Critical Transitions in Complex Systems

Informations projet

CRITICS

N° de convention de subvention: 643073

DOI 10.3030/643073

Projet clôturé

Date de signature de la CE 10 Decembre 2014

Date de début 1 Avril 2015

Date de fin 31 Mars 2019

Financé au titre de

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Coût total € 3 896 688,10

Contribution de l’UE € 3 896 688,10

Coordonné par

IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE
United Kingdom

Livrables

Documents, reports (8)

Multiscale systems

Publication on bifurcations of multiscale systems

Progress report

First progress report.

Random bifurcation theory

Publication on random bifurcation theory

draft 1st periodic report

Draft first periodic report as a basis for the midterm review

Nonautonomous bifurcaton theory

Publication on nonautonomous bifurcation theory

Early-warning sig-nals in complex systems

Publication on early-warning signals in complex systems

Bifurcations of networks

Publication on bifurcations of networks

Numerical methods

Publication on numerical methods for critical transitions

Other (6)

Graduate schools

Two graduate schools organised

Main outreach event

Main outreach event at workshop in Dresden

Final conference

Five workshops and final conference organised

Midterm review meeting

Midterm review meeting.

Recruitment

Completion of recruitment of ESRs

Supervisory Board

The Supervisory Board of the network in place

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (16)

Topologies of L l o c p type for Carathéodory functions with applications in non-autonomous differential eq

Auteurs: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Publié dans: Journal of Differential Equations, Numéro 263/11, 2017, Page(s) 7187-7220, ISSN 0022-0396
Éditeur: Academic Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.jde.2017.08.006

Predicting financial market crashes using ghost singularities

Auteurs: Damian Smug, Peter Ashwin, Didier Sornette
Publié dans: PLOS ONE, Numéro 13/3, 2018, Page(s) e0195265, ISSN 1932-6203
Éditeur: Public Library of Science
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0195265

A Generalized 2D-Dynamical Mean-Field Ising Model with a Rich Set of Bifurcations (Inspired and Applied to Financial Crises)

Auteurs: Damian Smug, Didier Sornette, Peter Ashwin
Publié dans: International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, Numéro 28/04, 2018, Page(s) 1830010, ISSN 0218-1274
Éditeur: World Scientific Publishing Co
DOI: 10.1142/S0218127418300100

A consistent statistical model selection for abrupt glacial climate changes

Auteurs: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, 2018, ISSN 0930-7575
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4519-2

The Mid-Pleistocene Transition induced by delayed feedback and bistability

Auteurs: Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S von der Heydt, Timothy M Lenton
Publié dans: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numéro Volume 3, Numéro 1,, 2018, Page(s) pages 1–17, ISSN 2059-6987
Éditeur: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy005

Random and externally controlled occurrences of Dansgaard–Oeschger events

Auteurs: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Publié dans: Climate of the Past, Numéro 14/5, 2018, Page(s) 609-617, ISSN 1814-9332
Éditeur: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-14-609-2018

Technology driven inequality leads to poverty and resource depletion

Auteurs: M. Usman Mirza, Andries Richter, Egbert H. van Nes, Marten Scheffer
Publié dans: Ecological Economics, Numéro 160, 2019, Page(s) 215-226, ISSN 0921-8009
Éditeur: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.02.015

Weak Topologies for Carathéodory Differential Equations: Continuous Dependence, Exponential Dichotomy and Attractors

Auteurs: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Publié dans: Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations, 2018, ISSN 1040-7294
Éditeur: Plenum Publishers
DOI: 10.1007/s10884-018-9710-y

A statistical significance test for sea-level variability

Auteurs: Daniele Castellana, Henk A Dijkstra, Fred W Wubs
Publié dans: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numéro 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Éditeur: Oxford University Press
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy008

Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes

Auteurs: Anna S. von der Heydt, Henk A. Dijkstra, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Rodrigo Caballero, Michel Crucifix, Gavin L. Foster, Matthew Huber, Peter Köhler, Eelco Rohling, Paul J. Valdes, Peter Ashwin, Sebastian Bathiany, Tijn Berends, Loes G. J. van Bree, Peter Ditlevsen, Michael Ghil, Alan M. Haywood, Joel Katzav, Gerrit Lohmann, Johannes Lohmann, Valerio Lucarini, Alice Marzocchi, Heiko Pälike, Itzel
Publié dans: Current Climate Change Reports, Numéro 2/4, 2016, Page(s) 148-158, ISSN 2198-6061
Éditeur: Springer Inernational Publishing
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3

Objective extraction and analysis of statistical features of Dansgaard-Oeschger events

Auteurs: Johannes Lohmann, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Publié dans: Climate of the Past Discussions, 2019, Page(s) 1-33, ISSN 1814-9359
Éditeur: Copericus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/cp-2019-19

The middle Pleistocene transition by frequency locking and slow ramping of internal period

Auteurs: Karl H. M. Nyman, Peter D. Ditlevsen
Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, 2019, ISSN 0930-7575
Éditeur: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04679-3

The Limits of Water Pricing in a Developing Country Metropolis: Empirical Lessons from an Industrial City of Pakistan

Auteurs: Shabbir Ahmad, Saleem Ali, M. Mirza, Hina Lotia
Publié dans: Water, Numéro 9/7, 2017, Page(s) 533, ISSN 2073-4441
Éditeur: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
DOI: 10.3390/w9070533

Derivation of delay equation climate models using the Mori-Zwanzig formalism

Auteurs: Swinda K. J. Falkena, Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Jason Frank, Henk A. Dijkstra
Publié dans: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Numéro 475/2227, 2019, Page(s) 20190075, ISSN 1364-5021
Éditeur: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2019.0075

Topologies of continuity for Carathéodory delay differential equations with applications in non-autonomous dynamics

Auteurs: Iacopo P. Longo, Sylvia Novo, Rafael Obaya
Publié dans: Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - A, Numéro 39/9, 2019, Page(s) 5491-5520, ISSN 1553-5231
Éditeur: AIMS
DOI: 10.3934/dcds.2019224

Effects of Periodic Forcing on a Paleoclimate Delay Model

Auteurs: Courtney Quinn, Jan Sieber, Anna S. von der Heydt
Publié dans: SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, Numéro 18/2, 2019, Page(s) 1060-1077, ISSN 1536-0040
Éditeur: Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics
DOI: 10.1137/18m1203079