Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene (ERA) Integrating non-linear biophysical and social determinants of Earth-system stability for global sustainability through a novel community modelling platform

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Publications

Succeeding at home and abroad: accounting for the international spillovers of cities’ SDG actions

Author(s): Rebecka Ericsdotter Engström, David Collste, Sarah E. Cornell, Francis X. Johnson, Henrik Carlsen, Fernando Jaramillo, Göran Finnveden, Georgia Destouni, Mark Howells, Nina Weitz, Viveka Palm, Francesco Fuso-Nerini
Published in: NPJ Urban Sustainablity, Issue 1, 2021, Page(s) 18, ISSN 2661-8001
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s42949-020-00002-w

Failures to disagree are essential for environmental science to effectively influence policy development

Author(s): Jon Norberg, Thorsten Blenckner, Sarah E. Cornell, Owen L. Petchey, Helmut Hillebrand
Published in: Ecology Letters, Issue 25, 2023, Page(s) 1075-1093, ISSN 1461-023X
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13984

A prototype Earth system impact metric that accounts for cross-scale interactions

Author(s): Steven J Lade, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E Cornell, Beatrice Crona
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 16, 2021, Page(s) 115005, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2db1

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

Author(s): P.S. Jørgensen, R.E.V. Jansen, D.I. Avila Ortega, L. Wang Erlandsson, J.F. Donges, H. Österblom, P. Olsson, M. Nyström, S. Lade, T. Hahn, C. Folke, G.D. Peterson, A.-S. Crépin
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, Issue 379, 2024, Page(s) 20220261, ISSN 0962-8436
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0261

Outside the Safe Operating Space of the Planetary Boundary for Novel Entities

Author(s): Linn Persson, Bethanie M. Carney Almroth, Christopher D. Collins, Sarah Cornell, Cynthia A. de Wit, Miriam L. Diamond, Peter Fantke, Martin Hassellöv, Matthew MacLeod, Morten W. Ryberg, Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Patricia Villarrubia-Gómez, Zhanyun Wang, Michael Zwicky Hauschild
Published in: Environmental Science & Technology, Issue 56 / 3, 2022, Page(s) 1510–1521, ISSN 0013-936X
Publisher: American Chemical Society
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.1c04158

Resilience basins of complex systems: An application to prosumer impacts on power grids

Author(s): Samuel Bien, Paul Schultz, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: Chaos, Issue 33, 2023, Page(s) 063148, ISSN 1054-1500
Publisher: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/5.0120891

Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

Author(s): Vitus Benson, Jonathan F Donges, Niklas Boers, Marina Hirota, Andreas Morr, Arie Staal, Jürgen Vollmer, Nico Wunderling
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2024, Page(s) 024029, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80

Poor correlation between large-scale environmental flow violations and freshwater biodiversity: implications for water resource management and the freshwater planetary boundary

Author(s): Chinchu Mohan, Tom Gleeson, James S. Famiglietti, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu, Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Xander Huggins, Dieter Gerten, and Sonja C. Jähnig
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 26, 2022, Page(s) 6247–6262, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Unicon
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-6247-2022

Dose-response functions and surrogate data models for exploring social contagion in the Copenhagen Networks Study

Author(s): J.F. Donges, J. Lochner, N. Kitzmann, J. Heitzig, S. Lehmann, M. Wiedermann, J. Vollmer
Published in: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Issue 230, 2021, Page(s) 3311–3334, ISSN 1951-6355
Publisher: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00279-7

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation

Author(s): Anna Chrysafi, Vili Virkki, Mika Jalava, Vilma Sandström, Johannes Piipponen, Miina Porkka, Steven J. Lade, Kelsey La Mere, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Laura Scherer, Lauren S. Andersen, Elena Bennett, Kate A. Brauman, Gregory S. Cooper, Adriana De Palma, Petra Döll, Andrea S. Downing, Timothy C. DuBois, Ingo Fetzer, Elizabeth A. Fulton, Dieter Gerten, Hadi Jaafar, Jonas Jägermeyr, Fernando Jaramillo,
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 5, 2022, Page(s) 830–842, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6

Nonlinear time series analysis of palaeoclimate proxy records

Author(s): Norbert Marwan, Jonathan F. Donges, Reik V. Donner, Deniz Eroglu
Published in: Quaternary Science Reviews, Issue 274, 2021, Page(s) 107245, ISSN 0277-3791
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107245

Globally widespread and increasing violations of environmental flow envelopes

Author(s): Vili Virkki, Elina Alanärä, Miina Porkka, Lauri Ahopelto, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Martina Flörke, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Hannes Müller Schmied, Niko Wanders, and Matti Kummu
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 26, 2022, Page(s) 3315–3336, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-3315-2022

Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050

Author(s): Detlef P. van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm, Sebastian Busch, Elmar Kriegler, Julia Leininger, Dirk Messner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Johan Rockstrom, Keywan Riahi, Frank Sperling, Valentina Bosetti, Sarah Cornell, Owen Gaffney, Paul L. Lucas, Alexander Popp, Constantin Ruhe, Armin von Schiller, Jörn O. Schmidt, Bjoern Soergel
Published in: One Earth, Issue 5 (2), 2022, Page(s) 142-156, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003

Social relationship dynamics mediate climate impacts on income inequality: evidence from the Mexican Humboldt squid fishery

Author(s): Laura G. Elsler, Timothy Haight Frawley, Gregory L. Britten, Larry B. Crowder, Timothy C. DuBois, Sonja Radosavljevic, William F. Gilly, Anne-Sophie Crépin, Maja Schlüter
Published in: Regional Environmental Change, Issue 21, 2021, Page(s) 35, ISSN 1436-3798
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-021-01747-5

Socio-political feedback on the path to net zero

Author(s): Saverio Perri, Simon Levin, Lars O. Hedin, Nico Wunderling, Amilcare Porporato
Published in: One Earth, Issue 6, 2023, Page(s) 725-737, ISSN 2590-3330
Publisher: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.05.011

The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene

Author(s): Johan Rockström, Louis Kotzé, Svetlana Milutinović, Frank Biermann, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan Donges, Jonas Ebbesson, Duncan French, Joyeeta Gupta, Rakhyun Kim, Timothy Lenton, Dominic Lenzi, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Barbara Neumann, Fabian Schuppert, Ricarda Winkelmann, Klaus Bosselmann, Carl Folke, Wolfgang Lucht, David Schlosberg, Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Issue 121 (5), 2024, Page(s) e2301531121, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2301531121

Rate–induced tipping cascades arising from interactions betweenthe Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional OverturningCirculation

Author(s): Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrike Feudel, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2024, ISSN 2190-4995
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2023-20

Climate change and deforestation increase the vulnerability of Amazonian forests to post-fire grass invasion

Author(s): Bruno L. De Faria, Arie Staal, Carlos A. Silva, Philip A. Martin, Prajjwal K. Panday, Vinicius L. Dantas
Published in: Global Ecology and Biogeography, Issue 30, 2021, Page(s) 2368–2381, ISSN 1466-8238
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/geb.13388

Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change

Author(s): Miina Porkka, Vili Virkki, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Dieter Gerten, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Ingo Fetzer, Fernando Jaramillo, Arie Staal, Sofie te Wierik, Arne Tobian, Ruud van der Ent, Petra Döll, Martina Flörke, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Yusuke Satoh, Hannes Müller Schmied, Niko Wanders, James S. Famiglietti, Johan Rockström, Matti Kummu
Published in: Nature Water, Issue 2, 2024, Page(s) 262–273, ISSN 2731-6084
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s44221-024-00208-7

Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Arie Staal, Boris Sakschewski, Marina Hirota, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jonathan F. Donges, Henrique M. J. Barbosa, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 2022, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.212077711

Fewer Basins Will Follow Their Budyko Curves Under Global Warming and Fossil-Fueled Development

Author(s): Fernando Jaramillo, Luigi Piemontese, Wouter R. Berghuijs, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Peter Greve, Zhenqian Wang
Published in: Water Resources Research, Issue 58, 2022, Page(s) e2021WR031825, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021wr031825

Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 15, 2024, Page(s) 41-74, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024

Deep reinforcement learning in World-Earth system models to discover sustainable management strategies

Author(s): Felix M. Strnad, Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig
Published in: Chaos, Issue 29, 2019, Page(s) 123122, ISSN 1054-1500
Publisher: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.5124673

A call for consistency with the terms ‘wetter’ and ‘drier’ in climate change studies

Author(s): Nina Roth, Fernando Jaramillo, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, David Zamora, Sebastián Palomino-Ángel, Sara A. O. Cousins
Published in: Environmental Evidence, Issue 10, 2021, Page(s) 8, ISSN 2047-2382
Publisher: BMC / Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1186/s13750-021-00224-0

The microdynamics of spatial polarization: A model and an application to survey data from Ukraine

Author(s): Olivia J. Chu, Jonathan F. Donges, Graeme B. Robertson, Grigore Pop-Eleches
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Issue 118 (50), 2021, Page(s) e2104194118, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2104194118

Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks

Author(s): Maria Zeitz, Jan M. Haacker, Jonathan F. Donges, Torsten Albrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 13, 2022, Page(s) 1077–1096, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022

Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Kurths, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 12, 2021, Page(s) 601–619, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-18

Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions,

Author(s): K. Kornhuber, D. Coumou, E. Vogel, C. Lesk, J.F. Donges, J. Lehmann, R. Horton,
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 10, 2020, Page(s) 48–53, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0637-z

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Author(s): David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Abhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Fabrice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jonathan C. Doelman, Martina Dürauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpenöder, Nancy Jennings, Tamás Krisztin, Georgina M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp,
Published in: Nature, Issue 585, 2020, Page(s) 551–556, ISSN 1476-4687
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

A modeling framework for World-Earth system resilience: exploring social inequality and Earth system tipping points

