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CORDIS

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Land feedbacks in the Earth System

Publications

Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems

Auteurs: Paul D. L. Ritchie; Hassan Alkhayuon; Peter M. Cox; Sebastian Wieczorek
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 16, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-669-2023

Simulated responses of soil carbon to climate change in CMIP6 Earth system models: the role of false priming

Auteurs: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Simon Jones; Andy J. Wiltshire; Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-3767-2023

Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models

Auteurs: Isobel M. Parry; Paul D. L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 2190-4979
Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Auteurs: Eller, Cleiton B; Rowland, Lucy; Oliveira, Rafael S; Bittencourt, Paulo RL; Barros, Fernanda V; Da Costa, Antonio CL; Meir, Patrick; Friend, Andrew; Mencuccini, Maurizio; Sitch, Stephen; Cox, Peter
Publié dans: Eller , C B , Rowland , L , Oliveira , R S , Bittencourt , P R L , Barros , F V , Da Costa , A C L , Meir , P , Friend , A D , Mencuccini , M , Sitch , S & Cox , P 2018 , ' Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics ' , Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , vol. 373 , no. 1760 , pp. 201, Numéro 3, 2018, ISSN 0028-646X
Éditeur: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.17863/cam.33121

Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities

Auteurs: Mark S. Williamson; Chad W. Thackeray; Peter M. Cox; Alex Hall; Chris Huntingford; Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
Publié dans: Reviews of Modern Physics, Numéro 2, 2021, ISSN 0034-6861
Éditeur: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/revmodphys.93.025004

Seeking more robust early warning signals for climate tipping points: the Ratio of Spectra method (ROSA)

Auteurs: Joseph J. Clarke; Chris Huntingford; Paul D.L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acbc8d

Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations

Auteurs: Chris Huntingford; Peter M. Cox; Mark S. Williamson; Joseph J. Clarke; Paul D. L. Ritchie
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-433-2023

Evaluation of soil carbon simulation in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Auteurs: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 2022, ISSN 1726-4170
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union (EGU).

A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Auteurs: Rebecca M. Varney, Sarah E. Chadburn, Pierre Friedlingstein, Eleanor J. Burke, Charles D. Koven, Gustaf Hugelius, Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8

Modelling the impact of forest management and CO2-fertilisation on growth and demography in a Sitka spruce

Auteurs: Arthur Argles, Eddy Robertson, Jon Moore, Peter Cox et al.
Publié dans: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-39810-2

Robust Ecosystem Demography (RED version 1.0): a parsimonious approach to modelling vegetation dynamics in Earth system models

Auteurs: Arthur P. K. Argles, Jonathan R. Moore, Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Anna B. Harper, Chris D. Jones, Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Numéro 13/9, 2020, Page(s) 4067-4089, ISSN 1991-9603
Éditeur: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4067-2020

Combined direct and indirect impacts of warming on the productivity of coral reef fishes

Auteurs: Peter Mumby; Alice Rogers; Yves-Marie Bozec; Rebecca Millington; Peter Cox
Publié dans: Ecosphere, 2022, ISSN 2150-8925
Éditeur: ESA
DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.4108

Dynamic Global Vegetation Models: Searching for the balance between demographic process representation and computational tractability

Auteurs: Arthur P. K. Argles; Jonathan R. Moore; Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: PLOS Climate, 2022, ISSN 2767-3200
Éditeur: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000068

A theory of demographic optimality in forests

Auteurs: Jonathan Moore, Arthur Argles, Peter Cox
Publié dans: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-44860-7

Equilibrium forest demography explains the distribution of tree sizes across North America

Auteurs: Jonathan R Moore, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M Cox
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 13/8, 2018, Page(s) 084019, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad6d1

Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability

Auteurs: Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 553/7688, 2018, Page(s) 319-322, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nature25450

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Auteurs: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Rafael S. Oliveira, Paulo R. L. Bittencourt, Fernanda V. Barros, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Andrew D. Friend, Maurizio Mencuccini, Stephen Sitch, Peter Cox
Publié dans: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Numéro 373/1760, 2018, Page(s) 20170315, ISSN 0962-8436
Éditeur: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0315

Cox et al. reply

Auteurs: Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Chris Huntingford
Publié dans: Nature, Numéro 563/7729, 2018, Page(s) E10-E15, ISSN 0028-0836
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0641-x

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

Auteurs: Veronika Eyring, Peter M. Cox, Gregory M. Flato, Peter J. Gleckler, Gab Abramowitz, Peter Caldwell, William D. Collins, Bettina K. Gier, Alex D. Hall, Forrest M. Hoffman, George C. Hurtt, Alexandra Jahn, Chris D. Jones, Stephen A. Klein, John P. Krasting, Lester Kwiatkowski, Ruth Lorenz, Eric Maloney, Gerald A. Meehl, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Robert Pincus, Alex C. Ruane, Joellen L. Russell, Benja
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 9/2, 2019, Page(s) 102-110, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y

Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets

Auteurs: Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Joanna House, Chris Huntingford, Timothy M. Lenton, Stephen Sitch, Eleanor Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, William J. Collins, Edward Comyn-Platt, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan C. Doelman, Garry Hayman, Eddy Robertson, Detlef van Vuuren, Andy Wiltshire, Christopher P. Webber, Ana Bastos, Lena Boysen, Philippe Ciais, Narayanappa Devaraju, Atul K. Jain, Andreas Krau
Publié dans: Nature Communications, Numéro 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

Auteurs: Edward Comyn-Platt, Garry Hayman, Chris Huntingford, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor J. Burke, Anna B. Harper, William J. Collins, Christopher P. Webber, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Nicola Gedney, Stephen Sitch
Publié dans: Nature Geoscience, Numéro 11/8, 2018, Page(s) 568-573, ISSN 1752-0894
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9

Large sensitivity in land carbon storage due to geographical and temporal variation in the thermal response of photosynthetic capacity

Auteurs: Lina M. Mercado, Belinda E. Medlyn, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca J. Oliver, Douglas B. Clark, Stephen Sitch, Przemyslaw Zelazowski, Jens Kattge, Anna B. Harper, Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: New Phytologist, Numéro 218/4, 2018, Page(s) 1462-1477, ISSN 0028-646X
Éditeur: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.15100

Global vegetation variability and its response to elevated CO<sub>2</sub>, global warming, and climate variability – a study using the offline SSiB4/TRIFFID model and satellite data

Auteurs: Ye Liu, Yongkang Xue, Glen MacDonald, Peter Cox, Zhengqiu Zhang
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 10/1, 2019, Page(s) 9-29, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-9-2019

Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target

Auteurs: William J Collins, Christopher P Webber, Peter M Cox, Chris Huntingford, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Sarah E Chadburn, Edward Comyn-Platt, Anna B Harper, Garry Hayman, Tom Powell
Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Numéro 13/5, 2018, Page(s) 054003, ISSN 1748-9326
Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab89c

Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models

Auteurs: Mark S Williamson, Peter M Cox, Femke J M M Nijsse
Publié dans: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numéro 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Éditeur: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy006

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

Auteurs: Alex Hall, Peter Cox, Chris Huntingford, Stephen Klein
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 9/4, 2019, Page(s) 269-278, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0436-6

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

Auteurs: Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Current Climate Change Reports, Numéro 5/4, 2019, Page(s) 275-281, ISSN 2198-6061
Éditeur: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y

Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity

Auteurs: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Numéro 9/8, 2019, Page(s) 598-601, ISSN 1758-678X
Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0527-4

Validation of demographic equilibrium theory against tree-size distributions and biomass density in Amazonia

Auteurs: Jonathan R. Moore, Arthur P. K. Argles, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, Numéro 17/4, 2020, Page(s) 1013-1032, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1013-2020

Stomatal optimization based on xylem hydraulics (SOX) improves land surface model simulation of vegetation responses to climate

Auteurs: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Maurizio Mencuccini, Teresa Rosas, Karina Williams, Anna Harper, Belinda E. Medlyn, Yael Wagner, Tamir Klein, Grazielle S. Teodoro, Rafael S. Oliveira, Ilaine S. Matos, Bruno H. P. Rosado, Kathrin Fuchs, Georg Wohlfahrt, Leonardo Montagnani, Patrick Meir, Stephen Sitch, Peter M. Cox
Publié dans: New Phytologist, Numéro 226/6, 2020, Page(s) 1622-1637, ISSN 0028-646X
Éditeur: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.16419

The impact of a simple representation of non-structural carbohydrates on the simulated response of tropical forests to drought

Auteurs: Simon Jones, Lucy Rowland, Peter Cox, Deborah Hemming, Andy Wiltshire, Karina Williams, Nicholas C. Parazoo, Junjie Liu, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Maurizio Mencuccini, Anna B. Harper
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, Numéro 17/13, 2020, Page(s) 3589-3612, ISSN 1726-4189
Éditeur: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3589-2020

Bioclimatic change as a function of global warming from CMIP6 climate projections

Auteurs: Morgan Sparey; Peter Cox; Mark Williamson
Publié dans: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Éditeur: EGU

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Auteurs: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson
Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Numéro 11/3, 2020, Page(s) 737-750, ISSN 2190-4987
Éditeur: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-737-2020

JULES-CN: a coupled terrestrial carbon–nitrogen scheme (JULES vn5.1)

Auteurs: A. Wiltshire; A. Wiltshire; Eleanor J. Burke; Sarah Chadburn; Chris D. Jones; Peter M. Cox; Taraka Davies-Barnard; Pierre Friedlingstein; Anna B. Harper; Spencer Liddicoat; Stephen Sitch; Sönke Zaehle
Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 14, Pp 2161-2186 (2021), Numéro 3, 2020, ISSN 1991-959X
Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2020-205

Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks

Auteurs: Canadell, J.G., P.M.S. Monteiro, M.H. Costa, L. Cotrim da Cunha, P.M. Cox, A.V. Eliseev, S. Henson, M. Ishii, S. Jaccard, C. Koven, A. Lohila, P.K. Patra, S. Piao, J. Rogelj, S. Syampungani, S. Zaehle, K. Zickfeld
Publié dans: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2021, Page(s) 673-816
Éditeur: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.007

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