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CORDIS - Résultats de la recherche de l’UE
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Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene (ERA) Integrating non-linear biophysical and social determinants of Earth-system stability for global sustainability through a novel community modelling platform

Publications

Succeeding at home and abroad: accounting for the international spillovers of cities’ SDG actions

Auteurs: Rebecka Ericsdotter Engström, David Collste, Sarah E. Cornell, Francis X. Johnson, Henrik Carlsen, Fernando Jaramillo, Göran Finnveden, Georgia Destouni, Mark Howells, Nina Weitz, Viveka Palm, Francesco Fuso-Nerini
Publié dans: NPJ Urban Sustainablity, Numéro 1, 2021, Page(s) 18, ISSN 2661-8001
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s42949-020-00002-w

Failures to disagree are essential for environmental science to effectively influence policy development

Auteurs: Jon Norberg, Thorsten Blenckner, Sarah E. Cornell, Owen L. Petchey, Helmut Hillebrand
Publié dans: Ecology Letters, Numéro 25, 2023, Page(s) 1075-1093, ISSN 1461-023X
Éditeur: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13984

A prototype Earth system impact metric that accounts for cross-scale interactions

Auteurs: Steven J Lade, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E Cornell, Beatrice Crona
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 16, 2021, Page(s) 115005, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2db1

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

Auteurs: P.S. Jørgensen, R.E.V. Jansen, D.I. Avila Ortega, L. Wang Erlandsson, J.F. Donges, H. Österblom, P. Olsson, M. Nyström, S. Lade, T. Hahn, C. Folke, G.D. Peterson, A.-S. Crépin
Publié dans: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, Numéro 379, 2024, Page(s) 20220261, ISSN 0962-8436
Éditeur: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0261

Outside the Safe Operating Space of the Planetary Boundary for Novel Entities

Auteurs: Linn Persson, Bethanie M. Carney Almroth, Christopher D. Collins, Sarah Cornell, Cynthia A. de Wit, Miriam L. Diamond, Peter Fantke, Martin Hassellöv, Matthew MacLeod, Morten W. Ryberg, Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Patricia Villarrubia-Gómez, Zhanyun Wang, Michael Zwicky Hauschild
Publié dans: Environmental Science & Technology, Numéro 56 / 3, 2022, Page(s) 1510–1521, ISSN 0013-936X
Éditeur: American Chemical Society
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.1c04158

Resilience basins of complex systems: An application to prosumer impacts on power grids

Auteurs: Samuel Bien, Paul Schultz, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F. Donges
Publié dans: Chaos, Numéro 33, 2023, Page(s) 063148, ISSN 1054-1500
Éditeur: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/5.0120891

Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

Auteurs: Vitus Benson, Jonathan F Donges, Niklas Boers, Marina Hirota, Andreas Morr, Arie Staal, Jürgen Vollmer, Nico Wunderling
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 19, 2024, Page(s) 024029, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80

Poor correlation between large-scale environmental flow violations and freshwater biodiversity: implications for water resource management and the freshwater planetary boundary

Auteurs: Chinchu Mohan, Tom Gleeson, James S. Famiglietti, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu, Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Xander Huggins, Dieter Gerten, and Sonja C. Jähnig
Publié dans: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numéro 26, 2022, Page(s) 6247–6262, ISSN 1607-7938
Éditeur: Copernicus, European Geosciences Unicon
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-6247-2022

Dose-response functions and surrogate data models for exploring social contagion in the Copenhagen Networks Study

Auteurs: J.F. Donges, J. Lochner, N. Kitzmann, J. Heitzig, S. Lehmann, M. Wiedermann, J. Vollmer
Publié dans: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Numéro 230, 2021, Page(s) 3311–3334, ISSN 1951-6355
Éditeur: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00279-7