Author(s): John M Anderies, Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Jobst Heitzig, Johan Rockström
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 18, 2023, Page(s) 095001, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace91d

Complex networks of interacting stochastic tipping elements: Cooperativity of phase separation in the large-system limit

Author(s): Jan Kohler, Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Vollmer
Published in: Phys. Rev. E, Issue 104, 2021, Page(s) 044301, ISSN 2470-0053
Publisher: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/physreve.104.044301

Hydroclimatic adaptation critical to the resilience of tropical forests

Author(s): Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 28, 2022, Page(s) 2930-2939, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16115

A modeler's guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems

Author(s): Lea A Tamberg, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F Donges
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 17 / 5, 2022, Page(s) 055005, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac60d9

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

Author(s): David I. Armstrong McKay, Arie Staal, Jesse F. Abrams, Ricarda Winkelmann, Boris Sakschewski, Sina Loriani, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Johan Rockström, Timothy M. Lenton
Published in: Science, Issue 377, 2022, Page(s) 1171, ISSN 0036-8075
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950

Estimating the global potential of water harvesting from successful case studies

Author(s): Luigi Piemontese, Giulio Castelli, Ingo Fetzer, Jennie Barron, Hanspeter Liniger, Nicole Harari, Elena Bresci, Fernando Jaramillo,
Published in: Global Environmental Change, Issue 63, 2020, Page(s) 102121, ISSN 0959-3780
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102121

High-resolution global atmospheric moisture connections from evaporation to precipitation

Author(s): Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jolanda J.E. Theeuwen, Arie Staal
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 12/4, 2020, Page(s) 3177–3188, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-3177-2020

Network motifs shape distinct functioning of Earth’s moisture recycling hubs

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Frederik Wolf, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Arie Staal
Published in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34229-1

Rootzone storage capacity reveals drought coping strategies along rainforest-savanna transitions

Author(s): Chandrakant Singh, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Johan Rockström, Ruud van der Ent
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15, 2020, Page(s) 124021, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc377

Taxonomies for structuring models for World-Earth system analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social-ecological feedback loops

Author(s): J.F. Donges, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J. Heitzig, W. Barfuss, S.J. Lade, M. Schlüter
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 12, 2021, Page(s) 1115–1137, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus, Environmental Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021

Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

Author(s): Maria A. Martin, Olga Alcaraz Sendra, Ana Bastos, Nico Bauer, Christoph Bertram, Thorsten Blenckner, Kathryn Bowen, Paulo M. Brando,Tanya Brodie Rudolph, Milena Büchs, Mercedes Bustamante, Deliang Chen, Helen Cleugh, Purnamita Dasgupta, Fatima Denton, Jonathan F. Donges, Felix Kwabena Donkor, Hongbo Duan, Carlos M. Duarte, Kristie L. Ebi, Clea M. Edwards, Anja Engel, Eleanor Fisher, Sabine Fuss,
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue 4, 2021, Page(s) e25, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

Detecting contagious spreading of urban innovations on the global city network

Author(s): Niklas H. Kitzmann, Pawel Romanczuk, Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Issue 231, 2022, Page(s) 1609-1624, ISSN 1951-6355
Publisher: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00470-4

Is wetter better? Exploring agriculturally-relevant rainfall characteristics over four decades in the Sahel

Author(s): Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Georgia Destouni, Annica M L Ekman, Johan Rockström, Line J Gordon
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 16, 2021, Page(s) 035002, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdd57

Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework

Author(s): Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, Keith Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Christina Eder, Jobst Heitzig, Alexia Katsanidou, Marc Wiedermann, Nico Wunderling, Timothy M. Lenton
Published in: Ecological Economics, Issue 192, 2022, Page(s) 107242, ISSN 0921-8009
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242

Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters

Author(s): Hannah Mevenkamp, Nico Wunderling, Uma Bhatt, Tobey Carman, Jonathan Friedemann Donges, Helene Genet, Shawn Serbin, Ricarda Winkelmann, Eugenie Susanne Euskirchen
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 18, 2023, Page(s) 084032, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace637

A network-based microfoundation of Granovetter's threshold model for social tipping

Author(s): M. Wiedermann, E.K. Smith, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges
Published in: Nature Scientific Reports, Issue 10, 2020, Page(s) 11202, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-67102-6

Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

Author(s): Victor Brovkin, Edward Brook, John W. Williams, Sebastian Bathiany, Timothy M. Lenton, Michael Barton, Robert M. DeConto, Jonathan F. Donges, Andrey Ganopolski, Jerry McManus, Summer Praetorius, Anne de Vernal, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Hai Cheng, Martin Claussen, Michel Crucifix, Gilberto Gallopín, Virginia Iglesias, Darrell S. Kaufman, Thomas Kleinen, Fabrice Lambert, Sander van der Leeuw, Hannah Liddy,
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 14, 2021, Page(s) 550–558, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5

Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries

Author(s): Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen, Wolfgang Lucht, Jørgen Bendtsen, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan F. Donges, Markus Drüke, Ingo Fetzer, Govindasamy Bala, Werner von Bloh, Georg Feulner, Stephanie Fiedler, Dieter Gerten, Tom Gleeson, Matthias Hofmann, Willem Huiskamp, Matti Kummu, Chinchu Mohan, David Nogués-Bravo, Stefan Petri, Miina Porkka, Stefan Rahmstorf, Sibyll Schaphoff, Kirsten Thonicke, A
Published in: Science Advances, Issue 9, 2023, Page(s) eadh2458, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458

Remote land use impacts on river flows through atmospheric teleconnections

Author(s): Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Patrick W. Keys, Ruud J. van der Ent, Hubert H. G. Savenije, Line J. Gordon
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 22/8, 2018, Page(s) 4311-4328, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-4311-2018

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

Author(s): Will Steffen, Johan Rockström, Katherine Richardson, Timothy M. Lenton, Carl Folke, Diana Liverman, Colin P. Summerhayes, Anthony D. Barnosky, Sarah E. Cornell, Michel Crucifix, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Steven J. Lade, Marten Scheffer, Ricarda Winkelmann, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 115/33, 2018, Page(s) 8252-8259, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115

Understanding of water resilience in the Anthropocene

Author(s): Malin Falkenmark, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Johan Rockström
Published in: Journal of Hydrology X, Issue 2, 2019, Page(s) 100009, ISSN 2589-9155
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.hydroa.2018.100009

Priorities and Interactions of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Focus on Wetlands

Author(s): Fernando Jaramillo, Amanda Desormeaux, Johanna Hedlund, James Jawitz, Nicola Clerici, Luigi Piemontese, Jenny Rodríguez-Rodriguez, Jesús Anaya, Juan Blanco-Libreros, Sonia Borja, Jorge Celi, Sergey Chalov, Kwok Chun, Matilda Cresso, Georgia Destouni, Shimelis Dessu, Giuliano Baldassarre, Andrea Downing, Luisa Espinosa, Navid Ghajarnia, Pierre Girard, Álvaro Gutiérrez, Amy Hansen, Tengfei Hu, J
Published in: Water, Issue 11/3, 2019, Page(s) 619, ISSN 2073-4441
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w11030619

Food in the Anthropocene: the EAT–Lancet Commission on healthy diets from sustainable food systems

Author(s): Walter Willett, Johan Rockström, Brent Loken, Marco Springmann, Tim Lang, Sonja Vermeulen, Tara Garnett, David Tilman, Fabrice DeClerck, Amanda Wood, Malin Jonell, Michael Clark, Line J Gordon, Jessica Fanzo, Corinna Hawkes, Rami Zurayk, Juan A Rivera, Wim De Vries, Lindiwe Majele Sibanda, Ashkan Afshin, Abhishek Chaudhary, Mario Herrero, Rina Agustina, Francesco Branca, Anna Lartey, Shenggen Fan
Published in: The Lancet, Issue 393/10170, 2019, Page(s) 447-492, ISSN 0140-6736
Publisher: The Lancet Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)31788-4

Options for keeping the food system within environmental limits

Author(s): Marco Springmann, Michael Clark, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Keith Wiebe, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Luis Lassaletta, Wim de Vries, Sonja J. Vermeulen, Mario Herrero, Kimberly M. Carlson, Malin Jonell, Max Troell, Fabrice DeClerck, Line J. Gordon, Rami Zurayk, Peter Scarborough, Mike Rayner, Brent Loken, Jess Fanzo, H. Charles J. Godfray, David Tilman, Johan Rockström, Walter Willett
Published in: Nature, Issue 562/7728, 2018, Page(s) 519-525, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0594-0

Aiming higher to bend the curve of biodiversity loss

Author(s): Georgina M. Mace, Mike Barrett, Neil D. Burgess, Sarah E. Cornell, Robin Freeman, Monique Grooten, Andy Purvis
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 1/9, 2018, Page(s) 448-451, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: SpringerNature Publishing
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-018-0130-0

Earth system data cubes unravel global multivariate dynamics

Author(s): Miguel D. Mahecha, Fabian Gans, Gunnar Brandt, Rune Christiansen, Sarah E. Cornell, Normann Fomferra, Guido Kraemer, Jonas Peters, Paul Bodesheim, Gustau Camps-Valls, Jonathan F. Donges, Wouter Dorigo, Lina M. Estupinan-Suarez, Victor H. Gutierrez-Velez, Martin Gutwin, Martin Jung, Maria C. Londoño, Diego G. Miralles, Phillip Papastefanou, Markus Reichstein
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/1, 2020, Page(s) 201-234, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-201-2020

"Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE open World–Earth modeling framework"

Author(s): Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig, Wolfram Barfuss, Marc Wiedermann, Johannes A. Kassel, Tim Kittel, Jakob J. Kolb, Till Kolster, Finn Müller-Hansen, Ilona M. Otto, Kilian B. Zimmerer, Wolfgang Lucht
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/2, 2020, Page(s) 395-413, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-395-2020

