Earth Resilience in the Anthropocene (ERA) Integrating non-linear biophysical and social determinants of Earth-system stability for global sustainability through a novel community modelling platform

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Pubblicazioni

Succeeding at home and abroad: accounting for the international spillovers of cities’ SDG actions

Autori: Rebecka Ericsdotter Engström, David Collste, Sarah E. Cornell, Francis X. Johnson, Henrik Carlsen, Fernando Jaramillo, Göran Finnveden, Georgia Destouni, Mark Howells, Nina Weitz, Viveka Palm, Francesco Fuso-Nerini
Pubblicato in: NPJ Urban Sustainablity, Numero 1, 2021, Pagina/e 18, ISSN 2661-8001
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s42949-020-00002-w

Failures to disagree are essential for environmental science to effectively influence policy development

Autori: Jon Norberg, Thorsten Blenckner, Sarah E. Cornell, Owen L. Petchey, Helmut Hillebrand
Pubblicato in: Ecology Letters, Numero 25, 2023, Pagina/e 1075-1093, ISSN 1461-023X
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13984

A prototype Earth system impact metric that accounts for cross-scale interactions

Autori: Steven J Lade, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E Cornell, Beatrice Crona
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 16, 2021, Pagina/e 115005, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2db1

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

Autori: P.S. Jørgensen, R.E.V. Jansen, D.I. Avila Ortega, L. Wang Erlandsson, J.F. Donges, H. Österblom, P. Olsson, M. Nyström, S. Lade, T. Hahn, C. Folke, G.D. Peterson, A.-S. Crépin
Pubblicato in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, Numero 379, 2024, Pagina/e 20220261, ISSN 0962-8436
Editore: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0261

Outside the Safe Operating Space of the Planetary Boundary for Novel Entities

Autori: Linn Persson, Bethanie M. Carney Almroth, Christopher D. Collins, Sarah Cornell, Cynthia A. de Wit, Miriam L. Diamond, Peter Fantke, Martin Hassellöv, Matthew MacLeod, Morten W. Ryberg, Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Patricia Villarrubia-Gómez, Zhanyun Wang, Michael Zwicky Hauschild
Pubblicato in: Environmental Science & Technology, Numero 56 / 3, 2022, Pagina/e 1510–1521, ISSN 0013-936X
Editore: American Chemical Society
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.1c04158

Resilience basins of complex systems: An application to prosumer impacts on power grids

Autori: Samuel Bien, Paul Schultz, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F. Donges
Pubblicato in: Chaos, Numero 33, 2023, Pagina/e 063148, ISSN 1054-1500
Editore: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/5.0120891

Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

Autori: Vitus Benson, Jonathan F Donges, Niklas Boers, Marina Hirota, Andreas Morr, Arie Staal, Jürgen Vollmer, Nico Wunderling
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 19, 2024, Pagina/e 024029, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80

Poor correlation between large-scale environmental flow violations and freshwater biodiversity: implications for water resource management and the freshwater planetary boundary

Autori: Chinchu Mohan, Tom Gleeson, James S. Famiglietti, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu, Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Xander Huggins, Dieter Gerten, and Sonja C. Jähnig
Pubblicato in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numero 26, 2022, Pagina/e 6247–6262, ISSN 1607-7938
Editore: Copernicus, European Geosciences Unicon
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-6247-2022

Dose-response functions and surrogate data models for exploring social contagion in the Copenhagen Networks Study

Autori: J.F. Donges, J. Lochner, N. Kitzmann, J. Heitzig, S. Lehmann, M. Wiedermann, J. Vollmer
Pubblicato in: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Numero 230, 2021, Pagina/e 3311–3334, ISSN 1951-6355
Editore: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00279-7

Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation

Autori: Anna Chrysafi, Vili Virkki, Mika Jalava, Vilma Sandström, Johannes Piipponen, Miina Porkka, Steven J. Lade, Kelsey La Mere, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Laura Scherer, Lauren S. Andersen, Elena Bennett, Kate A. Brauman, Gregory S. Cooper, Adriana De Palma, Petra Döll, Andrea S. Downing, Timothy C. DuBois, Ingo Fetzer, Elizabeth A. Fulton, Dieter Gerten, Hadi Jaafar, Jonas Jägermeyr, Fernando Jaramillo,
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, Numero 5, 2022, Pagina/e 830–842, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6

