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CORDIS

Critical Transitions in Complex Systems

Rezultaty

Multiscale systems

Publication on bifurcations of multiscale systems

Progress report

First progress report.

Random bifurcation theory

Publication on random bifurcation theory

draft 1st periodic report

Draft first periodic report as a basis for the midterm review

Nonautonomous bifurcaton theory

Publication on nonautonomous bifurcation theory

Early-warning sig-nals in complex systems

Publication on early-warning signals in complex systems

Bifurcations of networks

Publication on bifurcations of networks

Numerical methods

Publication on numerical methods for critical transitions

Graduate schools

Two graduate schools organised

Main outreach event

Main outreach event at workshop in Dresden

Final conference

Five workshops and final conference organised

Midterm review meeting

Midterm review meeting.

Recruitment

Completion of recruitment of ESRs

Supervisory Board

The Supervisory Board of the network in place

Publikacje

Topologies of L l o c p type for Carathéodory functions with applications in non-autonomous differential eq

Autorzy: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Opublikowane w: Journal of Differential Equations, Numer 263/11, 2017, Strona(/y) 7187-7220, ISSN 0022-0396
Wydawca: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jde.2017.08.006

Predicting financial market crashes using ghost singularities

Autorzy: Damian Smug, Peter Ashwin, Didier Sornette
Opublikowane w: PLOS ONE, Numer 13/3, 2018, Strona(/y) e0195265, ISSN 1932-6203
Wydawca: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0195265

A Generalized 2D-Dynamical Mean-Field Ising Model with a Rich Set of Bifurcations (Inspired and Applied to Financial Crises)

Autorzy: Damian Smug, Didier Sornette, Peter Ashwin
Opublikowane w: International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, Numer 28/04, 2018, Strona(/y) 1830010, ISSN 0218-1274
Wydawca: World Scientific Publishing Co
DOI: 10.1142/S0218127418300100

A consistent statistical model selection for abrupt glacial climate changes

Autorzy: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2018, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4519-2

The Mid-Pleistocene Transition induced by delayed feedback and bistability

Autorzy: Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S von der Heydt, Timothy M Lenton
Opublikowane w: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numer Volume 3, Numer 1,, 2018, Strona(/y) pages 1–17, ISSN 2059-6987
Wydawca: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy005

Random and externally controlled occurrences of Dansgaard–Oeschger events

Autorzy: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Opublikowane w: Climate of the Past, Numer 14/5, 2018, Strona(/y) 609-617, ISSN 1814-9332
Wydawca: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-14-609-2018

Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion

Autorzy: M. Usman Mirza, Andries Richter, Egbert H. van Nes, Marten Scheffer
Opublikowane w: Ecological Economics, Numer 160, 2019, Strona(/y) 215-226, ISSN 0921-8009
Wydawca: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.02.015

Weak Topologies for Carathéodory Differential Equations: Continuous Dependence, Exponential Dichotomy and Attractors

Autorzy: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Opublikowane w: Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations, 2018, ISSN 1040-7294
Wydawca: Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10884-018-9710-y

A statistical significance test for sea-level variability

Autorzy: Daniele Castellana, Henk A Dijkstra, Fred W Wubs
Opublikowane w: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numer 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Wydawca: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy008

Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes

Autorzy: Anna S. von der Heydt, Henk A. Dijkstra, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Rodrigo Caballero, Michel Crucifix, Gavin L. Foster, Matthew Huber, Peter Köhler, Eelco Rohling, Paul J. Valdes, Peter Ashwin, Sebastian Bathiany, Tijn Berends, Loes G. J. van Bree, Peter Ditlevsen, Michael Ghil, Alan M. Haywood, Joel Katzav, Gerrit Lohmann, Johannes Lohmann, Valerio Lucarini, Alice Marzocchi, Heiko Pälike, Itzel
Opublikowane w: Current Climate Change Reports, Numer 2/4, 2016, Strona(/y) 148-158, ISSN 2198-6061
Wydawca: Springer Inernational Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3

Objective extraction and analysis of statistical features of Dansgaard-Oeschger events

Autorzy: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Opublikowane w: Climate of the Past Discussions, 2019, Strona(/y) 1-33, ISSN 1814-9359
Wydawca: Copericus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2019-19

The middle Pleistocene transition by frequency locking and slow ramping of internal period

Autorzy: Karl H. M. Nyman, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Opublikowane w: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Wydawca: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04679-3

The Limits of Water Pricing in a Developing Country Metropolis: Empirical Lessons from an Industrial City of Pakistan

Autorzy: Shabbir Ahmad, Saleem Ali, M. Mirza, Hina Lotia
Opublikowane w: Water, Numer 9/7, 2017, Strona(/y) 533, ISSN 2073-4441
Wydawca: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w9070533

Derivation of delay equation climate models using the Mori-Zwanzig formalism

Autorzy: Swinda K. J. Falkena, Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Jason Frank, Henk A. Dijkstra
Opublikowane w: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Numer 475/2227, 2019, Strona(/y) 20190075, ISSN 1364-5021
Wydawca: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2019.0075

Topologies of continuity for Carathéodory delay differential equations with applications in non-autonomous dynamics

Autorzy: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Opublikowane w: Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - A, Numer 39/9, 2019, Strona(/y) 5491-5520, ISSN 1553-5231
Wydawca: AIMS
DOI: 10.3934/dcds.2019224

Effects of Periodic Forcing on a Paleoclimate Delay Model

Autorzy: Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S. von der Heydt
Opublikowane w: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Numer 18/2, 2019, Strona(/y) 1060-1077, ISSN 1536-0040
Wydawca: Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics
DOI: 10.1137/18m1203079

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