Anthropocene risk

Author(s): Patrick W. Keys, Victor Galaz, Michelle Dyer, Nathanial Matthews, Carl Folke, Magnus Nyström, Sarah E. Cornell
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 2/8, 2019, Page(s) 667-673, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0327-x

Tracking the global flows of atmospheric moisture and associated uncertainties

Author(s): Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Arie Staal
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 24/5, 2020, Page(s) 2419-2435, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-2419-2020

Learning from generations of sustainability concepts

Author(s): Andrea Sophia Downing, Manqi Chang, Jan J. Kuiper, Marco Campenni, Tiina Häyhä, Sarah Cornell, Uno Svedin, Wolf Mooij
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15, 2020, Page(s) 083002, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7766

Integrating the Water Planetary Boundary With Water Management From Local to Global Scales

Author(s): Samuel C. Zipper, Fernando Jaramillo, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson, Sarah E. Cornell, Tom Gleeson, Miina Porkka, Tiina Häyhä, Anne‐Sophie Crépin, Ingo Fetzer, Dieter Gerten, Holger Hoff, Nathanial Matthews, Constanza Ricaurte‐Villota, Matti Kummu, Yoshihide Wada, Line Gordon
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 8/2, 2020, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001377

Challenges and opportunities towards improved application of the planetary boundary for land-system change in life cycle assessment of products

Author(s): Anders Bjørn, Sarah Sim, Henry King, Patrick Keys, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Sarah E. Cornell, Manuele Margni, Cécile Bulle
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 696, 2019, Page(s) 133964, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.133964

Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries

Author(s): Dieter Gerten, Vera Heck, Jonas Jägermeyr, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Ingo Fetzer, Mika Jalava, Matti Kummu, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Sibyll Schaphoff, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 3/3, 2020, Page(s) 200-208, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0465-1

Matching scope, purpose and uses of planetary boundaries science

Author(s): Andrea S Downing, Avit Bhowmik, David Collste, Sarah E Cornell, Jonathan Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Tiina Häyhä, Jennifer Hinton, Steven Lade, Wolf M Mooij
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 14/7, 2019, Page(s) 073005, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab22c9

How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking micro- to macro-scales

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Benedikt Stumpf, Jonathan Krönke, Arie Staal, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Issue 30/4, 2020, Page(s) 043129, ISSN 1054-1500
Publisher: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.5142827

Future Hydroclimatic Impacts on Africa: Beyond the Paris Agreement

Author(s): Luigi Piemontese, Ingo Fetzer, Johan Rockström, Fernando Jaramillo
Published in: Earth's Future, 2019, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2019ef001169

Potential feedbacks between loss of biosphere integrity and climate change

Author(s): Steven J. Lade, Jon Norberg, John M. Anderies, Christian Beer, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Thomas Gasser, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström, Will Steffen
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue 2, 2019, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press - CambridgeCore
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2019.18

Feedback between drought and deforestation in the Amazon

Author(s): Arie Staal, Bernardo M Flores, Ana Paula D Aguiar, Joyce H C Bosmans, Ingo Fetzer, Obbe A Tuinenburg
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/4, 2020, Page(s) 044024, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab738e

Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth system resilience in the Anthropocene

Author(s): Tom Gleeson, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson, Miina Porkka, Samuel C. Zipper, Fernando Jaramillo, Dieter Gerten, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Luigi Piemontese, Line J. Gordon, Johan Rockström, Taikan Oki, Murugesu Sivapalan, Yoshihide Wada, Kate A. Brauman, Martina Flörke, Marc F. P. Bierkens, Bernhard Lehner, Patrick Keys, Matti Kummu, Thorsten Wagener, Simon Dadson, Tara J. Troy, Will Steffen, Malin F
Published in: Water Resources Research, Issue 56/4, 2020, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr024957

Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks

Author(s): Jonathan Krönke, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Arie Staal, Benedikt Stumpf, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: Physical Review E, Issue 101/4, 2020, Page(s) 042311, ISSN 2470-0045
Publisher: APS Physics
DOI: 10.1103/physreve.101.042311

Invisible water security: Moisture recycling and water resilience

Author(s): Patrick W. Keys, Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Tom Gleeson, Line J. Gordon
Published in: Water Security, Issue 8, 2019, Page(s) 100046, ISSN 2468-3124
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2019.100046

Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions

Author(s): Steven J. Lade, Will Steffen, Wim de Vries, Stephen R. Carpenter, Jonathan F. Donges, Dieter Gerten, Holger Hoff, Tim Newbold, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 3/2, 2020, Page(s) 119-128, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0454-4

Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals within 9 planetary boundaries

Author(s): Jorgen Randers, Johan Rockström, Per-Espen Stoknes, Ulrich Goluke, David Collste, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan Donges
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue 2, 2019, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press -Cambridge Core
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2019.22

Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against

Author(s): Timothy M. Lenton, Johan Rockström, Owen Gaffney, Stefan Rahmstorf, Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Published in: Nature, Issue 575/7784, 2019, Page(s) 592-595, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/d41586-019-03595-0

The Water Planetary Boundary: Interrogation and Revision

Author(s): Tom Gleeson, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Samuel C. Zipper, Miina Porkka, Fernando Jaramillo, Dieter Gerten, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Luigi Piemontese, Line J. Gordon, Johan Rockström, Taikan Oki, Murugesu Sivapalan, Yoshihide Wada, Kate A. Brauman, Martina Flörke, Marc F.P. Bierkens, Bernhard Lehner, Patrick Keys, Matti Kummu, Thorsten Wagener, Simon Dadson, Tara J. Troy, Will Steffen, Malin Falk
Published in: One Earth, Issue 2/3, 2020, Page(s) 223-234, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.02.009

The emergence and evolution of Earth System Science

Author(s): Will Steffen, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Opha Pauline Dube, Sébastien Dutreuil, Timothy M. Lenton, Jane Lubchenco
Published in: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Issue 1/1, 2020, Page(s) 54-63, ISSN 2662-138X
Publisher: Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-019-0005-6

Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050

Author(s): Ilona M. Otto, Jonathan F. Donges, Roger Cremades, Avit Bhowmik, Richard J. Hewitt, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Franziska Allerberger, Mark McCaffrey, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Alex Lenferna, Nerea Morán, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Issue 117/5, 2020, Page(s) 2354-2365, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1900577117

Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Maximilian Gelbrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jürgen Kurths, Jonathan F Donges
Published in: New Journal of Physics, Issue 22, 2020, Page(s) 123031, ISSN 1367-2630
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/abc98a

Hydroclimatic vulnerability of wetlands to upwind land use changes

Author(s): Simon Felix Fahrländer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Agnes Pranindita, Fernando Jaramillo
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 12(3), 2024, Page(s) e2023EF003837, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: Wiley / American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003837

Moisture recycling and the potential role of forests as moisture source during European heatwaves

Author(s): Agnes Pranindita, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Adriaan J. Teuling
Published in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 58, 2022, Page(s) 609–624, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05921-7

Atmospheric water recycling an essential feature of critical natural asset stewardship

Author(s): Patrick W Keys, Pamela M Collins, R Chaplin-Kramer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue e2, 2024, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.24

Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice

Author(s): N. Wunderling, M. Willeit, J.F. Donges, R. Winkelmann
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 11, 2020, Page(s) 5177, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18934-3

A water-function-based framework for understanding and governing water resilience in the Anthropocene

Author(s): Malin Falkenmark, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Published in: One Earth, Issue 4(2), 2021, Page(s) 213-225, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2021.01.009

Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models

Author(s): David Armstrong McKay, Sarah E. Cornell, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 12, 2021, Page(s) 797–818, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-797-2021

A planetary boundary for green water

Author(s): Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Arne Tobian, Ruud J. van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, Sofie te Wierik, Miina Porkka, Arie Staal, Fernando Jaramillo, Heindriken Dahlmann, Chandrakant Singh, Peter Greve, Dieter Gerten, Patrick W. Keys, Tom Gleeson, Sarah E. Cornell, Will Steffen, Xuemei Bai, Johan Rockström
Published in: Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, Issue 3, 2022, Page(s) 380–392, ISSN 2662-138X
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-022-00287-8

A resilience sensing system for the biosphere

Author(s): Timothy M. Lenton, Joshua E. Buxton, David I. Armstrong McKay, Jesse F. Abrams, Chris A. Boulton, Kirsten Lees, Thomas W. R. Powell, Niklas Boers, Andrew M. Cunliffe, Vasilis Dakos
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, Issue 377, 2022, Page(s) 20210383, ISSN 0962-8436
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2021.0383

Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse,

Author(s): W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, V.V. Vasconcelos, J. Kurths, S.A. Levin,
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, Issue 117, 2020, Page(s) 12915–12922, ISSN 1091-6490
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1916545117

Targeted rainfall enhancement as an objective of forestation

Author(s): Arie Staal, Jolanda J. E. Theeuwen, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Nico Wunderling, Stefan C. Dekker
Published in: Global Change Biology, Issue 30, 2024, Page(s) e17096, ISSN 1354-1013
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.17096

Safe and just Earth system boundaries

Author(s): Johan Rockström, Joyeeta Gupta, Dahe Qin, Steven J. Lade, Jesse F. Abrams, Lauren S. Andersen, David I. Armstrong McKay, Xuemei Bai, Govindasamy Bala, Stuart E. Bunn, Daniel Ciobanu, Fabrice DeClerck, Kristie Ebi, Lauren Gifford, Christopher Gordon, Syezlin Hasan, Norichika Kanie, Timothy M. Lenton, Sina Loriani, Diana M. Liverman, Awaz Mohamed, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Daniel Ospina, Kl
Published in: Nature, Issue 619, 2023, Page(s) 102–111, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8

