What drives human behavior regarding global coastal migration and adaptation in response to sea level rise and extreme flood events?

Project Information

COASTMOVE

Grant agreement ID: 884442

DOI

10.3030/884442

Project closed

EC signature date 29 April 2020

Start date 1 January 2021

End date 30 June 2026

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost

€ 2 499 608,75

EU contribution

€ 2 499 608,75

Coordinated by

STICHTING VU
Netherlands

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (22)

Estimating nearshore infragravity wave conditions at large spatial scales

Author(s): Tim W. B. Leijnse, Maarten van Ormondt, Ap van Dongeren, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Sanne Muis
Published in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 11, 2024, ISSN 2296-7745
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2024.1355095

Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk

Author(s): Schlumberger, Julius; Haasnoot, Marjolijn; Aerts, Jeroen; de Ruiter, Marleen
Published in: VOLUME=25;ISSUE=10;STARTPAGE=1;ENDPAGE=26;ISSN=2589-0042;TITLE=iScience, Issue 2, 2022, ISSN 2589-0042
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2022.105219

GEB v0.1: a large-scale agent-based socio-hydrological model - simulating 10 million individual farming households in a fully distributed hydrological model

Author(s): Jens A. de Bruijn; Mikhail Smilovic; Peter Burek; Luca Guillaumot; Yoshihide Wada; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: urn:issn:1991-959X, Issue 4, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-2437-2023

How the USA can benefit from risk-based premiums combined with flood protection

Author(s): Lars T. de Ruig, Toon Haer, Hans de Moel, Samuel D. Brody, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Jeffrey Czajkowski, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 12, 2023, Page(s) 995-998, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01501-7

Accounting for tropical cyclones more than doubles the global population exposed to low-probability coastal flooding

Author(s): Job C. M. Dullaart, Sanne Muis, Nadia Bloemendaal, Maria V. Chertova, Anaïs Couasnon, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 2, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00204-9

A global dataset of 7 billion individuals with socio-economic characteristics

Author(s): Marijn J. Ton, Michiel W. Ingels, Jens A. de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, Lena Reimann, Wouter J. W. Botzen, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Scientific Data, Issue 11, 2024, ISSN 2052-4463
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-03864-2

A look into our future under climate change? Adaptation and migration intentions following extreme flooding in the Netherlands

Author(s): Sem J. Duijndam, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Thijs Endendijk, Hans de Moel, Kymo Slager, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Published in: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Issue 95, 2025, Page(s) 103840, ISSN 2212-4209
Publisher: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103840

An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)

Author(s): Lena Reimann, Elco Koks, Hans de Moel, Marijn J. Ton, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003895

Flood risk management through a resilience lens

Author(s): Karin M. de Bruijn, Bramka A. Jafino, Bruno Merz, Neelke Doorn, Sally J. Priest, Ruben J. Dahm, Chris Zevenbergen, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Tina Comes
Published in: communications earth and environment, 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00613-4

Integrating behavioral theories in agent-based models for agricultural drought risk assessments

Author(s): Schrieks, Teun; Botzen, Wouter; Wens, Marthe; Haer, Toon; Aerts, Jeroen
Published in: VOLUME=3;ISSN=2624-9375;TITLE=Frontiers in Water, Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 2624-9375
Publisher: frontiers in water
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.686329

Anticipating sea-level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research

Author(s): Sem Duijndam; W. J. Wouter Botzen; W. J. Wouter Botzen; W. J. Wouter Botzen; Liselotte Hagedoorn; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: VOLUME=13;ISSUE=1;STARTPAGE=1;ISSN=1757-7780;TITLE=Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, Issue 5, 2023, ISSN 1757-7780
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.747

Climate-proofing the National Flood Insurance Program

Author(s): Lars T. de Ruig, Toon Haer, Hans de Moel, Samuel D. Brody, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Jeffrey Czajkowski, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 12, 2022, Page(s) 975-976, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01502-6

Flood insurance is a driver of population growth in European floodplains

Author(s): Max Tesselaar, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Timothy Tiggeloven, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-43229-8

Flood Vulnerability Models and Household Flood Damage Mitigation Measures: An Econometric Analysis of Survey Data

Author(s): Thijs Endendijk, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Hans de Moel, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Kymo Slager, Matthijs Kok
Published in: Water Resources Research, 2023, ISSN 1944-7973
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2022wr034192

Global determinants of coastal migration under climate change

Author(s): Sem J. Duijndam, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Liselotte C. Hagedoorn, Marijn Ton, Jens de Bruijn, Silvina Carretero, Jeanne Dachary-Bernard, Bénédicte Rulleau, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-59199-y

A coupled agent-based model for France for simulating adaptation and migration decisions under future coastal flood risk

Author(s): Lars Tierolf; Toon Haer; W. J. Wouter Botzen; Jens A. de Bruijn; Marijn J. Ton; Lena Reimann; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Scientific Reports, 13(1):4176, 1 - 14. Nature Publishing Group, Issue 3, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-31351-y

Climate Risk STAC: A living metadata catalog of geospatial data for climate risk assessments

Author(s): Lena Reimann, Dirk Eilander, Timothy Tiggeloven, Milana Vuckovic, Matti Kummu, Andrea Vajda, Jeremy S. Pal, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Fredrik Wetterhall, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Published in: Environmental Modelling & Software, Issue 198, 2026, Page(s) 106906, ISSN 1364-8152
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106906

A review and perspective

Author(s): Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: VOLUME=11;STARTPAGE=1;ENDPAGE=9;ISSN=2468-3124;TITLE=Water Security, Issue 1, 2021, ISSN 2468-3124
Publisher: elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2020.100076

Drivers of migration intentions in coastal Vietnam under increased flood risk from sea level rise

Author(s): Sem J. Duijndam, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Liselotte C. Hagedoorn, Philip Bubeck, Toon Haer, My Pham & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Climatic Change, 2023, ISSN 1573-1480
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03479-9

Coastal adaptation and migration dynamics under future shoreline changes

Author(s): Lars Tierolf, Toon Haer, Panagiotis Athanasiou, Arjen P. Luijendijk, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Published in: Science of The Total Environment, Issue 917, 2026, Page(s) 170239, ISSN 0048-9697
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170239

Adaptive behavior of farmers under consecutive droughts results in more vulnerable farmers: a large-scale agent-based modeling analysis in the Bhima basin, India

Author(s): Maurice W. M. L. Kalthof, Jens de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, Heidi Kreibich, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Published in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Issue 25, 2026, Page(s) 1013-1035, ISSN 1684-9981
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-25-1013-2025

Exploring spatial feedbacks between adaptation policies and internal migration patterns due to sea-level rise

Author(s): Lena Reimann, Bryan Jones, Nora Bieker, Claudia Wolff, Jeroen C.J.H. Aert Athanasios T. Vafeidis
Published in: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38278-y