Socioeconomic Pathways, Adaptation and Resilience to Changing CLimate in Europe

Informations projet

SPARCCLE

N° de convention de subvention: 101081369

DOI

10.3030/101081369

Date de signature de la CE 24 Avril 2023

Date de début 1 Septembre 2023

Date de fin 28 Février 2027

Financé au titre de

• Climate, Energy and Mobility

Coût total

€ 4 610 787,50

Contribution de l’UE

€ 4 610 787,50

Coordonné par

INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE
Austria

CORDIS fournit des liens vers les livrables publics et les publications des projets HORIZON.

Les liens vers les livrables et les publications des projets du 7e PC, ainsi que les liens vers certains types de résultats spécifiques tels que les jeux de données et les logiciels, sont récupérés dynamiquement sur OpenAIRE .

Livrables

Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (1)

Communications materials

Release of the complete set of communication materials and tools, including a beta version of website. The TRACCESPARCCLE communication and dissemination materials and tools will include a project website, social media activities (especially Twitter and LinkedIn), an e-newsletter (at least every 6 months), as well as a podcasts, and a limited number of printed materials for outreach events (D1.4). This will also include a logo, visual identity and templates for documents and presentations. Initial printed and digital materials summarizing the project (e.g. leaflet). Create relevant social media accounts and profile, e.g. Twitter. Related task: Task 1.4

Data Management Plan (1)

DMP

Data Management Plan consistent with FAIR, reviewed/updated in reporting cycle. The DMP will be made public and specify the strategy and implementation for managing data and data-related results of the project, including ensuring FAIR principles and open-access in appropriate repositories, as well as software, data and documentation quality assurance mechanisms. Will be reviewed and updated as necessary as an Annex to the reporting cycle reports. Related task: Task 6.4

Other (1)

Story on the Atlas of Demography

Results of the mapping of exposure and dimensions of adaptative capacities (dataset) to be included as a thematic story in the JRC Atlas of Demography. The dataset produced in Task 3.1 will highlight the heterogeneity in exposure and adaptive capacity across Europe and Outputs of this task will be used primarily in Task 3.2 to assess socioeconomic vulnerabilities with very high spatial granularity across the EU. Presented as maps, the Story will act as a prominent knowledge management tool, help increase the visibility of the output of this task among the EU policymakers. Related task: Task 3.1

Documents, reports (1)

Policy report

Policy analysis report (synergies and trade-offs between EU adaptation and mitigation policies) – based on a systematic review of EU-level policy documents including the European Green Deal, the EU Climate Law, and the EU Adaptation Strategy conducted in Task 1.2. This allows to identify overlaps, synergies and trade-offs between mitigation and adaptation policies, at economy-wide and in and across several key sectors (including agriculture, forestry, energy, and finance). Related task: Task 1.2

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (31)

Global and Planetary Change

Auteurs: Wuzhi Shi, Ke Zhang, Zefeng Chen, Yuebo Xie, Giovanni Forzieri
Publié dans: Global and Planetary Change, Numéro 253, 2025, ISSN 0921-8181
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/J.GLOPLACHA.2025.104962

Earth System Science Data

Auteurs: William Lamb; Robbie Andrew; Matthew Jones; Zebedee Nicholls; Glen Peters; Chris Smith; Marielle Saunois; Giacomo Grassi; Julia Pongratz; Steven Smith; Francesco Tubiello; Monica Crippa; Matthew Gidden; Pierre Friedlingstein; Jan Minx; Piers Forster
Publié dans: Earth System Science Data, Numéro 18, 2026, ISSN 1866-3508
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/ESSD-18-2549-2026

Relative sea level projections constrained by historical trends at tide gauge sites

Auteurs: Mahé Perrette, Matthias Mengel
Publié dans: Science Advances, Numéro 11, 2025, ISSN 2375-2548
Éditeur: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
DOI: 10.1126/SCIADV.ADO4506