Nonlinear time series analysis of palaeoclimate proxy records

Autori: Norbert Marwan, Jonathan F. Donges, Reik V. Donner, Deniz Eroglu
Pubblicato in: Quaternary Science Reviews, Numero 274, 2021, Pagina/e 107245, ISSN 0277-3791
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107245

Globally widespread and increasing violations of environmental flow envelopes

Autori: Vili Virkki, Elina Alanärä, Miina Porkka, Lauri Ahopelto, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Martina Flörke, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Hannes Müller Schmied, Niko Wanders, and Matti Kummu
Pubblicato in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numero 26, 2022, Pagina/e 3315–3336, ISSN 1607-7938
Editore: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-3315-2022

Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050

Autori: Detlef P. van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm, Sebastian Busch, Elmar Kriegler, Julia Leininger, Dirk Messner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Johan Rockstrom, Keywan Riahi, Frank Sperling, Valentina Bosetti, Sarah Cornell, Owen Gaffney, Paul L. Lucas, Alexander Popp, Constantin Ruhe, Armin von Schiller, Jörn O. Schmidt, Bjoern Soergel
Pubblicato in: One Earth, Numero 5 (2), 2022, Pagina/e 142-156, ISSN 2590-3322
Editore: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003

Social relationship dynamics mediate climate impacts on income inequality: evidence from the Mexican Humboldt squid fishery

Autori: Laura G. Elsler, Timothy Haight Frawley, Gregory L. Britten, Larry B. Crowder, Timothy C. DuBois, Sonja Radosavljevic, William F. Gilly, Anne-Sophie Crépin, Maja Schlüter
Pubblicato in: Regional Environmental Change, Numero 21, 2021, Pagina/e 35, ISSN 1436-3798
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-021-01747-5

Socio-political feedback on the path to net zero

Autori: Saverio Perri, Simon Levin, Lars O. Hedin, Nico Wunderling, Amilcare Porporato
Pubblicato in: One Earth, Numero 6, 2023, Pagina/e 725-737, ISSN 2590-3330
Editore: Cell Press, Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.05.011

The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene

Autori: Johan Rockström, Louis Kotzé, Svetlana Milutinović, Frank Biermann, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan Donges, Jonas Ebbesson, Duncan French, Joyeeta Gupta, Rakhyun Kim, Timothy Lenton, Dominic Lenzi, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Barbara Neumann, Fabian Schuppert, Ricarda Winkelmann, Klaus Bosselmann, Carl Folke, Wolfgang Lucht, David Schlosberg, Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Numero 121 (5), 2024, Pagina/e e2301531121, ISSN 1091-6490
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2301531121

Rate–induced tipping cascades arising from interactions betweenthe Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional OverturningCirculation

Autori: Ann Kristin Klose, Jonathan F. Donges, Ulrike Feudel, Ricarda Winkelmann
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2024, ISSN 2190-4995
Editore: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2023-20

Climate change and deforestation increase the vulnerability of Amazonian forests to post-fire grass invasion

Autori: Bruno L. De Faria, Arie Staal, Carlos A. Silva, Philip A. Martin, Prajjwal K. Panday, Vinicius L. Dantas
Pubblicato in: Global Ecology and Biogeography, Numero 30, 2021, Pagina/e 2368–2381, ISSN 1466-8238
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1111/geb.13388

Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change

Autori: Miina Porkka, Vili Virkki, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Dieter Gerten, Tom Gleeson, Chinchu Mohan, Ingo Fetzer, Fernando Jaramillo, Arie Staal, Sofie te Wierik, Arne Tobian, Ruud van der Ent, Petra Döll, Martina Flörke, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Yusuke Satoh, Hannes Müller Schmied, Niko Wanders, James S. Famiglietti, Johan Rockström, Matti Kummu
Pubblicato in: Nature Water, Numero 2, 2024, Pagina/e 262–273, ISSN 2731-6084
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s44221-024-00208-7

Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Arie Staal, Boris Sakschewski, Marina Hirota, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jonathan F. Donges, Henrique M. J. Barbosa, Ricarda Winkelmann
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 2022, ISSN 1091-6490
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.212077711

