Livrables
The first technical webinar MPG M12
Technical webinar 2Second technical webinar MPG M24
Simulation tool: young audiencesSimulation tool for younger audiences within Population Europes app and school materials MPG M36
Website: Focal point for project outputsWebsite Tools to disseminate project outputs (UoS: website launch in M3, updates from M12, as per the Gantt chart, final version of the website M36, with updates continuing beyond the lifetime of the project)
Documentation: Web tools for data and simulationsTechnical report Documentation Documentation of the web simulation and visualisation tools
Background paper on the conceptual approaches to uncertain migration futures (DUK: M5)
Technical report: Early warningsTechnical report Construction and assessment of an early warning model for European migration with exemplars UoS M30
Technical report: Microsimulation modelD82 Technical report Detailed data sources and model with validation results and sensitivity analysis IIASA M36
Technical report: Estimation methodologyTechnical report The estimation methodology and results UoS M22 draft version to be ready by M19 to inform work in WP 8
Technical Report: Simulation of emigration decisionsTechnical Report Simulation of the emigration decision process with application to migration between Africa and Europe NIDI M27 first draft in M21 to inform work in WP8
Discussion paper: European migration since 1990D57 Discussion paper European migration since 1990 drivers and the role of policies DUK M29
Background paper: Climate change and conflictBackground paper Climate change armed conflict and migration PRIO M29 first insights into conflict migration to be delivered by M9 to inform related work in WP9
Discussion paper & policy brief: scenario resultsDiscussion paper and policy brief Main results of the scenarios IIASA M29
Background paper: Overview of European mobilityD4.2 Background paper: Detailed overview of European mobility in the past 10 years (NIDI: M16)
Background paper: The role of state and policiesBackground paper The role of state and state policies in alternative European migration scenarios DUK and PRIO M20 draft version to be ready by M18 to inform work in WPs 2 and 4
Policy Brief: Output from 1st policy expert meetingPolicy brief: Outcomes of the first high-level policy expert meeting (MPG: M12)
Policy Brief: Pull factors of EU migrationPolicy Brief The pull factors of EU migration UoS M36
Background paper: Insights on determinantsD2.2 Background paper: Insights on determinants of migration in diverse contexts (PRIO: M12; draft version to be delivered by M9, to inform related work in Task 2.3 and WP3)
Technical report: Uncertainty in scenariosTechnical report Assessing the uncertainty of migration forecasts and scenarios for short mid and longterm horizons UoS M20
Discussion paper: Report on scenariosDiscussion paper Possible probable and desirable migration scenarios and policy innovations needed to go from probable to desirable scenarios NIDI M24
Background paper: Emigration decision processBackground paper The emigration decision process foundations for modelling NIDI M18
Technical report: User guide to scenariosTechnical report User guide to customized scenarios IIASA M35
Background paper: Analysing uncertaintyBackground paper: Conceptualisation and analysis of migration uncertainty (UoS: M11)
Background paper: Cognitive science and decisionsBackground paper Cognitive and behavioural science approaches in modelling migration decisions DUK M16
Discussion paper: Impact of attitudes to migrationDiscussion paper The impact of antiimmigration attitudes on migration within the EUUoS M20
Background paper: Expert opinion on migration dataD6.1 Background paper: Expert opinion on European migration data (UiO: M12)
Policy Brief: Output from 2nd policy expert meetingPolicy brief Outcomes of the second highlevel policy expert meeting MPG M24
Discussion paper: Pull factors of EU migrationD35 Discussion paper The economic and noneconomic pull factors of migration in the EU UoS M35
Discussion paper: Onward and transit migrationsD43 Discussion papers Analyses of onward and transit migration in countries where data are available and based on this estimates for other European countries NIDI M26
Background paper: Migration theory and implicationsBackground paper: Migration theory and empirical implications (DUK and PRIO: M9)
