Objetivo The aim of BAPS is to develop a ground-breaking simulation model of international migration, based on a population of intelligent, cognitive agents, their social networks and institutions, all interacting with one another. The project will transform the study of migration – one of the most uncertain population processes and a top-priority EU policy area – by offering a step change in the way it can be understood, predicted and managed. In this way, BAPS will effectively integrate behavioural and social theory with modelling.To develop micro-foundations for migration studies, model design will follow cutting-edge developments in demography, statistics, cognitive psychology and computer science. BAPS will also offer a pioneering environment for applying the findings in practice through a bespoke modelling language. Bayesian statistical principles will be used to design innovative computer experiments, and learn about modelling the simulated individuals and the way they make decisions.In BAPS, we will collate available information for migration models; build and test the simulations by applying experimental design principles to enhance our knowledge of migration processes; collect information on the underpinning decision-making mechanisms through psychological experiments; and design software for implementing Bayesian agent-based models in practice. The project will use various information sources to build models bottom-up, filling an important epistemological gap in demography.BAPS will be carried out by the Allianz European Demographer 2015, recognised as a leader in the field for methodological innovation, directing an interdisciplinary team with expertise in demography, agent-based models, statistical analysis of uncertainty, meta-cognition, and computer simulations. The project will open up exciting research possibilities beyond demography, and will generate both academic and practical impact, offering methodological advice for policy-relevant simulations. Ámbito científico ciencias naturalesinformática y ciencias de la informaciónsoftwareciencias socialessociologíademografíamigración humanaciencias socialespsicologíapsicología cognitivaciencias naturalesmatemáticasmatemáticas aplicadasmodelo matemático Programa(s) H2020-EU.1.1. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC) Main Programme Tema(s) ERC-2016-COG - ERC Consolidator Grant Convocatoria de propuestas ERC-2016-COG Consulte otros proyectos de esta convocatoria Régimen de financiación ERC-COG - Consolidator Grant Coordinador UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHAMPTON Aportación neta de la UEn € 1 413 286,25 Dirección Highfield SO17 1BJ Southampton Reino Unido Ver en el mapa Región South East (England) Hampshire and Isle of Wight Southampton Tipo de actividad Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Enlaces Contactar con la organización Opens in new window Sitio web Opens in new window Participación en los programas de I+D de la UE Opens in new window Red de colaboración de HORIZON Opens in new window Otras fuentes de financiación € 0,00 Beneficiarios (2) Ordenar alfabéticamente Ordenar por aportación neta de la UE Ampliar todo Contraer todo UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHAMPTON Reino Unido Aportación neta de la UEn € 1 413 286,25 Dirección Highfield SO17 1BJ Southampton Ver en el mapa Región South East (England) Hampshire and Isle of Wight Southampton Tipo de actividad Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Enlaces Contactar con la organización Opens in new window Sitio web Opens in new window Participación en los programas de I+D de la UE Opens in new window Red de colaboración de HORIZON Opens in new window Otras fuentes de financiación € 0,00 UNIVERSITAET ROSTOCK Alemania Aportación neta de la UEn € 42 303,75 Dirección Universitatsplatz 1 18055 Rostock Ver en el mapa Región Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Rostock, Kreisfreie Stadt Tipo de actividad Higher or Secondary Education Establishments Enlaces Contactar con la organización Opens in new window Sitio web Opens in new window Participación en los programas de I+D de la UE Opens in new window Red de colaboración de HORIZON Opens in new window Otras fuentes de financiación € 0,00
