Emergent Constraints on Climate-Land feedbacks in the Earth System

Pubblicazioni

Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems

Autori: Paul D. L. Ritchie; Hassan Alkhayuon; Peter M. Cox; Sebastian Wieczorek
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 16, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Editore: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-669-2023

Simulated responses of soil carbon to climate change in CMIP6 Earth system models: the role of false priming

Autori: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Simon Jones; Andy J. Wiltshire; Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-3767-2023

Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models

Autori: Isobel M. Parry; Paul D. L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 2190-4979
Editore: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Autori: Eller, Cleiton B; Rowland, Lucy; Oliveira, Rafael S; Bittencourt, Paulo RL; Barros, Fernanda V; Da Costa, Antonio CL; Meir, Patrick; Friend, Andrew; Mencuccini, Maurizio; Sitch, Stephen; Cox, Peter
Pubblicato in: Eller , C B , Rowland , L , Oliveira , R S , Bittencourt , P R L , Barros , F V , Da Costa , A C L , Meir , P , Friend , A D , Mencuccini , M , Sitch , S & Cox , P 2018 , ' Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics ' , Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , vol. 373 , no. 1760 , pp. 201, Numero 3, 2018, ISSN 0028-646X
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.17863/cam.33121

Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities

Autori: Mark S. Williamson; Chad W. Thackeray; Peter M. Cox; Alex Hall; Chris Huntingford; Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
Pubblicato in: Reviews of Modern Physics, Numero 2, 2021, ISSN 0034-6861
Editore: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/revmodphys.93.025004

Seeking more robust early warning signals for climate tipping points: the Ratio of Spectra method (ROSA)

Autori: Joseph J. Clarke; Chris Huntingford; Paul D.L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acbc8d

Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations

Autori: Chris Huntingford; Peter M. Cox; Mark S. Williamson; Joseph J. Clarke; Paul D. L. Ritchie
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Editore: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-433-2023

Evaluation of soil carbon simulation in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Autori: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, 2022, ISSN 1726-4170
Editore: European Geosciences Union (EGU).

A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Autori: Rebecca M. Varney, Sarah E. Chadburn, Pierre Friedlingstein, Eleanor J. Burke, Charles D. Koven, Gustaf Hugelius, Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8

Modelling the impact of forest management and CO2-fertilisation on growth and demography in a Sitka spruce

Autori: Arthur Argles, Eddy Robertson, Jon Moore, Peter Cox et al.
Pubblicato in: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-39810-2

Robust Ecosystem Demography (RED version 1.0): a parsimonious approach to modelling vegetation dynamics in Earth system models

Autori: Arthur P. K. Argles, Jonathan R. Moore, Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Anna B. Harper, Chris D. Jones, Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Numero 13/9, 2020, Pagina/e 4067-4089, ISSN 1991-9603
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4067-2020

Combined direct and indirect impacts of warming on the productivity of coral reef fishes

Autori: Peter Mumby; Alice Rogers; Yves-Marie Bozec; Rebecca Millington; Peter Cox
Pubblicato in: Ecosphere, 2022, ISSN 2150-8925
Editore: ESA
DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.4108

Dynamic Global Vegetation Models: Searching for the balance between demographic process representation and computational tractability

Autori: Arthur P. K. Argles; Jonathan R. Moore; Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: PLOS Climate, 2022, ISSN 2767-3200
Editore: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000068

A theory of demographic optimality in forests

Autori: Jonathan Moore, Arthur Argles, Peter Cox
Pubblicato in: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-44860-7

Equilibrium forest demography explains the distribution of tree sizes across North America

Autori: Jonathan R Moore, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M Cox
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 13/8, 2018, Pagina/e 084019, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad6d1

Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability

Autori: Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 553/7688, 2018, Pagina/e 319-322, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nature25450

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Autori: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Rafael S. Oliveira, Paulo R. L. Bittencourt, Fernanda V. Barros, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Andrew D. Friend, Maurizio Mencuccini, Stephen Sitch, Peter Cox
Pubblicato in: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Numero 373/1760, 2018, Pagina/e 20170315, ISSN 0962-8436
Editore: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0315

Cox et al. reply

Autori: Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Chris Huntingford
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 563/7729, 2018, Pagina/e E10-E15, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0641-x

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

Autori: Veronika Eyring, Peter M. Cox, Gregory M. Flato, Peter J. Gleckler, Gab Abramowitz, Peter Caldwell, William D. Collins, Bettina K. Gier, Alex D. Hall, Forrest M. Hoffman, George C. Hurtt, Alexandra Jahn, Chris D. Jones, Stephen A. Klein, John P. Krasting, Lester Kwiatkowski, Ruth Lorenz, Eric Maloney, Gerald A. Meehl, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Robert Pincus, Alex C. Ruane, Joellen L. Russell, Benja
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 9/2, 2019, Pagina/e 102-110, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y

Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets

Autori: Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Joanna House, Chris Huntingford, Timothy M. Lenton, Stephen Sitch, Eleanor Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, William J. Collins, Edward Comyn-Platt, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan C. Doelman, Garry Hayman, Eddy Robertson, Detlef van Vuuren, Andy Wiltshire, Christopher P. Webber, Ana Bastos, Lena Boysen, Philippe Ciais, Narayanappa Devaraju, Atul K. Jain, Andreas Krau
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

Autori: Edward Comyn-Platt, Garry Hayman, Chris Huntingford, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor J. Burke, Anna B. Harper, William J. Collins, Christopher P. Webber, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Nicola Gedney, Stephen Sitch
Pubblicato in: Nature Geoscience, Numero 11/8, 2018, Pagina/e 568-573, ISSN 1752-0894
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9

Large sensitivity in land carbon storage due to geographical and temporal variation in the thermal response of photosynthetic capacity

Autori: Lina M. Mercado, Belinda E. Medlyn, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca J. Oliver, Douglas B. Clark, Stephen Sitch, Przemyslaw Zelazowski, Jens Kattge, Anna B. Harper, Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: New Phytologist, Numero 218/4, 2018, Pagina/e 1462-1477, ISSN 0028-646X
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.15100

Global vegetation variability and its response to elevated CO<sub>2</sub>, global warming, and climate variability – a study using the offline SSiB4/TRIFFID model and satellite data

Autori: Ye Liu, Yongkang Xue, Glen MacDonald, Peter Cox, Zhengqiu Zhang
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 10/1, 2019, Pagina/e 9-29, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-9-2019

Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target

Autori: William J Collins, Christopher P Webber, Peter M Cox, Chris Huntingford, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Sarah E Chadburn, Edward Comyn-Platt, Anna B Harper, Garry Hayman, Tom Powell
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 13/5, 2018, Pagina/e 054003, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab89c

Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models

Autori: Mark S Williamson, Peter M Cox, Femke J M M Nijsse
Pubblicato in: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Numero 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Editore: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy006

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

Autori: Alex Hall, Peter Cox, Chris Huntingford, Stephen Klein
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 9/4, 2019, Pagina/e 269-278, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0436-6

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

Autori: Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Current Climate Change Reports, Numero 5/4, 2019, Pagina/e 275-281, ISSN 2198-6061
Editore: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y

Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity

Autori: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Numero 9/8, 2019, Pagina/e 598-601, ISSN 1758-678X
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0527-4

Validation of demographic equilibrium theory against tree-size distributions and biomass density in Amazonia

Autori: Jonathan R. Moore, Arthur P. K. Argles, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, Numero 17/4, 2020, Pagina/e 1013-1032, ISSN 1726-4189
Editore: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1013-2020

Stomatal optimization based on xylem hydraulics (SOX) improves land surface model simulation of vegetation responses to climate

Autori: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Maurizio Mencuccini, Teresa Rosas, Karina Williams, Anna Harper, Belinda E. Medlyn, Yael Wagner, Tamir Klein, Grazielle S. Teodoro, Rafael S. Oliveira, Ilaine S. Matos, Bruno H. P. Rosado, Kathrin Fuchs, Georg Wohlfahrt, Leonardo Montagnani, Patrick Meir, Stephen Sitch, Peter M. Cox
Pubblicato in: New Phytologist, Numero 226/6, 2020, Pagina/e 1622-1637, ISSN 0028-646X
Editore: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.16419

The impact of a simple representation of non-structural carbohydrates on the simulated response of tropical forests to drought

Autori: Simon Jones, Lucy Rowland, Peter Cox, Deborah Hemming, Andy Wiltshire, Karina Williams, Nicholas C. Parazoo, Junjie Liu, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Maurizio Mencuccini, Anna B. Harper
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, Numero 17/13, 2020, Pagina/e 3589-3612, ISSN 1726-4189
Editore: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3589-2020

Bioclimatic change as a function of global warming from CMIP6 climate projections

Autori: Morgan Sparey; Peter Cox; Mark Williamson
Pubblicato in: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Editore: EGU

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Autori: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Numero 11/3, 2020, Pagina/e 737-750, ISSN 2190-4987
Editore: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-737-2020

JULES-CN: a coupled terrestrial carbon–nitrogen scheme (JULES vn5.1)

Autori: A. Wiltshire; A. Wiltshire; Eleanor J. Burke; Sarah Chadburn; Chris D. Jones; Peter M. Cox; Taraka Davies-Barnard; Pierre Friedlingstein; Anna B. Harper; Spencer Liddicoat; Stephen Sitch; Sönke Zaehle
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 14, Pp 2161-2186 (2021), Numero 3, 2020, ISSN 1991-959X
Editore: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2020-205

Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks

Autori: Canadell, J.G., P.M.S. Monteiro, M.H. Costa, L. Cotrim da Cunha, P.M. Cox, A.V. Eliseev, S. Henson, M. Ishii, S. Jaccard, C. Koven, A. Lohila, P.K. Patra, S. Piao, J. Rogelj, S. Syampungani, S. Zaehle, K. Zickfeld
Pubblicato in: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2021, Pagina/e 673-816
Editore: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.007

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