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Effects of global change on the emission, fate, effects and risks of chemicals in aquatic ecosystems

Resultado final

Validated ecological models

Set of validated ecological models for assessing the combined effects of GC and chemical stress

Global climate/land use/agronomic management and emission scenarios

Global climate/land use/agronomic management and emission scenarios downscaled to the three case study regions

New framework to assess the vulnerability to chemicals

New framework to assess the influence of community structure and global change on the vulnerability to chemicals

Potential inputs for policy feedback
New framework to assess the resilience

New framework to assess the resilience of microbial communities to chemical stress

Chemical emission scenarios from pest management options

Chemical emission scenarios from pest management options under scenarios in selected agricultural systems

Chemical emission scenarios of urban systems

Chemical emission scenarios of urban systems in selected case study regions

Robust implementation of mitigation strategies

Robust implementation of mitigation strategies to close the gap to a nontoxic environment in 2050

New modelling framework to assess the combined effects of chemical and GC stressors
EU-level chemical vulnerability maps and scenarios

EUlevel chemical vulnerability maps and scenarios

Exposure modelling framework

Exposure modelling framework for estimating effects of environmental change on chemical exposure in river basins and drinking waters

Comparison of sensitivity and vulnerability to climate change and chemical stress

Comparison of sensitivity and vulnerability to climate change and chemical stress in different geographical regions

Chemical effects on microbial ecological functions

Determination of the chemical effects on microbial ecological functions and chemical tolerance limits

Integrated policy briefs
Crop uptake models and human exposure models

Crop uptake models and human exposure models for contaminants in water reuse systems

Future ecological and human exposure scenarios

Future ecological and human exposure scenarios for chemical contaminants

Modelling approaches for fate and uptake of chemicals

Modelling approaches for estimating the effects of key environmental change parameters on the fate and uptake of chemicals

Prioritisation of pharmaceuticals and PHCP

Prioritisation of pharmaceuticals and PHCP which pose highest risk

Draft risk assessment model

Draft risk assessment model (Bayesian network) for agricultural chemicals developed for one of the case study regions

Websites online, Twitter account @ECORISK2050 active

www.ECORISK2050.eu and www.facebook.com/ecorisk2050 websites online, Twitter account @ECORISK2050 active

Webinars and open on-line short presentations

Webinars and open online short presentations targeted at stakeholders and endusers

ECORISK2050 seminar series (MOOC)

ECORISK2050 seminar series MOOC

Publicaciones

Food web rewiring drives long-term compositional differences and late-disturbance interactions at the community level

Autores: Francesco Polazzo, Tomás I. Marina, Melina Crettaz-Minaglia, Andreu Rico
Publicado en: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Edición 00278424, 2022, ISSN 0027-8424
Editor: National Academy of Sciences
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.211736411

Effect of multiple agricultural stressors on freshwater ecosystems: The role of community structure, trophic status, and biodiversity-functioning relationships on ecosystem responses

Autores: Francesco Polazzo, Talles Bruno Oliveirados Anjos, AlbaArenas-Sánchez, Susana Romo, Marco Vighi, Andreu Rico
Publicado en: Science of The Total Environment, 2022, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151052

A transportable temperature and heatwave control device (TENTACLE) for laboratory and field simulations of different climate change scenarios in aquatic micro- and mesocosms.

Autores: Markus Hermann; Richard Jansen; Johan van de Glind; Edwin T.H.M. Peeters; Paul J. Van den Brink
Publicado en: HardwareX, Edición 11, 2022, Página(s) e00307, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ohx.2022.e00307

Combined effects of heatwaves and micropollutants on freshwater ecosystems: Towards an integrated assessment of extreme events in multiple stressors research

Autores: Francesco Polazzo, Sabrina K. Roth, Markus Hermann, Annika Mangold-Döring, Andreu Rico, Anna Sobek, Paul J. Van den Brink, Michelle C. Jackson
Publicado en: Global Change Biology, 2022, ISSN 1365-2486
Editor: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15971

Probabilistic risk assessment of pesticides under future agricultural and climate scenarios using a Bayesian network

Autores: Mentzel Sophie, Grung Merete, Holten Roger, Tollefsen Knut Erik, Stenrød Marianne, Moe S. Jannicke
Publicado en: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Edición 2296665X, 2022, ISSN 2296-665X
Editor: Frontiers Media
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.957926

Influence of climate change and pesticide use practices on the ecological risks of pesticides in a protected Mediterranean wetland: A Bayesian network approach

