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New Direct Empirical Evidence on Wage Setting

Project description

Exploring wage setting and collective bargaining dynamics

Wage inequality and industrial relations remain central challenges for policymakers globally. Despite substantial research, there is limited understanding of the bargaining dynamics that influence wage outcomes. In particular, the role of collective bargaining and external hiring processes in shaping wages remains underexplored. Additionally, worker and employee representatives, along with their bargaining strategies, are often overlooked in studies. With this in mind, the ERC-funded WeSET project will examine collective bargaining agreements in France and the US. By conducting high-frequency surveys and leveraging online job board data, WeSET explores key dynamics in wage negotiations. The project will also evaluate the effects of negotiation training and union threats, providing insights to inform policy on bargaining rules and employment practices.

Objective

Our project proposes to provide new empirical evidence on wage setting. This evidence will enhance our understanding of industrial relations, and of wage inequality.

First, we will open up the collective bargaining process between incumbent employees and their employers in both France and the US. We will conduct textual analysis of collective bargaining agreements. We will design two-sided high-frequency surveys to follow the bargaining process within firms (e.g. offer sequences) and to measure the preferences of workers’ and employers’ representatives over various tradeoffs (e.g. wages vs employment). Using quasi-experimental designs, we will study how the identity of the workers’ and employers’ representatives matter for agreement outcomes and we will study overall bargaining efficiency.

We will provide the first experimental evidence in industrial relations study through two randomized control trials. In France, we will evaluate the effects of negotiation training programs on collective bargaining outcomes. In the US, we will test for union threat effects in non-unionized workplaces through information experiments.

Second, we will leverage the extraordinary opportunities offered by online job boards to open up the wage setting process for external hires. We will complement matched online-search and employment register data with detail firm and worker high-frequency surveys in both France and Sweden. We will provide a thorough analysis of selection into individual bargaining, and of the determinants of bargaining intensity and offers. We will test for bargaining theories using experimental information shocks. We will propose an empirical classification of recruiters based on their willingness to bargain with external hires that can be used to study strategic interactions among heterogenous bargaining firms.

Our empirical evidence will guide policymakers in the design of collective bargaining rules and of online job boards.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2024-COG

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Host institution

UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE LUIGI BOCCONI
Net EU contribution
€ 1 721 563,00
Address
VIA SARFATTI 25
20136 Milano
Italy
Region
Nord-Ovest Lombardia Milano
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 1 721 563,00

Beneficiaries (1)