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Delay differential models and transmission dynamics of infectious diseases

Objectif

The aim of this project is to develop and analyse infinite dimensional dynamical models for the transmission dynamics and propagation of infectious diseases. We use an integrated approach which spans from the abstract theory of functional differential equations to the practical problems of epidemiology, with serious implications to public health policy, prevention, control and mitigation strategies in cases such as the ongoing battle against the nascent H1N1 pandemic.

Delay differential equations are one of the most powerful mathematical modeling tools and they arise naturally in various applications from life sciences to engineering and physics, whenever temporal delays are important. In abstract terms, functional differential equations describe dynamical systems, when their evolution depends on the solution at prior times.
The central theme of this project is to forge strong links between the abstract theory of delay differential equations and practical aspects of epidemiology. Our research will combine competencies in different fields of mathematics and embrace theoretical issues as well as real life applications.

In particular, the theory of equations with state dependent delays is extremely challenging, and this field is at present on the verge of a breakthrough. Developing new theories in this area and connecting them to relevant applications would go far beyond the current research frontier of mathematical epidemiology and could open a new chapter in disease modeling.

Appel à propositions

ERC-2010-StG_20091028
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Régime de financement

ERC-SG - ERC Starting Grant

Institution d’accueil

SZEGEDI TUDOMANYEGYETEM
Contribution de l’UE
€ 796 800,00
Adresse
DUGONICS TER 13
6720 Szeged
Hongrie

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Région
Alföld és Észak Dél-Alföld Csongrád
Type d’activité
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Chercheur principal
Gergely Röst (Dr.)
Contact administratif
Andrea Kormoczyne Bozso (Mrs.)
Liens
Coût total
Aucune donnée

Bénéficiaires (1)