Socioeconomic Pathways, Adaptation and Resilience to Changing CLimate in Europe

Project Information

SPARCCLE

Grant agreement ID: 101081369

DOI

10.3030/101081369

EC signature date 24 April 2023

Start date 1 September 2023

End date 28 February 2027

Funded under

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Total cost

€ 4 610 787,50

EU contribution

€ 4 610 787,50

Coordinated by

INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE
Austria

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (1)

Communications materials

Release of the complete set of communication materials and tools, including a beta version of website. The TRACCESPARCCLE communication and dissemination materials and tools will include a project website, social media activities (especially Twitter and LinkedIn), an e-newsletter (at least every 6 months), as well as a podcasts, and a limited number of printed materials for outreach events (D1.4). This will also include a logo, visual identity and templates for documents and presentations. Initial printed and digital materials summarizing the project (e.g. leaflet). Create relevant social media accounts and profile, e.g. Twitter. Related task: Task 1.4

Data Management Plan (1)

DMP

Data Management Plan consistent with FAIR, reviewed/updated in reporting cycle. The DMP will be made public and specify the strategy and implementation for managing data and data-related results of the project, including ensuring FAIR principles and open-access in appropriate repositories, as well as software, data and documentation quality assurance mechanisms. Will be reviewed and updated as necessary as an Annex to the reporting cycle reports. Related task: Task 6.4

Other (1)

Story on the Atlas of Demography

Results of the mapping of exposure and dimensions of adaptative capacities (dataset) to be included as a thematic story in the JRC Atlas of Demography. The dataset produced in Task 3.1 will highlight the heterogeneity in exposure and adaptive capacity across Europe and Outputs of this task will be used primarily in Task 3.2 to assess socioeconomic vulnerabilities with very high spatial granularity across the EU. Presented as maps, the Story will act as a prominent knowledge management tool, help increase the visibility of the output of this task among the EU policymakers. Related task: Task 3.1

Documents, reports (1)

Policy report

Policy analysis report (synergies and trade-offs between EU adaptation and mitigation policies) – based on a systematic review of EU-level policy documents including the European Green Deal, the EU Climate Law, and the EU Adaptation Strategy conducted in Task 1.2. This allows to identify overlaps, synergies and trade-offs between mitigation and adaptation policies, at economy-wide and in and across several key sectors (including agriculture, forestry, energy, and finance). Related task: Task 1.2

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (31)

Global and Planetary Change

Author(s): Wuzhi Shi, Ke Zhang, Zefeng Chen, Yuebo Xie, Giovanni Forzieri
Published in: Global and Planetary Change, Issue 253, 2025, ISSN 0921-8181
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.GLOPLACHA.2025.104962

Earth System Science Data

Author(s): William Lamb; Robbie Andrew; Matthew Jones; Zebedee Nicholls; Glen Peters; Chris Smith; Marielle Saunois; Giacomo Grassi; Julia Pongratz; Steven Smith; Francesco Tubiello; Monica Crippa; Matthew Gidden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Jan Minx; Piers Forster
Published in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 18, 2026, ISSN 1866-3508
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-18-2549-2026

Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites

Author(s): Mahé Perrette, Matthias Mengel
Published in: Science Advances, Issue 11, 2025, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADO4506

Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages

Author(s): Yi-Ling Hwong*, Edward Byers, Michaela Werning and Yann Quilcaille
Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEC11

Nature Climate Change

Author(s): Chantelle Burton, Seppe Lampe, Douglas I. Kelley, Wim Thiery, Stijn Hantson, Nikos Christidis, Lukas Gudmundsson, Matthew Forrest, Eleanor Burke, Jinfeng Chang, Huilin Huang, Akihiko Ito, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Gitta Lasslop, Wei Li, Lars Nieradzik, Fang Li, Yang Chen, James Randerson, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Matthias Mengel
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 14, 2024, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02140-w

Geoscientific Model Development

Author(s): S. Schöngart; S. Schöngart; L. Gudmundsson; M. Hauser; P. Pfleiderer; Q. Lejeune; S. Nath; S. I. Seneviratne; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 17, 2024, ISSN 1991-959X
Publisher: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2024-278

Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions

Author(s): Martino Gilli, Matteo Calcaterra, Johannes Emmerling, Francesco Granella
Published in: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Issue 127, 2024, ISSN 0095-0696
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103012

Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation

Author(s): Doug Richardson; Andreia F. S. Ribeiro; Fulden Batibeniz; Yann Quilcaille; Andrea S. Taschetto; Andrew J. Pitman; Jakob Zscheischler
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 13, 2025, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2024EF005030

Nature Geoscience

Author(s): Peter Pfleiderer; Thomas L. Frölicher; Chahan M. Kropf; Robin D. Lamboll; Quentin Lejeune; Tiago Capela Lourenço; Fabien Maussion; Jamie W. McCaughey; Yann Quilcaille; Joeri Rogelj; Benjamin Sanderson; Lilian Schuster; Jana Sillmann; Chris Smith; Emily Theokritoff; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Nature Geoscience, 2025, ISSN 1752-0894
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-024-01597-W

High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide

Author(s): Sarah Schöngart, Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02325-X

A more complete IMAGE: enhancing the climate change impact representation in integrated assessment models

Author(s): Detlef P van Vuuren, Mathijs Harmsen, Isabela Tagomori, Astrid Bos, Jonathan C Doelman, Lotte de Vos, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Geanderson Ambrósio, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Edward Byers, Vassilis Daioglou, David E H J Gernaat, Nicole van Maanen, Elke Stehfest
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 21, 2026, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AE55B9

Rising waters, falling taxes: The impact of Hurricane Sandy on property tax assessments in New York City

Author(s): Wei Guo, Qing Miao, Yusun Kim, Yilin Hou
Published in: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Issue 138, 2026, ISSN 0095-0696
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.JEEM.2026.103313

Environmental Research Letters

Author(s): Colombi, Nicolas; Kropf, Chahan; Burger, Friedrich; Bresch, David N.; Frölicher, Thomas
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.48620/94393

MESMER-RCM: a probabilistic climate emulator for regional warming projections

Author(s): Hao Pan, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Issue 33, 2026, ISSN 1607-7946
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/NPG-33-73-2026

Nature Climate Change

Author(s): Chahan M. Kropf, Lisa Vaterlaus, David N. Bresch, Loïc Pellissier
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-024-02194-W

Aerosol‐Cloud Interactions: Overcoming a Barrier to Projecting Near‐Term Climate Evolution and Risk

Author(s): Im, Ulas; Samset, Bjørn; Nenes, Athanasios; Thomas, Jennie; Kokkola, Harri; Dubovik, Oleg; Amiridis, Vassilis; Arola, Antti; Bellouin, Nicolas; Benedetti, Angela; Bilde, Merete; Blichner, Sara; Decesari, Stefano; Ekman, Annica; García‐pando, Carlos; Gross, Silke; Gryspeerdt, Edward; Hasekamp, Otto; Kahn, Ralph; Laakso, Anton; Lohmann, Ulrike; Marelle, Louis; Massling, Andreas; Myhre, Cathrine; Pöhlker, Mira; Quaas, Johannes; Raatikainen, Tomi; Riipinen, Ilona; Schmale, Julia; Seifert, Patric; Skov, Henrik; Smith, Chris; Sporre, Moa; Stier, Philip; Storelvmo, Trude; Tsigaridis, Kostas; van Diedenhoven, Bastiaan; Virtanen, Annele; Wandinger, Ulla; Wilcox, Laura; Zieger, Paul
Published in: AGU Advances, Issue 7, 2026, ISSN 2576-604X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2025AV001872

Mangroves and their services are at risk from tropical cyclones and sea level rise under climate change

Author(s): Sarah Hülsen; Laura E. Dee; Chahan M. Kropf; Simona Meiler; David N. Bresch
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02242-Z

Nature Climate Change

Author(s): Marina Andrijevic, Caroline Zimm, Jonathan D. Moyer, Raya Muttarak, Shonali Pachauri
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Author(s): Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik L. Schumacher, Thomas Gasser, Richard Heede, Corina Heri, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Philippe Naveau, Wim Thiery, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Published in: Nature, Issue 645, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-09450-9

Global assessment of population exposure to multiple climate-related hazards from 2003 to 2021: a retrospective analysis

Author(s): Zélie Stalhandske; Marleen C de Ruiter; Jonathan Chambers; Sandra Zimmermann; Felipe J Colón-González; Nivedita Sairam; David N Bresch; Chahan M Kropf
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000786855

Women are under-represented in adaptation policy research and are more likely to emphasise justice topics

Author(s): Diana Danilenko, Marina Andrijevic, Anne J Sietsma, Max Callaghan, Tarun Khanna
Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue 3, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad6f3b

Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate

Author(s): Matteo, Aurora; Garnés Morales, Ginés; Moreno, Alberto; Ribeiro, Andreia; Azorín Molina, César; Bedía Jiménez, Joaquín; Di Giuseppe, Francesca; Dunn, Robert J.H.; Herrera García, Sixto; Provenzale, Antonello; Quilcaille, Yann; Torres Vázquez, Miguel Ángel; Turco, Marco
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 8, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000749383

Nature Climate Change

Author(s): Cologna, Viktoria; Meiler, Simona; Kropf, Chahan M.; Lüthi, Samuel; Mede, Niels G.; Bresch, David N.; Lecuona, Oscar; Berger, Sebastian; Besley, John; Brick, Cameron; Joubert, Marina; Maibach, Edward W.; Mihelj, Sabina; Oreskes, Naomi; Schäfer, Mike S.; Linden, Sander van der; null, null; Aziz, Nor Izzatina Abdul; Abdulsalam, Suleiman; Shamsi, Nurulaini Abu; Aczel, Balazs; Adinugroho, Indro; Alabrese, Eleonora; Aldoh, Alaa; Alfano, Mark; Ali, Innocent Mbulli; Alsobay, Mohammed; Alvarez, R. Michael; Amollo, Tabitha; Ansah, Patrick; Apriliawati, Denisa; Azevedo, Flavio; Bajrami, Ani; Bardhan, Ronita; Bati, Keagile; Bertsou, Eri; Bhui, Rahul; Białobrzeska, Olga; Bilewicz, Michal; Bouguettaya, Ayoub; Breeden, Katherine; Bret, Amélie; Buchel, Ondrej; Alvarez, Pablo Cabrera; Cagnoli, Federica; Valdez, André Calero; Callaghan, Timothy; Cases, Rizza Kaye; Çoksan, Sami; Czarnek, Gabriela; Debnath, Ramit; Delouvée, Sylvain; Di Stefano, Lucia; Diaz-Catalàn, Celia; Doell, Kimberly C.; Dohle, Simone; Douglas, Karen M.; Dries, Charlotte; Dubrov, Dmitrii; Dzimińska, Malgorzata; Ecker, Ullrich K. H.; Elbaek, Christian T.; Elsherif, Mahmoud; Enke, Benjamin; Facciani, Matthew; Fage-Butler, Antoinette; Faisal, Zaki; Fan, Xiaoli; Farhart, Christina; Feldhaus, Christoph; Ferreira, Marinus; Feuerriegel, Stefan; Fischer, Helen; Freundt, Jana; Friese, Malte; Gallyamova, Albina; Garrido-Vásquez, Patricia; Garrido Vásquez, Mauricio E.; Genschow, Olivier; Ghasemi, Omid; Gkinopoulos, Theofilos; Gloor, Jamie L.; Goddard, Ellen; Brambila, Claudia González; Gordon, Hazel; Grigoryev, Dmitry; Guenther, Lars; Haarstad, Håvard; Harari, Dana; Hensel, Przemysław; Hernández-Mondragón, Alma Cristal; Herziger, Atar; Huang, Guanxiong; Huff, Markus; Hurley, Mairéad; Ibadildin, Nygmet; Islam, Mohammad Tarikul; Jin, Tao; Jones, Charlotte A.; Jungkunz, Sebastian; Jurgiel, Dominika; Kavassalis, Sarah; Kerr, John R.; Kitsa, Mariana; Rábová, Tereza Klabíková; Klein, Olivier; Koh, Hoyoun; Koivula, Aki; Kojan, Lilian; Komyaginskaya, Elizaveta; König, Laura M.; Koppel, Lina; Koren, Kochav; Kosachenko, Alexandra; Kotcher, John; Kranz, Laura S.; Krishnan, Pradeep; Kristiansen, Silje; Krouwel, André; Kuppens, Toon; Lamm, Claus; Lantian, Anthony; Lazić, Aleksandra; Légal, Jean-Baptiste; Leviston, Zoe; Levy, Neil; Lindkvist, Amanda M.; Lits, Grégoire; Löschel, Andreas; Ortega, Alberto López; Lopez-Villavicencio, Carlos; Lou, Nigel Mantou; Lucas, Chloe H.; Lunz-Trujillo, Kristin; Marques, Mathew D.; Mayer, Sabrina J.; McKay, Ryan; Milfont, Taciano L.; Miller, Joanne M.; Mitkidis, Panagiotis; Monge-Rodríguez, Fredy; Motta, Matt; Muršič, Zarja; Namutebi, Jennifer; Newman, Eryn J.; Nitschke, Jonas P.; Ntui, Ntui-Njock Vincent; Nwogwugwu, Daniel; Ostermann, Thomas; Otterbring, Tobias; Pantazi, Myrto; Pärnamets, Philip; Saiani, Paolo Parra; Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola; Parzuchowski, Michal; Pavlov, Yuri G.; Pearson, Adam R.; Pennington, Charlotte R.; Petkanopoulou, Katerina; Petrović, Marija B.; Pisareva, Dinara; Ploszaj, Adam; Pronizius, Ekaterina; Pštross, Karolína; Pypno-Blajda, Katarzyna; Quiñones, Diwa Malaya A.; Räsänen, Pekka; Rauchfleisch, Adrian; Rebitschek, Felix G.; Rêgo, Gabriel; Reynolds, James P.; Roche, Joseph; Röer, Jan Philipp; Ross, Robert M.; Ruin, Isabelle; Santos, Osvaldo; Santos, Ricardo R.; Schulreich, Stefan; Shuckburgh, Emily; Six, Johan; Solak, Nevin; Späth, Leonhard; Spruyt, Bram; Stanley, Samantha K.; Strahm, Noel; Syropoulos, Stylianos; Szaszi, Barnabas; Szumowska, Ewa; Tanaka, Mikihito; Teran-Escobar, Claudia; Todorova, Boryana; Toko, Abdoul Kafid; Tokrri, Renata; Toribio-Florez, Daniel; Tsakiris, Manos; Tyrala, Michael; Uluğ, Özden Melis; Uzoma, Ijeoma Chinwe; Noord, Jochem van; Vilares, Iris
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02372-4

