What drives human behavior regarding global coastal migration and adaptation in response to sea level rise and extreme flood events?

Informazioni relative al progetto

COASTMOVE

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 884442

DOI

10.3030/884442

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 29 Aprile 2020

Data di avvio 1 Gennaio 2021

Data di completamento 30 Giugno 2026

Finanziato da

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Costo totale

€ 2 499 608,75

Contributo UE

€ 2 499 608,75

Coordinato da

STICHTING VU
Netherlands

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (22)

Estimating nearshore infragravity wave conditions at large spatial scales

Autori: Tim W. B. Leijnse, Maarten van Ormondt, Ap van Dongeren, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Sanne Muis
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Marine Science, Numero 11, 2024, ISSN 2296-7745
Editore: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2024.1355095

Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk

Autori: Schlumberger, Julius; Haasnoot, Marjolijn; Aerts, Jeroen; de Ruiter, Marleen
Pubblicato in: VOLUME=25;ISSUE=10;STARTPAGE=1;ENDPAGE=26;ISSN=2589-0042;TITLE=iScience, Numero 2, 2022, ISSN 2589-0042
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2022.105219

GEB v0.1: a large-scale agent-based socio-hydrological model - simulating 10 million individual farming households in a fully distributed hydrological model

Autori: Jens A. de Bruijn; Mikhail Smilovic; Peter Burek; Luca Guillaumot; Yoshihide Wada; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: urn:issn:1991-959X, Numero 4, 2023, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: Copernicus
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-2437-2023

How the USA can benefit from risk-based premiums combined with flood protection

Autori: Lars T. de Ruig, Toon Haer, Hans de Moel, Samuel D. Brody, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Jeffrey Czajkowski, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 12, 2023, Pagina/e 995-998, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01501-7

Accounting for tropical cyclones more than doubles the global population exposed to low-probability coastal flooding

Autori: Job C. M. Dullaart, Sanne Muis, Nadia Bloemendaal, Maria V. Chertova, Anaïs Couasnon, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 2, 2023, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00204-9

A global dataset of 7 billion individuals with socio-economic characteristics

Autori: Marijn J. Ton, Michiel W. Ingels, Jens A. de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, Lena Reimann, Wouter J. W. Botzen, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Scientific Data, Numero 11, 2024, ISSN 2052-4463
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-03864-2

A look into our future under climate change? Adaptation and migration intentions following extreme flooding in the Netherlands

Autori: Sem J. Duijndam, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Thijs Endendijk, Hans de Moel, Kymo Slager, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Numero 95, 2025, Pagina/e 103840, ISSN 2212-4209
Editore: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103840

An Empirical Social Vulnerability Map for Flood Risk Assessment at Global Scale (“GlobE‐SoVI”)

Autori: Lena Reimann, Elco Koks, Hans de Moel, Marijn J. Ton, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 12, 2024, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2023ef003895

Flood risk management through a resilience lens

Autori: Karin M. de Bruijn, Bramka A. Jafino, Bruno Merz, Neelke Doorn, Sally J. Priest, Ruben J. Dahm, Chris Zevenbergen, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Tina Comes
Pubblicato in: communications earth and environment, 2022, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Nature Portfolio
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00613-4

Integrating behavioral theories in agent-based models for agricultural drought risk assessments

Autori: Schrieks, Teun; Botzen, Wouter; Wens, Marthe; Haer, Toon; Aerts, Jeroen
Pubblicato in: VOLUME=3;ISSN=2624-9375;TITLE=Frontiers in Water, Numero 1, 2021, ISSN 2624-9375
Editore: frontiers in water
DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2021.686329

Anticipating sea-level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research

Autori: Sem Duijndam; W. J. Wouter Botzen; W. J. Wouter Botzen; W. J. Wouter Botzen; Liselotte Hagedoorn; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: VOLUME=13;ISSUE=1;STARTPAGE=1;ISSN=1757-7780;TITLE=Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, Numero 5, 2023, ISSN 1757-7780
Editore: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.747

Climate-proofing the National Flood Insurance Program

Autori: Lars T. de Ruig, Toon Haer, Hans de Moel, Samuel D. Brody, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Jeffrey Czajkowski, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 12, 2022, Pagina/e 975-976, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01502-6

Flood insurance is a driver of population growth in European floodplains

Autori: Max Tesselaar, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Timothy Tiggeloven, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 14, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-43229-8

Flood Vulnerability Models and Household Flood Damage Mitigation Measures: An Econometric Analysis of Survey Data

Autori: Thijs Endendijk, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Hans de Moel, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Kymo Slager, Matthijs Kok
Pubblicato in: Water Resources Research, 2023, ISSN 1944-7973
Editore: Wiley
DOI: 10.1029/2022wr034192

Global determinants of coastal migration under climate change

Autori: Sem J. Duijndam, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Liselotte C. Hagedoorn, Marijn Ton, Jens de Bruijn, Silvina Carretero, Jeanne Dachary-Bernard, Bénédicte Rulleau, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 16, 2025, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-59199-y

A coupled agent-based model for France for simulating adaptation and migration decisions under future coastal flood risk

Autori: Lars Tierolf; Toon Haer; W. J. Wouter Botzen; Jens A. de Bruijn; Marijn J. Ton; Lena Reimann; Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, 13(1):4176, 1 - 14. Nature Publishing Group, Numero 3, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-31351-y

Climate Risk STAC: A living metadata catalog of geospatial data for climate risk assessments

Autori: Lena Reimann, Dirk Eilander, Timothy Tiggeloven, Milana Vuckovic, Matti Kummu, Andrea Vajda, Jeremy S. Pal, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Fredrik Wetterhall, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Environmental Modelling & Software, Numero 198, 2026, Pagina/e 106906, ISSN 1364-8152
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106906

A review and perspective

Autori: Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: VOLUME=11;STARTPAGE=1;ENDPAGE=9;ISSN=2468-3124;TITLE=Water Security, Numero 1, 2021, ISSN 2468-3124
Editore: elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.wasec.2020.100076

Drivers of migration intentions in coastal Vietnam under increased flood risk from sea level rise

Autori: Sem J. Duijndam, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Liselotte C. Hagedoorn, Philip Bubeck, Toon Haer, My Pham & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Climatic Change, 2023, ISSN 1573-1480
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03479-9

Coastal adaptation and migration dynamics under future shoreline changes

Autori: Lars Tierolf, Toon Haer, Panagiotis Athanasiou, Arjen P. Luijendijk, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Science of The Total Environment, Numero 917, 2026, Pagina/e 170239, ISSN 0048-9697
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170239

Adaptive behavior of farmers under consecutive droughts results in more vulnerable farmers: a large-scale agent-based modeling analysis in the Bhima basin, India

Autori: Maurice W. M. L. Kalthof, Jens de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, Heidi Kreibich, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Pubblicato in: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Numero 25, 2026, Pagina/e 1013-1035, ISSN 1684-9981
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-25-1013-2025

Exploring spatial feedbacks between adaptation policies and internal migration patterns due to sea-level rise

Autori: Lena Reimann, Bryan Jones, Nora Bieker, Claudia Wolff, Jeroen C.J.H. Aert Athanasios T. Vafeidis
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 2023, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38278-y