Discussion paper: Output from stakeholder eventDiscussion paper Outcome of the stakeholder event
Background paper: Migration flows and stocksD5.2 Background paper: European migration flows and stocks: New evidence on changing geographies and temporalities (DUK: M9)
Background paper: Determinants of conflict-related migrationAn additional background paper on the metaanalysis of determinants of conflictrelatedmigration supplementing and expanding on D26 summarizing and discussing the insights and some of the knowledge gaps and potential for improving work in this area
Background paper: European migration data qualityBackground paper Quality assessment of European migration data NIDI M14
Discussion paper: Role of uncertainty in policyD3.2 Discussion paper: The role of uncertainty in policy on migration to the UK and the EU (UoS: M12)
Discussion paper: Scenarios with uncertaintyDiscussion paper European migration scenarios with probabilistic uncertainty assessment UoS M35
Background paper: Surveys on migration aspirationsD2.1 Background paper: Survey instruments for measuring migration aspirations (PRIO: M6)
Background paper: Scenario literature reviewSystematic literature overview of scenarios and set of experimental design (vignette study) underlying the qualitative story lines (NIDI: M6)
Background paper: Political and policy implicationsBackground paper The political implications of uncertain migration outcomes on European migration policymaking DUK M26
Discussion paper: Effects of welfare state regimeDiscussion paper Modelling and estimating the effects of the welfare state on different types of migration taking into account the destination dependence UoS M32
Background paper: Determinants of aspirationsBackground paper Determinants of migration aspirations PRIO M29
Background paper: European migration policy-mixD55 Background paper The evolution of European migration policymix since 1990 DUK M19 draft version to be ready by M18 to inform work in WP10
Background paper: Expansion of the European Labour MarketAn auxiliary background paper providing information on the successive changes to the composition of the european common labour market aimed both to aid modelling and to offer standalone reference for relevant reasearch
Microsimulation projection model IIASA M24
Publications
Auteurs:
Mathilde Bålsrud Mjelva; Jørgen Carling
Publié dans:
Open Research Europe, Numéro 3-145, 2023, Page(s) V1 [Peer review: 1 Approved], ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur:
F1000 on behalf of the European Commission
DOI:
10.12688/openreseurope.15800.1
Auteurs:
Jakub Bijak; Mathias Czaika
Publié dans:
Migration Policy Practice, Numéro X(4), 2020, Page(s) 14-20, ISSN 2223-5248
Éditeur:
IOM
DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.10074374
Auteurs:
Jakub Bijak; Mathias Czaika; Michaela Potančoková; Daniela Vono de Vilhena; the QuantMig team
Publié dans:
Migration Policy Practice, Numéro XIII(1), 2024, Page(s) 34-40, ISSN 2223-5248
Éditeur:
IOM International Organization for Migration
Auteurs:
Czaika M and Bijak J
Publié dans:
Population Europe Policy Insight, 2020
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Jackline Wahba; Valentina Di Iasio
Publié dans:
The Conversation, Numéro 25 August 2023, 2023, ISSN 2201-5639
Éditeur:
The Conversation Trust (UK) Ltd.
Auteurs:
Emily Barker; Jakub Bijak; Valentina Di Iasio; Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
Population and Policy Brief, Numéro 35, 2022, ISSN 2512-6164
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Valentina Di Iasio; Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
Population Europe Policy Insight, 2022
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Valentina Di Iasio; Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
Centre for Population Change Policy Briefing, Numéro 69, 2023
Éditeur:
Centre for Population Change
Auteurs:
Jakub Bijak; Michaela Potančoková; Daniela Vono de Vilhena; The QuantMig Team
Publié dans:
Population Europe Discussion Paper, Numéro 19, 2023, ISSN 2512-6172
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Jakub Bijak; Mathias Czaika; Daniela Vono de Vilhena
Publié dans:
Population and Policy Brief, Numéro 26, 2020, ISSN 2512-6164
