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Emergent Constraints on Climate-Land feedbacks in the Earth System

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A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Author(s): Rebecca M. Varney, Sarah E. Chadburn, Pierre Friedlingstein, Eleanor J. Burke, Charles D. Koven, Gustaf Hugelius, Peter M. Cox
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8

Robust Ecosystem Demography (RED version 1.0): a parsimonious approach to modelling vegetation dynamics in Earth system models

Author(s): Arthur P. K. Argles, Jonathan R. Moore, Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Anna B. Harper, Chris D. Jones, Peter M. Cox
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/9, 2020, Page(s) 4067-4089, ISSN 1991-9603
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4067-2020

Equilibrium forest demography explains the distribution of tree sizes across North America

Author(s): Jonathan R Moore, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M Cox
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 13/8, 2018, Page(s) 084019, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad6d1

Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability

Author(s): Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Published in: Nature, Issue 553/7688, 2018, Page(s) 319-322, ISSN 0028-0836
DOI: 10.1038/nature25450

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Author(s): Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Rafael S. Oliveira, Paulo R. L. Bittencourt, Fernanda V. Barros, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Andrew D. Friend, Maurizio Mencuccini, Stephen Sitch, Peter Cox
Published in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Issue 373/1760, 2018, Page(s) 20170315, ISSN 0962-8436
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0315

Cox et al. reply

Author(s): Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Chris Huntingford
Published in: Nature, Issue 563/7729, 2018, Page(s) E10-E15, ISSN 0028-0836
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0641-x

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

Author(s): Veronika Eyring, Peter M. Cox, Gregory M. Flato, Peter J. Gleckler, Gab Abramowitz, Peter Caldwell, William D. Collins, Bettina K. Gier, Alex D. Hall, Forrest M. Hoffman, George C. Hurtt, Alexandra Jahn, Chris D. Jones, Stephen A. Klein, John P. Krasting, Lester Kwiatkowski, Ruth Lorenz, Eric Maloney, Gerald A. Meehl, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Robert Pincus, Alex C. Ruane, Joellen L. Russell, Benja
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9/2, 2019, Page(s) 102-110, ISSN 1758-678X
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y

Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets

Author(s): Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Joanna House, Chris Huntingford, Timothy M. Lenton, Stephen Sitch, Eleanor Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, William J. Collins, Edward Comyn-Platt, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan C. Doelman, Garry Hayman, Eddy Robertson, Detlef van Vuuren, Andy Wiltshire, Christopher P. Webber, Ana Bastos, Lena Boysen, Philippe Ciais, Narayanappa Devaraju, Atul K. Jain, Andreas Krau
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

Author(s): Edward Comyn-Platt, Garry Hayman, Chris Huntingford, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor J. Burke, Anna B. Harper, William J. Collins, Christopher P. Webber, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Nicola Gedney, Stephen Sitch
Published in: Nature Geoscience, Issue 11/8, 2018, Page(s) 568-573, ISSN 1752-0894
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9

Large sensitivity in land carbon storage due to geographical and temporal variation in the thermal response of photosynthetic capacity

Author(s): Lina M. Mercado, Belinda E. Medlyn, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca J. Oliver, Douglas B. Clark, Stephen Sitch, Przemyslaw Zelazowski, Jens Kattge, Anna B. Harper, Peter M. Cox
Published in: New Phytologist, Issue 218/4, 2018, Page(s) 1462-1477, ISSN 0028-646X
DOI: 10.1111/nph.15100

Global vegetation variability and its response to elevated CO<sub>2</sub>, global warming, and climate variability – a study using the offline SSiB4/TRIFFID model and satellite data

Author(s): Ye Liu, Yongkang Xue, Glen MacDonald, Peter Cox, Zhengqiu Zhang
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 10/1, 2019, Page(s) 9-29, ISSN 2190-4987
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-9-2019

Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target

Author(s): William J Collins, Christopher P Webber, Peter M Cox, Chris Huntingford, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Sarah E Chadburn, Edward Comyn-Platt, Anna B Harper, Garry Hayman, Tom Powell
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 13/5, 2018, Page(s) 054003, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab89c

Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models

Author(s): Mark S Williamson, Peter M Cox, Femke J M M Nijsse
Published in: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Issue 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy006

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

Author(s): Alex Hall, Peter Cox, Chris Huntingford, Stephen Klein
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9/4, 2019, Page(s) 269-278, ISSN 1758-678X
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0436-6

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

Author(s): Peter M. Cox
Published in: Current Climate Change Reports, Issue 5/4, 2019, Page(s) 275-281, ISSN 2198-6061
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y

Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity

Author(s): Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Published in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9/8, 2019, Page(s) 598-601, ISSN 1758-678X
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0527-4

Validation of demographic equilibrium theory against tree-size distributions and biomass density in Amazonia

Author(s): Jonathan R. Moore, Arthur P. K. Argles, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/4, 2020, Page(s) 1013-1032, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1013-2020

Stomatal optimization based on xylem hydraulics (SOX) improves land surface model simulation of vegetation responses to climate

Author(s): Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Maurizio Mencuccini, Teresa Rosas, Karina Williams, Anna Harper, Belinda E. Medlyn, Yael Wagner, Tamir Klein, Grazielle S. Teodoro, Rafael S. Oliveira, Ilaine S. Matos, Bruno H. P. Rosado, Kathrin Fuchs, Georg Wohlfahrt, Leonardo Montagnani, Patrick Meir, Stephen Sitch, Peter M. Cox
Published in: New Phytologist, Issue 226/6, 2020, Page(s) 1622-1637, ISSN 0028-646X
DOI: 10.1111/nph.16419

The impact of a simple representation of non-structural carbohydrates on the simulated response of tropical forests to drought

Author(s): Simon Jones, Lucy Rowland, Peter Cox, Deborah Hemming, Andy Wiltshire, Karina Williams, Nicholas C. Parazoo, Junjie Liu, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Maurizio Mencuccini, Anna B. Harper
Published in: Biogeosciences, Issue 17/13, 2020, Page(s) 3589-3612, ISSN 1726-4189
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3589-2020

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Author(s): Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/3, 2020, Page(s) 737-750, ISSN 2190-4987
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-737-2020