Socioeconomic Pathways, Adaptation and Resilience to Changing CLimate in Europe

Información del proyecto

SPARCCLE

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 101081369

DOI

10.3030/101081369

Fecha de la firma de la CE 24 Abril 2023

Fecha de inicio 1 Septiembre 2023

Fecha de finalización 28 Febrero 2027

Financiado con arreglo a

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Coste total

€ 4 610 787,50

Aportación de la UE

€ 4 610 787,50

Coordinado por

INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE
Austria

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Resultado final

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (1)

Communications materials

Release of the complete set of communication materials and tools, including a beta version of website. The TRACCESPARCCLE communication and dissemination materials and tools will include a project website, social media activities (especially Twitter and LinkedIn), an e-newsletter (at least every 6 months), as well as a podcasts, and a limited number of printed materials for outreach events (D1.4). This will also include a logo, visual identity and templates for documents and presentations. Initial printed and digital materials summarizing the project (e.g. leaflet). Create relevant social media accounts and profile, e.g. Twitter. Related task: Task 1.4

Data Management Plan (1)

DMP

Data Management Plan consistent with FAIR, reviewed/updated in reporting cycle. The DMP will be made public and specify the strategy and implementation for managing data and data-related results of the project, including ensuring FAIR principles and open-access in appropriate repositories, as well as software, data and documentation quality assurance mechanisms. Will be reviewed and updated as necessary as an Annex to the reporting cycle reports. Related task: Task 6.4

Other (1)

Story on the Atlas of Demography

Results of the mapping of exposure and dimensions of adaptative capacities (dataset) to be included as a thematic story in the JRC Atlas of Demography. The dataset produced in Task 3.1 will highlight the heterogeneity in exposure and adaptive capacity across Europe and Outputs of this task will be used primarily in Task 3.2 to assess socioeconomic vulnerabilities with very high spatial granularity across the EU. Presented as maps, the Story will act as a prominent knowledge management tool, help increase the visibility of the output of this task among the EU policymakers. Related task: Task 3.1

Documents, reports (1)

Policy report

Policy analysis report (synergies and trade-offs between EU adaptation and mitigation policies) – based on a systematic review of EU-level policy documents including the European Green Deal, the EU Climate Law, and the EU Adaptation Strategy conducted in Task 1.2. This allows to identify overlaps, synergies and trade-offs between mitigation and adaptation policies, at economy-wide and in and across several key sectors (including agriculture, forestry, energy, and finance). Related task: Task 1.2

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (31)

Global and Planetary Change

Autores: Wuzhi Shi, Ke Zhang, Zefeng Chen, Yuebo Xie, Giovanni Forzieri
Publicado en: Global and Planetary Change, Edición 253, 2025, ISSN 0921-8181
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.GLOPLACHA.2025.104962

Earth System Science Data

Autores: William Lamb; Robbie Andrew; Matthew Jones; Zebedee Nicholls; Glen Peters; Chris Smith; Marielle Saunois; Giacomo Grassi; Julia Pongratz; Steven Smith; Francesco Tubiello; Monica Crippa; Matthew Gidden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Jan Minx; Piers Forster
Publicado en: Earth System Science Data, Edición 18, 2026, ISSN 1866-3508
Editor: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-18-2549-2026

Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites

Autores: Mahé Perrette, Matthias Mengel
Publicado en: Science Advances, Edición 11, 2025, ISSN 2375-2548
Editor: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADO4506

Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages

Autores: Yi-Ling Hwong*, Edward Byers, Michaela Werning and Yann Quilcaille
Publicado en: Environmental Research: Climate, Edición 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Editor: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEC11

Nature Climate Change

Autores: Chantelle Burton, Seppe Lampe, Douglas I. Kelley, Wim Thiery, Stijn Hantson, Nikos Christidis, Lukas Gudmundsson, Matthew Forrest, Eleanor Burke, Jinfeng Chang, Huilin Huang, Akihiko Ito, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Gitta Lasslop, Wei Li, Lars Nieradzik, Fang Li, Yang Chen, James Randerson, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Matthias Mengel
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 14, 2024, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02140-w

Geoscientific Model Development

Autores: S. Schöngart; S. Schöngart; L. Gudmundsson; M. Hauser; P. Pfleiderer; Q. Lejeune; S. Nath; S. I. Seneviratne; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 17, 2024, ISSN 1991-959X
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2024-278

Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions

Autores: Martino Gilli, Matteo Calcaterra, Johannes Emmerling, Francesco Granella
Publicado en: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Edición 127, 2024, ISSN 0095-0696
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103012

Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation

Autores: Doug Richardson; Andreia F. S. Ribeiro; Fulden Batibeniz; Yann Quilcaille; Andrea S. Taschetto; Andrew J. Pitman; Jakob Zscheischler
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 13, 2025, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2024EF005030

Nature Geoscience

Autores: Peter Pfleiderer; Thomas L. Frölicher; Chahan M. Kropf; Robin D. Lamboll; Quentin Lejeune; Tiago Capela Lourenço; Fabien Maussion; Jamie W. McCaughey; Yann Quilcaille; Joeri Rogelj; Benjamin Sanderson; Lilian Schuster; Jana Sillmann; Chris Smith; Emily Theokritoff; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Nature Geoscience, 2025, ISSN 1752-0894
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-024-01597-W

High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide

Autores: Sarah Schöngart, Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02325-X

A more complete IMAGE: enhancing the climate change impact representation in integrated assessment models

Autores: Detlef P van Vuuren, Mathijs Harmsen, Isabela Tagomori, Astrid Bos, Jonathan C Doelman, Lotte de Vos, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Geanderson Ambrósio, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Edward Byers, Vassilis Daioglou, David E H J Gernaat, Nicole van Maanen, Elke Stehfest
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 21, 2026, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AE55B9

Rising waters, falling taxes: The impact of Hurricane Sandy on property tax assessments in New York City

Autores: Wei Guo, Qing Miao, Yusun Kim, Yilin Hou
Publicado en: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Edición 138, 2026, ISSN 0095-0696
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.JEEM.2026.103313

Environmental Research Letters

Autores: Colombi, Nicolas; Kropf, Chahan; Burger, Friedrich; Bresch, David N.; Frölicher, Thomas
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.48620/94393

MESMER-RCM: a probabilistic climate emulator for regional warming projections

Autores: Hao Pan, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Publicado en: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Edición 33, 2026, ISSN 1607-7946
Editor: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/NPG-33-73-2026

Nature Climate Change

Autores: Chahan M. Kropf, Lisa Vaterlaus, David N. Bresch, Loïc Pellissier
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-024-02194-W

Aerosol‐Cloud Interactions: Overcoming a Barrier to Projecting Near‐Term Climate Evolution and Risk

Autores: Im, Ulas; Samset, Bjørn; Nenes, Athanasios; Thomas, Jennie; Kokkola, Harri; Dubovik, Oleg; Amiridis, Vassilis; Arola, Antti; Bellouin, Nicolas; Benedetti, Angela; Bilde, Merete; Blichner, Sara; Decesari, Stefano; Ekman, Annica; García‐pando, Carlos; Gross, Silke; Gryspeerdt, Edward; Hasekamp, Otto; Kahn, Ralph; Laakso, Anton; Lohmann, Ulrike; Marelle, Louis; Massling, Andreas; Myhre, Cathrine; Pöhlker, Mira; Quaas, Johannes; Raatikainen, Tomi; Riipinen, Ilona; Schmale, Julia; Seifert, Patric; Skov, Henrik; Smith, Chris; Sporre, Moa; Stier, Philip; Storelvmo, Trude; Tsigaridis, Kostas; van Diedenhoven, Bastiaan; Virtanen, Annele; Wandinger, Ulla; Wilcox, Laura; Zieger, Paul
Publicado en: AGU Advances, Edición 7, 2026, ISSN 2576-604X
Editor: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2025AV001872

Mangroves and their services are at risk from tropical cyclones and sea level rise under climate change

Autores: Sarah Hülsen; Laura E. Dee; Chahan M. Kropf; Simona Meiler; David N. Bresch
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02242-Z

Nature Climate Change

Autores: Marina Andrijevic, Caroline Zimm, Jonathan D. Moyer, Raya Muttarak, Shonali Pachauri
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Autores: Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik L. Schumacher, Thomas Gasser, Richard Heede, Corina Heri, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Philippe Naveau, Wim Thiery, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 645, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-09450-9

Global assessment of population exposure to multiple climate-related hazards from 2003 to 2021: a retrospective analysis

Autores: Zélie Stalhandske; Marleen C de Ruiter; Jonathan Chambers; Sandra Zimmermann; Felipe J Colón-González; Nivedita Sairam; David N Bresch; Chahan M Kropf
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000786855

Women are under-represented in adaptation policy research and are more likely to emphasise justice topics

