Project description
Testing the storyline approach for better climate decision-making
Over the past decade, the field of attribution and detection in climate studies has witnessed the emergence and evolution of the storyline approach. Despite its commendable qualities, proponents of probabilistic methods have voiced criticisms and raised questions about it. The MSCA-funded UN3 project will investigate the relationship between the storyline approach and scientific philosophy, with the primary goals of establishing credibility and promoting discourse. The project’s main focus is on the comparative analysis of ‘factivity’ within both the storyline-based and probabilistic frameworks. Additionally, UN3 seeks to assess the efficacy of employing storylines for informed decision-making in uncertain scenarios and enhancing strategic planning. Furthermore, the project delves into the integration of local knowledge to ensure equitable representation in climate science, thereby furnishing valuable insights for decision-makers.
Objective
"In the last decade, the ""storyline"" approach has been introduced and developed in the subfield of attribution and detection in climate studies. In spite of its merits, it has been met with harsh criticism, especially from advocates of probabilistic approaches. The overall aim of UN3 is to explore and exploit the symbiotic relations between the storyline approach and the philosophy of scientific understanding, to foster the legitimation of the former and advance internal philosophical debates in the latter. UN3 is organized into three research work packages with a specific objective. WP1 investigates the ""factivity"" of storyline-based understanding. Its specific objective is to characterize and evaluate storyline-based scientific understanding, emphasising its complementarities with and divergences from probabilistic understanding, particularly in terms of their factivity. WP2 investigates the ""effectiveness"" of storyline-based understanding. Its specific objective is to assess the effectiveness/factivity ratio of storyline-based understanding in successful decision-making under deep uncertainty, particularly in terms of informing robust and/or adaptive strategies and exploiting their relations. WP3 investigates the ""transdisciplinarity"" of storyline-based understanding. Its specific objective is to identify, characterize, and develop transdisciplinary means in which storyline-based understanding may be advanced by local knowledge and, in turn, advance epistemic justice in climate science, particularly in terms of conveying actionable knowledge. The overall methodology is inter- and transdisciplinary, involving theoretical and empirical components, and including collaborations with academic researchers from various centres and with non-academic stakeholders. UN3 will be conducted at Politecnico di Milano with Prof. Giovanni Valente as supervisor and Prof. Massimo Tavoni as co-supervisor. A secondment is planned at TU Delft, with Prof. Behnam Taebi as host."
Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)
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CORDIS classifies projects with EuroSciVoc, a multilingual taxonomy of fields of science, through a semi-automatic process based on NLP techniques. See: The European Science Vocabulary.
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Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
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Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)
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Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
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Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships
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Call for proposal
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(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2022-PF-01
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20133 Milano
Italy
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