Cereal yield response to climate change in key grain producing areas of the Northern Hemisphere

Informazioni relative al progetto

CLIMRES

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 893789

DOI

10.3030/893789

Progetto concluso il 30 Giugno 2021

Data della firma CE 28 Luglio 2020

Data di avvio 1 Ottobre 2020

Data di completamento 30 Settembre 2022

Finanziato da

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Costo totale

€ 219 312,00

Contributo UE

€ 219 312,00

Coordinato da

AARHUS UNIVERSITET
Denmark

Periodic Reporting for period 1 - CLIMRES (Cereal yield response to climate change in key grain producing areas of the Northern Hemisphere)

Periodo di rendicontazione: 2020-10-01 al 2022-09-30

Sintesi del contesto e degli obiettivi generali del progetto

Vulnerability mapping is a field of increasing importance as we search for an ecologically and economically sustainable climate-smart land-use system, which is necessary for the development of green infrastructure and agriculture. Vulnerability mapping is a growing field with increasing importance in developing an ecologically and economically sustainable climate-smart land-use system, which may serve the advancement of green infrastructure and agricultural production. The transformation of the climatic regime has an undeniable impact on plant production, but we rarely have long enough data series to scrutinize the unfolding effects of the microregional patterns of the global climate-cereal yield relationship. To fill this gap, three regions of the Northern Hemisphere under continental climate will be analysed, which represent key landscapes concerning global food production and security, contributing to a multi-way knowledge transfer through training, teaching, and different form of communication activities. The relationship between climate indices, maize, and wheat yields will be analyzed applying high geographical resolution data from Northern China, Hungary, and northern states of the US Midwest at a landscape scale by Köppen-Geiger zones using linear, local, and spatial regression and bootstrap resampling tests and developed data visualization techniques. This offers a unique opportunity to comparatively analyze the differences in climate-cereal yield associations by landscape types and regions. The expected results will provide highly supportive factors for planning and managing an ecologically and economically sustainable land-use system.

Lavoro eseguito dall’inizio del progetto fino alla fine del periodo coperto dalla relazione e principali risultati finora ottenuti

Period Activity
01-10-2020 – 10-12-2020 Training in communication and writing; Statistical training for learning geographically and locally weighted regression; t
11-12-2020 – 23-2-2021 Descriptive statistical analyses. Definition of landscape types, growing seasons of cereals in study areas, and Köppen-Geiger climate
classification of study areas
23-02-2021 Alternative activity discovered
23-02-2021 Notification of fellowship holder to stop alternative activity
29-03-2021 Fellowship termination notice due to breach of contract conditions. Fellowship holder relieved of work during termination period
31-06-2021 Termination of fellowship

Progressi oltre lo stato dell’arte e potenziale impatto previsto (incluso l’impatto socioeconomico e le implicazioni sociali più ampie del progetto fino ad ora)

Due to the early termination of the fellowship, there are no results to report here.

Wheat yield averages by landscape types in the Midwest, USA

Maize yield averages by landscape types in the Midwest, USA