Emergent Constraints on Climate-Land feedbacks in the Earth System

Información del proyecto

ECCLES

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 742472

DOI

10.3030/742472

Proyecto cerrado

Fecha de la firma de la CE 16 Junio 2017

Fecha de inicio 1 Octubre 2017

Fecha de finalización 30 Septiembre 2023

Financiado con arreglo a

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Coste total

€ 2 249 834,00

Aportación de la UE

€ 2 249 834,00

Coordinado por

THE UNIVERSITY OF EXETER
United Kingdom

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (34)

Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems

Autores: Paul D. L. Ritchie; Hassan Alkhayuon; Peter M. Cox; Sebastian Wieczorek
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 16, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-669-2023

Simulated responses of soil carbon to climate change in CMIP6 Earth system models: the role of false priming

Autores: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Simon Jones; Andy J. Wiltshire; Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 1726-4189
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/bg-20-3767-2023

Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models

Autores: Isobel M. Parry; Paul D. L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Autores: Eller, Cleiton B; Rowland, Lucy; Oliveira, Rafael S; Bittencourt, Paulo RL; Barros, Fernanda V; Da Costa, Antonio CL; Meir, Patrick; Friend, Andrew; Mencuccini, Maurizio; Sitch, Stephen; Cox, Peter
Publicado en: Eller , C B , Rowland , L , Oliveira , R S , Bittencourt , P R L , Barros , F V , Da Costa , A C L , Meir , P , Friend , A D , Mencuccini , M , Sitch , S & Cox , P 2018 , ' Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics ' , Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , vol. 373 , no. 1760 , pp. 201, Edición 3, 2018, ISSN 0028-646X
Editor: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.17863/cam.33121

Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities

Autores: Mark S. Williamson; Chad W. Thackeray; Peter M. Cox; Alex Hall; Chris Huntingford; Femke J. M. M. Nijsse
Publicado en: Reviews of Modern Physics, Edición 2, 2021, ISSN 0034-6861
Editor: American Physical Society
DOI: 10.1103/revmodphys.93.025004

Seeking more robust early warning signals for climate tipping points: the Ratio of Spectra method (ROSA)

Autores: Joseph J. Clarke; Chris Huntingford; Paul D.L. Ritchie; Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, 2023, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acbc8d

Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations

Autores: Chris Huntingford; Peter M. Cox; Mark S. Williamson; Joseph J. Clarke; Paul D. L. Ritchie
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, 2023, ISSN 2190-4979
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH
DOI: 10.5194/esd-14-433-2023

Evaluation of soil carbon simulation in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Autores: Rebecca M. Varney; Sarah E. Chadburn; Eleanor J. Burke; Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, 2022, ISSN 1726-4170
Editor: European Geosciences Union (EGU).

A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming

Autores: Rebecca M. Varney, Sarah E. Chadburn, Pierre Friedlingstein, Eleanor J. Burke, Charles D. Koven, Gustaf Hugelius, Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 11/1, 2020, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8

Modelling the impact of forest management and CO2-fertilisation on growth and demography in a Sitka spruce

Autores: Arthur Argles, Eddy Robertson, Jon Moore, Peter Cox et al.
Publicado en: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-39810-2

Robust Ecosystem Demography (RED version 1.0): a parsimonious approach to modelling vegetation dynamics in Earth system models

Autores: Arthur P. K. Argles, Jonathan R. Moore, Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Anna B. Harper, Chris D. Jones, Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Edición 13/9, 2020, Página(s) 4067-4089, ISSN 1991-9603
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4067-2020

Combined direct and indirect impacts of warming on the productivity of coral reef fishes

Autores: Peter Mumby; Alice Rogers; Yves-Marie Bozec; Rebecca Millington; Peter Cox
Publicado en: Ecosphere, 2022, ISSN 2150-8925
Editor: ESA
DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.4108

Dynamic Global Vegetation Models: Searching for the balance between demographic process representation and computational tractability

