Cel
EMBRACE brings together the leading Earth System Models (ESMs) in Europe around a common set of objectives to improve our ability to (i) simulate the Earth System and (ii) make reliable projections of future global change. EMBRACE builds on the existing European collaboration network in Earth System Modelling and will be the main European input to international efforts in this field over the coming 5 years. The project has a number of key goals; (i) to reduce the main, known biases in existing European ESMs, (ii) to fully evaluate ESM simulation capabilities and improvements made in the project, (iii) to increase the realism of, and interactions between, the physical and biogeochemical components of ESMs, (iv) to assess the risks of abrupt or irreversible changes in key components of the Earth system, in response to the most recent greenhouse gas, aerosol and land-use scenarios proposed for the IPCC AR5.
The primary ESM biases targeted for improvement include, (i) the representation of moist atmospheric convection and links to coupled tropical variability and precipitation. (ii) equatorial and coastal ocean upwelling and their impact on the global climate system and carbon cycle, (iii) coupled processes controlling physical and biogeochemical mixing in the Southern ocean, (iv) soil hydrology and its coupling with the atmosphere and (v) the terrestrial carbon cycle, through a more realistic treatment of climate-vegetation interaction. Improvements will be evaluated in the context of the full range of CMIP5 historical simulations, with the CMIP5 protocol forming the basis for future climate projections made to assess the risk of abrupt changes. A cross-cutting theme will be the impact of improved process description, combined with increased coupled model resolution, in reducing ESM biases and improving their reliability of future projections.
Dziedzina nauki
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental scienceshydrology
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesatmospheric sciencesclimatologyclimatic changes
- natural sciencescomputer and information sciencessoftwaresoftware applicationssimulation software
- natural sciencesearth and related environmental sciencesgeochemistrybiogeochemistry
Program(-y)
Zaproszenie do składania wniosków
FP7-ENV-2011
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System finansowania
CP-IP - Large-scale integrating projectKoordynator
601 76 NORRKOEPING
Szwecja
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Uczestnicy (19)
3731 GA De Bilt
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RG2 9AX Reading
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Zakończenie uczestnictwa
22100 Lund
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80539 Munchen
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51147 Koln
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00560 Helsinki
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8092 Zuerich
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NR4 7TJ Norwich
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EX4 4QJ Exeter
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EX1 3PB Exeter
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1348 Louvain La Neuve
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75794 Paris
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SN2 1EU SWINDON WILTSHIRE
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6708 PB Wageningen
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21000 Split
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SW7 2AZ LONDON
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1081 HV Amsterdam
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76131 Karlsruhe
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1081 HV Amsterdam
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