Fewer Basins Will Follow Their Budyko Curves Under Global Warming and Fossil-Fueled Development

Autori: Fernando Jaramillo, Luigi Piemontese, Wouter R. Berghuijs, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Peter Greve, Zhenqian Wang
Pubblicato in: Water Resources Research, Numero 58, 2022, Pagina/e e2021WR031825, ISSN 0043-1397
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021wr031825

Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Anna S. von der Heydt, Yevgeny Aksenov, Stephen Barker, Robbin Bastiaansen, Victor Brovkin, Maura Brunetti, Victor Couplet, Thomas Kleinen, Caroline H. Lear, Johannes Lohmann, Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Sacha Sinet, Didier Swingedouw, Ricarda Winkelmann, Pallavi Anand, Jonathan Barichivich, Sebastian Bathiany, Mara Baudena, John T. Bruun, Cristiano M. Chiessi, Helen K. Coxall, David
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 15, 2024, Pagina/e 41-74, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024

Deep reinforcement learning in World-Earth system models to discover sustainable management strategies

Autori: Felix M. Strnad, Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig
Pubblicato in: Chaos, Numero 29, 2019, Pagina/e 123122, ISSN 1054-1500
Editore: American Institute of Physics
DOI: 10.1063/1.5124673

A call for consistency with the terms ‘wetter’ and ‘drier’ in climate change studies

Autori: Nina Roth, Fernando Jaramillo, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, David Zamora, Sebastián Palomino-Ángel, Sara A. O. Cousins
Pubblicato in: Environmental Evidence, Numero 10, 2021, Pagina/e 8, ISSN 2047-2382
Editore: BMC / Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1186/s13750-021-00224-0

The microdynamics of spatial polarization: A model and an application to survey data from Ukraine

Autori: Olivia J. Chu, Jonathan F. Donges, Graeme B. Robertson, Grigore Pop-Eleches
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, Numero 118 (50), 2021, Pagina/e e2104194118, ISSN 1091-6490
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2104194118

Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks

Autori: Maria Zeitz, Jan M. Haacker, Jonathan F. Donges, Torsten Albrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 13, 2022, Pagina/e 1077–1096, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022

Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Kurths, Ricarda Winkelmann
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 12, 2021, Pagina/e 601–619, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-18

Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions,

Autori: K. Kornhuber, D. Coumou, E. Vogel, C. Lesk, J.F. Donges, J. Lehmann, R. Horton,
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 10, 2020, Pagina/e 48–53, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0637-z

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Autori: David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Abhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Fabrice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jonathan C. Doelman, Martina Dürauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpenöder, Nancy Jennings, Tamás Krisztin, Georgina M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp,
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 585, 2020, Pagina/e 551–556, ISSN 1476-4687
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

A modeling framework for World-Earth system resilience: exploring social inequality and Earth system tipping points

Autori: John M Anderies, Wolfram Barfuss, Jonathan F Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Jobst Heitzig, Johan Rockström
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 18, 2023, Pagina/e 095001, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace91d

Complex networks of interacting stochastic tipping elements: Cooperativity of phase separation in the large-system limit

Autori: Jan Kohler, Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges, Jürgen Vollmer
Pubblicato in: Phys. Rev. E, Numero 104, 2021, Pagina/e 044301, ISSN 2470-0053
Editore: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/physreve.104.044301

Hydroclimatic adaptation critical to the resilience of tropical forests

Autori: Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer
Pubblicato in: Global Change Biology, Numero 28, 2022, Pagina/e 2930-2939, ISSN 1354-1013
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16115

A modeler's guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems

Autori: Lea A Tamberg, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F Donges
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 17 / 5, 2022, Pagina/e 055005, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac60d9

Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points

Autori: David I. Armstrong McKay, Arie Staal, Jesse F. Abrams, Ricarda Winkelmann, Boris Sakschewski, Sina Loriani, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Johan Rockström, Timothy M. Lenton
Pubblicato in: Science, Numero 377, 2022, Pagina/e 1171, ISSN 0036-8075
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/science.abn7950

Estimating the global potential of water harvesting from successful case studies

Autori: Luigi Piemontese, Giulio Castelli, Ingo Fetzer, Jennie Barron, Hanspeter Liniger, Nicole Harari, Elena Bresci, Fernando Jaramillo,
Pubblicato in: Global Environmental Change, Numero 63, 2020, Pagina/e 102121, ISSN 0959-3780
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102121