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation

Auteurs: Anna Chrysafi, Vili Virkki, Mika Jalava, Vilma Sandström, Johannes Piipponen, Miina Porkka, Steven J. Lade, Kelsey La Mere, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Laura Scherer, Lauren S. Andersen, Elena Bennett, Kate A. Brauman, Gregory S. Cooper, Adriana De Palma, Petra Döll, Andrea S. Downing, Timothy C. DuBois, Ingo Fetzer, Elizabeth A. Fulton, Dieter Gerten, Hadi Jaafar, Jonas Jägermeyr, Fernando Jaramillo,
Publié dans: Nature Sustainability, Numéro 5, 2022, Page(s) 830–842, ISSN 2398-9629
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6

Nonlinear time series analysis of palaeoclimate proxy records

Auteurs: Norbert Marwan, Jonathan F. Donges, Reik V. Donner, Deniz Eroglu
Publié dans: Quaternary Science Reviews, Numéro 274, 2021, Page(s) 107245, ISSN 0277-3791
Éditeur: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107245

Globally widespread and increasing violations of environmental flow envelopes

Auteurs: Vili Virkki, Elina Alanärä, Miina Porkka, Lauri Ahopelto, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Martina Flörke, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Hannes Müller Schmied, Niko Wanders, and Matti Kummu
Publié dans: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numéro 26, 2022, Page(s) 3315–3336, ISSN 1607-7938
Éditeur: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-3315-2022

Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050

Auteurs: Detlef P. van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm, Sebastian Busch, Elmar Kriegler, Julia Leininger, Dirk Messner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Johan Rockstrom, Keywan Riahi, Frank Sperling, Valentina Bosetti, Sarah Cornell, Owen Gaffney, Paul L. Lucas, Alexander Popp, Constantin Ruhe, Armin von Schiller, Jörn O. Schmidt, Bjoern Soergel
Publié dans: One Earth, Numéro 5 (2), 2022, Page(s) 142-156, ISSN 2590-3322
Éditeur: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003

Social relationship dynamics mediate climate impacts on income inequality: evidence from the Mexican Humboldt squid fishery

Auteurs: Laura G. Elsler, Timothy Haight Frawley, Gregory L. Britten, Larry B. Crowder, Timothy C. DuBois, Sonja Radosavljevic, William F. Gilly, Anne-Sophie Crépin, Maja Schlüter
Publié dans: Regional Environmental Change, Numéro 21, 2021, Page(s) 35, ISSN 1436-3798
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-021-01747-5

Socio-political feedback on the path to net zero

Auteurs: Saverio Perri, Simon Levin, Lars O. Hedin, Nico Wunderling, Amilcare Porporato
Publié dans: One Earth, Numéro 6, 2023, Page(s) 725-737, ISSN 2590-3330
Éditeur: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.05.011

The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene

Auteurs: Johan Rockström, Louis Kotzé, Svetlana Milutinović, Frank Biermann, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan Donges, Jonas Ebbesson, Duncan French, Joyeeta Gupta, Rakhyun Kim, Timothy Lenton, Dominic Lenzi, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Barbara Neumann, Fabian Schuppert, Ricarda Winkelmann, Klaus Bosselmann, Carl Folke, Wolfgang Lucht, David Schlosberg, Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen
Publié dans: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Numéro 121 (5), 2024, Page(s) e2301531121, ISSN 1091-6490
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2301531121

Climate change and deforestation increase the vulnerability of Amazonian forests to post-fire grass invasion

Auteurs: Bruno L. De Faria, Arie Staal, Carlos A. Silva, Philip A. Martin, Prajjwal K. Panday, Vinicius L. Dantas
Publié dans: Global Ecology and Biogeography, Numéro 30, 2021, Page(s) 2368–2381, ISSN 1466-8238
Éditeur: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/geb.13388

Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change

Auteurs: Miina Porkka, Vili Virkki, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Dieter Gerten, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Ingo Fetzer, Fernando Jaramillo, Arie Staal, Sofie te Wierik, Arne Tobian, Ruud van der Ent, Petra Döll, Martina Flörke, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Yusuke Satoh, Hannes Müller Schmied, Niko Wanders, James S. Famiglietti, Johan Rockström, Matti Kummu
Publié dans: Nature Water, Numéro 2, 2024, Page(s) 262–273, ISSN 2731-6084
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s44221-024-00208-7

