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New markets: Structural analysis and Mechanism design, with applications to airport capacity problems

Project description

New techniques for understanding airport capacity problems

Our economy has become increasingly reliant on auctions to allocate scarce resources, using auction models to understand competition in bidding markets. Unfortunately, these models are built on traditional auction analysis, which is limited to existing mechanisms and reliant on bid data to deduce firms’ latent values, significantly reducing their accuracy and efficiency. The ERC-funded APCAP project aims to research the welfare effects of implementing auctions in new markets, bridging disconnected strands of research in industrial organisation and utilising various angles of study to understand and overcome challenges such as the pressing airport capacity problem. The project will develop novel structural models and estimation techniques to detect previously ignored complexities and differential impacts.

Objective

Our economy relies on auctions to efficiently allocate scarce resources, and we use auction models to understand competition in bidding markets. However, traditional auction analysis is limited to existing mechanisms as it relies on bid data to estimate firms' latent values. Instead, APCAP proposes to study the welfare effects of implementing auctions in new markets. Auction values are characterized based on the profits generated from auctioned items and can be estimated using appropriate demand and supply models, bridging two disconnected strands of research in Industrial Organization. This idea is used to study various angles of the pressing airport capacity problem and how to best allocate scarce airport slots to competing airlines. New structural models and estimation techniques are developed to capture the complexities of this issue, made possible by unique access to highly detailed datasets.
- Project 1 considers the endogenous formation of a product network with spillovers in costs and demand (to quantify how airlines respond to shocks) and shows how to estimate such a model when entry barriers constrain the observed network. The model estimates highlight the role of capacity constraints in network formation and help understand the competitive pressure of low-cost carriers in slot auctions.
- Project 2 captures the differential impacts of extending vs. optimizing existing airport capacity while endogenizing the intensive margin of delays, flight cancellations, and emissions. An estimation strategy is developed to estimate demand when observing only aggregate prices.
- Project 3 estimates the magnitude and drivers of slot synergies and uses computer science techniques to assess the welfare impacts of large-scale slot auctions.
- A transversal project leverages these methods and data to provide insight into the understudied European airline industry, as well as how auction impacts vary depending on the market structure and (demand) factors local to an airport.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-ERC - HORIZON ERC Grants

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) ERC-2025-STG

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Host institution

KATHOLIEKE UNIVERSITEIT LEUVEN
Net EU contribution
€ 1 494 008,00
Address
OUDE MARKT 13
3000 Leuven
Belgium
Region
Vlaams Gewest Prov. Vlaams-Brabant Arr. Leuven
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 1 494 008,00

Beneficiaries (1)