Carbon Intensive Regions in Transition - Unravelling the Challenges of Structural Change | CINTRAN | Project | Results | H2020 | CORDIS

Deliverables

Journal Article Manuscript on developing vulnerability indices integrating energy system, socio-economic, socio-political and migration dimensions

The deliverable will outline the methodology and results of the vulnerability indices developed in task 3.4. The deliverbale will be prepared in the form of an article manuscript for a scientific journal.

Journal Article Manuscript publication related to the role of elites vis-a-vis coping strategies

This deliverable will synthesise the research of WP 43 regarding the role of key elite actors and relationships between elites and other groups in shaping desirable coping strategies The deliverbale will be prepared in the form of an article manuscript for a scientific journal

Journal Article Manuscript related to an in-depth Analysis of Coal Commissions

This deliverable will synthesise the findings of task 44 It will provide a comparative analysis of coal commissions and the corresponding processes The deliverbale will be prepared in the form of an article manuscript for a scientific journal

Journal Article Manuscript - Comparative analysis of socio-economic dynamics in carbon intensive regions in transition

This deliverable will synthesise and compare the findings of socioeconomic analyses in the four focus regions The deliverbale will be prepared in the form of an article manuscript for a scientific journal

Regular newsletter updates (twice a year)

The newsletter will feature research highlights of the CINTRAN consortium and present them in an accessible way towards a audience of interested stakeholders and the wider public.

Journal Article Manuscripts - Comparative analysis of socio-demographic dynamics in carbon intensive regions in transition

This deliverable will synthesise and compare the findings of socio-demographic analyses in the four focus regions, including gender in carbon-intensive regions; decarbonization and inequalities; migration and skills in carbon-intensive regions. The deliverbale will contain three article manuscripts ready for submission to a scientific journal.

Guidance document for regional actors on strategic actions for shaping coping strategies [2-3 page document; one for each of the different types of carbon-intensive regions]

A short 23 page guidance document one for each of the different types of carbonintensive regions identified in WP3 of generalizable insights targeted at regional policymakers focusing on strategic actions for shaping desirable coping strategies will be prepared

Synthesis academic article manuscript

An academic journal article manuscript will be preprared summarizing and synthesising the analysis of coping strategies in WP4.

Short report reflecting the dissemination output and their recep-tion in the various target groups

This report will evaluate the dissemination activities for each of the identified target audiences.

Quality Control and Risk Management Plan

The deliverbale will summarize insights generated from the premortem exercise to be conducted at the first project meeting and contain a detailed process for quality control to be implemented by the CINTRAN consortium for all deliverables

Policy brief addressing the European and national levels outlining the support needed for carbon-intensive regions to change their trajectory

This Policy Brief will summarise key insights from the entire work programme regarding the potential of national and EU actors to support and enable policy making to accommodate structural change at the regional level.

Capacity building programme concept, including needs assessment and methodology

This report will include the programme concept for the transition academy It will contain a detailed needs assessment mapping knowledge finance and skill gaps at the regional level

Synthesis report including on general findings and recom-mendations (region-specific as well as overarching EU-Level)

This deliverable will synthesise the main overarching findings across all four regional case studies. It will discuss generalizability of the findings and develop recommendations for and policy options at the EU and international level to support decarbonization and corresponding structural adjustments in the regions

Journal Article Manuscript on Assessing the socio-economic impacts and public policy costs of the transition in carbon-intensive regions

The deliverable will analyse pledged public policy costs of coal transitions with modelling results from previous analysis. The results will be presented in the form of an article manuscript ready for submission to a scientific journal.

Coping strategy guidance documents (8-10)

A series of 8-10 guidance documents, one for each of the selected specific strategies to be used as references by regional and local actors (including an assessment of the conditions that enabled the coping strategy, and information on how to replicate the strategy). This will include guidance on community-led and other stakeholder engagement strategies.

Research framework for researching transitions of carbon-intensive regions: Insights from different disciplines, scales and epistemological approaches

This Framework will contain four chaptgers Chapter 1 will lay the foundation for translating insights for different disciplines on the feasibility and potential for energy transitions of carbonintensive regions Chapter 2 will provide a conceptual approach to integrate the analytical lenses in the regional level Chapter 3 will provide a toolset to analyse the success of coping strategies in terms of holistic justice implications Finally Chapter 4 will present synthetic crosstask theoretical insights

Report on Policy mix evaluation tool including indicators to identify relationships between regional policy mixes and specific coping strategies or coping strategy mixes

Task 4.2 will develop a (self-)assessment tool for policy makers to assess policy mixes in response to structural change. This deliverable will contain a detailed description of that tool and will be elaborated in the form of a report targeted at regional policy makers / administrators.

