Emergent Constraints on Climate-Land feedbacks in the Earth System

Informacje na temat projektu

ECCLES

Identyfikator umowy o grant: 742472

DOI

10.3030/742472

Projekt został zamknięty

Data podpisania przez KE 16 Czerwca 2017

Data rozpoczęcia 1 Października 2017

Data zakończenia 30 Września 2023

Finansowanie w ramach

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Koszt całkowity

€ 2 249 834,00

Wkład UE

€ 2 249 834,00

Koordynowany przez

THE UNIVERSITY OF EXETER
United Kingdom

CORDIS oferuje możliwość skorzystania z odnośników do publicznie dostępnych publikacji i rezultatów projektów realizowanych w ramach programów ramowych HORYZONT.

Odnośniki do rezultatów i publikacji związanych z poszczególnymi projektami 7PR, a także odnośniki do niektórych konkretnych kategorii wyników, takich jak zbiory danych i oprogramowanie, są dynamicznie pobierane z systemu OpenAIRE .

Publikacje

Peer reviewed articles (34)

Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems

Autorzy: Paul D. L. Ritchie; Hassan Alkhayuon; Peter M. Cox; Sebastian Wieczorek
Opublikowane w: Earth System Dynamics, Numer 16, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Wydawca: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-669-2023

Simulated responses of soil carbon to climate change in CMIP6 Earth system models: the role of false priming

Autorzy: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Simon Jones; Andy J. Wiltshire; Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Wydawca: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-3767-2023

Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models

Autorzy: Isobel M. Parry; Paul D. L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Earth System Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 2190-4979
Wydawca: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Autorzy: Eller, Cleiton B; Rowland, Lucy; Oliveira, Rafael S; Bittencourt, Paulo RL; Barros, Fernanda V; Da Costa, Antonio CL; Meir, Patrick; Friend, Andrew; Mencuccini, Maurizio; Sitch, Stephen; Cox, Peter
Opublikowane w: Eller , C B , Rowland , L , Oliveira , R S , Bittencourt , P R L , Barros , F V , Da Costa , A C L , Meir , P , Friend , A D , Mencuccini , M , Sitch , S & Cox , P 2018 , ' Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics ' , Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , vol. 373 , no. 1760 , pp. 201, Numer 3, 2018, ISSN 0028-646X
Wydawca: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.17863/cam.33121

Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities

Autorzy: Mark S. Williamson; Chad W. Thackeray; Peter M. Cox; Alex Hall; Chris Huntingford; Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
Opublikowane w: Reviews of Modern Physics, Numer 2, 2021, ISSN 0034-6861
Wydawca: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/revmodphys.93.025004

Seeking more robust early warning signals for climate tipping points: the Ratio of Spectra method (ROSA)

Autorzy: Joseph J. Clarke; Chris Huntingford; Paul D.L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acbc8d

Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations

Autorzy: Chris Huntingford; Peter M. Cox; Mark S. Williamson; Joseph J. Clarke; Paul D. L. Ritchie
Opublikowane w: Earth System Dynamics, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Wydawca: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-433-2023

Evaluation of soil carbon simulation in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Autorzy: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Biogeosciences, 2022, ISSN 1726-4170
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union (EGU).

A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Autorzy: Rebecca M. Varney, Sarah E. Chadburn, Pierre Friedlingstein, Eleanor J. Burke, Charles D. Koven, Gustaf Hugelius, Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Nature Communications, Numer 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8

Modelling the impact of forest management and CO2-fertilisation on growth and demography in a Sitka spruce

Autorzy: Arthur Argles, Eddy Robertson, Jon Moore, Peter Cox et al.
Opublikowane w: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-39810-2

Robust Ecosystem Demography (RED version 1.0): a parsimonious approach to modelling vegetation dynamics in Earth system models

Autorzy: Arthur P. K. Argles, Jonathan R. Moore, Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Anna B. Harper, Chris D. Jones, Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Numer 13/9, 2020, Strona(/y) 4067-4089, ISSN 1991-9603
Wydawca: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4067-2020

Combined direct and indirect impacts of warming on the productivity of coral reef fishes