Global polycrisis: the causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement

Author(s): Michael Lawrence,Thomas Homer-Dixon, Scott Janzwood,Johan Rockström, Ortwin Renn, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue 7, 2024, Page(s) e6, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2024.1

The physics of governance networks: critical transitions in contagion dynamics on multilayer adaptive networks with application to the sustainable use of renewable resources

Author(s): Fabian Geier, Wolfram Barfuss, Marc Wiedermann, Jurgen Kurths, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Issue 228, 2019, Page(s) 2357–2369, ISSN 1951-6355
Publisher: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2019-900120-4

Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Jonathan Krönke, Valentin Wohlfarth, Jan Kohler, Jobst Heitzig, Arie Staal, Sven Willner, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Issue 230, 2021, Page(s) 3163–3176, ISSN 1951-6355
Publisher: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00155-4

What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?

Author(s): Ann Kristin Klose, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F Donges
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 16, 2021, Page(s) 125011, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3955

Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate,

Author(s): A.K. Klose, V. Karle, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges
Published in: Royal Society Open Science, Issue 7, 2020, Page(s) 200599, ISSN 2054-5703
Publisher: Royal Society
DOI: 10.1098/rsos.200599

A Dynamic Network Model of Societal Complexity and Resilience Inspired by Tainter’s Theory of Collapse

Author(s): Florian Schunck, Marc Wiedermann, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: Entropy, Issue 26/2, 2024, Page(s) 98, ISSN 1099-4300
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/e26020098

Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model

Author(s): Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Johan Rockström, Sina Loriani, David I. Armstrong McKay, Paul D. L. Ritchie, Boris Sakschewski, Jonathan F. Donges
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 13, 2023, Page(s) 75–82, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9

Root zone soil moisture in over 25 % of global land permanently beyond pre-industrial variability as early as 2050 without climate policy

Author(s): En Ning Lai, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Vili Virkki, Miina Porkka, Ruud J. van der Ent
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 27, 2023, Page(s) 3999–4018, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-27-3999-2023

Shaping a resilient future in response to COVID-19

Author(s): Johan Rockström, Albert V. Norström, Nathanial Matthews, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, Carl Folke, Ameil Harikishun, Saleemul Huq, Nisha Krishnan, Lila Warszawski, Deon Nel
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 6, 2023, Page(s) 897–907, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-023-01105-9

Hysteresis of the Antarctic ice sheet

Author(s): J. Garbe, T. Albrecht, J.F. Donges, A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann
Published in: Nature, Issue 585, 2020, Page(s) 538–544, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2727-5

Framing Science-Based Targets: Reformist and Radical Discourses in an Earth System Governance Initiative

Author(s): Sasha Quahe, Sarah E. Cornell, Simon West
Published in: Earth System Governance, Issue 18, 2023, Page(s) 100196, ISSN 2589-8116
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.esg.2023.100196

The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241

Author(s): J.P. Everall, J.F. Donges, I.M Otto
Published in: EGUSphere preprint (Earth System Dynamics, submitted 2023), 2023
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241

Global Tipping Points Report 2023: Summary Report

Author(s): T. M. Lenton, L. Laybourn, D.I. Armstrong McKay, S. Loriani, J.F. Abrams, S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges, M. Milkoreit, S.R. Smith, E. Bailey, T. Powell, L. Fesenfeld, C. Zimm, C.A. Boulton, J.E. Buxton, J.G. Dyke, A. Ghadiali
Published in: 2023
Publisher: University of Exeter

Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks

Author(s): T. Möller, A.E. Högner, C.-F. Schleussner, S. Bien, N.H. Kitzmann, R.D. Lamboll, J. Rogelj, J.F. Donges, J. Rockström, N. Wunderling,
Published in: ResearchSqaure (ms submitted to Nature Communications), 2023
Publisher: ResearchSquare
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3253269/v1

Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations

Author(s): Elias Enache, Oleksandr Kozak, Nico Wunderling, Jürgen Vollmer
Published in: ArXiv - Nonlinear dynamics, 2024
Publisher: ArXiv / Cornell University
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2401.07712

Dry Periods Amplify the Amazon and Congo Forests' Rainfall Self-Reliance

Author(s): Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ruud J. van der Ent, Arie Staal, Patrick Keys, Delphine Clara Zemp, Ingo Fetzer, Makoto Taniguchi, Line Gordon
Published in: 2023
Publisher: ESS Open Archive
DOI: 10.22541/essoar.168055170.04559257/v1

Concern and anticipation of sea-level rise provide grounds for social tipping towards climate action

Author(s): E. Keith Smith, Marc Wiedermann, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: OSF Preprints, 2022
Publisher: Centre for Open Science
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/nyquv

Multi-fold increase in rainforests tipping risk beyond 1.5-2⁰C warming

Author(s): Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
Published in: 2022
Publisher: EarthArXiv
DOI: 10.31223/x5nh1v