Autores: Claudia Martínez-Megías, Sophie Mentzel, Yasser Fuentes-Edfuf, S. Jannicke Moe, Andreu Rico
Publicado en: Science of The Total Environment, Edición 878, 2023, Página(s) 163018, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163018

Towards ‘one substance – one assessment’: An analysis of EU chemicalregistration and aquatic risk assessment frameworks

Autores: Joanke van Dijk, Mikael Gustavsson, Stefan C. Dekker, Annemarie P. van Wezel
Publicado en: Journal of Environmental Management, Edición 280, 2020, Página(s) 111692, ISSN 0301-4797
Editor: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111692

Eutrophic status influences the impact of pesticide mixtures and predation on Daphnia pulex populations

Autores: Talles Bruno Oliveira dos Anjos, Francesco Polazzo, Alba Arenas‐Sánchez, Laura Cherta, Roberto Ascari, Sonia Migliorati, Marco Vighi, Andreu Rico
Publicado en: Ecology and Evolution, Edición 11/9, 2021, Página(s) 4046-4057, ISSN 2045-7758
Editor: John Wiley and Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.7305

Development of a Bayesian network for probabilistic risk assessment of pesticides

Autores: Sophie Mentzel, Merete Grung, Knut Erik Tollefsen, Marianne Stenrød, Karina Petersen, S. Jannicke Moe
Publicado en: Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2021, ISSN 1551-3777
Editor: Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
DOI: 10.1002/ieam.4533

Scenario-based modelling of changes in chemical intake fraction in Sweden and the Baltic Sea under global change

Autores: Roth, S.K. Hader, J.D. Domercq, P. Sobek, A. MacLeod, M
Publicado en: Science of the Total Environment, Edición 888, 2023, Página(s) 164247, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164247

Impacts of extreme climatic events on trophic networkcomplexity and multidimensional stability

Autores: Francesco Polazzo, Markus Hermann, Melina Crettaz-Minaglia, Andreu Rico
Publicado en: Ecology, Edición 104(2), 2023, Página(s) e3951, ISSN 1939-9170
Editor: Wiley Periodicals LLC
DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3951

Heatwaves, elevated temperatures, and a pesticide cause interactive effects on multi-trophic levels of a freshwater ecosystem.

Autores: Hermann, M., Peeters, E.T.H.M., Van den Brink, P.J.
Publicado en: Environmental Pollution, Edición 327, 2023, Página(s) 121498, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121498

Managing PMT/vPvM Substances in Consumer Products through the Concepts of Essential-use and Functional Substitution: a Case-Study for Cosmetics.

Autores: van Dijk, J., Figuière, R., Dekker, S. C., van Wezel, A., & Cousins, I. T.
Publicado en: Environmental Science: Processes & Impacts, Edición In press, 2023, Página(s) In press, ISSN 2046-2069
Editor: Royal Society of Chemistry
DOI: 10.1039/d3em00025g

Pharmaceutical pollution: Prediction of environmental concentrations from national wholesales data

Autores: Welch, Samuel; Olsen, Kristine; Sharikabad, Mohammad; Tollefsen, Knut; Grung, Merete; Moe, S.
Publicado en: Open Research Europe, Edición 27325121, 2022, ISSN 2732-5121
Editor: European Commission
DOI: 10.17605/osf.io/9dxcq

Effects of multiple stressors on the dimensionality of ecological stability

Autores: Francesco Polazzo, Andreu Rico
Publicado en: Ecology Letters, 2021, ISSN 1461-023X
Editor: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/ele.13770

Explicit Consideration of Temperature Improves Predictions of Toxicokinetic–Toxicodynamic Models for Flupyradifurone and Imidacloprid in <i>Gammarus pulex</i>

Autores: Annika Mangold-Döring; Anna Huang; Egbert H. van Nes; Andreas Focks; Paul J. van den Brink
Publicado en: Environmental Science and Technology, Edición 56, 2022, Página(s) 15920−15929, ISSN 0013-936X
Editor: American Chemical Society
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.2c04085

Multiple stressor effects of a heatwave and a herbicide on zooplankton communities: implications of global climate change.

Autores: Roth, S. K., Polazzo, F., García-Astillero Honrado, A., Cherta, L., Sobek, A., & Rico, A.
Publicado en: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Edición 10, 2022, Página(s) 920010, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.920010

ECORISK2050: An Innovative Training Network for predicting the effects of global change on the emission, fate, effects, and risks of chemicals in aquatic ecosystems

Autores: Samuel A. Welch, Taylor Lane, Alizée O.S Desrousseaux, Joanke van Dijk, Annika Mangold-Döring, Rudrani Gajraj, John D. Hader, Markus Hermann, Anju Parvathi Ayillyath Kutteyeri, Sophie Mentzel, Poornima Nagesh, Francesco Polazzo, Sabrina K. Roth, Alistair B.A. Boxall, Benny Chefetz, Stefan C. Dekker, Josef Eitzinger, Merete Grung, Matthew MacLeod, S. Jannicke Moe, Andreu Rico, Anna Sobek, Annemar
Publicado en: Open Research Europe, 2021, ISSN 2732-5121
Editor: F1000 Research Ltd
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.14283.1

Development of chemical emission scenarios using the Shared Socio-economic Pathways.

