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Effects of global change on the emission, fate, effects and risks of chemicals in aquatic ecosystems

Deliverables

Validated ecological models

Set of validated ecological models for assessing the combined effects of GC and chemical stress

Global climate/land use/agronomic management and emission scenarios

Global climate/land use/agronomic management and emission scenarios downscaled to the three case study regions

New framework to assess the vulnerability to chemicals

New framework to assess the influence of community structure and global change on the vulnerability to chemicals

Potential inputs for policy feedback
New framework to assess the resilience

New framework to assess the resilience of microbial communities to chemical stress

Chemical emission scenarios from pest management options

Chemical emission scenarios from pest management options under scenarios in selected agricultural systems

Chemical emission scenarios of urban systems

Chemical emission scenarios of urban systems in selected case study regions

Robust implementation of mitigation strategies

Robust implementation of mitigation strategies to close the gap to a nontoxic environment in 2050

New modelling framework to assess the combined effects of chemical and GC stressors
EU-level chemical vulnerability maps and scenarios

EUlevel chemical vulnerability maps and scenarios

Exposure modelling framework

Exposure modelling framework for estimating effects of environmental change on chemical exposure in river basins and drinking waters

Comparison of sensitivity and vulnerability to climate change and chemical stress

Comparison of sensitivity and vulnerability to climate change and chemical stress in different geographical regions

Chemical effects on microbial ecological functions

Determination of the chemical effects on microbial ecological functions and chemical tolerance limits

Integrated policy briefs
Crop uptake models and human exposure models

Crop uptake models and human exposure models for contaminants in water reuse systems

Future ecological and human exposure scenarios

Future ecological and human exposure scenarios for chemical contaminants

Modelling approaches for fate and uptake of chemicals

Modelling approaches for estimating the effects of key environmental change parameters on the fate and uptake of chemicals

Prioritisation of pharmaceuticals and PHCP

Prioritisation of pharmaceuticals and PHCP which pose highest risk

Draft risk assessment model

Draft risk assessment model (Bayesian network) for agricultural chemicals developed for one of the case study regions

Websites online, Twitter account @ECORISK2050 active

www.ECORISK2050.eu and www.facebook.com/ecorisk2050 websites online, Twitter account @ECORISK2050 active

Webinars and open on-line short presentations

Webinars and open online short presentations targeted at stakeholders and endusers

ECORISK2050 seminar series (MOOC)

ECORISK2050 seminar series MOOC

Publications

Food web rewiring drives long-term compositional differences and late-disturbance interactions at the community level

Author(s): Francesco Polazzo, Tomás I. Marina, Melina Crettaz-Minaglia, Andreu Rico
Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Issue 00278424, 2022, ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.211736411

Effect of multiple agricultural stressors on freshwater ecosystems: The role of community structure, trophic status, and biodiversity-functioning relationships on ecosystem responses

Author(s): Francesco Polazzo, Talles Bruno Oliveirados Anjos, AlbaArenas-Sánchez, Susana Romo, Marco Vighi, Andreu Rico
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, 2022, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151052

A transportable temperature and heatwave control device (TENTACLE) for laboratory and field simulations of different climate change scenarios in aquatic micro- and mesocosms.

Author(s): Markus Hermann; Richard Jansen; Johan van de Glind; Edwin T.H.M. Peeters; Paul J. Van den Brink
Published in: HardwareX, Issue 11, 2022, Page(s) e00307, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ohx.2022.e00307

Combined effects of heatwaves and micropollutants on freshwater ecosystems: Towards an integrated assessment of extreme events in multiple stressors research

Author(s): Francesco Polazzo, Sabrina K. Roth, Markus Hermann, Annika Mangold-Döring, Andreu Rico, Anna Sobek, Paul J. Van den Brink, Michelle C. Jackson
Published in: Global Change Biology, 2022, ISSN 1365-2486
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15971

Probabilistic risk assessment of pesticides under future agricultural and climate scenarios using a Bayesian network

Author(s): Mentzel Sophie, Grung Merete, Holten Roger, Tollefsen Knut Erik, Stenrød Marianne, Moe S. Jannicke
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 2296665X, 2022, ISSN 2296-665X
Publisher: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.957926

Influence of climate change and pesticide use practices on the ecological risks of pesticides in a protected Mediterranean wetland: A Bayesian network approach

Author(s): Claudia Martínez-Megías, Sophie Mentzel, Yasser Fuentes-Edfuf, S. Jannicke Moe, Andreu Rico
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 878, 2023, Page(s) 163018, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163018