Social Tipping Processes for Sustainability: An Analytical Framework

Author(s): Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, E. Keith Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Christina Eder, Jobst Heitzig, Alexia Katsanidou, Marc Wiedermann, Nico Wunderling, Timothy M. Lenton
Published in: ArXiv - Physics and Society, 2020
Publisher: ArXiv / Cornell University
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2010.04488

Updated assessment of climate tipping elements suggests >1.5oC global warming could trigger multiple tipping points

Author(s): David Armstrong McKay, Arie Staal, Jesse Abrams, Ricarda Winkelmann, Boris Sakschewski, Sina Loriani, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah Cornell, Johan Rockström, Timothy Lenton
Published in: 2022
Publisher: Authorea – ESS Open Archive
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10510554.1

Estimating nonlinear stability from time series data

Author(s): A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges
Published in: ArXiv - Data Analysis, Statistics & Probability, 2021
Publisher: ArXiv, Cornell University
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2112.03260

Transformation is feasible - How to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals within Planetary Boundaries.

Author(s): J. Randers, J. Rockström, P.E. Stoknes, U. Golüke, D. Collste, S. Cornell
Published in: A report to the Club of Rome from Stockholm Resilience Centre and BI Norwegian Business School, 2018
Publisher: Stockholm Resilience Centre and BI Norwegian Business School

A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping – the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern

Author(s): E. Keith Smith, Marc Wiedermann, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig, Ricarda Winkelmann
Published in: EGUsphere, 2023
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622

Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations

Author(s): S. Loriani, Y. Aksenov, D. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, A. Born, C.M. Chiessi, H. Dijkstra, J.F. Donges, S. Drijfhout, M.H. England, A.V. Fedorov, L. Jackson, K. Kornhuber, G. Messori, F. Pausata, S. Rynders, J.-B. Salée, B. Sinha, S. Sherwood, D. Swingedouw, T. Tharammal,
Published in: EGUsphere [preprint], Earth System Dynamics, submitted (2023), 2023
Publisher: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589

Conceptualizing World-Earth System resilience: Exploring transformation pathways towards a safe and just operating space for humanity

Author(s): John M. Anderies, Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Jobst Heitzig, Johan Rockström
Published in: ArXiv - Physics and Society, 2022
Publisher: ArXiv / Cornell University
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2204.04471

Climate change and deforestation boost post-fire grass invasion of Amazonian forests

Author(s): Bruno L. De Faria, Arie Staal, Philip A. Martin, Prajjwal K. Panday, Andrea D. Castanho, Vinícius L. Dantas
Published in: 2019
Publisher: BioRXiv
DOI: 10.1101/827196

The Global Tipping Points Report 2023.

Author(s): T. M. Lenton, D.I. Armstrong McKay, S. Loriani, J.F. Abrams, S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges, M. Milkoreit, T. Powell, S.R. Smith, C. Zimm, J.E. Buxton, E. Bailey, L. Laybourn, A. Ghadiali, J.G. Dyke (eds)
Published in: 2023
Publisher: University of Exeter

Understanding and addressing the planetary crisis of chemicals and plastics

Author(s): Bethanie Carney Almroth, Sarah E. Cornell, Miriam L. Diamond, Cynthia A. de Wit, Peter Fantke, Zhanyun Wang
Published in: One Earth, Issue 5 (10), 2022, Page(s) 1070-1074, ISSN 2590-3330
Publisher: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.09.012

Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces

Author(s): Steven J. Lade, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Arie Staal, Juan C. Rocha, José Montoya
Published in: Nature Ecology and Evolution, Issue 5, 2021, Page(s) 1078–1079, ISSN 2397-334X
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-021-01481-5

Upwind forests: managing moisture recycling for nature-based resilience

Author(s): D. Ellison, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ruud Van Der Ent, M. Van Noordwijk
Published in: Unasylva, Issue 70 (251), 2019, Page(s) 14-26., ISSN 0041-6436
Publisher: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

Statistical analysis

Author(s): Ingo Fetzer, Luigi Piemontese, Juan C. Rocha, Berta Martín-López
Published in: 2021, ISBN 9781003021339
Publisher: Taylor and Francis
DOI: 10.4324/9781003021339-22

Warum wir die globalen Emissionen halbieren müssen.

Author(s): J. Rockström C. Füllkrug-Weitzel (Editor)
Published in: Klima geht uns alle an: Gedanken zur Lage der Schöpfung, 2019, Page(s) 68-85, ISBN 3960382103
Publisher: Edition chrismon

Entering the dynamic risk space: Assessing planetary boundary interactions through process-basedquantifications

Author(s): Arne Tobian
Published in: 2024, ISBN 978-91-8014-679-1
Publisher: Stockholm University

Rooting for forest resilience: Implications of climate and land-use change on the tropical rainforests

Author(s): Chandrakant Singh
Published in: PhD Thesis, Stockholm Resilience Centre, 2023, ISBN 978-91-8014-120-8
Publisher: Stockholm University

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