Sustainable development key to limiting climate change-driven wildfire damages

Auteurs: Yi-Ling Hwong*, Edward Byers, Michaela Werning and Yann Quilcaille
Publié dans: Environmental Research: Climate, Numéro 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Éditeur: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEC11

Nature Climate Change

Auteurs: Chantelle Burton, Seppe Lampe, Douglas I. Kelley, Wim Thiery, Stijn Hantson, Nikos Christidis, Lukas Gudmundsson, Matthew Forrest, Eleanor Burke, Jinfeng Chang, Huilin Huang, Akihiko Ito, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Gitta Lasslop, Wei Li, Lars Nieradzik, Fang Li, Yang Chen, James Randerson, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Matthias Mengel
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 14, 2024, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02140-w

Geoscientific Model Development

Auteurs: S. Schöngart; S. Schöngart; L. Gudmundsson; M. Hauser; P. Pfleiderer; Q. Lejeune; S. Nath; S. I. Seneviratne; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner; C.-F. Schleussner
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 17, 2024, ISSN 1991-959X
Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2024-278

Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions

Auteurs: Martino Gilli, Matteo Calcaterra, Johannes Emmerling, Francesco Granella
Publié dans: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Numéro 127, 2024, ISSN 0095-0696
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103012

Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation

Auteurs: Doug Richardson; Andreia F. S. Ribeiro; Fulden Batibeniz; Yann Quilcaille; Andrea S. Taschetto; Andrew J. Pitman; Jakob Zscheischler
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 13, 2025, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: AGU
DOI: 10.1029/2024EF005030

Nature Geoscience

Auteurs: Peter Pfleiderer; Thomas L. Frölicher; Chahan M. Kropf; Robin D. Lamboll; Quentin Lejeune; Tiago Capela Lourenço; Fabien Maussion; Jamie W. McCaughey; Yann Quilcaille; Joeri Rogelj; Benjamin Sanderson; Lilian Schuster; Jana Sillmann; Chris Smith; Emily Theokritoff; Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publié dans: Nature Geoscience, 2025, ISSN 1752-0894
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41561-024-01597-W

High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide

Auteurs: Sarah Schöngart, Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02325-X

A more complete IMAGE: enhancing the climate change impact representation in integrated assessment models

Auteurs: Detlef P van Vuuren, Mathijs Harmsen, Isabela Tagomori, Astrid Bos, Jonathan C Doelman, Lotte de Vos, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Geanderson Ambrósio, Harmen-Sytze de Boer, Edward Byers, Vassilis Daioglou, David E H J Gernaat, Nicole van Maanen, Elke Stehfest
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 21, 2026, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AE55B9

Rising waters, falling taxes: The impact of Hurricane Sandy on property tax assessments in New York City

Auteurs: Wei Guo, Qing Miao, Yusun Kim, Yilin Hou
Publié dans: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Numéro 138, 2026, ISSN 0095-0696
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/J.JEEM.2026.103313

Environmental Research Letters

Auteurs: Colombi, Nicolas; Kropf, Chahan; Burger, Friedrich; Bresch, David N.; Frölicher, Thomas
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2024, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.48620/94393

MESMER-RCM: a probabilistic climate emulator for regional warming projections

Auteurs: Hao Pan, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Publié dans: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Numéro 33, 2026, ISSN 1607-7946
Éditeur: Copernicus GmbH
DOI: 10.5194/NPG-33-73-2026

Nature Climate Change

Auteurs: Chahan M. Kropf, Lisa Vaterlaus, David N. Bresch, Loïc Pellissier
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-024-02194-W

Aerosol‐Cloud Interactions: Overcoming a Barrier to Projecting Near‐Term Climate Evolution and Risk

