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Earth system Model Bias Reduction and assessing Abrupt Climate change

Ziel

EMBRACE brings together the leading Earth System Models (ESMs) in Europe around a common set of objectives to improve our ability to (i) simulate the Earth System and (ii) make reliable projections of future global change. EMBRACE builds on the existing European collaboration network in Earth System Modelling and will be the main European input to international efforts in this field over the coming 5 years. The project has a number of key goals; (i) to reduce the main, known biases in existing European ESMs, (ii) to fully evaluate ESM simulation capabilities and improvements made in the project, (iii) to increase the realism of, and interactions between, the physical and biogeochemical components of ESMs, (iv) to assess the risks of abrupt or irreversible changes in key components of the Earth system, in response to the most recent greenhouse gas, aerosol and land-use scenarios proposed for the IPCC AR5.
The primary ESM biases targeted for improvement include, (i) the representation of moist atmospheric convection and links to coupled tropical variability and precipitation. (ii) equatorial and coastal ocean upwelling and their impact on the global climate system and carbon cycle, (iii) coupled processes controlling physical and biogeochemical mixing in the Southern ocean, (iv) soil hydrology and its coupling with the atmosphere and (v) the terrestrial carbon cycle, through a more realistic treatment of climate-vegetation interaction. Improvements will be evaluated in the context of the full range of CMIP5 historical simulations, with the CMIP5 protocol forming the basis for future climate projections made to assess the risk of abrupt changes. A cross-cutting theme will be the impact of improved process description, combined with increased coupled model resolution, in reducing ESM biases and improving their reliability of future projections.

Wissenschaftliches Gebiet (EuroSciVoc)

CORDIS klassifiziert Projekte mit EuroSciVoc, einer mehrsprachigen Taxonomie der Wissenschaftsbereiche, durch einen halbautomatischen Prozess, der auf Verfahren der Verarbeitung natürlicher Sprache beruht.

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Programm/Programme

Thema/Themen

Aufforderung zur Vorschlagseinreichung

FP7-ENV-2011
Andere Projekte für diesen Aufruf anzeigen

Finanzierungsplan

CP-IP - Large-scale integrating project

Koordinator

SVERIGES METEOROLOGISKA OCH HYDROLOGISKA INSTITUT
EU-Beitrag
€ 1 095 160,00
Adresse
FOLKBORGSVAGEN 1
601 76 NORRKOEPING
Schweden

Auf der Karte ansehen
Region
Östra Sverige Östra Mellansverige Östergötlands län
Aktivitätstyp
Public bodies (excluding Research Organisations and Secondary or Higher Education Establishments)
Kontakt Verwaltung
Eleanor O'rourke (Ms.)
Links
Gesamtkosten
Keine Daten

Beteiligte (19)

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Letzte Aktualisierung: 6 September 2024

Mein Booklet

Permalink: https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/282672/de

European Union, 2025