Effects of global change on the emission, fate, effects and risks of chemicals in aquatic ecosystems

Livrables

Organise conference 2
Organise conference 1
Advertising vacancies for ESRs
Training course ESC1
Training course ESC2
Visiting scientists
Science days for secondary school students
Training course ESC3
Workshop on chemical risk in the future (EWOR)
Organise stakeholder and end-user oriented workshop

Validated ecological models

Set of validated ecological models for assessing the combined effects of GC and chemical stress

Global climate/land use/agronomic management and emission scenarios

Global climate/land use/agronomic management and emission scenarios downscaled to the three case study regions

New framework to assess the vulnerability to chemicals

New framework to assess the influence of community structure and global change on the vulnerability to chemicals

Potential inputs for policy feedback
New framework to assess the resilience

New framework to assess the resilience of microbial communities to chemical stress

Chemical emission scenarios from pest management options

Chemical emission scenarios from pest management options under scenarios in selected agricultural systems

Chemical emission scenarios of urban systems

Chemical emission scenarios of urban systems in selected case study regions

Robust implementation of mitigation strategies

Robust implementation of mitigation strategies to close the gap to a nontoxic environment in 2050

New modelling framework to assess the combined effects of chemical and GC stressors
EU-level chemical vulnerability maps and scenarios

EUlevel chemical vulnerability maps and scenarios

Exposure modelling framework

Exposure modelling framework for estimating effects of environmental change on chemical exposure in river basins and drinking waters

Comparison of sensitivity and vulnerability to climate change and chemical stress

Comparison of sensitivity and vulnerability to climate change and chemical stress in different geographical regions

Chemical effects on microbial ecological functions

Determination of the chemical effects on microbial ecological functions and chemical tolerance limits

Integrated policy briefs
Crop uptake models and human exposure models

Crop uptake models and human exposure models for contaminants in water reuse systems

Future ecological and human exposure scenarios

Future ecological and human exposure scenarios for chemical contaminants

Modelling approaches for fate and uptake of chemicals

Modelling approaches for estimating the effects of key environmental change parameters on the fate and uptake of chemicals

Prioritisation of pharmaceuticals and PHCP

Prioritisation of pharmaceuticals and PHCP which pose highest risk

Draft risk assessment model

Draft risk assessment model (Bayesian network) for agricultural chemicals developed for one of the case study regions

Websites online, Twitter account @ECORISK2050 active

www.ECORISK2050.eu and www.facebook.com/ecorisk2050 websites online, Twitter account @ECORISK2050 active

Webinars and open on-line short presentations

Webinars and open online short presentations targeted at stakeholders and endusers

ECORISK2050 seminar series (MOOC)

ECORISK2050 seminar series MOOC

Publications

Food web rewiring drives long-term compositional differences and late-disturbance interactions at the community level

Auteurs: Francesco Polazzo, Tomás I. Marina, Melina Crettaz-Minaglia, Andreu Rico
Publié dans: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Numéro 00278424, 2022, ISSN 0027-8424
Éditeur: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.211736411

Effect of multiple agricultural stressors on freshwater ecosystems: The role of community structure, trophic status, and biodiversity-functioning relationships on ecosystem responses

Auteurs: Francesco Polazzo, Talles Bruno Oliveirados Anjos, AlbaArenas-Sánchez, Susana Romo, Marco Vighi, Andreu Rico
Publié dans: Science of The Total Environment, 2022, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151052

A transportable temperature and heatwave control device (TENTACLE) for laboratory and field simulations of different climate change scenarios in aquatic micro- and mesocosms.

Auteurs: Markus Hermann; Richard Jansen; Johan van de Glind; Edwin T.H.M. Peeters; Paul J. Van den Brink
Publié dans: HardwareX, Numéro 11, 2022, Page(s) e00307, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ohx.2022.e00307

Combined effects of heatwaves and micropollutants on freshwater ecosystems: Towards an integrated assessment of extreme events in multiple stressors research

Auteurs: Francesco Polazzo, Sabrina K. Roth, Markus Hermann, Annika Mangold-Döring, Andreu Rico, Anna Sobek, Paul J. Van den Brink, Michelle C. Jackson
Publié dans: Global Change Biology, 2022, ISSN 1365-2486
Éditeur: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15971

Probabilistic risk assessment of pesticides under future agricultural and climate scenarios using a Bayesian network

Auteurs: Mentzel Sophie, Grung Merete, Holten Roger, Tollefsen Knut Erik, Stenrød Marianne, Moe S. Jannicke
Publié dans: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Numéro 2296665X, 2022, ISSN 2296-665X
Éditeur: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.957926

Influence of climate change and pesticide use practices on the ecological risks of pesticides in a protected Mediterranean wetland: A Bayesian network approach