Towards ‘one substance – one assessment’: An analysis of EU chemicalregistration and aquatic risk assessment frameworks

Author(s): Joanke van Dijk, Mikael Gustavsson, Stefan C. Dekker, Annemarie P. van Wezel
Published in: Journal of Environmental Management, Issue 280, 2020, Page(s) 111692, ISSN 0301-4797
Publisher: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111692

Eutrophic status influences the impact of pesticide mixtures and predation on Daphnia pulex populations

Author(s): Talles Bruno Oliveira dos Anjos, Francesco Polazzo, Alba Arenas‐Sánchez, Laura Cherta, Roberto Ascari, Sonia Migliorati, Marco Vighi, Andreu Rico
Published in: Ecology and Evolution, Issue 11/9, 2021, Page(s) 4046-4057, ISSN 2045-7758
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.7305

Development of a Bayesian network for probabilistic risk assessment of pesticides

Author(s): Sophie Mentzel, Merete Grung, Knut Erik Tollefsen, Marianne Stenrød, Karina Petersen, S. Jannicke Moe
Published in: Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2021, ISSN 1551-3777
Publisher: Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
DOI: 10.1002/ieam.4533

Scenario-based modelling of changes in chemical intake fraction in Sweden and the Baltic Sea under global change

Author(s): Roth, S.K. Hader, J.D. Domercq, P. Sobek, A. MacLeod, M
Published in: Science of the Total Environment, Issue 888, 2023, Page(s) 164247, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164247

Impacts of extreme climatic events on trophic networkcomplexity and multidimensional stability

Author(s): Francesco Polazzo, Markus Hermann, Melina Crettaz-Minaglia, Andreu Rico
Published in: Ecology, Issue 104(2), 2023, Page(s) e3951, ISSN 1939-9170
Publisher: Wiley Periodicals LLC
DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3951

Heatwaves, elevated temperatures, and a pesticide cause interactive effects on multi-trophic levels of a freshwater ecosystem.

Author(s): Hermann, M., Peeters, E.T.H.M., Van den Brink, P.J.
Published in: Environmental Pollution, Issue 327, 2023, Page(s) 121498, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121498

Managing PMT/vPvM Substances in Consumer Products through the Concepts of Essential-use and Functional Substitution: a Case-Study for Cosmetics.

Author(s): van Dijk, J., Figuière, R., Dekker, S. C., van Wezel, A., & Cousins, I. T.
Published in: Environmental Science: Processes & Impacts, Issue In press, 2023, Page(s) In press, ISSN 2046-2069
Publisher: Royal Society of Chemistry
DOI: 10.1039/d3em00025g

Pharmaceutical pollution: Prediction of environmental concentrations from national wholesales data

Author(s): Welch, Samuel; Olsen, Kristine; Sharikabad, Mohammad; Tollefsen, Knut; Grung, Merete; Moe, S.
Published in: Open Research Europe, Issue 27325121, 2022, ISSN 2732-5121
Publisher: European Commission
DOI: 10.17605/osf.io/9dxcq

Effects of multiple stressors on the dimensionality of ecological stability

Author(s): Francesco Polazzo, Andreu Rico
Published in: Ecology Letters, 2021, ISSN 1461-023X
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13770

Explicit Consideration of Temperature Improves Predictions of Toxicokinetic–Toxicodynamic Models for Flupyradifurone and Imidacloprid in <i>Gammarus pulex</i>

Author(s): Annika Mangold-Döring; Anna Huang; Egbert H. van Nes; Andreas Focks; Paul J. van den Brink
Published in: Environmental Science and Technology, Issue 56, 2022, Page(s) 15920−15929, ISSN 0013-936X
Publisher: American Chemical Society
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.2c04085

Multiple stressor effects of a heatwave and a herbicide on zooplankton communities: implications of global climate change.

