and thus climate predictions. This goal is now reachable combining recent advances in different disciplines: (i) a decade-long satellite dataset involving retrievals of the relevant quantities is now available, complemented by a complete aerosol dataset from a new reanalysis; (ii) on the basis of high-resolved numerical weather prediction models, which include parameterisations of aerosol cycles and cloud-precipitation microphysics, cloud-system resolving simulations at a regional scale are now possible; reliable simulations beyond idealised cases are thus possible. These tools are complemented by comprehensive global climate models and reference observations from ground-based sites.The problem in aerosol-cloud-climate effects is in its complexity: Various processes counteract each other, and large spatiotemporal variability of clouds buffers the forcing effects. QUAERERE proposes a two-fold “divide-and-conquer” approach to this complex problem: (i) aerosol-cloud-climate effects will be investigated by regime; this allows to circumvent the problem of aerosol-cloud-climate effects being buffered when averaging over different regimes; and (ii) by investigating individual terms contributing to the aerosol-cloud-climate effects separately; this allows to analyse individual statistical relationship in satellite observations and model results consistently, and to perform model sensitivity studies for cause-effect attribution. Champ scientifique engineering and technologymechanical engineeringvehicle engineeringaerospace engineeringsatellite technologynatural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes Programme(s) FP7-IDEAS-ERC - Specific programme: "Ideas" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013) Thème(s) ERC-SG-PE10 - ERC Starting Grant - Earth system science Appel à propositions ERC-2012-StG_20111012 Voir d’autres projets de cet appel Régime de financement ERC-SG - ERC Starting Grant Institution d’accueil UNIVERSITAET LEIPZIG Contribution de l’UE € 1 448 160,00 Adresse RITTERSTRASSE 26 04109 Leipzig Allemagne Voir sur la carte Région Sachsen Leipzig Leipzig Type d’activité Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Chercheur principal Johannes Renatus Quaas (Prof.) Contact administratif Gerhard Fuchs (Mr.) Liens Contacter l’organisation Opens in new window Site web Opens in new window Coût total Aucune donnée Bénéficiaires (1) Trier par ordre alphabétique Trier par contribution de l’UE Tout développer Tout réduire UNIVERSITAET LEIPZIG Allemagne Contribution de l’UE € 1 448 160,00 Adresse RITTERSTRASSE 26 04109 Leipzig Voir sur la carte Région Sachsen Leipzig Leipzig Type d’activité Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Chercheur principal Johannes Renatus Quaas (Prof.) Contact administratif Gerhard Fuchs (Mr.) Liens Contacter l’organisation Opens in new window Site web Opens in new window Coût total Aucune donnée