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European Climate Prediction system

Deliverables

Climate/non-climatic attribution of hydro-meteorological events and losses

Climate/non-climatic attribution of hydro-meteorological events and losses

Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities

Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities

Evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections

Report on the evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections

Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions

Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions in climate change response and adaptation

Evaluation of forecast quality over the 1-40 year time span for both global initialised forecasts and the non-initialised projections

Evaluation of forecast quality over the 1-40 year time span for both global initialised forecasts and the non-initialised projections

Simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level

Report on simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level

Fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events for the simulation of high impact events

Report on the fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events

Relevance of observational and emerging constraints and their reflection in the prediction distribution functions

Relevance of observational and emerging constraints and their reflection in the prediction distribution functions

Evaluation of the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs

Evaluation report on the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs

Activities in research communities related to climate prediction

Activities in research communities related to climate prediction

End user requirements for the EUCP

Report on end user requirements for the EUCP including selection of indicators

Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions

Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions (in collaboration with WMO)

Recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects

Report on recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects

Policy briefings about knowledge gaps and best practice

Policy briefings about knowledge gaps and best practice

Data access, analytics and provenance infrastructure for scientists

Data access, analytics and provenance infrastructure for scientists

Training about EUCP data services infrastructure and use

Training aimed at scientists in work packages and partner projects. Training documents, recordings and minutes will be made available on website

Searching for OpenAIRE data...

Publications

An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles

Author(s): Anna Louise Merrifield, Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Iselin Medhaug, Reto Knutti
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 11/3, 2020, Page(s) 807-834, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-807-2020

Extreme rainfall in Mediterranean France during the fall: added value of the CNRM-AROME Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model

Author(s): Quentin Fumière, Michel Déqué, Olivier Nuissier, Samuel Somot, Antoinette Alias, Cécile Caillaud, Olivier Laurantin, Yann Seity
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 55/1-2, 2020, Page(s) 77-91, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04898-8

How Reliable Are Decadal Climate Predictions of Near-Surface Air Temperature?

Author(s): Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Markus G. Donat, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Verónica Torralba, Simon Wild
Published in: Journal of Climate, 34/2, 2021, Page(s) 697-713, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0138.1

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and North Atlantic Jet: A Multimodel View from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project

Author(s): Paolo Ruggieri, Alessio Bellucci, Dario Nicolí, Panos J. Athanasiadis, Silvio Gualdi, Christophe Cassou, Fred Castruccio, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Paolo Davini, Nick Dunstone, Rosemary Eade, Guillaume Gastineau, Ben Harvey, Leon Hermanson, Saïd Qasmi, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Emilia Sanchez-Gomez, Doug Smith, Simon Wild, Matteo Zampieri
Published in: Journal of Climate, 34/1, 2021, Page(s) 347-360, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0981.1

North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply

Author(s): D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L. F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W. A. Müller, D. Nicolí, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. P
Published in: Nature, 583/7818, 2020, Page(s) 796-800, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Sandy coastlines under threat of erosion

Author(s): Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Theocharis A. Plomaritis, Panagiotis Athanasiou, Arjen Luijendijk, Luc Feyen
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 10/3, 2020, Page(s) 260-263, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0697-0

HCLIM38: a flexible regional climate model applicable for different climate zones from coarse to convection-permitting scales

Author(s): Danijel Belušić, Hylke de Vries, Andreas Dobler, Oskar Landgren, Petter Lind, David Lindstedt, Rasmus A. Pedersen, Juan Carlos Sánchez-Perrino, Erika Toivonen, Bert van Ulft, Fuxing Wang, Ulf Andrae, Yurii Batrak, Erik Kjellström, Geert Lenderink, Grigory Nikulin, Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen, Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino, Patrick Samuelsson, Erik van Meijgaard, Minchao Wu
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 13/3, 2020, Page(s) 1311-1333, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1311-2020

Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions

Author(s): Andrew P Schurer, Andrew P Ballinger, Andrew R Friedman, Gabriele C Hegerl
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 15/10, 2020, Page(s) 104026, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab83ab

Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector

Author(s): Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Louis-Philippe Caron, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Francisco J Doblas-Reyes
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 14/12, 2019, Page(s) 124014, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5043

Constraining Projections Using Decadal Predictions

Author(s): Daniel J. Befort, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087900

Benefits and added value of convection-permitting climate modeling over Fenno-Scandinavia

Author(s): Petter Lind, Danijel Belušić, Ole B. Christensen, Andreas Dobler, Erik Kjellström, Oskar Landgren, David Lindstedt, Dominic Matte, Rasmus A. Pedersen, Erika Toivonen, Fuxing Wang
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 55/7-8, 2020, Page(s) 1893-1912, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05359-3

Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature

Author(s): Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, Dario Nicolì, Fred Kucharski, Mansour Almazroui, Michael K. Tippett, Alessio Bellucci, Paolo Ruggieri, In-Sik Kang
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Nature Research
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0109-1