Fewer Basins Will Follow Their Budyko Curves Under Global Warming and Fossil-Fueled Development

Auteurs: Fernando Jaramillo, Luigi Piemontese, Wouter R. Berghuijs, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Peter Greve, Zhenqian Wang
Publié dans: Water Resources Research, Numéro 58, 2022, Page(s) e2021WR031825, ISSN 0043-1397
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021wr031825

Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review

Auteurs: Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 15, 2024, Page(s) 41-74, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024

Deep reinforcement learning in World-Earth system models to discover sustainable management strategies

Auteurs: Felix M. Strnad, Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig
Publié dans: Chaos, Numéro 29, 2019, Page(s) 123122, ISSN 1054-1500
Éditeur: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.5124673

A call for consistency with the terms ‘wetter’ and ‘drier’ in climate change studies

Auteurs: Nina Roth, Fernando Jaramillo, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, David Zamora, Sebastián Palomino-Ángel, Sara A. O. Cousins
Publié dans: Environmental Evidence, Numéro 10, 2021, Page(s) 8, ISSN 2047-2382
Éditeur: BMC / Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1186/s13750-021-00224-0

The microdynamics of spatial polarization: A model and an application to survey data from Ukraine

Auteurs: Olivia J. Chu, Jonathan F. Donges, Graeme B. Robertson, Grigore Pop-Eleches
Publié dans: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Numéro 118 (50), 2021, Page(s) e2104194118, ISSN 1091-6490
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2104194118

Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks

Auteurs: Maria Zeitz, Jan M. Haacker, Jonathan F. Donges, Torsten Albrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 13, 2022, Page(s) 1077–1096, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022

Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming

Auteurs: Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Kurths, Ricarda Winkelmann
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 12, 2021, Page(s) 601–619, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-18

Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions,

Auteurs: K. Kornhuber, D. Coumou, E. Vogel, C. Lesk, J.F. Donges, J. Lehmann, R. Horton,
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 10, 2020, Page(s) 48–53, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0637-z

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Auteurs: David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Abhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Fabrice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jonathan C. Doelman, Martina Dürauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpenöder, Nancy Jennings, Tamás Krisztin, Georgina M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp,
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 585, 2020, Page(s) 551–556, ISSN 1476-4687
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

A modeling framework for World-Earth system resilience: exploring social inequality and Earth system tipping points

Auteurs: John M Anderies, Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Jobst Heitzig, Johan Rockström
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 18, 2023, Page(s) 095001, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace91d

Complex networks of interacting stochastic tipping elements: Cooperativity of phase separation in the large-system limit

Auteurs: Jan Kohler, Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Vollmer
Publié dans: Phys. Rev. E, Numéro 104, 2021, Page(s) 044301, ISSN 2470-0053
Éditeur: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/physreve.104.044301

Hydroclimatic adaptation critical to the resilience of tropical forests

Auteurs: Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer
Publié dans: Global Change Biology, Numéro 28, 2022, Page(s) 2930-2939, ISSN 1354-1013
Éditeur: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16115

A modeler's guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems

Auteurs: Lea A Tamberg, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F Donges
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 17 / 5, 2022, Page(s) 055005, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac60d9

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

Auteurs: David I. Armstrong McKay, Arie Staal, Jesse F. Abrams, Ricarda Winkelmann, Boris Sakschewski, Sina Loriani, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Johan Rockström, Timothy M. Lenton
Publié dans: Science, Numéro 377, 2022, Page(s) 1171, ISSN 0036-8075
Éditeur: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950

Estimating the global potential of water harvesting from successful case studies

Auteurs: Luigi Piemontese, Giulio Castelli, Ingo Fetzer, Jennie Barron, Hanspeter Liniger, Nicole Harari, Elena Bresci, Fernando Jaramillo,
Publié dans: Global Environmental Change, Numéro 63, 2020, Page(s) 102121, ISSN 0959-3780
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102121

High-resolution global atmospheric moisture connections from evaporation to precipitation