Auteurs: Claudia Martínez-Megías, Sophie Mentzel, Yasser Fuentes-Edfuf, S. Jannicke Moe, Andreu Rico
Publié dans: Science of The Total Environment, Numéro 878, 2023, Page(s) 163018, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163018

Towards ‘one substance – one assessment’: An analysis of EU chemicalregistration and aquatic risk assessment frameworks

Auteurs: Joanke van Dijk, Mikael Gustavsson, Stefan C. Dekker, Annemarie P. van Wezel
Publié dans: Journal of Environmental Management, Numéro 280, 2020, Page(s) 111692, ISSN 0301-4797
Éditeur: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111692

Eutrophic status influences the impact of pesticide mixtures and predation on Daphnia pulex populations

Auteurs: Talles Bruno Oliveira dos Anjos, Francesco Polazzo, Alba Arenas‐Sánchez, Laura Cherta, Roberto Ascari, Sonia Migliorati, Marco Vighi, Andreu Rico
Publié dans: Ecology and Evolution, Numéro 11/9, 2021, Page(s) 4046-4057, ISSN 2045-7758
Éditeur: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.7305

Development of a Bayesian network for probabilistic risk assessment of pesticides

Auteurs: Sophie Mentzel, Merete Grung, Knut Erik Tollefsen, Marianne Stenrød, Karina Petersen, S. Jannicke Moe
Publié dans: Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2021, ISSN 1551-3777
Éditeur: Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
DOI: 10.1002/ieam.4533

Scenario-based modelling of changes in chemical intake fraction in Sweden and the Baltic Sea under global change

Auteurs: Roth, S.K. Hader, J.D. Domercq, P. Sobek, A. MacLeod, M
Publié dans: Science of the Total Environment, Numéro 888, 2023, Page(s) 164247, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164247

Impacts of extreme climatic events on trophic networkcomplexity and multidimensional stability

Auteurs: Francesco Polazzo, Markus Hermann, Melina Crettaz-Minaglia, Andreu Rico
Publié dans: Ecology, Numéro 104(2), 2023, Page(s) e3951, ISSN 1939-9170
Éditeur: Wiley Periodicals LLC
DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3951

Heatwaves, elevated temperatures, and a pesticide cause interactive effects on multi-trophic levels of a freshwater ecosystem.

Auteurs: Hermann, M., Peeters, E.T.H.M., Van den Brink, P.J.
Publié dans: Environmental Pollution, Numéro 327, 2023, Page(s) 121498, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121498

Managing PMT/vPvM Substances in Consumer Products through the Concepts of Essential-use and Functional Substitution: a Case-Study for Cosmetics.

Auteurs: van Dijk, J., Figuière, R., Dekker, S. C., van Wezel, A., & Cousins, I. T.
Publié dans: Environmental Science: Processes & Impacts, Numéro In press, 2023, Page(s) In press, ISSN 2046-2069
Éditeur: Royal Society of Chemistry
DOI: 10.1039/d3em00025g

Pharmaceutical pollution: Prediction of environmental concentrations from national wholesales data

Auteurs: Welch, Samuel; Olsen, Kristine; Sharikabad, Mohammad; Tollefsen, Knut; Grung, Merete; Moe, S.
Publié dans: Open Research Europe, Numéro 27325121, 2022, ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur: European Commission
DOI: 10.17605/osf.io/9dxcq

Effects of multiple stressors on the dimensionality of ecological stability

Auteurs: Francesco Polazzo, Andreu Rico
Publié dans: Ecology Letters, 2021, ISSN 1461-023X
Éditeur: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13770

Explicit Consideration of Temperature Improves Predictions of Toxicokinetic–Toxicodynamic Models for Flupyradifurone and Imidacloprid in <i>Gammarus pulex</i>

Auteurs: Annika Mangold-Döring; Anna Huang; Egbert H. van Nes; Andreas Focks; Paul J. van den Brink
Publié dans: Environmental Science and Technology, Numéro 56, 2022, Page(s) 15920−15929, ISSN 0013-936X
Éditeur: American Chemical Society
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.2c04085

Multiple stressor effects of a heatwave and a herbicide on zooplankton communities: implications of global climate change.