Fast climate impact emulation for global temperature scenarios with the Rapid Impact Model Emulator (RIME)

Author(s): Edward Byers*, Michaela Werning, Mahé Perrette, Niklas Schwind, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Published in: Environmental Research: Climate, Issue 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Publisher: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEE3D

Neglecting future sporadic volcanic eruptions underestimates climate uncertainty

Author(s): Man Mei Chim; Thomas Aubry; Christopher Smith; Anja Schmidt
Published in: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02208-1

Climate Impacts in Scenarios: Time to Close the Loop?

Author(s): Claudia Tebaldi, Brian O'Neill, Edward Byers
Published in: Earth's Future, Issue 14, 2026, ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF007622

Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes

Author(s): Luke Grant, Inne Vanderkelen, Lukas Gudmundsson, Erich Fischer, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Wim Thiery
Published in: Nature, Issue 641, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08907-1

Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry

Author(s): Robert I. McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Mark Mulligan, Chahan M. Kropf, Sarah Hülsen, Preston Welker, Erin Poor, James T. Erbaugh, Yuta J. Masuda
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/FENVS.2024.1432654

Environmental Research Letters

Author(s): Shouro Dasgupta, Johannes Emmerling, Soheil Shayegh
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 18, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0448

Connecting complex and simplified models of tipping elements: a nonlinear two-forcing emulator for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Author(s): Laridon, Amaury; Couplet, Victor; Gérard, Justin; Thiery, Wim; Crucifix, Michel
Published in: Open Research Europe, 2025, ISSN 2732-5121
Publisher: Directorate-General for DG RTD
DOI: 10.12688/OPENRESEUROPE.19479.2

Journal of Climate

Author(s): Carolina Gallo; Bastien Dieppois; Yann Quilcaille; Maria Vincenza Chiriacò; Peter Z. Fulé; Igor Drobyshev; Jesús San-Miguel-Ayanz; Matthew Blackett; Jonathan M. Eden
Published in: Journal of Climate, Issue 38, 2025, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0540.1

Other (2)

A neural network architecture for disaggregating age-specific population projections to the sub-national level

Author(s): Tamburini, A., Bosco, C., & Striessnig, S. 
Published in: IIASA Working Paper, 2025
Publisher: IIASA

Managed Retreat and Flood Recovery: The Local Economic Impacts of a Buyout and Acquisition Program

Author(s): Wei Guo, Yanjun (Penny) Liao, and Qing Miao
Published in: RFF Working Paper No. 23-44, 2023
Publisher: Resources for the Future (RFF)