Project description
New solution for assessing atmospheric blocking
Weather phenomena such as droughts and heat waves are on the rise due to climate change. These events, which cause socioeconomic damage and pose a threat to human well-being, are often linked to a phenomenon known as atmospheric blocking. Accurately predicting blocking and its response to climate change is of utmost importance. Despite decades of research, climate models still exhibit substantial errors in simulating atmospheric blocking. Recently, a new traffic-jam theory has shown promise. The MSCA-funded atm blocking project aims to harness the insights gained from the traffic-jam theory to identify key dynamical drivers for addressing errors in state-of-the-art climate models related to blocking. This innovation will improve the assessment of climate models' performance in simulating blocking events, providing the precision needed to identify the responsible atmospheric processes.
Objective
Cold spells, heatwaves and droughts have severe socio-economic impacts and are related to a peculiar phenomenon known as ‘atmospheric blocking’. Accurate and timely prediction of blocking frequency and strength is therefore of enormous importance. However, despite decades of research, climate models still exhibit substantial errors in blocking, leading to large uncertainties in seasonal-to-decadal predictions and future projections of blocking trends. At the root of this is the lack of a fundamental theory for blocking and an appropriate metric to identify blocks. A recent theoretical breakthrough offers an exciting path forward by drawing an analogy between blocking in the atmosphere to traffic jams on a highway. The traffic jam – blocking theory, which is based on the conservation properties of large-amplitude nonlinear waves, has led to a conceptual simplification of why blocks occur. Leveraging the promise shown by this new theory, ATM BLOCKING will provide the first-ever assessment of the key dynamical drivers of blocking errors and trends in the state-of-the-art global climate models. The success of ATM BLOCKING will offer a new theoretical basis for evaluating the performance of climate models in simulating blocks, with an unprecedented ability to pinpoint the responsible atmospheric processes across timescales. Down the road, these results will help policy makers and stakeholders to prepare for risks associated with climate change and weather extremes. The project proposes to address the problem using a combination of theory, numerical modeling and statistical analysis at University of Bergen, Norway in close collaboration with the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research under the supervision of leading experts in climate dynamics, climate modeling and weather extremes. In addition, the researcher’s own expertise in the theory of blocking will ensure the success of the project while facilitating two-way knowledge transfer between the researcher and the host.
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Keywords
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Project’s keywords as indicated by the project coordinator. Not to be confused with the EuroSciVoc taxonomy (Fields of science)
Programme(s)
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
Multi-annual funding programmes that define the EU’s priorities for research and innovation.
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HORIZON.1.2 - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA)
MAIN PROGRAMME
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Topic(s)
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Calls for proposals are divided into topics. A topic defines a specific subject or area for which applicants can submit proposals. The description of a topic comprises its specific scope and the expected impact of the funded project.
Funding Scheme
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
Funding scheme (or “Type of Action”) inside a programme with common features. It specifies: the scope of what is funded; the reimbursement rate; specific evaluation criteria to qualify for funding; and the use of simplified forms of costs like lump sums.
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships
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Call for proposal
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
Procedure for inviting applicants to submit project proposals, with the aim of receiving EU funding.
(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2022-PF-01
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Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.
5020 Bergen
Norway
The total costs incurred by this organisation to participate in the project, including direct and indirect costs. This amount is a subset of the overall project budget.