Description du projet
Risque d’invalidité lors d’une pandémie de grippe
L’année dernière a marqué le 100e anniversaire de la pandémie de grippe de 1918, connue sous le nom de grippe espagnole. Cette crise de santé publique a touché un tiers de la population mondiale et en a tué des millions. Les personnes handicapées peuvent être plus vulnérables à la grippe, mais peu de recherches ont été consacrées à l’invalidité comme facteur de risque. Selon l’Organisation mondiale de la santé, plus d’un milliard de personnes dans le monde vivent avec un handicap quelconque. Le projet DIS2, financé par l’UE, utilise des modèles informatiques de haute technologie pour explorer l’invalidité et l’infection pendant la pandémie de 1918. Une modélisation précise des relations observées permettra de tester des interventions potentielles pour améliorer les résultats pour les patients lors de la prochaine pandémie.
Objectif
A global influenza pandemic is imminent and public health preparedness plans that address the needs of vulnerable populations are indispensable. While researchers have documented socioeconomic and geographic variables that contribute to disparities in infection and mortality, there has been little to no investigation of disability as a risk factor during influenza pandemics, despite the warnings of epidemiologists that persons with disabilities would be at increased risk. Drawing on rich historical data from the 1918 influenza pandemic, this project addresses this gap through a novel interdisciplinary and mixed methods approach. Quantitative and qualitative analyses will explore differential outcomes based on forms of disability and institutionalisation. Results of demographic analyses and insights from archival, historical, and ethnographic literature will inform the construction of an agent-based computer simulation model that will help explain observed patterns and evaluate the effectiveness of potential interventions. A short visit will enable regional comparisons between Norway and Sweden and enhance theoretical and methodological links between epidemiological and disability research. The fellow will benefit from the expertise of a European centre of excellent research, the Centre for Welfare and Labour Research, at Oslo Metropolitan University, Norway. Building on the fellow's previous work and skills in both epidemic modelling and disability research, the project activities will lead to further development of the fellow's professional maturity, while the results will have a key impact on the advancement of multiple academic disciplines, and as called for in EU and UN policies, on the improvement of the citizen rights and health of persons with disabilities.
Champ scientifique
Programme(s)
Régime de financement
MSCA-IF-EF-ST - Standard EFCoordinateur
0167 Oslo
Norvège