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Automation and Occupational Network

Project description

Wider impacts of AI and robotics through occupational networks

Existing research on AI, robotics and other automation technologies has mainly examined how they substitute for or complement workers and tasks within individual occupations. With the support of the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions programme, the AUTON project moves beyond this occupation-by-occupation perspective by analysing how technological shocks spread across interconnected occupations, generating both direct and broader systemic effects. The project will construct a novel occupational network using detailed task-level information and integrate it with data on automation technologies and linked employer–employee microdata. This framework will make it possible to measure how the growing adoption of AI and robotics propagates across the occupational network and reshapes the wider structure of work.

Objective

While most research has analysed automation as a within-occupation substitution process, little is known about how technological shocks diffuse through networks of interdependent tasks and occupations. AUTON proposes a novel framework that integrates task-level data, automation technologies, and employer–employee microdata to quantify both direct and systemic effects of robotics and AI adoption.
The first contribution is the construction of a task-based occupational input–output network, using O*NET and Large Language Models (LLMs) to capture productive interdependencies between occupations at an unprecedented level of detail. The second contribution is the identification of tasks that can be automated within the occupational input–output network, to analyse how automation alters the input–output relationships between occupations that depend on those tasks. The third contribution is an occupational model that embeds these shocks into a general equilibrium setting, disciplined with linked employer–employee data from Australia, allowing us to trace equilibrium feedbacks on wages, employment, and occupational mobility.
By combining micro-level task structures with macroeconomic modelling, the project moves beyond aggregate measures of automation risk, offering a systemic perspective on technological diffusion. The expected outcomes include new empirical measures of automation spillovers, simulation-based evidence on systemic vulnerabilities, and a calibrated model suitable for counterfactual policy analysis. This framework will provide both academic and policy communities with novel tools to evaluate how automation affects the resilience of labour markets and the distribution of work.

Fields of science (EuroSciVoc)

Keywords

Programme(s)

Topic(s)

Funding Scheme

HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-GF - HORIZON TMA MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships - Global Fellowships

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Call for proposal

(opens in new window) HORIZON-MSCA-2025-PF

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Coordinator

UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI CAGLIARI
Net EU contribution
€ 309 153,72
Address
VIA UNIVERSITA 40
09124 Cagliari
Italy
Region
Isole Sardegna Cagliari
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
No data

Partners (1)