High-resolution global atmospheric moisture connections from evaporation to precipitation

Autori: Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jolanda J.E. Theeuwen, Arie Staal
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero 12/4, 2020, Pagina/e 3177–3188, ISSN 1866-3516
Editore: Copernicus, European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-3177-2020

Network motifs shape distinct functioning of Earth’s moisture recycling hubs

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Frederik Wolf, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Arie Staal
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2022, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34229-1

Rootzone storage capacity reveals drought coping strategies along rainforest-savanna transitions

Autori: Chandrakant Singh, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Johan Rockström, Ruud van der Ent
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 15, 2020, Pagina/e 124021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc377

Taxonomies for structuring models for World-Earth system analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social-ecological feedback loops

Autori: J.F. Donges, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J. Heitzig, W. Barfuss, S.J. Lade, M. Schlüter
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 12, 2021, Pagina/e 1115–1137, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: Copernicus, Environmental Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021

Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan

Autori: Maria A. Martin, Olga Alcaraz Sendra, Ana Bastos, Nico Bauer, Christoph Bertram, Thorsten Blenckner, Kathryn Bowen, Paulo M. Brando,Tanya Brodie Rudolph, Milena Büchs, Mercedes Bustamante, Deliang Chen, Helen Cleugh, Purnamita Dasgupta, Fatima Denton, Jonathan F. Donges, Felix Kwabena Donkor, Hongbo Duan, Carlos M. Duarte, Kristie L. Ebi, Clea M. Edwards, Anja Engel, Eleanor Fisher, Sabine Fuss,
Pubblicato in: Global Sustainability, Numero 4, 2021, Pagina/e e25, ISSN 2059-4798
Editore: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

Detecting contagious spreading of urban innovations on the global city network

Autori: Niklas H. Kitzmann, Pawel Romanczuk, Nico Wunderling, Jonathan F. Donges
Pubblicato in: The European Physical Journal Special Topics, Numero 231, 2022, Pagina/e 1609-1624, ISSN 1951-6355
Editore: EDP Sciences
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00470-4

Is wetter better? Exploring agriculturally-relevant rainfall characteristics over four decades in the Sahel

Autori: Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Georgia Destouni, Annica M L Ekman, Johan Rockström, Line J Gordon
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 16, 2021, Pagina/e 035002, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdd57

Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework

Autori: Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, Keith Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Christina Eder, Jobst Heitzig, Alexia Katsanidou, Marc Wiedermann, Nico Wunderling, Timothy M. Lenton
Pubblicato in: Ecological Economics, Numero 192, 2022, Pagina/e 107242, ISSN 0921-8009
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242

Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters

Autori: Hannah Mevenkamp, Nico Wunderling, Uma Bhatt, Tobey Carman, Jonathan Friedemann Donges, Helene Genet, Shawn Serbin, Ricarda Winkelmann, Eugenie Susanne Euskirchen
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 18, 2023, Pagina/e 084032, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace637

A network-based microfoundation of Granovetter's threshold model for social tipping

Autori: M. Wiedermann, E.K. Smith, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges
Pubblicato in: Nature Scientific Reports, Numero 10, 2020, Pagina/e 11202, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-67102-6

Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system

Autori: Victor Brovkin, Edward Brook, John W. Williams, Sebastian Bathiany, Timothy M. Lenton, Michael Barton, Robert M. DeConto, Jonathan F. Donges, Andrey Ganopolski, Jerry McManus, Summer Praetorius, Anne de Vernal, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Hai Cheng, Martin Claussen, Michel Crucifix, Gilberto Gallopín, Virginia Iglesias, Darrell S. Kaufman, Thomas Kleinen, Fabrice Lambert, Sander van der Leeuw, Hannah Liddy,
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, Numero 14, 2021, Pagina/e 550–558, ISSN 1752-0894
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5

Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries

Autori: Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen, Wolfgang Lucht, Jørgen Bendtsen, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan F. Donges, Markus Drüke, Ingo Fetzer, Govindasamy Bala, Werner von Bloh, Georg Feulner, Stephanie Fiedler, Dieter Gerten, Tom Gleeson, Matthias Hofmann, Willem Huiskamp, Matti Kummu, Chinchu Mohan, David Nogués-Bravo, Stefan Petri, Miina Porkka, Stefan Rahmstorf, Sibyll Schaphoff, Kirsten Thonicke, A
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 9, 2023, Pagina/e eadh2458, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458

Remote land use impacts on river flows through atmospheric teleconnections

Autori: Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Patrick W. Keys, Ruud J. van der Ent, Hubert H. G. Savenije, Line J. Gordon
Pubblicato in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Numero 22/8, 2018, Pagina/e 4311-4328, ISSN 1607-7938
Editore: Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-4311-2018

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

Autori: Will Steffen, Johan Rockström, Katherine Richardson, Timothy M. Lenton, Carl Folke, Diana Liverman, Colin P. Summerhayes, Anthony D. Barnosky, Sarah E. Cornell, Michel Crucifix, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Steven J. Lade, Marten Scheffer, Ricarda Winkelmann, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Numero 115/33, 2018, Pagina/e 8252-8259, ISSN 0027-8424
Editore: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115

Understanding of water resilience in the Anthropocene

Autori: Malin Falkenmark, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Johan Rockström
Pubblicato in: Journal of Hydrology X, Numero 2, 2019, Pagina/e 100009, ISSN 2589-9155
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.hydroa.2018.100009

Priorities and Interactions of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Focus on Wetlands

Autori: Fernando Jaramillo, Amanda Desormeaux, Johanna Hedlund, James Jawitz, Nicola Clerici, Luigi Piemontese, Jenny Rodríguez-Rodriguez, Jesús Anaya, Juan Blanco-Libreros, Sonia Borja, Jorge Celi, Sergey Chalov, Kwok Chun, Matilda Cresso, Georgia Destouni, Shimelis Dessu, Giuliano Baldassarre, Andrea Downing, Luisa Espinosa, Navid Ghajarnia, Pierre Girard, Álvaro Gutiérrez, Amy Hansen, Tengfei Hu, J
Pubblicato in: Water, Numero 11/3, 2019, Pagina/e 619, ISSN 2073-4441
Editore: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w11030619

Food in the Anthropocene: the EAT–Lancet Commission on healthy diets from sustainable food systems

Autori: Walter Willett, Johan Rockström, Brent Loken, Marco Springmann, Tim Lang, Sonja Vermeulen, Tara Garnett, David Tilman, Fabrice DeClerck, Amanda Wood, Malin Jonell, Michael Clark, Line J Gordon, Jessica Fanzo, Corinna Hawkes, Rami Zurayk, Juan A Rivera, Wim De Vries, Lindiwe Majele Sibanda, Ashkan Afshin, Abhishek Chaudhary, Mario Herrero, Rina Agustina, Francesco Branca, Anna Lartey, Shenggen Fan
Pubblicato in: The Lancet, Numero 393/10170, 2019, Pagina/e 447-492, ISSN 0140-6736
Editore: The Lancet Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)31788-4

Options for keeping the food system within environmental limits

Autori: Marco Springmann, Michael Clark, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Keith Wiebe, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Luis Lassaletta, Wim de Vries, Sonja J. Vermeulen, Mario Herrero, Kimberly M. Carlson, Malin Jonell, Max Troell, Fabrice DeClerck, Line J. Gordon, Rami Zurayk, Peter Scarborough, Mike Rayner, Brent Loken, Jess Fanzo, H. Charles J. Godfray, David Tilman, Johan Rockström, Walter Willett
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 562/7728, 2018, Pagina/e 519-525, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0594-0

Aiming higher to bend the curve of biodiversity loss

Autori: Georgina M. Mace, Mike Barrett, Neil D. Burgess, Sarah E. Cornell, Robin Freeman, Monique Grooten, Andy Purvis
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, Numero 1/9, 2018, Pagina/e 448-451, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: SpringerNature Publishing
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-018-0130-0