Auteurs: Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jolanda J.E. Theeuwen, Arie Staal
Publié dans: Earth System Science Data, Numéro 12/4, 2020, Page(s) 3177–3188, ISSN 1866-3516
Éditeur: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-3177-2020

Rootzone storage capacity reveals drought coping strategies along rainforest-savanna transitions

Auteurs: Chandrakant Singh, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Johan Rockström, Ruud van der Ent
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 15, 2020, Page(s) 124021, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc377

Taxonomies for structuring models for World-Earth system analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social-ecological feedback loops

Auteurs: J.F. Donges, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J. Heitzig, W. Barfuss, S.J. Lade, M. Schlüter
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 12, 2021, Page(s) 1115–1137, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: Copernicus, Environmental Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021

Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

Auteurs: Maria A. Martin, Olga Alcaraz Sendra, Ana Bastos, Nico Bauer, Christoph Bertram, Thorsten Blenckner, Kathryn Bowen, Paulo M. Brando,Tanya Brodie Rudolph, Milena Büchs, Mercedes Bustamante, Deliang Chen, Helen Cleugh, Purnamita Dasgupta, Fatima Denton, Jonathan F. Donges, Felix Kwabena Donkor, Hongbo Duan, Carlos M. Duarte, Kristie L. Ebi, Clea M. Edwards, Anja Engel, Eleanor Fisher, Sabine Fuss,
Publié dans: Global Sustainability, Numéro 4, 2021, Page(s) e25, ISSN 2059-4798
Éditeur: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

Detecting contagious spreading of urban innovations on the global city network

Auteurs: Niklas H. Kitzmann, Pawel Romanczuk, Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges
Publié dans: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Numéro 231, 2022, Page(s) 1609-1624, ISSN 1951-6355
Éditeur: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00470-4

Is wetter better? Exploring agriculturally-relevant rainfall characteristics over four decades in the Sahel

Auteurs: Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Georgia Destouni, Annica M L Ekman, Johan Rockström, Line J Gordon
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 16, 2021, Page(s) 035002, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdd57

Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework

Auteurs: Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, Keith Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Christina Eder, Jobst Heitzig, Alexia Katsanidou, Marc Wiedermann, Nico Wunderling, Timothy M. Lenton
Publié dans: Ecological Economics, Numéro 192, 2022, Page(s) 107242, ISSN 0921-8009
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242

Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters

Auteurs: Hannah Mevenkamp, Nico Wunderling, Uma Bhatt, Tobey Carman, Jonathan Friedemann Donges, Helene Genet, Shawn Serbin, Ricarda Winkelmann, Eugenie Susanne Euskirchen
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 18, 2023, Page(s) 084032, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace637

A network-based microfoundation of Granovetter's threshold model for social tipping

Auteurs: M. Wiedermann, E.K. Smith, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges
Publié dans: Nature Scientific Reports, Numéro 10, 2020, Page(s) 11202, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-67102-6

Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

Auteurs: Victor Brovkin, Edward Brook, John W. Williams, Sebastian Bathiany, Timothy M. Lenton, Michael Barton, Robert M. DeConto, Jonathan F. Donges, Andrey Ganopolski, Jerry McManus, Summer Praetorius, Anne de Vernal, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Hai Cheng, Martin Claussen, Michel Crucifix, Gilberto Gallopín, Virginia Iglesias, Darrell S. Kaufman, Thomas Kleinen, Fabrice Lambert, Sander van der Leeuw, Hannah Liddy,
Publié dans: Nature Geoscience, Numéro 14, 2021, Page(s) 550–558, ISSN 1752-0894
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5

Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries

Auteurs: Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen, Wolfgang Lucht, Jørgen Bendtsen, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan F. Donges, Markus Drüke, Ingo Fetzer, Govindasamy Bala, Werner von Bloh, Georg Feulner, Stephanie Fiedler, Dieter Gerten, Tom Gleeson, Matthias Hofmann, Willem Huiskamp, Matti Kummu, Chinchu Mohan, David Nogués-Bravo, Stefan Petri, Miina Porkka, Stefan Rahmstorf, Sibyll Schaphoff, Kirsten Thonicke, A
Publié dans: Science Advances, Numéro 9, 2023, Page(s) eadh2458, ISSN 2375-2548
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458

