Critical Transitions in Complex Systems

Risultati finali

Multiscale systems

Publication on bifurcations of multiscale systems

Progress report

First progress report.

Random bifurcation theory

Publication on random bifurcation theory

draft 1st periodic report

Draft first periodic report as a basis for the midterm review

Nonautonomous bifurcaton theory

Publication on nonautonomous bifurcation theory

Early-warning sig-nals in complex systems

Publication on early-warning signals in complex systems

Bifurcations of networks

Publication on bifurcations of networks

Numerical methods

Publication on numerical methods for critical transitions

Graduate schools

Two graduate schools organised

Main outreach event

Main outreach event at workshop in Dresden

Final conference

Five workshops and final conference organised

Midterm review meeting

Midterm review meeting.

Recruitment

Completion of recruitment of ESRs

Supervisory Board

The Supervisory Board of the network in place

Pubblicazioni

Topologies of L l o c p type for Carathéodory functions with applications in non-autonomous differential eq

Autori: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Pubblicato in: Journal of Differential Equations, Numero 263/11, 2017, Pagina/e 7187-7220, ISSN 0022-0396
Editore: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jde.2017.08.006

Predicting financial market crashes using ghost singularities

Autori: Damian Smug, Peter Ashwin, Didier Sornette
Pubblicato in: PLOS ONE, Numero 13/3, 2018, Pagina/e e0195265, ISSN 1932-6203
Editore: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0195265

A Generalized 2D-Dynamical Mean-Field Ising Model with a Rich Set of Bifurcations (Inspired and Applied to Financial Crises)

Autori: Damian Smug, Didier Sornette, Peter Ashwin
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, Numero 28/04, 2018, Pagina/e 1830010, ISSN 0218-1274
Editore: World Scientific Publishing Co
DOI: 10.1142/S0218127418300100

A consistent statistical model selection for abrupt glacial climate changes

Autori: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2018, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4519-2

The Mid-Pleistocene Transition induced by delayed feedback and bistability

Autori: Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S von der Heydt, Timothy M Lenton
Pubblicato in: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numero Volume 3, Numero 1,, 2018, Pagina/e pages 1–17, ISSN 2059-6987
Editore: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy005

Random and externally controlled occurrences of Dansgaard–Oeschger events

Autori: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past, Numero 14/5, 2018, Pagina/e 609-617, ISSN 1814-9332
Editore: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-14-609-2018

Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion

Autori: M. Usman Mirza, Andries Richter, Egbert H. van Nes, Marten Scheffer
Pubblicato in: Ecological Economics, Numero 160, 2019, Pagina/e 215-226, ISSN 0921-8009
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.02.015

Weak Topologies for Carathéodory Differential Equations: Continuous Dependence, Exponential Dichotomy and Attractors

Autori: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Pubblicato in: Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations, 2018, ISSN 1040-7294
Editore: Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10884-018-9710-y

A statistical significance test for sea-level variability

Autori: Daniele Castellana, Henk A Dijkstra, Fred W Wubs
Pubblicato in: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numero 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Editore: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy008

Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes

Autori: Anna S. von der Heydt, Henk A. Dijkstra, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Rodrigo Caballero, Michel Crucifix, Gavin L. Foster, Matthew Huber, Peter Köhler, Eelco Rohling, Paul J. Valdes, Peter Ashwin, Sebastian Bathiany, Tijn Berends, Loes G. J. van Bree, Peter Ditlevsen, Michael Ghil, Alan M. Haywood, Joel Katzav, Gerrit Lohmann, Johannes Lohmann, Valerio Lucarini, Alice Marzocchi, Heiko Pälike, Itzel
Pubblicato in: Current Climate Change Reports, Numero 2/4, 2016, Pagina/e 148-158, ISSN 2198-6061
Editore: Springer Inernational Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3

Objective extraction and analysis of statistical features of Dansgaard-Oeschger events

Autori: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Pubblicato in: Climate of the Past Discussions, 2019, Pagina/e 1-33, ISSN 1814-9359
Editore: Copericus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2019-19

The middle Pleistocene transition by frequency locking and slow ramping of internal period

Autori: Karl H. M. Nyman, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Editore: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04679-3

The Limits of Water Pricing in a Developing Country Metropolis: Empirical Lessons from an Industrial City of Pakistan

Autori: Shabbir Ahmad, Saleem Ali, M. Mirza, Hina Lotia
Pubblicato in: Water, Numero 9/7, 2017, Pagina/e 533, ISSN 2073-4441
Editore: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w9070533

Derivation of delay equation climate models using the Mori-Zwanzig formalism

Autori: Swinda K. J. Falkena, Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Jason Frank, Henk A. Dijkstra
Pubblicato in: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Numero 475/2227, 2019, Pagina/e 20190075, ISSN 1364-5021
Editore: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2019.0075

Topologies of continuity for Carathéodory delay differential equations with applications in non-autonomous dynamics

Autori: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Pubblicato in: Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - A, Numero 39/9, 2019, Pagina/e 5491-5520, ISSN 1553-5231
Editore: AIMS
DOI: 10.3934/dcds.2019224

Effects of Periodic Forcing on a Paleoclimate Delay Model

Autori: Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S. von der Heydt
Pubblicato in: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Numero 18/2, 2019, Pagina/e 1060-1077, ISSN 1536-0040
Editore: Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics
DOI: 10.1137/18m1203079

Risultati finali

Pubblicazioni

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