Socioeconomic Pathways, Adaptation and Resilience to Changing CLimate in Europe

Informazioni relative al progetto

SPARCCLE

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 101081369

DOI

10.3030/101081369

Data della firma CE 24 Aprile 2023

Data di avvio 1 Settembre 2023

Data di completamento 28 Febbraio 2027

Finanziato da

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Costo totale

€ 4 610 787,50

Contributo UE

€ 4 610 787,50

Coordinato da

INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE
Austria

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Risultati finali

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (1)

Communications materials

Release of the complete set of communication materials and tools, including a beta version of website. The TRACCESPARCCLE communication and dissemination materials and tools will include a project website, social media activities (especially Twitter and LinkedIn), an e-newsletter (at least every 6 months), as well as a podcasts, and a limited number of printed materials for outreach events (D1.4). This will also include a logo, visual identity and templates for documents and presentations. Initial printed and digital materials summarizing the project (e.g. leaflet). Create relevant social media accounts and profile, e.g. Twitter. Related task: Task 1.4

Data Management Plan (1)

DMP

Data Management Plan consistent with FAIR, reviewed/updated in reporting cycle. The DMP will be made public and specify the strategy and implementation for managing data and data-related results of the project, including ensuring FAIR principles and open-access in appropriate repositories, as well as software, data and documentation quality assurance mechanisms. Will be reviewed and updated as necessary as an Annex to the reporting cycle reports. Related task: Task 6.4

Other (1)

Story on the Atlas of Demography

Results of the mapping of exposure and dimensions of adaptative capacities (dataset) to be included as a thematic story in the JRC Atlas of Demography. The dataset produced in Task 3.1 will highlight the heterogeneity in exposure and adaptive capacity across Europe and Outputs of this task will be used primarily in Task 3.2 to assess socioeconomic vulnerabilities with very high spatial granularity across the EU. Presented as maps, the Story will act as a prominent knowledge management tool, help increase the visibility of the output of this task among the EU policymakers. Related task: Task 3.1

Documents, reports (1)

Policy report

Policy analysis report (synergies and trade-offs between EU adaptation and mitigation policies) – based on a systematic review of EU-level policy documents including the European Green Deal, the EU Climate Law, and the EU Adaptation Strategy conducted in Task 1.2. This allows to identify overlaps, synergies and trade-offs between mitigation and adaptation policies, at economy-wide and in and across several key sectors (including agriculture, forestry, energy, and finance). Related task: Task 1.2

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (31)

Global and Planetary Change

Autori: Wuzhi Shi, Ke Zhang, Zefeng Chen, Yuebo Xie, Giovanni Forzieri
Pubblicato in: Global and Planetary Change, Numero 253, 2025, ISSN 0921-8181
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.GLOPLACHA.2025.104962

Earth System Science Data

Autori: William Lamb; Robbie Andrew; Matthew Jones; Zebedee Nicholls; Glen Peters; Chris Smith; Marielle Saunois; Giacomo Grassi; Julia Pongratz; Steven Smith; Francesco Tubiello; Monica Crippa; Matthew Gidden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Jan Minx; Piers Forster
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Numero 18, 2026, ISSN 1866-3508
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-18-2549-2026

Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites

Autori: Mahé Perrette, Matthias Mengel
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Numero 11, 2025, ISSN 2375-2548
Editore: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADO4506

Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages

Autori: Yi-Ling Hwong*, Edward Byers, Michaela Werning and Yann Quilcaille
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research: Climate, Numero 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Editore: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEC11

Nature Climate Change

Autori: Chantelle Burton, Seppe Lampe, Douglas I. Kelley, Wim Thiery, Stijn Hantson, Nikos Christidis, Lukas Gudmundsson, Matthew Forrest, Eleanor Burke, Jinfeng Chang, Huilin Huang, Akihiko Ito, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Gitta Lasslop, Wei Li, Lars Nieradzik, Fang Li, Yang Chen, James Randerson, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Matthias Mengel
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 14, 2024, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02140-w

Geoscientific Model Development

Autori: S. Schöngart; S. Schöngart; L. Gudmundsson; M. Hauser; P. Pfleiderer; Q. Lejeune; S. Nath; S. I. Seneviratne; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 17, 2024, ISSN 1991-959X
Editore: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2024-278

Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions

Autori: Martino Gilli, Matteo Calcaterra, Johannes Emmerling, Francesco Granella
Pubblicato in: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Numero 127, 2024, ISSN 0095-0696
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103012

Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation

Autori: Doug Richardson; Andreia F. S. Ribeiro; Fulden Batibeniz; Yann Quilcaille; Andrea S. Taschetto; Andrew J. Pitman; Jakob Zscheischler
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 13, 2025, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2024EF005030

Nature Geoscience

Autori: Peter Pfleiderer; Thomas L. Frölicher; Chahan M. Kropf; Robin D. Lamboll; Quentin Lejeune; Tiago Capela Lourenço; Fabien Maussion; Jamie W. McCaughey; Yann Quilcaille; Joeri Rogelj; Benjamin Sanderson; Lilian Schuster; Jana Sillmann; Chris Smith; Emily Theokritoff; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, 2025, ISSN 1752-0894
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-024-01597-W

High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide

Autori: Sarah Schöngart, Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02325-X

A more complete IMAGE: enhancing the climate change impact representation in integrated assessment models

Autori: Detlef P van Vuuren, Mathijs Harmsen, Isabela Tagomori, Astrid Bos, Jonathan C Doelman, Lotte de Vos, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Geanderson Ambrósio, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Edward Byers, Vassilis Daioglou, David E H J Gernaat, Nicole van Maanen, Elke Stehfest
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 21, 2026, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AE55B9

Rising waters, falling taxes: The impact of Hurricane Sandy on property tax assessments in New York City

Autori: Wei Guo, Qing Miao, Yusun Kim, Yilin Hou
Pubblicato in: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Numero 138, 2026, ISSN 0095-0696
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.JEEM.2026.103313

Environmental Research Letters

Autori: Colombi, Nicolas; Kropf, Chahan; Burger, Friedrich; Bresch, David N.; Frölicher, Thomas
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.48620/94393

MESMER-RCM: a probabilistic climate emulator for regional warming projections

Autori: Hao Pan, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Pubblicato in: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Numero 33, 2026, ISSN 1607-7946
Editore: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/NPG-33-73-2026

Nature Climate Change

Autori: Chahan M. Kropf, Lisa Vaterlaus, David N. Bresch, Loïc Pellissier
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-024-02194-W

Aerosol‐Cloud Interactions: Overcoming a Barrier to Projecting Near‐Term Climate Evolution and Risk

Autori: Im, Ulas; Samset, Bjørn; Nenes, Athanasios; Thomas, Jennie; Kokkola, Harri; Dubovik, Oleg; Amiridis, Vassilis; Arola, Antti; Bellouin, Nicolas; Benedetti, Angela; Bilde, Merete; Blichner, Sara; Decesari, Stefano; Ekman, Annica; García‐pando, Carlos; Gross, Silke; Gryspeerdt, Edward; Hasekamp, Otto; Kahn, Ralph; Laakso, Anton; Lohmann, Ulrike; Marelle, Louis; Massling, Andreas; Myhre, Cathrine; Pöhlker, Mira; Quaas, Johannes; Raatikainen, Tomi; Riipinen, Ilona; Schmale, Julia; Seifert, Patric; Skov, Henrik; Smith, Chris; Sporre, Moa; Stier, Philip; Storelvmo, Trude; Tsigaridis, Kostas; van Diedenhoven, Bastiaan; Virtanen, Annele; Wandinger, Ulla; Wilcox, Laura; Zieger, Paul
Pubblicato in: AGU Advances, Numero 7, 2026, ISSN 2576-604X
Editore: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2025AV001872

Mangroves and their services are at risk from tropical cyclones and sea level rise under climate change

Autori: Sarah Hülsen; Laura E. Dee; Chahan M. Kropf; Simona Meiler; David N. Bresch
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02242-Z

Nature Climate Change

Autori: Marina Andrijevic, Caroline Zimm, Jonathan D. Moyer, Raya Muttarak, Shonali Pachauri
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Autori: Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik L. Schumacher, Thomas Gasser, Richard Heede, Corina Heri, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Philippe Naveau, Wim Thiery, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 645, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-09450-9

Global assessment of population exposure to multiple climate-related hazards from 2003 to 2021: a retrospective analysis

Autori: Zélie Stalhandske; Marleen C de Ruiter; Jonathan Chambers; Sandra Zimmermann; Felipe J Colón-González; Nivedita Sairam; David N Bresch; Chahan M Kropf
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Planetary Health, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000786855

Women are under-represented in adaptation policy research and are more likely to emphasise justice topics

Autori: Diana Danilenko, Marina Andrijevic, Anne J Sietsma, Max Callaghan, Tarun Khanna
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research: Climate, Numero 3, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad6f3b

Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate

Autori: Matteo, Aurora; Garnés Morales, Ginés; Moreno, Alberto; Ribeiro, Andreia; Azorín Molina, César; Bedía Jiménez, Joaquín; Di Giuseppe, Francesca; Dunn, Robert J.H.; Herrera García, Sixto; Provenzale, Antonello; Quilcaille, Yann; Torres Vázquez, Miguel Ángel; Turco, Marco
Pubblicato in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Numero 8, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000749383

Nature Climate Change

Autori: Cologna, Viktoria; Meiler, Simona; Kropf, Chahan M.; Lüthi, Samuel; Mede, Niels G.; Bresch, David N.; Lecuona, Oscar; Berger, Sebastian; Besley, John; Brick, Cameron; Joubert, Marina; Maibach, Edward W.; Mihelj, Sabina; Oreskes, Naomi; Schäfer, Mike S.; Linden, Sander van der; null, null; Aziz, Nor Izzatina Abdul; Abdulsalam, Suleiman; Shamsi, Nurulaini Abu; Aczel, Balazs; Adinugroho, Indro; Alabrese, Eleonora; Aldoh, Alaa; Alfano, Mark; Ali, Innocent Mbulli; Alsobay, Mohammed; Alvarez, R. Michael; Amollo, Tabitha; Ansah, Patrick; Apriliawati, Denisa; Azevedo, Flavio; Bajrami, Ani; Bardhan, Ronita; Bati, Keagile; Bertsou, Eri; Bhui, Rahul; Białobrzeska, Olga; Bilewicz, Michal; Bouguettaya, Ayoub; Breeden, Katherine; Bret, Amélie; Buchel, Ondrej; Alvarez, Pablo Cabrera; Cagnoli, Federica; Valdez, André Calero; Callaghan, Timothy; Cases, Rizza Kaye; Çoksan, Sami; Czarnek, Gabriela; Debnath, Ramit; Delouvée, Sylvain; Di Stefano, Lucia; Diaz-Catalàn, Celia; Doell, Kimberly C.; Dohle, Simone; Douglas, Karen M.; Dries, Charlotte; Dubrov, Dmitrii; Dzimińska, Malgorzata; Ecker, Ullrich K. H.; Elbaek, Christian T.; Elsherif, Mahmoud; Enke, Benjamin; Facciani, Matthew; Fage-Butler, Antoinette; Faisal, Zaki; Fan, Xiaoli; Farhart, Christina; Feldhaus, Christoph; Ferreira, Marinus; Feuerriegel, Stefan; Fischer, Helen; Freundt, Jana; Friese, Malte; Gallyamova, Albina; Garrido-Vásquez, Patricia; Garrido Vásquez, Mauricio E.; Genschow, Olivier; Ghasemi, Omid; Gkinopoulos, Theofilos; Gloor, Jamie L.; Goddard, Ellen; Brambila, Claudia González; Gordon, Hazel; Grigoryev, Dmitry; Guenther, Lars; Haarstad, Håvard; Harari, Dana; Hensel, Przemysław; Hernández-Mondragón, Alma Cristal; Herziger, Atar; Huang, Guanxiong; Huff, Markus; Hurley, Mairéad; Ibadildin, Nygmet; Islam, Mohammad Tarikul; Jin, Tao; Jones, Charlotte A.; Jungkunz, Sebastian; Jurgiel, Dominika; Kavassalis, Sarah; Kerr, John R.; Kitsa, Mariana; Rábová, Tereza Klabíková; Klein, Olivier; Koh, Hoyoun; Koivula, Aki; Kojan, Lilian; Komyaginskaya, Elizaveta; König, Laura M.; Koppel, Lina; Koren, Kochav; Kosachenko, Alexandra; Kotcher, John; Kranz, Laura S.; Krishnan, Pradeep; Kristiansen, Silje; Krouwel, André; Kuppens, Toon; Lamm, Claus; Lantian, Anthony; Lazić, Aleksandra; Légal, Jean-Baptiste; Leviston, Zoe; Levy, Neil; Lindkvist, Amanda M.; Lits, Grégoire; Löschel, Andreas; Ortega, Alberto López; Lopez-Villavicencio, Carlos; Lou, Nigel Mantou; Lucas, Chloe H.; Lunz-Trujillo, Kristin; Marques, Mathew D.; Mayer, Sabrina J.; McKay, Ryan; Milfont, Taciano L.; Miller, Joanne M.; Mitkidis, Panagiotis; Monge-Rodríguez, Fredy; Motta, Matt; Muršič, Zarja; Namutebi, Jennifer; Newman, Eryn J.; Nitschke, Jonas P.; Ntui, Ntui-Njock Vincent; Nwogwugwu, Daniel; Ostermann, Thomas; Otterbring, Tobias; Pantazi, Myrto; Pärnamets, Philip; Saiani, Paolo Parra; Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola; Parzuchowski, Michal; Pavlov, Yuri G.; Pearson, Adam R.; Pennington, Charlotte R.; Petkanopoulou, Katerina; Petrović, Marija B.; Pisareva, Dinara; Ploszaj, Adam; Pronizius, Ekaterina; Pštross, Karolína; Pypno-Blajda, Katarzyna; Quiñones, Diwa Malaya A.; Räsänen, Pekka; Rauchfleisch, Adrian; Rebitschek, Felix G.; Rêgo, Gabriel; Reynolds, James P.; Roche, Joseph; Röer, Jan Philipp; Ross, Robert M.; Ruin, Isabelle; Santos, Osvaldo; Santos, Ricardo R.; Schulreich, Stefan; Shuckburgh, Emily; Six, Johan; Solak, Nevin; Späth, Leonhard; Spruyt, Bram; Stanley, Samantha K.; Strahm, Noel; Syropoulos, Stylianos; Szaszi, Barnabas; Szumowska, Ewa; Tanaka, Mikihito; Teran-Escobar, Claudia; Todorova, Boryana; Toko, Abdoul Kafid; Tokrri, Renata; Toribio-Florez, Daniel; Tsakiris, Manos; Tyrala, Michael; Uluğ, Özden Melis; Uzoma, Ijeoma Chinwe; Noord, Jochem van; Vilares, Iris
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02372-4