Remote land use impacts on river flows through atmospheric teleconnections

Auteurs: Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Patrick W. Keys, Ruud J. van der Ent, Hubert H. G. Savenije, Line J. Gordon
Publié dans: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numéro 22/8, 2018, Page(s) 4311-4328, ISSN 1607-7938
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-4311-2018

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

Auteurs: Will Steffen, Johan Rockström, Katherine Richardson, Timothy M. Lenton, Carl Folke, Diana Liverman, Colin P. Summerhayes, Anthony D. Barnosky, Sarah E. Cornell, Michel Crucifix, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Steven J. Lade, Marten Scheffer, Ricarda Winkelmann, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Publié dans: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numéro 115/33, 2018, Page(s) 8252-8259, ISSN 0027-8424
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115

Understanding of water resilience in the Anthropocene

Auteurs: Malin Falkenmark, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Johan Rockström
Publié dans: Journal of Hydrology X, Numéro 2, 2019, Page(s) 100009, ISSN 2589-9155
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.hydroa.2018.100009

Priorities and Interactions of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Focus on Wetlands

Auteurs: Fernando Jaramillo, Amanda Desormeaux, Johanna Hedlund, James Jawitz, Nicola Clerici, Luigi Piemontese, Jenny Rodríguez-Rodriguez, Jesús Anaya, Juan Blanco-Libreros, Sonia Borja, Jorge Celi, Sergey Chalov, Kwok Chun, Matilda Cresso, Georgia Destouni, Shimelis Dessu, Giuliano Baldassarre, Andrea Downing, Luisa Espinosa, Navid Ghajarnia, Pierre Girard, Álvaro Gutiérrez, Amy Hansen, Tengfei Hu, J
Publié dans: Water, Numéro 11/3, 2019, Page(s) 619, ISSN 2073-4441
Éditeur: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w11030619

Food in the Anthropocene: the EAT–Lancet Commission on healthy diets from sustainable food systems

Auteurs: Walter Willett, Johan Rockström, Brent Loken, Marco Springmann, Tim Lang, Sonja Vermeulen, Tara Garnett, David Tilman, Fabrice DeClerck, Amanda Wood, Malin Jonell, Michael Clark, Line J Gordon, Jessica Fanzo, Corinna Hawkes, Rami Zurayk, Juan A Rivera, Wim De Vries, Lindiwe Majele Sibanda, Ashkan Afshin, Abhishek Chaudhary, Mario Herrero, Rina Agustina, Francesco Branca, Anna Lartey, Shenggen Fan
Publié dans: The Lancet, Numéro 393/10170, 2019, Page(s) 447-492, ISSN 0140-6736
Éditeur: The Lancet Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)31788-4

Options for keeping the food system within environmental limits

Auteurs: Marco Springmann, Michael Clark, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Keith Wiebe, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Luis Lassaletta, Wim de Vries, Sonja J. Vermeulen, Mario Herrero, Kimberly M. Carlson, Malin Jonell, Max Troell, Fabrice DeClerck, Line J. Gordon, Rami Zurayk, Peter Scarborough, Mike Rayner, Brent Loken, Jess Fanzo, H. Charles J. Godfray, David Tilman, Johan Rockström, Walter Willett
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 562/7728, 2018, Page(s) 519-525, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0594-0

Aiming higher to bend the curve of biodiversity loss

Auteurs: Georgina M. Mace, Mike Barrett, Neil D. Burgess, Sarah E. Cornell, Robin Freeman, Monique Grooten, Andy Purvis
Publié dans: Nature Sustainability, Numéro 1/9, 2018, Page(s) 448-451, ISSN 2398-9629
Éditeur: SpringerNature Publishing
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-018-0130-0