Auteurs: Im, Ulas; Samset, Bjørn; Nenes, Athanasios; Thomas, Jennie; Kokkola, Harri; Dubovik, Oleg; Amiridis, Vassilis; Arola, Antti; Bellouin, Nicolas; Benedetti, Angela; Bilde, Merete; Blichner, Sara; Decesari, Stefano; Ekman, Annica; García‐pando, Carlos; Gross, Silke; Gryspeerdt, Edward; Hasekamp, Otto; Kahn, Ralph; Laakso, Anton; Lohmann, Ulrike; Marelle, Louis; Massling, Andreas; Myhre, Cathrine; Pöhlker, Mira; Quaas, Johannes; Raatikainen, Tomi; Riipinen, Ilona; Schmale, Julia; Seifert, Patric; Skov, Henrik; Smith, Chris; Sporre, Moa; Stier, Philip; Storelvmo, Trude; Tsigaridis, Kostas; van Diedenhoven, Bastiaan; Virtanen, Annele; Wandinger, Ulla; Wilcox, Laura; Zieger, Paul
Publié dans: AGU Advances, Numéro 7, 2026, ISSN 2576-604X
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2025AV001872

Mangroves and their services are at risk from tropical cyclones and sea level rise under climate change

Auteurs: Sarah Hülsen; Laura E. Dee; Chahan M. Kropf; Simona Meiler; David N. Bresch
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, 2024, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02242-Z

Nature Climate Change

Auteurs: Marina Andrijevic, Caroline Zimm, Jonathan D. Moyer, Raya Muttarak, Shonali Pachauri
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5

Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors

Auteurs: Yann Quilcaille, Lukas Gudmundsson, Dominik L. Schumacher, Thomas Gasser, Richard Heede, Corina Heri, Quentin Lejeune, Shruti Nath, Philippe Naveau, Wim Thiery, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 645, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-09450-9

Global assessment of population exposure to multiple climate-related hazards from 2003 to 2021: a retrospective analysis

Auteurs: Zélie Stalhandske; Marleen C de Ruiter; Jonathan Chambers; Sandra Zimmermann; Felipe J Colón-González; Nivedita Sairam; David N Bresch; Chahan M Kropf
Publié dans: The Lancet Planetary Health, 2025, ISSN 2542-5196
Éditeur: Elsevier
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-C-000786855

Women are under-represented in adaptation policy research and are more likely to emphasise justice topics

Auteurs: Diana Danilenko, Marina Andrijevic, Anne J Sietsma, Max Callaghan, Tarun Khanna
Publié dans: Environmental Research: Climate, Numéro 3, 2024, ISSN 2752-5295
Éditeur: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad6f3b

Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate

Auteurs: Matteo, Aurora; Garnés Morales, Ginés; Moreno, Alberto; Ribeiro, Andreia; Azorín Molina, César; Bedía Jiménez, Joaquín; Di Giuseppe, Francesca; Dunn, Robert J.H.; Herrera García, Sixto; Provenzale, Antonello; Quilcaille, Yann; Torres Vázquez, Miguel Ángel; Turco, Marco
Publié dans: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Numéro 8, 2025, ISSN 2397-3722
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-B-000749383

