Project description
Studying Ice Sheets to project future sea levels
How to project future sea levels? The case of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is relevant, as it stores a substantial volume of freshwater on land. However, WAIS is thought to be inherently unstable. The EU-funded INCISED project aims to show that WAIS retreat can be dated and quantified. In this scope, INCISED will operate a rapid drilling to the ice sheet bed to retrieve direct records of past collapse. The methodology of the project will be based on recent engineering advances in ice coring and a new subglacial rock drill to take bedrock samples from carefully selected sites. What’s more, numerical ice sheet modelling will be used to link changes in past ice levels to give a projection of possible sea level contribution.
Objective
The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) stores a substantial volume of freshwater on land. It is thought to be inherently unstable and so projections of future sea level rise require robust numerical ice sheet models, fully calibrated against geological data. The WAIS is widely believed to have collapsed in past warm interglacial periods, raising sea level by up to 3.3m but perhaps surprisingly we do not yet have direct evidence of collapse from Antarctica that can be securely dated. Instead global sea level data have been used to infer that some combination of WAIS, Greenland and the East Antarctic Ice Sheet collapsed in one or more past interglacials, but with substantial uncertainty as to how this mass loss was partitioned between the ice sheets. This matters because it means that models projecting future sea level are calibrated against an assumption of how small the WAIS became during past warm periods.
I argue that a fresh approach is needed, one that provides direct evidence of WAIS retreat that can be dated and quantified. INCISED will provide this by rapid drilling to the ice sheet bed to retrieve direct records of past collapse. New modelling of cosmogenic isotope concentrations shows that hypotheses of past WAIS collapses can be tested by analysis of subglacial bedrock from carefully selected sites. INCISED exploits recent engineering advances in ice coring and a new subglacial rock drill to take bedrock samples which will be used to determine past lowering of the ice surface to test for WAIS collapse. Numerical ice sheet modelling will link changes in past ice levels to quantify the range of possible sea level contribution. By determining and quantifying the configuration of WAIS during warm periods I will provide firm targets for ice sheet model calibration and thus more secure future sea level projections. INCISED will deliver a transformative change in modelling of WAIS sea level contributions as well as a significant equipment legacy.
Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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H2020-EU.1.1. - EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
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Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
ERC-ADG - Advanced Grant
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) ERC-2019-ADG
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DH1 3LE DURHAM
United Kingdom
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