Earth system data cubes unravel global multivariate dynamics

Auteurs: Miguel D. Mahecha, Fabian Gans, Gunnar Brandt, Rune Christiansen, Sarah E. Cornell, Normann Fomferra, Guido Kraemer, Jonas Peters, Paul Bodesheim, Gustau Camps-Valls, Jonathan F. Donges, Wouter Dorigo, Lina M. Estupinan-Suarez, Victor H. Gutierrez-Velez, Martin Gutwin, Martin Jung, Maria C. Londoño, Diego G. Miralles, Phillip Papastefanou, Markus Reichstein
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 11/1, 2020, Page(s) 201-234, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-201-2020

"Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE open World–Earth modeling framework"

Auteurs: Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig, Wolfram Barfuss, Marc Wiedermann, Johannes A. Kassel, Tim Kittel, Jakob J. Kolb, Till Kolster, Finn Müller-Hansen, Ilona M. Otto, Kilian B. Zimmerer, Wolfgang Lucht
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 11/2, 2020, Page(s) 395-413, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-395-2020

Anthropocene risk

Auteurs: Patrick W. Keys, Victor Galaz, Michelle Dyer, Nathanial Matthews, Carl Folke, Magnus Nyström, Sarah E. Cornell
Publié dans: Nature Sustainability, Numéro 2/8, 2019, Page(s) 667-673, ISSN 2398-9629
Éditeur: Nature
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Tracking the global flows of atmospheric moisture and associated uncertainties

Auteurs: Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Arie Staal
Publié dans: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numéro 24/5, 2020, Page(s) 2419-2435, ISSN 1607-7938
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Learning from generations of sustainability concepts

Auteurs: Andrea Sophia Downing, Manqi Chang, Jan J. Kuiper, Marco Campenni, Tiina Häyhä, Sarah Cornell, Uno Svedin, Wolf Mooij
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2020, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
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Integrating the Water Planetary Boundary With Water Management From Local to Global Scales

Auteurs: Samuel C. Zipper, Fernando Jaramillo, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson, Sarah E. Cornell, Tom Gleeson, Miina Porkka, Tiina Häyhä, Anne‐Sophie Crépin, Ingo Fetzer, Dieter Gerten, Holger Hoff, Nathanial Matthews, Constanza Ricaurte‐Villota, Matti Kummu, Yoshihide Wada, Line Gordon
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 8/2, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
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Challenges and opportunities towards improved application of the planetary boundary for land-system change in life cycle assessment of products

Auteurs: Anders Bjørn, Sarah Sim, Henry King, Patrick Keys, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Sarah E. Cornell, Manuele Margni, Cécile Bulle
Publié dans: Science of The Total Environment, Numéro 696, 2019, Page(s) 133964, ISSN 0048-9697
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Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries

Auteurs: Dieter Gerten, Vera Heck, Jonas Jägermeyr, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Ingo Fetzer, Mika Jalava, Matti Kummu, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Sibyll Schaphoff, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Publié dans: Nature Sustainability, Numéro 3/3, 2020, Page(s) 200-208, ISSN 2398-9629
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Matching scope, purpose and uses of planetary boundaries science

Auteurs: Andrea S Downing, Avit Bhowmik, David Collste, Sarah E Cornell, Jonathan Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Tiina Häyhä, Jennifer Hinton, Steven Lade, Wolf M Mooij
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How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking micro- to macro-scales

Auteurs: Nico Wunderling, Benedikt Stumpf, Jonathan Krönke, Arie Staal, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges
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Future Hydroclimatic Impacts on Africa: Beyond the Paris Agreement

Auteurs: Luigi Piemontese, Ingo Fetzer, Johan Rockström, Fernando Jaramillo
Publié dans: Earth's Future, 2019, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: AGU
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Potential feedbacks between loss of biosphere integrity and climate change

Auteurs: Steven J. Lade, Jon Norberg, John M. Anderies, Christian Beer, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Thomas Gasser, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström, Will Steffen
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Feedback between drought and deforestation in the Amazon

Auteurs: Arie Staal, Bernardo M Flores, Ana Paula D Aguiar, Joyce H C Bosmans, Ingo Fetzer, Obbe A Tuinenburg
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Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth system resilience in the Anthropocene