Earth system data cubes unravel global multivariate dynamics

Autori: Miguel D. Mahecha, Fabian Gans, Gunnar Brandt, Rune Christiansen, Sarah E. Cornell, Normann Fomferra, Guido Kraemer, Jonas Peters, Paul Bodesheim, Gustau Camps-Valls, Jonathan F. Donges, Wouter Dorigo, Lina M. Estupinan-Suarez, Victor H. Gutierrez-Velez, Martin Gutwin, Martin Jung, Maria C. Londoño, Diego G. Miralles, Phillip Papastefanou, Markus Reichstein
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 11/1, 2020, Pagina/e 201-234, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-201-2020

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Integrating the Water Planetary Boundary With Water Management From Local to Global Scales

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Challenges and opportunities towards improved application of the planetary boundary for land-system change in life cycle assessment of products

Autori: Anders Bjørn, Sarah Sim, Henry King, Patrick Keys, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Sarah E. Cornell, Manuele Margni, Cécile Bulle
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Autori: Dieter Gerten, Vera Heck, Jonas Jägermeyr, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Ingo Fetzer, Mika Jalava, Matti Kummu, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Sibyll Schaphoff, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
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Matching scope, purpose and uses of planetary boundaries science

Autori: Andrea S Downing, Avit Bhowmik, David Collste, Sarah E Cornell, Jonathan Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Tiina Häyhä, Jennifer Hinton, Steven Lade, Wolf M Mooij
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Autori: Nico Wunderling, Benedikt Stumpf, Jonathan Krönke, Arie Staal, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges
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Future Hydroclimatic Impacts on Africa: Beyond the Paris Agreement

Autori: Luigi Piemontese, Ingo Fetzer, Johan Rockström, Fernando Jaramillo
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Potential feedbacks between loss of biosphere integrity and climate change

Autori: Steven J. Lade, Jon Norberg, John M. Anderies, Christian Beer, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Thomas Gasser, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström, Will Steffen
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Autori: Arie Staal, Bernardo M Flores, Ana Paula D Aguiar, Joyce H C Bosmans, Ingo Fetzer, Obbe A Tuinenburg
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Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth system resilience in the Anthropocene

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Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks

Autori: Jonathan Krönke, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Arie Staal, Benedikt Stumpf, Obbe A. Tuinenburg, Jonathan F. Donges
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Invisible water security: Moisture recycling and water resilience

Autori: Patrick W. Keys, Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Tom Gleeson, Line J. Gordon
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Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions

Autori: Steven J. Lade, Will Steffen, Wim de Vries, Stephen R. Carpenter, Jonathan F. Donges, Dieter Gerten, Holger Hoff, Tim Newbold, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström
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Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals within 9 planetary boundaries

Autori: Jorgen Randers, Johan Rockström, Per-Espen Stoknes, Ulrich Goluke, David Collste, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan Donges
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Climate tipping points — too risky to bet against

Autori: Timothy M. Lenton, Johan Rockström, Owen Gaffney, Stefan Rahmstorf, Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
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The Water Planetary Boundary: Interrogation and Revision

Autori: Tom Gleeson, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Samuel C. Zipper, Miina Porkka, Fernando Jaramillo, Dieter Gerten, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah E. Cornell, Luigi Piemontese, Line J. Gordon, Johan Rockström, Taikan Oki, Murugesu Sivapalan, Yoshihide Wada, Kate A. Brauman, Martina Flörke, Marc F.P. Bierkens, Bernhard Lehner, Patrick Keys, Matti Kummu, Thorsten Wagener, Simon Dadson, Tara J. Troy, Will Steffen, Malin Falk
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The emergence and evolution of Earth System Science

Autori: Will Steffen, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Opha Pauline Dube, Sébastien Dutreuil, Timothy M. Lenton, Jane Lubchenco
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Autori: Ilona M. Otto, Jonathan F. Donges, Roger Cremades, Avit Bhowmik, Richard J. Hewitt, Wolfgang Lucht, Johan Rockström, Franziska Allerberger, Mark McCaffrey, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Alex Lenferna, Nerea Morán, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
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Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Maximilian Gelbrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jürgen Kurths, Jonathan F Donges
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Hydroclimatic vulnerability of wetlands to upwind land use changes

Autori: Simon Felix Fahrländer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Agnes Pranindita, Fernando Jaramillo
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Moisture recycling and the potential role of forests as moisture source during European heatwaves

Autori: Agnes Pranindita, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ingo Fetzer, Adriaan J. Teuling
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Atmospheric water recycling an essential feature of critical natural asset stewardship

