Arctic Regime Adaptation to Great Power Competition: The Security Dimension

Informazioni relative al progetto

ARA

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101026897

DOI

10.3030/101026897

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 23 Aprile 2021

Data di avvio 1 Settembre 2022

Data di completamento 20 Luglio 2025

Finanziato da

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Costo totale

€ 202 158,72

Contributo UE

€ 202 158,72

Coordinato da

UNIVERSITETET I TROMSOE - NORGES ARKTISKE UNIVERSITET
Norway

Periodic Reporting for period 1 - ARA (Arctic Regime Adaptation to Great Power Competition: The Security Dimension)

Periodo di rendicontazione: 2022-09-01 al 2024-08-31

Sintesi del contesto e degli obiettivi generali del progetto

The Arctic experiences the acute effects of shifts in the global power balance. Competition involves the United States, Russia, and China, and the outcome will be pivotal for Arctic cooperation, particularly in its security dimension. The ARA project examined how power politics influences the stability and transformation of international regimes. As the Arctic affects global security, climate, and governance, the outcomes of international regime transformation shape broader patterns of international cooperation or rivalry.
The overall objective of ARA was to understand the interplay between the shifting power balance and international regime resilience, outlining a model for Arctic regime adaptation. By the end of the project, the key conclusions show that (1) core norms of international regimes provide a power asset for key actors, and (2) sources of leverage within regimes are insufficiently theorised and therefore systematically underestimated. These findings are central to explaining why institutions may remain resilient even under major power rivalry, providing a basis for both scholarly theory-building and informed policy debate.

Lavoro eseguito dall’inizio del progetto fino alla fine del periodo coperto dalla relazione e principali risultati finora ottenuti

Between 2022 and 2025, the project developed a new realist outlook for understanding the role of norms in international regimes within great-power competition and explored the leadership pattern resulting in a non-accommodation strategy. These insights help explain overlooked reasons for institutional resilience.
The research combined political analysis with corpus linguistics. The project developed Python tools and multilingual corpora that can support future research on international politics. Results have been shared through peer-reviewed journal articles, a forthcoming edited book, conference presentations, and outreach activities such as a policy brief. These outputs are being exploited through academic publications, teaching activities, and open dissemination (repository deposits, policy brief circulation, and conference presentations).

Progressi oltre lo stato dell’arte e potenziale impatto previsto (incluso l’impatto socioeconomico e le implicazioni sociali più ampie del progetto fino ad ora)

The ARA project moves beyond existing studies by enhancing realist understandings of regime dynamics during power transitions. It reveals conditions under which international regimes continue to function, and identifies similar patterns in other contested international regimes.
Results are being disseminated through peer-reviewed articles, a forthcoming Springer edited volume, conference presentations, and a policy brief for decision-makers. The multilingual corpora and Python tools developed will also be available for future research, enabling further analysis of great-power relations in the Arctic and beyond.
The impacts extend beyond academia. The results provide insights for researchers, students, and policy-makers, and contribute to more informed European and global debate on Arctic governance and great-power diplomacy. The project strengthens Europe’s role in Arctic research and supports informed decision-making in the face of great-power competition.

2023-05-poster-ara-mk-jpg-small.jpg