Autorzy: Peter Mumby; Alice Rogers; Yves-Marie Bozec; Rebecca Millington; Peter Cox
Opublikowane w: Ecosphere, 2022, ISSN 2150-8925
Wydawca: ESA
DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.4108

Dynamic Global Vegetation Models: Searching for the balance between demographic process representation and computational tractability

Autorzy: Arthur P. K. Argles; Jonathan R. Moore; Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: PLOS Climate, 2022, ISSN 2767-3200
Wydawca: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000068

A theory of demographic optimality in forests

Autorzy: Jonathan Moore, Arthur Argles, Peter Cox
Opublikowane w: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-44860-7

Equilibrium forest demography explains the distribution of tree sizes across North America

Autorzy: Jonathan R Moore, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M Cox
Opublikowane w: Environmental Research Letters, Numer 13/8, 2018, Strona(/y) 084019, ISSN 1748-9326
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad6d1

Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability

Autorzy: Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Opublikowane w: Nature, Numer 553/7688, 2018, Strona(/y) 319-322, ISSN 0028-0836
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nature25450

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Autorzy: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Rafael S. Oliveira, Paulo R. L. Bittencourt, Fernanda V. Barros, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Andrew D. Friend, Maurizio Mencuccini, Stephen Sitch, Peter Cox
Opublikowane w: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Numer 373/1760, 2018, Strona(/y) 20170315, ISSN 0962-8436
Wydawca: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0315

Cox et al. reply

Autorzy: Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Chris Huntingford
Opublikowane w: Nature, Numer 563/7729, 2018, Strona(/y) E10-E15, ISSN 0028-0836
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0641-x

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

Autorzy: Veronika Eyring, Peter M. Cox, Gregory M. Flato, Peter J. Gleckler, Gab Abramowitz, Peter Caldwell, William D. Collins, Bettina K. Gier, Alex D. Hall, Forrest M. Hoffman, George C. Hurtt, Alexandra Jahn, Chris D. Jones, Stephen A. Klein, John P. Krasting, Lester Kwiatkowski, Ruth Lorenz, Eric Maloney, Gerald A. Meehl, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Robert Pincus, Alex C. Ruane, Joellen L. Russell, Benja
Opublikowane w: Nature Climate Change, Numer 9/2, 2019, Strona(/y) 102-110, ISSN 1758-678X
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y

Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets

Autorzy: Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Joanna House, Chris Huntingford, Timothy M. Lenton, Stephen Sitch, Eleanor Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, William J. Collins, Edward Comyn-Platt, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan C. Doelman, Garry Hayman, Eddy Robertson, Detlef van Vuuren, Andy Wiltshire, Christopher P. Webber, Ana Bastos, Lena Boysen, Philippe Ciais, Narayanappa Devaraju, Atul K. Jain, Andreas Krau
Opublikowane w: Nature Communications, Numer 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

Autorzy: Edward Comyn-Platt, Garry Hayman, Chris Huntingford, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor J. Burke, Anna B. Harper, William J. Collins, Christopher P. Webber, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Nicola Gedney, Stephen Sitch
Opublikowane w: Nature Geoscience, Numer 11/8, 2018, Strona(/y) 568-573, ISSN 1752-0894
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9

Large sensitivity in land carbon storage due to geographical and temporal variation in the thermal response of photosynthetic capacity

Autorzy: Lina M. Mercado, Belinda E. Medlyn, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca J. Oliver, Douglas B. Clark, Stephen Sitch, Przemyslaw Zelazowski, Jens Kattge, Anna B. Harper, Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: New Phytologist, Numer 218/4, 2018, Strona(/y) 1462-1477, ISSN 0028-646X
Wydawca: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.15100

Global vegetation variability and its response to elevated CO₂, global warming, and climate variability – a study using the offline SSiB4/TRIFFID model and satellite data

Autorzy: Ye Liu, Yongkang Xue, Glen MacDonald, Peter Cox, Zhengqiu Zhang
Opublikowane w: Earth System Dynamics, Numer 10/1, 2019, Strona(/y) 9-29, ISSN 2190-4987
Wydawca: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-9-2019

Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target

Autorzy: William J Collins, Christopher P Webber, Peter M Cox, Chris Huntingford, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Sarah E Chadburn, Edward Comyn-Platt, Anna B Harper, Garry Hayman, Tom Powell
Opublikowane w: Environmental Research Letters, Numer 13/5, 2018, Strona(/y) 054003, ISSN 1748-9326
Wydawca: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab89c

Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models

Autorzy: Mark S Williamson, Peter M Cox, Femke J M M Nijsse
Opublikowane w: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numer 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Wydawca: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy006

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

Autorzy: Alex Hall, Peter Cox, Chris Huntingford, Stephen Klein
Opublikowane w: Nature Climate Change, Numer 9/4, 2019, Strona(/y) 269-278, ISSN 1758-678X
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0436-6

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

Autorzy: Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Current Climate Change Reports, Numer 5/4, 2019, Strona(/y) 275-281, ISSN 2198-6061
Wydawca: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y

Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity

Autorzy: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Opublikowane w: Nature Climate Change, Numer 9/8, 2019, Strona(/y) 598-601, ISSN 1758-678X
Wydawca: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0527-4

Validation of demographic equilibrium theory against tree-size distributions and biomass density in Amazonia

Autorzy: Jonathan R. Moore, Arthur P. K. Argles, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: Biogeosciences, Numer 17/4, 2020, Strona(/y) 1013-1032, ISSN 1726-4189
Wydawca: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1013-2020

Stomatal optimization based on xylem hydraulics (SOX) improves land surface model simulation of vegetation responses to climate

Autorzy: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Maurizio Mencuccini, Teresa Rosas, Karina Williams, Anna Harper, Belinda E. Medlyn, Yael Wagner, Tamir Klein, Grazielle S. Teodoro, Rafael S. Oliveira, Ilaine S. Matos, Bruno H. P. Rosado, Kathrin Fuchs, Georg Wohlfahrt, Leonardo Montagnani, Patrick Meir, Stephen Sitch, Peter M. Cox
Opublikowane w: New Phytologist, Numer 226/6, 2020, Strona(/y) 1622-1637, ISSN 0028-646X
Wydawca: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.16419

The impact of a simple representation of non-structural carbohydrates on the simulated response of tropical forests to drought

Autorzy: Simon Jones, Lucy Rowland, Peter Cox, Deborah Hemming, Andy Wiltshire, Karina Williams, Nicholas C. Parazoo, Junjie Liu, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Maurizio Mencuccini, Anna B. Harper
Opublikowane w: Biogeosciences, Numer 17/13, 2020, Strona(/y) 3589-3612, ISSN 1726-4189
Wydawca: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3589-2020

Bioclimatic change as a function of global warming from CMIP6 climate projections

Autorzy: Morgan Sparey; Peter Cox; Mark Williamson
Opublikowane w: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Wydawca: EGU

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Autorzy: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson
Opublikowane w: Earth System Dynamics, Numer 11/3, 2020, Strona(/y) 737-750, ISSN 2190-4987
Wydawca: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-737-2020

JULES-CN: a coupled terrestrial carbon–nitrogen scheme (JULES vn5.1)

Autorzy: A. Wiltshire; A. Wiltshire; Eleanor J. Burke; Sarah Chadburn; Chris D. Jones; Peter M. Cox; Taraka Davies-Barnard; Pierre Friedlingstein; Anna B. Harper; Spencer Liddicoat; Stephen Sitch; Sönke Zaehle
Opublikowane w: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 14, Pp 2161-2186 (2021), Numer 3, 2020, ISSN 1991-959X
Wydawca: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH

Book chapters (1)

Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks

Autorzy: Canadell, J.G., P.M.S. Monteiro, M.H. Costa, L. Cotrim da Cunha, P.M. Cox, A.V. Eliseev, S. Henson, M. Ishii, S. Jaccard, C. Koven, A. Lohila, P.K. Patra, S. Piao, J. Rogelj, S. Syampungani, S. Zaehle, K. Zickfeld
Opublikowane w: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2021, Strona(/y) 673-816
Wydawca: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.007