Ziel
The research aims to develop methods and tools to provide a comprehensive socio-economic assessment of the impact of decoupling and modulation on the EU farm sector. The project will assess the impact of decoupling on demand and supply, trade, localisation of production, land use, environment, land markets, structural change, farm income, and farmers' entry/exit behaviour. Since no single methodological approach is able to take into account all aspects of this issue, the project is organised around three complementary approaches. These approaches are: (a) survey-based analysis of farmers' strategic decisions, (b) dynamic farm level/regional modelling and (c) sector level/general equilibrium modelling. A survey for analysing farmers' strategic behaviour will be developed and tested in selected current and new Member States, using a stratified sub-sample of each country's FADN population. Survey responses will be analysed in conjunction with FADN information. A spatially-dynamic, agent-based model, AgriPoliS, will be enhanced and adapted to selected regions typical for the different natural and socio-economic conditions of the enlarged Europe. Enhancing the farm-based model allows for analysis of structural change and impacts on farm incomes. An environmental impact module, linking land use and production technologies to indicators of environmental quality, will also be developed. A partial equilibrium model (ESIM) and country specific general equilibrium models, for the new members and the EU-15, will be further developed. These models will be extended to include a representation of land markets. Farmers' investment decisions and labour supply will be modelled, accounting for imperfections in capital and labour markets. Simulations will quantify impacts on production, consumption and trade. The diversity of regions covered by the project will make it possible to synthesise policy implications relevant for the challenges facing European agriculture'.
Wissenschaftliches Gebiet
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesagriculturegrains and oilseedsoilseeds
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesagriculturehorticulturevegetable growing
- agricultural sciencesanimal and dairy sciencedomestic animalsanimal husbandry
- social scienceseconomics and businessbusiness and managementemployment
- agricultural sciencesagriculture, forestry, and fisheriesagriculturegrains and oilseedscereals
Schlüsselbegriffe
Programm/Programme
Aufforderung zur Vorschlagseinreichung
FP6-2002-SSP-1
Andere Projekte für diesen Aufruf anzeigen
Finanzierungsplan
STREP - Specific Targeted Research ProjectKoordinator
LUND
Schweden