Fast climate impact emulation for global temperature scenarios with the Rapid Impact Model Emulator (RIME)

Autori: Edward Byers*, Michaela Werning, Mahé Perrette, Niklas Schwind, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research: Climate, Numero 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Editore: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEE3D

Neglecting future sporadic volcanic eruptions underestimates climate uncertainty

Autori: Man Mei Chim; Thomas Aubry; Christopher Smith; Anja Schmidt
Pubblicato in: Communications Earth & Environment, Numero 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02208-1

Climate Impacts in Scenarios: Time to Close the Loop?

Autori: Claudia Tebaldi, Brian O'Neill, Edward Byers
Pubblicato in: Earth's Future, Numero 14, 2026, ISSN 2328-4277
Editore: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF007622

Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes

Autori: Luke Grant, Inne Vanderkelen, Lukas Gudmundsson, Erich Fischer, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Wim Thiery
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 641, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08907-1

Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry

Autori: Robert I. McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Mark Mulligan, Chahan M. Kropf, Sarah Hülsen, Preston Welker, Erin Poor, James T. Erbaugh, Yuta J. Masuda
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Numero 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Editore: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/FENVS.2024.1432654

Environmental Research Letters

Autori: Shouro Dasgupta, Johannes Emmerling, Soheil Shayegh
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 18, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0448

Connecting complex and simplified models of tipping elements: a nonlinear two-forcing emulator for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Autori: Laridon, Amaury; Couplet, Victor; Gérard, Justin; Thiery, Wim; Crucifix, Michel
Pubblicato in: Open Research Europe, 2025, ISSN 2732-5121
Editore: Directorate-General for DG RTD
DOI: 10.12688/OPENRESEUROPE.19479.2

Journal of Climate

Autori: Carolina Gallo; Bastien Dieppois; Yann Quilcaille; Maria Vincenza Chiriacò; Peter Z. Fulé; Igor Drobyshev; Jesús San-Miguel-Ayanz; Matthew Blackett; Jonathan M. Eden
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Numero 38, 2025, ISSN 0894-8755
Editore: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0540.1

Other (2)

A neural network architecture for disaggregating age-specific population projections to the sub-national level

Autori: Tamburini, A., Bosco, C., & Striessnig, S. 
Pubblicato in: IIASA Working Paper, 2025
Editore: IIASA

Managed Retreat and Flood Recovery: The Local Economic Impacts of a Buyout and Acquisition Program

Autori: Wei Guo, Yanjun (Penny) Liao, and Qing Miao
Pubblicato in: RFF Working Paper No. 23-44, 2023
Editore: Resources for the Future (RFF)