Autores: Diana Danilenko, Marina Andrijevic, Anne J Sietsma, Max Callaghan, Tarun Khanna
Publicado en: Environmental Research: Climate, Edición 3, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad6f3b

Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate

Autores: Matteo, Aurora; Garnés Morales, Ginés; Moreno, Alberto; Ribeiro, Andreia; Azorín Molina, César; Bedía Jiménez, Joaquín; Di Giuseppe, Francesca; Dunn, Robert J.H.; Herrera García, Sixto; Provenzale, Antonello; Quilcaille, Yann; Torres Vázquez, Miguel Ángel; Turco, Marco
Publicado en: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Edición 8, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000749383

Nature Climate Change

Autores: Cologna, Viktoria; Meiler, Simona; Kropf, Chahan M.; Lüthi, Samuel; Mede, Niels G.; Bresch, David N.; Lecuona, Oscar; Berger, Sebastian; Besley, John; Brick, Cameron; Joubert, Marina; Maibach, Edward W.; Mihelj, Sabina; Oreskes, Naomi; Schäfer, Mike S.; Linden, Sander van der; null, null; Aziz, Nor Izzatina Abdul; Abdulsalam, Suleiman; Shamsi, Nurulaini Abu; Aczel, Balazs; Adinugroho, Indro; Alabrese, Eleonora; Aldoh, Alaa; Alfano, Mark; Ali, Innocent Mbulli; Alsobay, Mohammed; Alvarez, R. Michael; Amollo, Tabitha; Ansah, Patrick; Apriliawati, Denisa; Azevedo, Flavio; Bajrami, Ani; Bardhan, Ronita; Bati, Keagile; Bertsou, Eri; Bhui, Rahul; Białobrzeska, Olga; Bilewicz, Michal; Bouguettaya, Ayoub; Breeden, Katherine; Bret, Amélie; Buchel, Ondrej; Alvarez, Pablo Cabrera; Cagnoli, Federica; Valdez, André Calero; Callaghan, Timothy; Cases, Rizza Kaye; Çoksan, Sami; Czarnek, Gabriela; Debnath, Ramit; Delouvée, Sylvain; Di Stefano, Lucia; Diaz-Catalàn, Celia; Doell, Kimberly C.; Dohle, Simone; Douglas, Karen M.; Dries, Charlotte; Dubrov, Dmitrii; Dzimińska, Malgorzata; Ecker, Ullrich K. H.; Elbaek, Christian T.; Elsherif, Mahmoud; Enke, Benjamin; Facciani, Matthew; Fage-Butler, Antoinette; Faisal, Zaki; Fan, Xiaoli; Farhart, Christina; Feldhaus, Christoph; Ferreira, Marinus; Feuerriegel, Stefan; Fischer, Helen; Freundt, Jana; Friese, Malte; Gallyamova, Albina; Garrido-Vásquez, Patricia; Garrido Vásquez, Mauricio E.; Genschow, Olivier; Ghasemi, Omid; Gkinopoulos, Theofilos; Gloor, Jamie L.; Goddard, Ellen; Brambila, Claudia González; Gordon, Hazel; Grigoryev, Dmitry; Guenther, Lars; Haarstad, Håvard; Harari, Dana; Hensel, Przemysław; Hernández-Mondragón, Alma Cristal; Herziger, Atar; Huang, Guanxiong; Huff, Markus; Hurley, Mairéad; Ibadildin, Nygmet; Islam, Mohammad Tarikul; Jin, Tao; Jones, Charlotte A.; Jungkunz, Sebastian; Jurgiel, Dominika; Kavassalis, Sarah; Kerr, John R.; Kitsa, Mariana; Rábová, Tereza Klabíková; Klein, Olivier; Koh, Hoyoun; Koivula, Aki; Kojan, Lilian; Komyaginskaya, Elizaveta; König, Laura M.; Koppel, Lina; Koren, Kochav; Kosachenko, Alexandra; Kotcher, John; Kranz, Laura S.; Krishnan, Pradeep; Kristiansen, Silje; Krouwel, André; Kuppens, Toon; Lamm, Claus; Lantian, Anthony; Lazić, Aleksandra; Légal, Jean-Baptiste; Leviston, Zoe; Levy, Neil; Lindkvist, Amanda M.; Lits, Grégoire; Löschel, Andreas; Ortega, Alberto López; Lopez-Villavicencio, Carlos; Lou, Nigel Mantou; Lucas, Chloe H.; Lunz-Trujillo, Kristin; Marques, Mathew D.; Mayer, Sabrina J.; McKay, Ryan; Milfont, Taciano L.; Miller, Joanne M.; Mitkidis, Panagiotis; Monge-Rodríguez, Fredy; Motta, Matt; Muršič, Zarja; Namutebi, Jennifer; Newman, Eryn J.; Nitschke, Jonas P.; Ntui, Ntui-Njock Vincent; Nwogwugwu, Daniel; Ostermann, Thomas; Otterbring, Tobias; Pantazi, Myrto; Pärnamets, Philip; Saiani, Paolo Parra; Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola; Parzuchowski, Michal; Pavlov, Yuri G.; Pearson, Adam R.; Pennington, Charlotte R.; Petkanopoulou, Katerina; Petrović, Marija B.; Pisareva, Dinara; Ploszaj, Adam; Pronizius, Ekaterina; Pštross, Karolína; Pypno-Blajda, Katarzyna; Quiñones, Diwa Malaya A.; Räsänen, Pekka; Rauchfleisch, Adrian; Rebitschek, Felix G.; Rêgo, Gabriel; Reynolds, James P.; Roche, Joseph; Röer, Jan Philipp; Ross, Robert M.; Ruin, Isabelle; Santos, Osvaldo; Santos, Ricardo R.; Schulreich, Stefan; Shuckburgh, Emily; Six, Johan; Solak, Nevin; Späth, Leonhard; Spruyt, Bram; Stanley, Samantha K.; Strahm, Noel; Syropoulos, Stylianos; Szaszi, Barnabas; Szumowska, Ewa; Tanaka, Mikihito; Teran-Escobar, Claudia; Todorova, Boryana; Toko, Abdoul Kafid; Tokrri, Renata; Toribio-Florez, Daniel; Tsakiris, Manos; Tyrala, Michael; Uluğ, Özden Melis; Uzoma, Ijeoma Chinwe; Noord, Jochem van; Vilares, Iris
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02372-4