Policy Briefs on various aspects of regional transformations

A total of 9 Policy Briefs will be produced (5-10 pages) including on the following aspects: For each region a summary of findings and region-specific recommendations (4 policy briefs)(responsible WI, E3M, WiseEuropa, EKUK); a synthesis of generalizable findings across regional case studies and recommendations for national and EU level policy makers (responsible: WI); interactions between decarbonisation and other megatrends in European regions (responsible: WiseEuropa), decarbonization and populism (responsible: UiB), downscaling or upskilling: socio-demographic developments and governance in times of transition (responsible: wiiw), and developing gender responsive policies in carbon intensive regions accompanying the transition (responsible: EKUK).

Report on current socio-economic, energy system, socio-political and socio-demographic challenges including a set of slide decks displaying results for each of the 10-20 most vulnerable regions

The deliverable will synthesise the quantitative analysis of the current energy and electricity system structure in carbonintensive regions It will contain consistent socioeconomic and energy system datasets for NUTS2 regions at the appropriate level of sectoral granularity for recent years up to 20182019 including suitable approximations only in cases required

Journal Article Manuscript - Comparative analysis of socio-political dynamics in carbon intensive regions in transition

This deliverable will synthesise and compare the findings of sociopolitical analyses in the four focus regions The deliverbale will be prepared in the form of an article manuscript for a scientific journal

Interactive maps for vulnerable regions

Key quantitative results developed in tasks 3134 will be translated and visualized into a set of interactive maps providing easy access to key indicators from the scenario analysis eg installed capacities of thermal power plants primary energy demand of carbonintensive industries for the selected regions

Online inventory of coping strategies within the platform coaltransitions.org

The deliverbale will contain a database of succinctly described and categorized coping strategies to be identified in task 41 The database will be made available on the platform coaltransitionsorg

Data Management Plan

the data management plan will also include a detailed data protection policy for the project a data minimisation strategy explaining the intended processing of data its relevance and how the use of data is limited to the project detail anonymisationpseudonymisation strategies a description of the technical and organisational measures that will be implemented to safeguard the rights and freedoms of the data subjectsresearch participants description of the security measures that will be implemented to prevent unauthorised access to personal data or the equipment used for processing

Publications

Phasing out coal for 2 °C target requires worldwide replication of most ambitious national plans despite security and fairness concerns

Author(s): Vadim Vinichenko; Marta Vetier; Jessica Jewell; Lola Nacke; Aleh Cherp
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 18, 2023, Page(s) 1-13, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acadf6

Compensating affected parties necessary for rapid coal phase-out but expensive if extended to major emitters

Author(s): Lola Nacke, Vadim Vinchenko, Aleh Cherp, Avi Jakhmola, and Jessica Jewell
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue Volume 15 Issue 1, 2024, Page(s) 3742, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47667-w

From parity to degrowth: Unpacking narratives of a gender-just transition

Author(s): Paula Walk
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue Vol. 112, 2024, Page(s) 103513, ISSN 2214-6296
Publisher: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103513

Power in transitions: Gendered power asymmetries in the United Kingdom and the United States coal transitions

Author(s): Isabell Braunger; Paula Walk
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue 87, 2022, Page(s) 1-14, ISSN 2214-6326
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2021.102474

Hvem stemmer på Industri- og næringspartiet?

Author(s): Marta R. Eidheim; Endre Tvinnereim
Published in: Norsk statsvitenskapelig tidsskrift, Issue Volume 39, Issue 4, 2023, Page(s) 177–185, ISSN 0801-1745
Publisher: IDUNN
DOI: 10.18261/nst.39.4.4

Phases of fossil fuel decline: Diagnostic framework for policy sequencing and feasible transition pathways in resource dependent regions

Author(s): Lola Nacke; Aleh Cherp; Jessica Jewell
Published in: Oxford Open Energy, Issue 5, 2022, Page(s) 1-23, ISSN 2752-5082
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/ooenergy/oiac002

Conflicted transitions: Exploring the actors, tactics, and outcomes of social opposition against energy infrastructure

