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Transferable and Principled Neural Operators for 3D Ocean Forecasting in Regional Seas: A Baltic Sea Case

Project description

The AI wave: advanced 3D ocean forecasting

Traditional ocean forecasting relies on slow, computationally heavy physics models, making it difficult to predict extreme events driven by climate change. Supported by the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the ODyNO project aims to address these limitations by developing a principled neural operator model for 3D ocean forecasting. Neural operators are designed to learn complex mathematical solutions, enabling rapid, high-resolution ensemble forecasts that require significantly less computing power than existing methods. ODyNO will benchmark this AI-driven approach against current operational systems using extensive datasets. The project’s ultimate objective is to enhance climate resilience and maritime safety by providing the tools needed for faster early warning systems and sustainable ocean resource management.

Objective

Accurate and timely ocean forecasting is essential for enhancing climate resilience, ensuring maritime safety, and supporting sustainable marine resource management. Operational ocean forecasting systems largely rely on physics-based numerical models; however, their computational demands, reliance on spatial and temporal discretization, and dependence on parameterized subgrid-scale processes limit their scalability, adaptability, and capacity to produce large, rapid ensemble forecasts. As climate change increases the frequency and intensity of extreme ocean events, the need for fast and accurate forecasting becomes even more critical to support early warning systems and informed decision-making. To address these challenges, this project will develop a transferable and principled neural operator model for 3D ocean forecasting. Neural operators are designed to learn the solution operators of partial differential equations (PDEs), enabling mappings between infinite-dimensional function spaces. Once trained, they enable rapid, high-resolution ensemble forecasting while reducing dependence on costly computational infrastructure. This project brings together expertise in machine learning and operational ocean forecasting, enabling a mutually beneficial exchange of knowledge between the researcher and the host institution. At the University of Copenhagen, the fellow will leverage extensive datasets, computational infrastructure, and expert guidance to develop this data-driven model, rigorously evaluate its predictive skill, and benchmark its performance against existing operational ocean forecasting systems. Dissemination activities will target scientific communities where immediate impact is anticipated, including those focused on climate adaptation, natural hazard mitigation, and sustainable ocean management. Together with the host’s capabilities and track record, this ambitious project is well-positioned for success, supporting the fellow’s career development.

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HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - European Fellowships

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Call for proposal

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(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET
Net EU contribution

Net EU financial contribution. The sum of money that the participant receives, deducted by the EU contribution to its linked third party. It considers the distribution of the EU financial contribution between direct beneficiaries of the project and other types of participants, like third-party participants.

€ 263 393,28
Address
NORREGADE 10
1165 KOBENHAVN
Denmark

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Region
Danmark Hovedstaden Byen København
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
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Total cost

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No data

Partners (1)