Auteurs: Tom Gleeson, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson, Miina Porkka, Samuel C. Zipper, Fernando Jaramillo, Dieter Gerten, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Luigi Piemontese, Line J. Gordon, Johan Rockström, Taikan Oki, Murugesu Sivapalan, Yoshihide Wada, Kate A. Brauman, Martina Flörke, Marc F. P. Bierkens, Bernhard Lehner, Patrick Keys, Matti Kummu, Thorsten Wagener, Simon Dadson, Tara J. Troy, Will Steffen, Malin F
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Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks

Auteurs: Jonathan Krönke, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Arie Staal, Benedikt Stumpf, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jonathan F. Donges
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Invisible water security: Moisture recycling and water resilience

Auteurs: Patrick W. Keys, Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Tom Gleeson, Line J. Gordon
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Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions

Auteurs: Steven J. Lade, Will Steffen, Wim de Vries, Stephen R. Carpenter, Jonathan F. Donges, Dieter Gerten, Holger Hoff, Tim Newbold, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström
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Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals within 9 planetary boundaries

Auteurs: Jorgen Randers, Johan Rockström, Per-Espen Stoknes, Ulrich Goluke, David Collste, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan Donges
Publié dans: Global Sustainability, Numéro 2, 2019, ISSN 2059-4798
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Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against

Auteurs: Timothy M. Lenton, Johan Rockström, Owen Gaffney, Stefan Rahmstorf, Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
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The Water Planetary Boundary: Interrogation and Revision

Auteurs: Tom Gleeson, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Samuel C. Zipper, Miina Porkka, Fernando Jaramillo, Dieter Gerten, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Luigi Piemontese, Line J. Gordon, Johan Rockström, Taikan Oki, Murugesu Sivapalan, Yoshihide Wada, Kate A. Brauman, Martina Flörke, Marc F.P. Bierkens, Bernhard Lehner, Patrick Keys, Matti Kummu, Thorsten Wagener, Simon Dadson, Tara J. Troy, Will Steffen, Malin Falk
Publié dans: One Earth, Numéro 2/3, 2020, Page(s) 223-234, ISSN 2590-3322
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The emergence and evolution of Earth System Science

Auteurs: Will Steffen, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Opha Pauline Dube, Sébastien Dutreuil, Timothy M. Lenton, Jane Lubchenco
Publié dans: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Numéro 1/1, 2020, Page(s) 54-63, ISSN 2662-138X
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Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050

Auteurs: Ilona M. Otto, Jonathan F. Donges, Roger Cremades, Avit Bhowmik, Richard J. Hewitt, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Franziska Allerberger, Mark McCaffrey, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Alex Lenferna, Nerea Morán, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
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Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades

Auteurs: Nico Wunderling, Maximilian Gelbrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jürgen Kurths, Jonathan F Donges
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Hydroclimatic vulnerability of wetlands to upwind land use changes

Auteurs: Simon Felix Fahrländer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Agnes Pranindita, Fernando Jaramillo
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 12(3), 2024, Page(s) e2023EF003837, ISSN 2328-4277
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Moisture recycling and the potential role of forests as moisture source during European heatwaves

Auteurs: Agnes Pranindita, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Adriaan J. Teuling
Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Numéro 58, 2022, Page(s) 609–624, ISSN 0930-7575
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Atmospheric water recycling an essential feature of critical natural asset stewardship

Auteurs: Patrick W Keys, Pamela M Collins, R Chaplin-Kramer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Publié dans: Global Sustainability, Numéro e2, 2024, ISSN 2059-4798
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Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice

Auteurs: N. Wunderling, M. Willeit, J.F. Donges, R. Winkelmann
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 11, 2020, Page(s) 5177, ISSN 2041-1723
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A water-function-based framework for understanding and governing water resilience in the Anthropocene

Auteurs: Malin Falkenmark, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Publié dans: One Earth, Numéro 4(2), 2021, Page(s) 213-225, ISSN 2590-3322
Éditeur: Cell Press, Elsevier
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Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models

Auteurs: David Armstrong McKay, Sarah E. Cornell, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 12, 2021, Page(s) 797–818, ISSN 2190-4987
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A planetary boundary for green water