Author(s): Benjamin K. Sovacool; David J. Hess; Roberto Cantoni; Dasom Lee; Marie Claire Brisbois; Hans Jakob Walnum; Ragnhild Freng Dale; Bente Johnsen Rygg; Marius Korsnes; Anandajit Goswami; Shailly Kedia; Shubhi Goel
Published in: Global Environmental Change, Issue Volume 73, 2022, ISSN 0959-3780
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102473

Towards a multi-scalar and multi-horizon framework of energy injustice: A whole systems analysis of Estonian energy transition

Author(s): Laur Kanger & Benjamin Sovacool
Published in: Political Geography, Issue Volume 93, 2021, ISSN 0962-6298
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.polgeo.2021.102544

En route to decarbonization: A periodisation of just transition in four carbon-intensive EU regions

Author(s): Roberto Cantoni & Marie Claire Brisbois
Published in: Geoforum, Issue Volume 154, 2024, Page(s) 104061, ISSN 0016-7185
Publisher: Pergamon Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.geoforum.2024.104061

Right-wing and populist support for climate mitigation policies: Evidence from Poland and its carbon-intensive Silesia region

Author(s): Mahir Yazar, Lukas Hermwille, Håvard Haarstad
Published in: Regional Sustainability, Issue Volume 3, Issue 4, 2022, Page(s) 281-293, ISSN 2666-660X
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2022.11.001

Of hopeful narratives and historical injustices – An analysis of just transition narratives in European coal regions

Author(s): Hermwille, L., Schulze-Steinen, M., Brandemann, V., Roelfes, M., Vrontisi, Z., Kesküla, E., Anger-Kraavi, A., Tremabczowski, Ł., Madrysz, W., Muster, R., & Zygmunt-Ziemianek, A.
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue Vol. 104, 2023, Page(s) 103263, ISSN 2214-6296
Publisher: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2023.103263

Strengthening Gender Justice in a Just Transition: A Research Agenda Based on a Systematic Map of Gender in Coal Transitions

Author(s): Paula Walk; Isabell Braunger; Josephine Semb; Carolin Brodtmann; Pao-Yu Oei; Claudia Kemfert
Published in: Energies, Issue Volume 14, Issue 18, 2021, Page(s) 1-27, ISSN 1996-1073
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/en14185985

Towards a just transition: Identifying EU regions at a socioeconomic risk of the low-carbon transition

Author(s): Zoi Vrontisi, Ioannis Charalampidis, Konstantinos Fragkiadakis, Florou Alkistis
Published in: Energy and Climate Change, Issue Vol. 5, 2024, Page(s) 100129, ISSN 2666-2787
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100129

An assessment of Germany's remaining CO2-budget - Can Germany still afford to destroy villages to burn more coal?

Author(s): Pao-Yu Oei and Philipp Herpich
Published in: Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, Issue Vol 66 / Issue 4, 2024, ISSN 1939-9154
Publisher: Taylor and Francis
DOI: 10.1080/00139157.2024.2338049

Mapping regional vulnerability in Europe’s energy transition: development and application of an indicator to assess declining employment in four carbon-intensive industries

Author(s): Will McDowall; Tobias Reinauer; Panagiotis Fragkos; Michal Miedzinski; Jennifer Cronin
Published in: Climatic Change, Issue 176:7, 2023, Page(s) 1-23, ISSN 1573-1480
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03478-w

Challenges and Opportunities of Coal Phase-Out in Western Macedonia

Author(s): Dimitris Ziouzios, Evangelos Karlopoulos, Panagiotis Fragkos, Zoi Vrontisi
Published in: Climate, Issue Volume 9, issue 7, 2021, ISSN 2225-1154
Publisher: MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/cli9070115

Overcoming political stalemates: The German stakeholder commission on phasing out coal

Author(s): Hauenstein, C., Braunger, I., Krumm, A., & Oei, P.-Y.
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue Vol. 103, 2023, Page(s) 103203, ISSN 2214-6296
Publisher: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2023.103203

Who are the victims of low-carbon transitions? Towards a political ecology of climate change mitigation

Author(s): Benjamin Sovacool
Published in: Energy Research & Social Science, Issue volume 73, March 2021, 2021, ISSN 2214-6296
Publisher: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2021.101916

Carbon Intensive Regions in Transition - Unravelling the Challenges of Structural Change

Deliverables

Publications

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