Autores: Nagesh, P., de Boer, H. J., van Wezel, A. P., Dekker, S. C., & van Vuuren, D. P.
Publicado en: Science of The Total Environment, Edición 836, 2022, Página(s) 155530, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155530

Probabilistic Risk Calculation for Chemical Mixtures: Environmental Risk of Pharmaceuticals Under Future Scenarios

Autores: Welch, Samuel A., Merete Grung, Anders L. Madsen, S. J. Moe
Publicado en: Environmnetal Toxicology and Chemistry, Edición Under review, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Editor: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/zbgp7

Enabling forecasts of environmental exposure to chemicals in European agriculture under global change

Autores: Hader JD, Lane T, Boxall ABA, MacLeod M, Di Guardo A.
Publicado en: Science of the Total Environment, Edición 840, 2022, Página(s) 156478, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156478

Comparing the acute and chronic toxicity of flupyradifurone and imidacloprid to non-target aquatic arthropod species

Autores: Huang, A., A. Mangold-Döring, A. Focks, C. Zhang and P.J. Van den Brink
Publicado en: Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, Edición 243, 2022, Página(s) 113977, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2022.113977

The effect of temperature on toxicokinetics and the chronic toxicity of insecticides towards Gammarus pulex

Autores: Anna, Huang; Annika, Mangold-Döring; Huitong, Guan; Marie-Claire, Boerwinkel; Dick, Belgers; Andreas, Focks; Paul J, Van den Brink
Publicado en: Science of the Total Environment, Edición 856, 2023, Página(s) 158886, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158886

Predicting Environmental Risks of Pharmaceuticals from Wholesales Data: An Example from Norway

Autores: Samuel A Welch Kristine Olsen S. Jannicke Moe Mohammad Nouri Sharikabad Knut Erik Tollefsen Merete Grung
Publicado en: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, Edición Accepted, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Editor: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.

Using a Bayesian network model to predict effects of pesticides on aquatic community endpoints in a rice field – A southern European case study

Autores: Sophie Mentzel, Claudia Martínez-Megías, Merete Grung, Andreu Rico, Knut Erik Tollefsen, Paul J. Van den Brink, S. Jannicke Moe
Publicado en: Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, Edición Accepted, 2023, ISSN 1613-6810
Editor: Wiley - V C H Verlag GmbbH & Co.
DOI: 10.1101/2022.10.19.512688

Safe and sustainable by design: A computer-based approach to redesign chemicals for reduced environmental hazards.

Autores: van Dijk, J. & Flerlage, H., Beijer, S., Slootweg, J. C., & van Wezel, A. P.
Publicado en: Chemosphere, Edición 296, 2022, Página(s) 134050, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.134050

A shared socio-economic pathway based framework for characterising future emissions of chemicals to the natural environment.

Autores: Desrousseaux, A., Nagesh, P., Gajraj, R., Dekker, S., Eitzinger, J., Sallach, J. B., Boxall, A., & Kok, K.
Publicado en: Futures, Edición 144, 2022, Página(s) 103040, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2022.103040

The EU Green Deal's ambition for a toxic-free environment: Filling the gap for science-based policymaking

Autores: Joanke van Dijk, Annegaaike Leopold, Hannah Flerlage, Annemarie van Wezel, Thomas-Benjamin Seiler, Marie-Hélene Enrici, Michelle C. Bloor
Publicado en: Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 2021, ISSN 1551-3777
Editor: Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
DOI: 10.1002/ieam.4429

Extending shared socio-economic pathways for pesticide use in Europe: Pest-Agri-SSPs

Autores: Nagesh, P., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Dekker, S. C., de Boer, H. J., Mitter, H., & van Vuuren, D. P.
Publicado en: Journal of Environmental Management, Edición 342, 2023, Página(s) 118078, ISSN 0048-9697
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118078

Review on modelling tools for maize pests risks in agro-climatic zones of central Europe.

Autores: Gajraj, R.; Eitzinger, J.
Publicado en: European Meteorological Society Proceedings, 2021
Editor: European Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.5194/ems2021-263

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