Critical Transitions in Complex Systems

Project Information

CRITICS

Grant agreement ID: 643073

DOI 10.3030/643073

Project closed

EC signature date 10 December 2014

Start date 1 April 2015

End date 31 March 2019

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Total cost € 3 896 688,10

EU contribution € 3 896 688,10

Coordinated by

IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE
United Kingdom

Deliverables

Documents, reports (8)

Multiscale systems

Publication on bifurcations of multiscale systems

Progress report

First progress report.

Random bifurcation theory

Publication on random bifurcation theory

draft 1st periodic report

Draft first periodic report as a basis for the midterm review

Nonautonomous bifurcaton theory

Publication on nonautonomous bifurcation theory

Early-warning sig-nals in complex systems

Publication on early-warning signals in complex systems

Bifurcations of networks

Publication on bifurcations of networks

Numerical methods

Publication on numerical methods for critical transitions

Other (6)

Graduate schools

Two graduate schools organised

Main outreach event

Main outreach event at workshop in Dresden

Final conference

Five workshops and final conference organised

Midterm review meeting

Midterm review meeting.

Recruitment

Completion of recruitment of ESRs

Supervisory Board

The Supervisory Board of the network in place

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (16)

Topologies of L l o c p type for Carathéodory functions with applications in non-autonomous differential eq

Author(s): Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Published in: Journal of Differential Equations, Issue 263/11, 2017, Page(s) 7187-7220, ISSN 0022-0396
Publisher: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jde.2017.08.006

Predicting financial market crashes using ghost singularities

Author(s): Damian Smug, Peter Ashwin, Didier Sornette
Published in: PLOS ONE, Issue 13/3, 2018, Page(s) e0195265, ISSN 1932-6203
Publisher: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0195265

A Generalized 2D-Dynamical Mean-Field Ising Model with a Rich Set of Bifurcations (Inspired and Applied to Financial Crises)

Author(s): Damian Smug, Didier Sornette, Peter Ashwin
Published in: International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, Issue 28/04, 2018, Page(s) 1830010, ISSN 0218-1274
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Co
DOI: 10.1142/S0218127418300100

A consistent statistical model selection for abrupt glacial climate changes

Author(s): Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2018, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4519-2

The Mid-Pleistocene Transition induced by delayed feedback and bistability

Author(s): Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S von der Heydt, Timothy M Lenton
Published in: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Issue Volume 3, Issue 1,, 2018, Page(s) pages 1–17, ISSN 2059-6987
Publisher: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy005

Random and externally controlled occurrences of Dansgaard–Oeschger events

Author(s): Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Published in: Climate of the Past, Issue 14/5, 2018, Page(s) 609-617, ISSN 1814-9332
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-14-609-2018

Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion

Author(s): M. Usman Mirza, Andries Richter, Egbert H. van Nes, Marten Scheffer
Published in: Ecological Economics, Issue 160, 2019, Page(s) 215-226, ISSN 0921-8009
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.02.015

Weak Topologies for Carathéodory Differential Equations: Continuous Dependence, Exponential Dichotomy and Attractors

Author(s): Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Published in: Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations, 2018, ISSN 1040-7294
Publisher: Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10884-018-9710-y

A statistical significance test for sea-level variability

Author(s): Daniele Castellana, Henk A Dijkstra, Fred W Wubs
Published in: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Issue 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Publisher: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy008

Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes

Author(s): Anna S. von der Heydt, Henk A. Dijkstra, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Rodrigo Caballero, Michel Crucifix, Gavin L. Foster, Matthew Huber, Peter Köhler, Eelco Rohling, Paul J. Valdes, Peter Ashwin, Sebastian Bathiany, Tijn Berends, Loes G. J. van Bree, Peter Ditlevsen, Michael Ghil, Alan M. Haywood, Joel Katzav, Gerrit Lohmann, Johannes Lohmann, Valerio Lucarini, Alice Marzocchi, Heiko Pälike, Itzel
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 2/4, 2016, Page(s) 148-158, ISSN 2198-6061
Publisher: Springer Inernational Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3

Objective extraction and analysis of statistical features of Dansgaard-Oeschger events

Author(s): Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Published in: Climate of the Past Discussions, 2019, Page(s) 1-33, ISSN 1814-9359
Publisher: Copericus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2019-19

The middle Pleistocene transition by frequency locking and slow ramping of internal period

Author(s): Karl H. M. Nyman, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04679-3

The Limits of Water Pricing in a Developing Country Metropolis: Empirical Lessons from an Industrial City of Pakistan

Author(s): Shabbir Ahmad, Saleem Ali, M. Mirza, Hina Lotia
Published in: Water, Issue 9/7, 2017, Page(s) 533, ISSN 2073-4441
Publisher: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w9070533

Derivation of delay equation climate models using the Mori-Zwanzig formalism

Author(s): Swinda K. J. Falkena, Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Jason Frank, Henk A. Dijkstra
Published in: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Issue 475/2227, 2019, Page(s) 20190075, ISSN 1364-5021
Publisher: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2019.0075

Topologies of continuity for Carathéodory delay differential equations with applications in non-autonomous dynamics

Author(s): Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Published in: Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - A, Issue 39/9, 2019, Page(s) 5491-5520, ISSN 1553-5231
Publisher: AIMS
DOI: 10.3934/dcds.2019224

Effects of Periodic Forcing on a Paleoclimate Delay Model

Author(s): Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S. von der Heydt
Published in: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Issue 18/2, 2019, Page(s) 1060-1077, ISSN 1536-0040
Publisher: Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics
DOI: 10.1137/18m1203079