Nature Climate Change

Auteurs: Cologna, Viktoria; Meiler, Simona; Kropf, Chahan M.; Lüthi, Samuel; Mede, Niels G.; Bresch, David N.; Lecuona, Oscar; Berger, Sebastian; Besley, John; Brick, Cameron; Joubert, Marina; Maibach, Edward W.; Mihelj, Sabina; Oreskes, Naomi; Schäfer, Mike S.; Linden, Sander van der; null, null; Aziz, Nor Izzatina Abdul; Abdulsalam, Suleiman; Shamsi, Nurulaini Abu; Aczel, Balazs; Adinugroho, Indro; Alabrese, Eleonora; Aldoh, Alaa; Alfano, Mark; Ali, Innocent Mbulli; Alsobay, Mohammed; Alvarez, R. Michael; Amollo, Tabitha; Ansah, Patrick; Apriliawati, Denisa; Azevedo, Flavio; Bajrami, Ani; Bardhan, Ronita; Bati, Keagile; Bertsou, Eri; Bhui, Rahul; Białobrzeska, Olga; Bilewicz, Michal; Bouguettaya, Ayoub; Breeden, Katherine; Bret, Amélie; Buchel, Ondrej; Alvarez, Pablo Cabrera; Cagnoli, Federica; Valdez, André Calero; Callaghan, Timothy; Cases, Rizza Kaye; Çoksan, Sami; Czarnek, Gabriela; Debnath, Ramit; Delouvée, Sylvain; Di Stefano, Lucia; Diaz-Catalàn, Celia; Doell, Kimberly C.; Dohle, Simone; Douglas, Karen M.; Dries, Charlotte; Dubrov, Dmitrii; Dzimińska, Malgorzata; Ecker, Ullrich K. H.; Elbaek, Christian T.; Elsherif, Mahmoud; Enke, Benjamin; Facciani, Matthew; Fage-Butler, Antoinette; Faisal, Zaki; Fan, Xiaoli; Farhart, Christina; Feldhaus, Christoph; Ferreira, Marinus; Feuerriegel, Stefan; Fischer, Helen; Freundt, Jana; Friese, Malte; Gallyamova, Albina; Garrido-Vásquez, Patricia; Garrido Vásquez, Mauricio E.; Genschow, Olivier; Ghasemi, Omid; Gkinopoulos, Theofilos; Gloor, Jamie L.; Goddard, Ellen; Brambila, Claudia González; Gordon, Hazel; Grigoryev, Dmitry; Guenther, Lars; Haarstad, Håvard; Harari, Dana; Hensel, Przemysław; Hernández-Mondragón, Alma Cristal; Herziger, Atar; Huang, Guanxiong; Huff, Markus; Hurley, Mairéad; Ibadildin, Nygmet; Islam, Mohammad Tarikul; Jin, Tao; Jones, Charlotte A.; Jungkunz, Sebastian; Jurgiel, Dominika; Kavassalis, Sarah; Kerr, John R.; Kitsa, Mariana; Rábová, Tereza Klabíková; Klein, Olivier; Koh, Hoyoun; Koivula, Aki; Kojan, Lilian; Komyaginskaya, Elizaveta; König, Laura M.; Koppel, Lina; Koren, Kochav; Kosachenko, Alexandra; Kotcher, John; Kranz, Laura S.; Krishnan, Pradeep; Kristiansen, Silje; Krouwel, André; Kuppens, Toon; Lamm, Claus; Lantian, Anthony; Lazić, Aleksandra; Légal, Jean-Baptiste; Leviston, Zoe; Levy, Neil; Lindkvist, Amanda M.; Lits, Grégoire; Löschel, Andreas; Ortega, Alberto López; Lopez-Villavicencio, Carlos; Lou, Nigel Mantou; Lucas, Chloe H.; Lunz-Trujillo, Kristin; Marques, Mathew D.; Mayer, Sabrina J.; McKay, Ryan; Milfont, Taciano L.; Miller, Joanne M.; Mitkidis, Panagiotis; Monge-Rodríguez, Fredy; Motta, Matt; Muršič, Zarja; Namutebi, Jennifer; Newman, Eryn J.; Nitschke, Jonas P.; Ntui, Ntui-Njock Vincent; Nwogwugwu, Daniel; Ostermann, Thomas; Otterbring, Tobias; Pantazi, Myrto; Pärnamets, Philip; Saiani, Paolo Parra; Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola; Parzuchowski, Michal; Pavlov, Yuri G.; Pearson, Adam R.; Pennington, Charlotte R.; Petkanopoulou, Katerina; Petrović, Marija B.; Pisareva, Dinara; Ploszaj, Adam; Pronizius, Ekaterina; Pštross, Karolína; Pypno-Blajda, Katarzyna; Quiñones, Diwa Malaya A.; Räsänen, Pekka; Rauchfleisch, Adrian; Rebitschek, Felix G.; Rêgo, Gabriel; Reynolds, James P.; Roche, Joseph; Röer, Jan Philipp; Ross, Robert M.; Ruin, Isabelle; Santos, Osvaldo; Santos, Ricardo R.; Schulreich, Stefan; Shuckburgh, Emily; Six, Johan; Solak, Nevin; Späth, Leonhard; Spruyt, Bram; Stanley, Samantha K.; Strahm, Noel; Syropoulos, Stylianos; Szaszi, Barnabas; Szumowska, Ewa; Tanaka, Mikihito; Teran-Escobar, Claudia; Todorova, Boryana; Toko, Abdoul Kafid; Tokrri, Renata; Toribio-Florez, Daniel; Tsakiris, Manos; Tyrala, Michael; Uluğ, Özden Melis; Uzoma, Ijeoma Chinwe; Noord, Jochem van; Vilares, Iris
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 15, 2025, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S41558-025-02372-4