Autori: Patrick W Keys, Pamela M Collins, R Chaplin-Kramer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
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Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice

Autori: N. Wunderling, M. Willeit, J.F. Donges, R. Winkelmann
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A water-function-based framework for understanding and governing water resilience in the Anthropocene

Autori: Malin Falkenmark, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
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Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models

Autori: David Armstrong McKay, Sarah E. Cornell, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström
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A planetary boundary for green water

Autori: Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Arne Tobian, Ruud J. van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, Sofie te Wierik, Miina Porkka, Arie Staal, Fernando Jaramillo, Heindriken Dahlmann, Chandrakant Singh, Peter Greve, Dieter Gerten, Patrick W. Keys, Tom Gleeson, Sarah E. Cornell, Will Steffen, Xuemei Bai, Johan Rockström
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Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse,

Autori: W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, V.V. Vasconcelos, J. Kurths, S.A. Levin,
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Targeted rainfall enhancement as an objective of forestation

Autori: Arie Staal, Jolanda J. E. Theeuwen, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Nico Wunderling, Stefan C. Dekker
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Safe and just Earth system boundaries

Autori: Johan Rockström, Joyeeta Gupta, Dahe Qin, Steven J. Lade, Jesse F. Abrams, Lauren S. Andersen, David I. Armstrong McKay, Xuemei Bai, Govindasamy Bala, Stuart E. Bunn, Daniel Ciobanu, Fabrice DeClerck, Kristie Ebi, Lauren Gifford, Christopher Gordon, Syezlin Hasan, Norichika Kanie, Timothy M. Lenton, Sina Loriani, Diana M. Liverman, Awaz Mohamed, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Daniel Ospina, Kl
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Global polycrisis: the causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement

Autori: Michael Lawrence,Thomas Homer-Dixon, Scott Janzwood,Johan Rockström, Ortwin Renn, Jonathan F. Donges
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The physics of governance networks: critical transitions in contagion dynamics on multilayer adaptive networks with application to the sustainable use of renewable resources

Autori: Fabian Geier, Wolfram Barfuss, Marc Wiedermann, Jurgen Kurths, Jonathan F. Donges
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Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package

Autori: Nico Wunderling, Jonathan Krönke, Valentin Wohlfarth, Jan Kohler, Jobst Heitzig, Arie Staal, Sven Willner, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges
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What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?

Autori: Ann Kristin Klose, Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F Donges
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Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate,

Autori: A.K. Klose, V. Karle, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges
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A Dynamic Network Model of Societal Complexity and Resilience Inspired by Tainter’s Theory of Collapse

Autori: Florian Schunck, Marc Wiedermann, Jobst Heitzig, Jonathan F. Donges
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Autori: Nico Wunderling, Ricarda Winkelmann, Johan Rockström, Sina Loriani, David I. Armstrong McKay, Paul D. L. Ritchie, Boris Sakschewski, Jonathan F. Donges
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 13, 2023, Pagina/e 75–82, ISSN 1758-678X
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Root zone soil moisture in over 25 % of global land permanently beyond pre-industrial variability as early as 2050 without climate policy

Autori: En Ning Lai, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Vili Virkki, Miina Porkka, Ruud J. van der Ent
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Shaping a resilient future in response to COVID-19

Autori: Johan Rockström, Albert V. Norström, Nathanial Matthews, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, Carl Folke, Ameil Harikishun, Saleemul Huq, Nisha Krishnan, Lila Warszawski, Deon Nel
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Hysteresis of the Antarctic ice sheet

Autori: J. Garbe, T. Albrecht, J.F. Donges, A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann
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Framing Science-Based Targets: Reformist and Radical Discourses in an Earth System Governance Initiative

Autori: Sasha Quahe, Sarah E. Cornell, Simon West
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The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241

Autori: J.P. Everall, J.F. Donges, I.M Otto
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Global Tipping Points Report 2023: Summary Report

Autori: T. M. Lenton, L. Laybourn, D.I. Armstrong McKay, S. Loriani, J.F. Abrams, S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges, M. Milkoreit, S.R. Smith, E. Bailey, T. Powell, L. Fesenfeld, C. Zimm, C.A. Boulton, J.E. Buxton, J.G. Dyke, A. Ghadiali
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Autori: T. Möller, A.E. Högner, C.-F. Schleussner, S. Bien, N.H. Kitzmann, R.D. Lamboll, J. Rogelj, J.F. Donges, J. Rockström, N. Wunderling,
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Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations

Autori: Elias Enache, Oleksandr Kozak, Nico Wunderling, Jürgen Vollmer
Pubblicato in: ArXiv - Nonlinear dynamics, 2024
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Dry Periods Amplify the Amazon and Congo Forests' Rainfall Self-Reliance

Autori: Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ruud J. van der Ent, Arie Staal, Patrick Keys, Delphine Clara Zemp, Ingo Fetzer, Makoto Taniguchi, Line Gordon
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Concern and anticipation of sea-level rise provide grounds for social tipping towards climate action

Autori: E. Keith Smith, Marc Wiedermann, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig, Ricarda Winkelmann
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Multi-fold increase in rainforests tipping risk beyond 1.5-2⁰C warming

Autori: Chandrakant Singh, Ruud van der Ent, Ingo Fetzer, Lan Wang-Erlandsson
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Social Tipping Processes for Sustainability: An Analytical Framework

Autori: Ricarda Winkelmann, Jonathan F. Donges, E. Keith Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Christina Eder, Jobst Heitzig, Alexia Katsanidou, Marc Wiedermann, Nico Wunderling, Timothy M. Lenton
Pubblicato in: ArXiv - Physics and Society, 2020
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Updated assessment of climate tipping elements suggests >1.5oC global warming could trigger multiple tipping points

Autori: David Armstrong McKay, Arie Staal, Jesse Abrams, Ricarda Winkelmann, Boris Sakschewski, Sina Loriani, Ingo Fetzer, Sarah Cornell, Johan Rockström, Timothy Lenton
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Estimating nonlinear stability from time series data

Autori: A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges
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Transformation is feasible - How to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals within Planetary Boundaries.

Autori: J. Randers, J. Rockström, P.E. Stoknes, U. Golüke, D. Collste, S. Cornell
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A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping – the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern

Autori: E. Keith Smith, Marc Wiedermann, Jonathan F. Donges, Jobst Heitzig, Ricarda Winkelmann
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Conceptualizing World-Earth System resilience: Exploring transformation pathways towards a safe and just operating space for humanity

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Climate change and deforestation boost post-fire grass invasion of Amazonian forests

Autori: Bruno L. De Faria, Arie Staal, Philip A. Martin, Prajjwal K. Panday, Andrea D. Castanho, Vinícius L. Dantas
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The Global Tipping Points Report 2023.

Autori: T. M. Lenton, D.I. Armstrong McKay, S. Loriani, J.F. Abrams, S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges, M. Milkoreit, T. Powell, S.R. Smith, C. Zimm, J.E. Buxton, E. Bailey, L. Laybourn, A. Ghadiali, J.G. Dyke (eds)
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Understanding and addressing the planetary crisis of chemicals and plastics

Autori: Bethanie Carney Almroth, Sarah E. Cornell, Miriam L. Diamond, Cynthia A. de Wit, Peter Fantke, Zhanyun Wang
Pubblicato in: One Earth, Numero 5 (10), 2022, Pagina/e 1070-1074, ISSN 2590-3330
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Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces

Autori: Steven J. Lade, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Arie Staal, Juan C. Rocha, José Montoya
Pubblicato in: Nature Ecology and Evolution, Numero 5, 2021, Pagina/e 1078–1079, ISSN 2397-334X
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Upwind forests: managing moisture recycling for nature-based resilience

Autori: D. Ellison, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Ruud Van Der Ent, M. Van Noordwijk
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Statistical analysis

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Warum wir die globalen Emissionen halbieren müssen.

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Entering the dynamic risk space: Assessing planetary boundary interactions through process-basedquantifications

Autori: Arne Tobian
Pubblicato in: 2024, ISBN 978-91-8014-679-1
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Rooting for forest resilience: Implications of climate and land-use change on the tropical rainforests

Autori: Chandrakant Singh
Pubblicato in: PhD Thesis, Stockholm Resilience Centre, 2023, ISBN 978-91-8014-120-8
Editore: Stockholm University

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