Auteurs: Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Arne Tobian, Ruud J. van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, Sofie te Wierik, Miina Porkka, Arie Staal, Fernando Jaramillo, Heindriken Dahlmann, Chandrakant Singh, Peter Greve, Dieter Gerten, Patrick W. Keys, Tom Gleeson, Sarah E. Cornell, Will Steffen, Xuemei Bai, Johan Rockström
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A resilience sensing system for the biosphere

Auteurs: Timothy M. Lenton, Joshua E. Buxton, David I. Armstrong McKay, Jesse F. Abrams, Chris A. Boulton, Kirsten Lees, Thomas W. R. Powell, Niklas Boers, Andrew M. Cunliffe, Vasilis Dakos
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Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse,

Auteurs: W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, V.V. Vasconcelos, J. Kurths, S.A. Levin,
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Targeted rainfall enhancement as an objective of forestation

Auteurs: Arie Staal, Jolanda J. E. Theeuwen, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Nico Wunderling, Stefan C. Dekker
Publié dans: Global Change Biology, Numéro 30, 2024, Page(s) e17096, ISSN 1354-1013
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Safe and just Earth system boundaries

Auteurs: Johan Rockström, Joyeeta Gupta, Dahe Qin, Steven J. Lade, Jesse F. Abrams, Lauren S. Andersen, David I. Armstrong McKay, Xuemei Bai, Govindasamy Bala, Stuart E. Bunn, Daniel Ciobanu, Fabrice DeClerck, Kristie Ebi, Lauren Gifford, Christopher Gordon, Syezlin Hasan, Norichika Kanie, Timothy M. Lenton, Sina Loriani, Diana M. Liverman, Awaz Mohamed, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Daniel Ospina, Kl
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Global polycrisis: the causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement

Auteurs: Michael Lawrence,Thomas Homer-Dixon, Scott Janzwood,Johan Rockström, Ortwin Renn, Jonathan F. Donges
Publié dans: Global Sustainability, Numéro 7, 2024, Page(s) e6, ISSN 2059-4798
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The physics of governance networks: critical transitions in contagion dynamics on multilayer adaptive networks with application to the sustainable use of renewable resources

Auteurs: Fabian Geier, Wolfram Barfuss, Marc Wiedermann, Jurgen Kurths, Jonathan F. Donges
Publié dans: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Numéro 228, 2019, Page(s) 2357–2369, ISSN 1951-6355
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Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package

Auteurs: Nico Wunderling, Jonathan Krönke, Valentin Wohlfarth, Jan Kohler, Jobst Heitzig, Arie Staal, Sven Willner, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges
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What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?

Auteurs: Ann Kristin Klose, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F Donges
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Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate,

Auteurs: A.K. Klose, V. Karle, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges
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A Dynamic Network Model of Societal Complexity and Resilience Inspired by Tainter’s Theory of Collapse

Auteurs: Florian Schunck, Marc Wiedermann, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F. Donges
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Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model

Auteurs: Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Johan Rockström, Sina Loriani, David I. Armstrong McKay, Paul D. L. Ritchie, Boris Sakschewski, Jonathan F. Donges
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Root zone soil moisture in over 25 % of global land permanently beyond pre-industrial variability as early as 2050 without climate policy

Auteurs: En Ning Lai, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Vili Virkki, Miina Porkka, Ruud J. van der Ent
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Shaping a resilient future in response to COVID-19

Auteurs: Johan Rockström, Albert V. Norström, Nathanial Matthews, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, Carl Folke, Ameil Harikishun, Saleemul Huq, Nisha Krishnan, Lila Warszawski, Deon Nel
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Hysteresis of the Antarctic ice sheet

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Framing Science-Based Targets: Reformist and Radical Discourses in an Earth System Governance Initiative

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Understanding and addressing the planetary crisis of chemicals and plastics

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Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces

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Transformation is feasible - How to achieve the SustainableDevelopment Goals within Planetary Boundaries.

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Warum wir die globalen Emissionen halbieren müssen.

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