Fast climate impact emulation for global temperature scenarios with the Rapid Impact Model Emulator (RIME)

Auteurs: Edward Byers*, Michaela Werning, Mahé Perrette, Niklas Schwind, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Publié dans: Environmental Research: Climate, Numéro 4, 2025, ISSN 2752-5295
Éditeur: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/ADEE3D

Neglecting future sporadic volcanic eruptions underestimates climate uncertainty

Auteurs: Man Mei Chim; Thomas Aubry; Christopher Smith; Anja Schmidt
Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, Numéro 6, 2025, ISSN 2662-4435
Éditeur: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/S43247-025-02208-1

Climate Impacts in Scenarios: Time to Close the Loop?

Auteurs: Claudia Tebaldi, Brian O'Neill, Edward Byers
Publié dans: Earth's Future, Numéro 14, 2026, ISSN 2328-4277
Éditeur: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
DOI: 10.1029/2025EF007622

Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes

Auteurs: Luke Grant, Inne Vanderkelen, Lukas Gudmundsson, Erich Fischer, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Wim Thiery
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 641, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-025-08907-1

Win-wins or trade-offs? Site and strategy determine carbon and local ecosystem service benefits for protection, restoration, and agroforestry

Auteurs: Robert I. McDonald, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Mark Mulligan, Chahan M. Kropf, Sarah Hülsen, Preston Welker, Erin Poor, James T. Erbaugh, Yuta J. Masuda
Publié dans: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Numéro 12, 2024, ISSN 2296-665X
Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA
DOI: 10.3389/FENVS.2024.1432654

Environmental Research Letters

Auteurs: Shouro Dasgupta, Johannes Emmerling, Soheil Shayegh
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 18, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0448

Connecting complex and simplified models of tipping elements: a nonlinear two-forcing emulator for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Auteurs: Laridon, Amaury; Couplet, Victor; Gérard, Justin; Thiery, Wim; Crucifix, Michel
Publié dans: Open Research Europe, 2025, ISSN 2732-5121
Éditeur: Directorate-General for DG RTD
DOI: 10.12688/OPENRESEUROPE.19479.2

Journal of Climate

Auteurs: Carolina Gallo; Bastien Dieppois; Yann Quilcaille; Maria Vincenza Chiriacò; Peter Z. Fulé; Igor Drobyshev; Jesús San-Miguel-Ayanz; Matthew Blackett; Jonathan M. Eden
Publié dans: Journal of Climate, Numéro 38, 2025, ISSN 0894-8755
Éditeur: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0540.1

Other (2)

A neural network architecture for disaggregating age-specific population projections to the sub-national level

Auteurs: Tamburini, A., Bosco, C., & Striessnig, S. 
Publié dans: IIASA Working Paper, 2025
Éditeur: IIASA

Managed Retreat and Flood Recovery: The Local Economic Impacts of a Buyout and Acquisition Program

Auteurs: Wei Guo, Yanjun (Penny) Liao, and Qing Miao
Publié dans: RFF Working Paper No. 23-44, 2023
Éditeur: Resources for the Future (RFF)