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Silke Anger; Jakub Bijak; Peter Bosch; Mathias Czaika; David de Groot; María Miyar Busto; Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
Population and Policy Brief, Numéro 37, 2022, ISSN 2512-6164
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Daniela Vono de Vilhena; Jakub Bijak
Publié dans:
Population and Policy Brief, Numéro 29, 2021, ISSN 2512-6164
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Emily Barker; Jakub Bijak
Publié dans:
Population Europe Policy Insight, 2023
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Michaela Potančoková; Guillaume Marois; Jakub Bijak
Publié dans:
Population and Policy Brief, Numéro 39, 2023, ISSN 2512-6164
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Jakub Bijak
Publié dans:
Population Europe Policy Insight, 2021
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Jakub Bijak; Birte Fähnrich; Luc Leboeuf; Daniela Vono de Vilhena
Publié dans:
Population and Policy Brief, Numéro 32, 2021, ISSN 2512-6164
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
Population Europe Policy Insight, 2022
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Emily Barker; Jakub Bijak
Publié dans:
Population Europe Policy Insight, 2021
Éditeur:
Population Europe
Auteurs:
Valentina Di Iasio; Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
Centre for Population Change Policy Briefing, Numéro 71, 2023
Éditeur:
Centre for Population Change
Auteurs:
Michaël Boissonneault, Rafael Costa
Publié dans:
Scientific Data, Numéro 10(2), 2023, Page(s) 640, ISSN 2052-4463
Éditeur:
Springer Nature Limited
DOI:
10.1038/s41597-023-02532-1
Auteurs:
Valentina Di Iasio; Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
European Economic Review, Numéro 157(1), 2023, Page(s) 104484, ISSN 0014-2921
Éditeur:
Elsevier BV
DOI:
10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104484
Auteurs:
Valentina Di Iasio; Jackline Wahba
Publié dans:
World Development, Numéro 177, 2024, Page(s) 106533, ISSN 0305-750X
Éditeur:
Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI:
10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106533
Auteurs:
Mathias Czaika; Marta Bivand Erdal; Cathrine Talleraas
Publié dans:
Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, Numéro 49(12), 2023, Page(s) 3140-3161, ISSN 1369-183X
Éditeur:
Carfax Publishing Ltd.
DOI:
10.1080/1369183x.2023.2198363
Auteurs:
Emily Barker
Publié dans:
Open Research Europe, Numéro 2(133), 2022, ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur:
F1000 Research Limited on behalf of the European Commission
Auteurs:
Miguel González-Leonardo; Michaela Potančoková; Dilek Yildiz; Francisco Rowe
Publié dans:
PLoS ONE, Numéro 18(1), 2023, Page(s) e0280324, ISSN 1932-6203
Éditeur:
Public Library of Science
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0280324
Auteurs:
Mathias Czaika; Jakub Bijak; Toby Prike
Publié dans:
The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, Numéro 697(1), 2022, Page(s) 15-31, ISSN 0002-7162
Éditeur:
SAGE Publications
DOI:
10.1177/00027162211052233
Auteurs:
Joanna Napierała; Jason Hilton; Jonathan J. Forster; Marcello Carammia; Jakub Bijak
Publié dans:
International Migration Review, Numéro 56(1), 2022, Page(s) 33-62, ISSN 0197-9183
Éditeur:
Center for Migration Studies
DOI:
10.1177/01979183211035736
Auteurs:
Fotios Petropoulos; Daniele Apiletti; Vassilios Assimakopoulos; Mohamed Zied Babai; Devon K. Barrow; Souhaib Ben Taieb; Christoph Bergmeir; Ricardo J. Bessa; Jakub Bijak; John E. Boylan; Jethro Browell; Claudio Carnevale; Jennifer L. Castle; Pasquale Cirillo; Michael P. Clements; Clara Cordeiro; Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira; Shari De Baets; Alexander Dokumentov; Joanne Ellison; Piotr Fiszeder; Ph
Publié dans:
International Journal of Forecasting, Numéro 38(3), 2022, Page(s) 705-871, ISSN 0169-2070
Éditeur:
Elsevier BV
Auteurs:
Guillaume Marois; Michaela Potančoková; Miguel González-Leonardo
Publié dans:
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Numéro 10(1), 2023, Page(s) 957, ISSN 2662-9992
Éditeur:
Nature Portfolio
DOI:
10.1057/s41599-023-02482-4
Auteurs:
Mathias Czaika; Heidrun Bohnet; Federica Zardo
Publié dans:
European Union Politics, Numéro OnlineFirst, 2023, ISSN 1465-1165
Éditeur:
SAGE Publications
DOI:
10.1177/14651165231209941
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