Fast climate impact emulation for global temperature scenarios with the Rapid Impact Model Emulator (RIME)

Autores: Edward Byers*, Michaela Werning, Mahé Perrette, Niklas Schwind, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publicado en: Environmental Research: Climate, Edición 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Editor: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEE3D

Neglecting future sporadic volcanic eruptions underestimates climate uncertainty

Autores: Man Mei Chim; Thomas Aubry; Christopher Smith; Anja Schmidt
Publicado en: Communications Earth & Environment, Edición 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02208-1

Climate Impacts in Scenarios: Time to Close the Loop?

Autores: Claudia Tebaldi, Brian O'Neill, Edward Byers
Publicado en: Earth's Future, Edición 14, 2026, ISSN 2328-4277
Editor: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF007622

Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes

Autores: Luke Grant, Inne Vanderkelen, Lukas Gudmundsson, Erich Fischer, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Wim Thiery
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 641, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08907-1

Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry

Autores: Robert I. McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Mark Mulligan, Chahan M. Kropf, Sarah Hülsen, Preston Welker, Erin Poor, James T. Erbaugh, Yuta J. Masuda
Publicado en: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Edición 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Editor: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/FENVS.2024.1432654

Environmental Research Letters

Autores: Shouro Dasgupta, Johannes Emmerling, Soheil Shayegh
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 18, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0448

Connecting complex and simplified models of tipping elements: a nonlinear two-forcing emulator for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Autores: Laridon, Amaury; Couplet, Victor; Gérard, Justin; Thiery, Wim; Crucifix, Michel
Publicado en: Open Research Europe, 2025, ISSN 2732-5121
Editor: Directorate-General for DG RTD
DOI: 10.12688/OPENRESEUROPE.19479.2

Journal of Climate

Autores: Carolina Gallo; Bastien Dieppois; Yann Quilcaille; Maria Vincenza Chiriacò; Peter Z. Fulé; Igor Drobyshev; Jesús San-Miguel-Ayanz; Matthew Blackett; Jonathan M. Eden
Publicado en: Journal of Climate, Edición 38, 2025, ISSN 0894-8755
Editor: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0540.1

Other (2)

A neural network architecture for disaggregating age-specific population projections to the sub-national level

Autores: Tamburini, A., Bosco, C., & Striessnig, S. 
Publicado en: IIASA Working Paper, 2025
Editor: IIASA

Managed Retreat and Flood Recovery: The Local Economic Impacts of a Buyout and Acquisition Program

Autores: Wei Guo, Yanjun (Penny) Liao, and Qing Miao
Publicado en: RFF Working Paper No. 23-44, 2023
Editor: Resources for the Future (RFF)