Autores: Arthur P. K. Argles; Jonathan R. Moore; Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: PLOS Climate, 2022, ISSN 2767-3200
Editor: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000068

A theory of demographic optimality in forests

Autores: Jonathan Moore, Arthur Argles, Peter Cox
Publicado en: Science Reports, 2023, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-44860-7

Equilibrium forest demography explains the distribution of tree sizes across North America

Autores: Jonathan R Moore, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M Cox
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 13/8, 2018, Página(s) 084019, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad6d1

Emergent constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity from global temperature variability

Autores: Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 553/7688, 2018, Página(s) 319-322, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/nature25450

Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics

Autores: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Rafael S. Oliveira, Paulo R. L. Bittencourt, Fernanda V. Barros, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Andrew D. Friend, Maurizio Mencuccini, Stephen Sitch, Peter Cox
Publicado en: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Edición 373/1760, 2018, Página(s) 20170315, ISSN 0962-8436
Editor: Royal Society of London
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0315

Cox et al. reply

Autores: Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Chris Huntingford
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 563/7729, 2018, Página(s) E10-E15, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0641-x

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level

Autores: Veronika Eyring, Peter M. Cox, Gregory M. Flato, Peter J. Gleckler, Gab Abramowitz, Peter Caldwell, William D. Collins, Bettina K. Gier, Alex D. Hall, Forrest M. Hoffman, George C. Hurtt, Alexandra Jahn, Chris D. Jones, Stephen A. Klein, John P. Krasting, Lester Kwiatkowski, Ruth Lorenz, Eric Maloney, Gerald A. Meehl, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Robert Pincus, Alex C. Ruane, Joellen L. Russell, Benja
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 9/2, 2019, Página(s) 102-110, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y

Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets

Autores: Anna B. Harper, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Joanna House, Chris Huntingford, Timothy M. Lenton, Stephen Sitch, Eleanor Burke, Sarah E. Chadburn, William J. Collins, Edward Comyn-Platt, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan C. Doelman, Garry Hayman, Eddy Robertson, Detlef van Vuuren, Andy Wiltshire, Christopher P. Webber, Ana Bastos, Lena Boysen, Philippe Ciais, Narayanappa Devaraju, Atul K. Jain, Andreas Krau
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 9/1, 2018, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z

Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks

Autores: Edward Comyn-Platt, Garry Hayman, Chris Huntingford, Sarah E. Chadburn, Eleanor J. Burke, Anna B. Harper, William J. Collins, Christopher P. Webber, Tom Powell, Peter M. Cox, Nicola Gedney, Stephen Sitch
Publicado en: Nature Geoscience, Edición 11/8, 2018, Página(s) 568-573, ISSN 1752-0894
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9

Large sensitivity in land carbon storage due to geographical and temporal variation in the thermal response of photosynthetic capacity

Autores: Lina M. Mercado, Belinda E. Medlyn, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca J. Oliver, Douglas B. Clark, Stephen Sitch, Przemyslaw Zelazowski, Jens Kattge, Anna B. Harper, Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: New Phytologist, Edición 218/4, 2018, Página(s) 1462-1477, ISSN 0028-646X
Editor: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.15100

Global vegetation variability and its response to elevated CO₂, global warming, and climate variability – a study using the offline SSiB4/TRIFFID model and satellite data

Autores: Ye Liu, Yongkang Xue, Glen MacDonald, Peter Cox, Zhengqiu Zhang
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 10/1, 2019, Página(s) 9-29, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-9-2019

Increased importance of methane reduction for a 1.5 degree target

Autores: William J Collins, Christopher P Webber, Peter M Cox, Chris Huntingford, Jason Lowe, Stephen Sitch, Sarah E Chadburn, Edward Comyn-Platt, Anna B Harper, Garry Hayman, Tom Powell
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 13/5, 2018, Página(s) 054003, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab89c

Theoretical foundations of emergent constraints: relationships between climate sensitivity and global temperature variability in conceptual models

