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Advanced Prediction in Polar regions and beyond: Modelling, observing system design and LInkages associated with ArctiC ClimATE change

Descrizione del progetto

Previsioni meteorologiche affidabili nell’Artico

I cambiamenti climatici hanno un impatto notevole sull’Artico e richiedono capacità di previsione affidabili per le parti interessate. Il progetto APPLICATE, finanziato dall’UE, intende elaborare un quadro inclusivo che utilizzi metriche e diagnostiche avanzate per osservare e valutare i modelli meteorologici e climatici. Questo progetto agevolerà la collaborazione fra scienziati, istituti di ricerca, centri di previsione operativa ed esperti di previsioni meteorologiche e climatiche e di divulgazione delle previsioni. APPLICATE utilizzerà questo quadro per valutare le prestazioni dei modelli esistenti e misurare i progressi del progetto. L’enfasi sarà posta sull’apporto di miglioramenti sostanziali ai modelli, concentrandosi sui fattori noti per influenzare le previsioni meteorologiche e climatiche, come lo strato limite atmosferico (comprese le nuvole), l’accoppiamento atmosfera-ghiaccio marino-oceano e i trasporti oceanici.

Obiettivo

Arctic climate change increases the need of a growing number of stakeholders for trustworthy weather and climate predictions, both within the Arctic and beyond. APPLICATE will address this challenge and develop enhanced predictive capacity by bringing together scientists from academia, research institutions and operational prediction centres, including experts in weather and climate prediction and forecast dissemination. APPLICATE will develop a comprehensive framework for observationally constraining and assessing weather and climate models using advanced metrics and diagnostics. This framework will be used to establish the performance of existing models and measure the progress made within the project. APPLICATE will make significant model improvements, focusing on aspects that are known to play pivotal roles in both weather and climate prediction, namely: the atmospheric boundary layer including clouds; sea ice; snow; atmosphere-sea ice-ocean coupling; and oceanic transports. In addition to model developments, APPLICATE will enhance predictive capacity by contributing to the design of the future Arctic observing system and through improved forecast initialization techniques. The impact of Arctic climate change on the weather and climate of the Northern Hemisphere through atmospheric and oceanic linkages will be determined by a comprehensive set of novel multi-model numerical experiments using both coupled and uncoupled ocean and atmosphere models. APPLICATE will develop strong user-engagement and dissemination activities, including pro-active engagement of end-users and the exploitation of modern methods for communication and dissemination. Knowledge-transfer will also benefit from the direct engagement of operational prediction centres in APPLICATE. The educational component of APPLICATE will be developed and implemented in collaboration with the Association of Early Career Polar Scientists (APECS).

Invito a presentare proposte

H2020-BG-2016-2017

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Bando secondario

H2020-BG-2016-1

Meccanismo di finanziamento

RIA - Research and Innovation action
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Coordinatore

ALFRED-WEGENER-INSTITUT HELMHOLTZ-ZENTRUM FUR POLAR- UND MEERESFORSCHUNG
Contribution nette de l'UE
€ 1 172 924,50
Indirizzo
Am handelshafen 12
27570 Bremerhaven
Germania

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Regione
Bremen Bremen Bremerhaven, Kreisfreie Stadt
Tipo di attività
Research Organisations
Collegamenti
Altri finanziamenti
€ 0,00

Partecipanti (16)