The project has produced a set of ~150 spatial TEN-N variants integrating modelled distributions for an unprecedented number of species and habitats and ecosystem services at a resolution of 1-km, further accounting for socio-economic costs, land use scenarios, ecological connectivity and climate resilience. These scenarios identify priorities for conservation, strict protection and restoration, as elements of a coherent and resilient TEN-N.
The project has also evaluated the connectivity of the Natura2000 network for 27 different ecological archetypes (species with similar traits related to dispersal ecology) and has developed a novel workflow to identify and prioritise functional corridors at the Pan-European scale for the different species archetypes.
To assess the future feasibility and resilience of TEN-N the project team has produced spatially explicit data for land–use and climate scenarios in Europe. The land-use projections are spatial realization of different storylines of Nature-Positive futures, based on the IPBES Nature Futures framework, and for which scenario storylines have been published during 2025. These scenarios will be used in the context of the project to identify areas of higher opportunity for conservation, restoration and rewilding, and areas where nature conservation will be challenged by higher expected competition for extractive or productive activities, as well as urban sprawling.
The project team has also completed a review and synthesis of best governance and policy practices for implementing ecological corridors with green and blue infrastructure and effectively managing protected areas. This effort involved an in-depth examination of current policies and governance practices using Political Economy Analysis (PEA). The result was a series of recommendations for mainstreaming best practices and reducing implementation gaps summarised in various steps, from the identification of implementation challenges and their causes to five proposed solution pathways. In addition, a series of factsheets describing potential funding sources for TEN–N has been produced after a desk research that analysed the suitability of each of these sources to fund the management of protected areas and connectivity conservation projects.
Predictive species distribution models have been completed for 12,468 plant species, 6,844 invertebrate and 1,210 terrestrial vertebrate species. Predictive models on ecosystem extent have been similarly produced for all EUNIS Level–3 habitat classes (N=234). Furthermore, a set of ecosystem services layers has been produced based on models for present and future climate and land use. These include carbon storage and sequestration, soil retention, crop pollination, the landscape recreational potential, and species-based ecosystem services such as carrion removal, pest control, and evolutionary heritage. All data has been made openly available following FAIR principles.