Autores: Mark S Williamson, Peter M Cox, Femke J M M Nijsse
Publicado en: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, Edición 3/1, 2018, ISSN 2059-6987
Editor: Oxford Academic
DOI: 10.1093/climsys/dzy006

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

Autores: Alex Hall, Peter Cox, Chris Huntingford, Stephen Klein
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 9/4, 2019, Página(s) 269-278, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0436-6

Emergent Constraints on Climate-Carbon Cycle Feedbacks

Autores: Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Current Climate Change Reports, Edición 5/4, 2019, Página(s) 275-281, ISSN 2198-6061
Editor: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-019-00141-y

Decadal global temperature variability increases strongly with climate sensitivity

Autores: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford, Mark S. Williamson
Publicado en: Nature Climate Change, Edición 9/8, 2019, Página(s) 598-601, ISSN 1758-678X
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0527-4

Validation of demographic equilibrium theory against tree-size distributions and biomass density in Amazonia

Autores: Jonathan R. Moore, Arthur P. K. Argles, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, Edición 17/4, 2020, Página(s) 1013-1032, ISSN 1726-4189
Editor: European Geosciences Union
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1013-2020

Stomatal optimization based on xylem hydraulics (SOX) improves land surface model simulation of vegetation responses to climate

Autores: Cleiton B. Eller, Lucy Rowland, Maurizio Mencuccini, Teresa Rosas, Karina Williams, Anna Harper, Belinda E. Medlyn, Yael Wagner, Tamir Klein, Grazielle S. Teodoro, Rafael S. Oliveira, Ilaine S. Matos, Bruno H. P. Rosado, Kathrin Fuchs, Georg Wohlfahrt, Leonardo Montagnani, Patrick Meir, Stephen Sitch, Peter M. Cox
Publicado en: New Phytologist, Edición 226/6, 2020, Página(s) 1622-1637, ISSN 0028-646X
Editor: Blackwell Publishing Inc.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.16419

The impact of a simple representation of non-structural carbohydrates on the simulated response of tropical forests to drought

Autores: Simon Jones, Lucy Rowland, Peter Cox, Deborah Hemming, Andy Wiltshire, Karina Williams, Nicholas C. Parazoo, Junjie Liu, Antonio C. L. da Costa, Patrick Meir, Maurizio Mencuccini, Anna B. Harper
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, Edición 17/13, 2020, Página(s) 3589-3612, ISSN 1726-4189
Editor: EGU Publications
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3589-2020

Bioclimatic change as a function of global warming from CMIP6 climate projections

Autores: Morgan Sparey; Peter Cox; Mark Williamson
Publicado en: Biogeosciences, 2023, ISSN 2767-3200
Editor: EGU

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Autores: Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson
Publicado en: Earth System Dynamics, Edición 11/3, 2020, Página(s) 737-750, ISSN 2190-4987
Editor: EGU
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-737-2020

JULES-CN: a coupled terrestrial carbon–nitrogen scheme (JULES vn5.1)

Autores: A. Wiltshire; A. Wiltshire; Eleanor J. Burke; Sarah Chadburn; Chris D. Jones; Peter M. Cox; Taraka Davies-Barnard; Pierre Friedlingstein; Anna B. Harper; Spencer Liddicoat; Stephen Sitch; Sönke Zaehle
Publicado en: Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 14, Pp 2161-2186 (2021), Edición 3, 2020, ISSN 1991-959X
Editor: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH

Book chapters (1)

Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks

Autores: Canadell, J.G., P.M.S. Monteiro, M.H. Costa, L. Cotrim da Cunha, P.M. Cox, A.V. Eliseev, S. Henson, M. Ishii, S. Jaccard, C. Koven, A. Lohila, P.K. Patra, S. Piao, J. Rogelj, S. Syampungani, S. Zaehle, K. Zickfeld
Publicado en: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2021, Página(s) 673-816
Editor: Cambridge University Press
DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.007