Author(s): Roth, S. K., Polazzo, F., García-Astillero Honrado, A., Cherta, L., Sobek, A., & Rico, A.
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 10, 2022, Page(s) 920010, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.920010

ECORISK2050: An Innovative Training Network for predicting the effects of global change on the emission, fate, effects, and risks of chemicals in aquatic ecosystems

Author(s): Samuel A. Welch, Taylor Lane, Alizée O.S Desrousseaux, Joanke van Dijk, Annika Mangold-Döring, Rudrani Gajraj, John D. Hader, Markus Hermann, Anju Parvathi Ayillyath Kutteyeri, Sophie Mentzel, Poornima Nagesh, Francesco Polazzo, Sabrina K. Roth, Alistair B.A. Boxall, Benny Chefetz, Stefan C. Dekker, Josef Eitzinger, Merete Grung, Matthew MacLeod, S. Jannicke Moe, Andreu Rico, Anna Sobek, Annemar
Published in: Open Research Europe, 2021, ISSN 2732-5121
Publisher: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.14283.1

Development of chemical emission scenarios using the Shared Socio-economic Pathways.

Author(s): Nagesh, P., de Boer, H. J., van Wezel, A. P., Dekker, S. C., & van Vuuren, D. P.
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 836, 2022, Page(s) 155530, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155530

Probabilistic Risk Calculation for Chemical Mixtures: Environmental Risk of Pharmaceuticals Under Future Scenarios

Author(s): Welch, Samuel A., Merete Grung, Anders L. Madsen, S. J. Moe
Published in: Environmnetal Toxicology and Chemistry, Issue Under review, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Publisher: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/zbgp7

Enabling forecasts of environmental exposure to chemicals in European agriculture under global change

Author(s): Hader JD, Lane T, Boxall ABA, MacLeod M, Di Guardo A.
Published in: Science of the Total Environment, Issue 840, 2022, Page(s) 156478, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156478

Comparing the acute and chronic toxicity of flupyradifurone and imidacloprid to non-target aquatic arthropod species

Author(s): Huang, A., A. Mangold-Döring, A. Focks, C. Zhang and P.J. Van den Brink
Published in: Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, Issue 243, 2022, Page(s) 113977, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2022.113977

The effect of temperature on toxicokinetics and the chronic toxicity of insecticides towards Gammarus pulex

Author(s): Anna, Huang; Annika, Mangold-Döring; Huitong, Guan; Marie-Claire, Boerwinkel; Dick, Belgers; Andreas, Focks; Paul J, Van den Brink
Published in: Science of the Total Environment, Issue 856, 2023, Page(s) 158886, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158886

Predicting Environmental Risks of Pharmaceuticals from Wholesales Data: An Example from Norway

Author(s): Samuel A Welch Kristine Olsen S. Jannicke Moe Mohammad Nouri Sharikabad Knut Erik Tollefsen Merete Grung
Published in: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, Issue Accepted, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Publisher: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.

Using a Bayesian network model to predict effects of pesticides on aquatic community endpoints in a rice field – A southern European case study

Author(s): Sophie Mentzel, Claudia Martínez-Megías, Merete Grung, Andreu Rico, Knut Erik Tollefsen, Paul J. Van den Brink, S. Jannicke Moe
Published in: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, Issue Accepted, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Publisher: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.
DOI: 10.1101/2022.10.19.512688

Safe and sustainable by design: A computer-based approach to redesign chemicals for reduced environmental hazards.

Author(s): van Dijk, J. & Flerlage, H., Beijer, S., Slootweg, J. C., & van Wezel, A. P.
Published in: Chemosphere, Issue 296, 2022, Page(s) 134050, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.134050

A shared socio-economic pathway based framework for characterising future emissions of chemicals to the natural environment.

Author(s): Desrousseaux, A., Nagesh, P., Gajraj, R., Dekker, S., Eitzinger, J., Sallach, J. B., Boxall, A., & Kok, K.
Published in: Futures, Issue 144, 2022, Page(s) 103040, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2022.103040

The EU Green Deal's ambition for a toxic-free environment: Filling the gap for science-based policymaking

Author(s): Joanke van Dijk, Annegaaike Leopold, Hannah Flerlage, Annemarie van Wezel, Thomas-Benjamin Seiler, Marie-Hélene Enrici, Michelle C. Bloor
Published in: Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2021, ISSN 1551-3777
Publisher: Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
DOI: 10.1002/ieam.4429

Extending shared socio-economic pathways for pesticide use in Europe: Pest-Agri-SSPs

Author(s): Nagesh, P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Dekker, S. C., de Boer, H. J., Mitter, H., & van Vuuren, D. P.
Published in: Journal of Environmental Management, Issue 342, 2023, Page(s) 118078, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118078

Review on modelling tools for maize pests risks in agro-climatic zones of central Europe.

Author(s): Gajraj, R.; Eitzinger, J.
Published in: European Meteorological Society Proceedings, 2021
Publisher: European Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.5194/ems2021-263

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