Auteurs: Roth, S. K., Polazzo, F., García-Astillero Honrado, A., Cherta, L., Sobek, A., & Rico, A.
Publié dans: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Numéro 10, 2022, Page(s) 920010, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.920010

ECORISK2050: An Innovative Training Network for predicting the effects of global change on the emission, fate, effects, and risks of chemicals in aquatic ecosystems

Auteurs: Samuel A. Welch, Taylor Lane, Alizée O.S Desrousseaux, Joanke van Dijk, Annika Mangold-Döring, Rudrani Gajraj, John D. Hader, Markus Hermann, Anju Parvathi Ayillyath Kutteyeri, Sophie Mentzel, Poornima Nagesh, Francesco Polazzo, Sabrina K. Roth, Alistair B.A. Boxall, Benny Chefetz, Stefan C. Dekker, Josef Eitzinger, Merete Grung, Matthew MacLeod, S. Jannicke Moe, Andreu Rico, Anna Sobek, Annemar
Publié dans: Open Research Europe, 2021, ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.14283.1

Development of chemical emission scenarios using the Shared Socio-economic Pathways.

Auteurs: Nagesh, P., de Boer, H. J., van Wezel, A. P., Dekker, S. C., & van Vuuren, D. P.
Publié dans: Science of The Total Environment, Numéro 836, 2022, Page(s) 155530, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155530

Probabilistic Risk Calculation for Chemical Mixtures: Environmental Risk of Pharmaceuticals Under Future Scenarios

Auteurs: Welch, Samuel A., Merete Grung, Anders L. Madsen, S. J. Moe
Publié dans: Environmnetal Toxicology and Chemistry, Numéro Under review, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Éditeur: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/zbgp7

Enabling forecasts of environmental exposure to chemicals in European agriculture under global change

Auteurs: Hader JD, Lane T, Boxall ABA, MacLeod M, Di Guardo A.
Publié dans: Science of the Total Environment, Numéro 840, 2022, Page(s) 156478, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156478

Comparing the acute and chronic toxicity of flupyradifurone and imidacloprid to non-target aquatic arthropod species

Auteurs: Huang, A., A. Mangold-Döring, A. Focks, C. Zhang and P.J. Van den Brink
Publié dans: Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, Numéro 243, 2022, Page(s) 113977, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2022.113977

The effect of temperature on toxicokinetics and the chronic toxicity of insecticides towards Gammarus pulex

Auteurs: Anna, Huang; Annika, Mangold-Döring; Huitong, Guan; Marie-Claire, Boerwinkel; Dick, Belgers; Andreas, Focks; Paul J, Van den Brink
Publié dans: Science of the Total Environment, Numéro 856, 2023, Page(s) 158886, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158886

Predicting Environmental Risks of Pharmaceuticals from Wholesales Data: An Example from Norway

Auteurs: Samuel A Welch Kristine Olsen S. Jannicke Moe Mohammad Nouri Sharikabad Knut Erik Tollefsen Merete Grung
Publié dans: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, Numéro Accepted, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Éditeur: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.

Using a Bayesian network model to predict effects of pesticides on aquatic community endpoints in a rice field – A southern European case study

Auteurs: Sophie Mentzel, Claudia Martínez-Megías, Merete Grung, Andreu Rico, Knut Erik Tollefsen, Paul J. Van den Brink, S. Jannicke Moe
Publié dans: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, Numéro Accepted, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Éditeur: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.
DOI: 10.1101/2022.10.19.512688

Safe and sustainable by design: A computer-based approach to redesign chemicals for reduced environmental hazards.

Auteurs: van Dijk, J. & Flerlage, H., Beijer, S., Slootweg, J. C., & van Wezel, A. P.
Publié dans: Chemosphere, Numéro 296, 2022, Page(s) 134050, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.134050

A shared socio-economic pathway based framework for characterising future emissions of chemicals to the natural environment.

Auteurs: Desrousseaux, A., Nagesh, P., Gajraj, R., Dekker, S., Eitzinger, J., Sallach, J. B., Boxall, A., & Kok, K.
Publié dans: Futures, Numéro 144, 2022, Page(s) 103040, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2022.103040

The EU Green Deal's ambition for a toxic-free environment: Filling the gap for science-based policymaking

Auteurs: Joanke van Dijk, Annegaaike Leopold, Hannah Flerlage, Annemarie van Wezel, Thomas-Benjamin Seiler, Marie-Hélene Enrici, Michelle C. Bloor
Publié dans: Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2021, ISSN 1551-3777
Éditeur: Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
DOI: 10.1002/ieam.4429

Extending shared socio-economic pathways for pesticide use in Europe: Pest-Agri-SSPs

Auteurs: Nagesh, P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Dekker, S. C., de Boer, H. J., Mitter, H., & van Vuuren, D. P.
Publié dans: Journal of Environmental Management, Numéro 342, 2023, Page(s) 118078, ISSN 0048-9697
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118078

Review on modelling tools for maize pests risks in agro-climatic zones of central Europe.

Auteurs: Gajraj, R.; Eitzinger, J.
Publié dans: European Meteorological Society Proceedings, 2021
Éditeur: European Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.5194/ems2021-263

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