The impact of the AMV on Eurasian summer hydrological cycle

Author(s): Dario Nicolì, Alessio Bellucci, Doroteaciro Iovino, Paolo Ruggieri, Silvio Gualdi
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71464-2

European daily precipitation according to EURO-CORDEX regional climate models (RCMs) and high-resolution global climate models (GCMs) from the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP)

Author(s): Marie-Estelle Demory, Ségolène Berthou, Jesús Fernández, Silje L. Sørland, Roman Brogli, Malcolm J. Roberts, Urs Beyerle, Jon Seddon, Rein Haarsma, Christoph Schär, Erasmo Buonomo, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlo ̀, Rowan Fealy, Grigory Nikulin, Daniele Peano, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Christian Steger, Claas Teichmann, Robert Vautard
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 13/11, 2020, Page(s) 5485-5506, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5485-2020

The extremely warm summer 2018 in Sweden–set in a historical context

Author(s): Wilcke, R. A., Kjellström, E., Lin, C., Matei, D., & Moberg, A.
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 11 (4), 2020, Page(s) 1-22, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1107-2020

Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology

Author(s): F. M. Selten, R. Bintanja, R. Vautard, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-61721-9

Objective identification of potentially damaging tropical cyclones over the Western North Pacific

Author(s): D J Befort, T Kruschke, G C Leckebusch
Published in: Environmental Research Communications, 2/3, 2020, Page(s) 031005, ISSN 2515-7620
Publisher: IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ab7b35

Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C

Author(s): D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Doescher, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G. A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X.
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 45/21, 2018, Page(s) 11,895-11,903, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079362

Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate

Author(s): Yochanan Kushnir, Adam A. Scaife, Raymond Arritt, Gianpaolo Balsamo, George Boer, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Ed Hawkins, Masahide Kimoto, Rupa Kumar Kolli, Arun Kumar, Daniela Matei, Katja Matthes, Wolfgang A. Müller, Terence O’Kane, Judith Perlwitz, Scott Power, Marilyn Raphael, Akihiko Shimpo, Doug Smith, Matthias Tuma, Bo Wu
Published in: Nature Climate Change, 9/2, 2019, Page(s) 94-101, ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7

Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

Author(s): D. M. Smith, R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. M. DelSole, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, L. Hermanson, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Yeager, X. Yang
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2/1, 2019, Page(s) 1-10, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y

How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation?

Author(s): Antje Weisheimer, Damien Decremer, David MacLeod, Christopher O’Reilly, T.N. Stockdale, S. Johnson, T.N. Palmer
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2018, Page(s) 1-20, ISSN 0035-9009
Publisher: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3446

Future evolution of extreme precipitation in the Mediterranean

Author(s): Yves Tramblay, Samuel Somot
Published in: Climatic Change, 151/2, 2018, Page(s) 289-302, ISSN 0165-0009
Publisher: Reidel Pub. Co.
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2300-5

Toward a European Climate Prediction System

Author(s): Chris D. Hewitt, Jason A. Lowe
Published in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99/10, 2018, Page(s) 1997-2001, ISSN 0003-0007
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0022.1

Robustness and Scalability of Regional Climate Projections Over Europe

Author(s): Dominic Matte, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Published in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, 6, 2019, ISSN 2296-665X
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2018.00163

Robustness of European climate projections from dynamical downscaling

Author(s): Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Morten A. D. Larsen, Ole B. Christensen, Martin Drews, Martin Stendel
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2019, Page(s) 1-13, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04831-z

Analysis of Ensemble Mean Forecasts: The Blessings of High Dimensionality

Author(s): Bo Christiansen
Published in: Monthly Weather Review, 147/5, 2019, Page(s) 1699-1712, ISSN 0027-0644
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0211.1

A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean

Author(s): Erika Coppola, Stefan Sobolowski, E. Pichelli, F. Raffaele, B. Ahrens, I. Anders, N. Ban, S. Bastin, M. Belda, D. Belusic, A. Caldas-Alvarez, R. M. Cardoso, S. Davolio, A. Dobler, J. Fernandez, L. Fita, Q. Fumiere, F. Giorgi, K. Goergen, I. Güttler, T. Halenka, D. Heinzeller, Ø. Hodnebrog, D. Jacob, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, E. Kendon, S. Khodayar, H. Kunstmann, S. Knist, A. Lavín-Gullón, P.
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2018, Page(s) 1-32, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8

Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution

Author(s): Bellprat, Omar; Guemas, Virginie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Donat, Markus G.
Published in: Nature Communications, 10, 5, 2019, Page(s) 1-7, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000339757

A Framework to Determine the Limits of Achievable Skill for Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictions

Author(s): Yiling Liu, Markus G. Donat, Andréa S. Taschetto, Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes, Lisa V. Alexander, Matthew H. England
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124/6, 2019, Page(s) 2882-2896, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029541

Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset

Author(s): R. Manzanas, J. M. Gutiérrez, J. Bhend, S. Hemri, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Torralba, E. Penabad, A. Brookshaw
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 02-2019, 2019, Page(s) 1-19, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04640-4

Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe

Author(s): Luis R. L. Rodrigues, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Caio A. S. Coelho
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 02-2019, 2019, Page(s) 1-16, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4140-4

Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation

Author(s): Pierre Spandre, Hugues François, Deborah Verfaillie, Marc Pons, Matthieu Vernay, Matthieu Lafaysse, Emmanuelle George, Samuel Morin
Published in: The Cryosphere, 13/4, 2019, Page(s) 1325-1347, ISSN 1994-0424
Publisher: European Geoscience Union
DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1325-2019

Investigating the Effects of Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures on the Wind Drought of 2015 Over the United States

Author(s): Lledó, Llorenç; Bellprat, Omar; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; Soret, Albert
Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 6, 2018, Page(s) 4837-4849, ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2017JD028019

Characterization of the near surface wind speed distribution at global scale: ERA-Interim reanalysis and ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 4

Author(s): Raül Marcos, Nube González-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba, Albert Soret, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 52/5-6, 2019, Page(s) 3307-3319, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4338-5

Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions

Author(s): Marco Turco, Sonia Jerez, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Amir AghaKouchak, Maria Carmen Llasat, Antonello Provenzale
Published in: Nature Communications, 9/1, 2018, Page(s) 1-9, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05250-0

Climate controls on snow reliability in French Alps ski resorts

Author(s): P. Spandre, H. François, D. Verfaillie, M. Lafaysse, M. Déqué, N. Eckert, E. George, S. Morin
Published in: Scientific Reports, 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-44068-8

The biggest unknowns related to decadal prediction: what 50 experts think are the 5 major knowledge gaps

Author(s): Dragana Bojovic, Roberto Bilbao, Leandro B. Díaz, Markus Donat, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Marta Terrado, Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Published in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2019, ISSN 0003-0007
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0190.1

Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting

Author(s): Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Marius Zumwald, Reto Knutti
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, 14/12, 2019, Page(s) 124010, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab492f

Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO

Author(s): Panos J. Athanasiadis, Stephen Yeager, Young-Oh Kwon, Alessio Bellucci, David W. Smith, Stefano Tibaldi
Published in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0120-6

Uncertainties in projections of sandy beach erosion due to sea level rise: an analysis at the European scale

Author(s): Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Jaap Kwadijk
Published in: Scientific Reports, 10/1, 2020, Page(s) 11895, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-68576-0

"Historical and future changes in global flood magnitude – evidence from a model–observation investigation"

Author(s): Hong Xuan Do, Fang Zhao, Seth Westra, Michael Leonard, Lukas Gudmundsson, Julien Eric Stanislas Boulange, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Hannes Müller Schmied, Tobias Stacke, Camelia-Eliza Telteu, Yoshihide Wada
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24/3, 2020, Page(s) 1543-1564, ISSN 1607-7938
Publisher: European Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-1543-2020

Using the Budyko Framework for Calibrating a Global Hydrological Model

Author(s): P. Greve, P. Burek, Y. Wada
Published in: Water Resources Research, 56/6, 2020, ISSN 0043-1397
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr026280

Europe-wide precipitation projections at convection permitting scale with the Unified Model

Author(s): Steven C. Chan, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Ségolène Berthou, Giorgia Fosser, Elizabeth Lewis, Hayley J. Fowler
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 55/3-4, 2020, Page(s) 409-428, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05192-8

Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework

Author(s): Lukas Brunner, Carol McSweeney, Andrew P. Ballinger, Daniel J. Befort, Marianna Benassi, Ben Booth, Erika Coppola, Hylke de Vries, Glen Harris, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Reto Knutti, Geert Lenderink, Jason Lowe, Rita Nogherotto, Chris O’Reilly, Saïd Qasmi, Aurélien Ribes, Paolo Stocchi, Sabine Undorf
Published in: Journal of Climate, 33/20, 2020, Page(s) 8671-8692, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0953.1

Understanding the Distribution of Multimodel Ensembles

Author(s): Bo Christiansen
Published in: Journal of Climate, 33/21, 2020, Page(s) 9447-9465, ISSN 0894-8755
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0186.1

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models

Author(s): Tokarska, K. B., Stolpe, M. B., Sippel, S., Fischer, E. M., Smith, C. J., Lehner, F. and Knutti, R.
Published in: Science Advances, 6(12), 2020, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: AAAS (American Association for the Advances of Science)
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549

Development of the Community Water Model (CWatM v1.04) – a high-resolution hydrological model for global and regional assessment of integrated water resources management

Author(s): Peter Burek, Yusuke Satoh, Taher Kahil, Ting Tang, Peter Greve, Mikhail Smilovic, Luca Guillaumot, Fang Zhao, Yoshihide Wada
Published in: Geoscientific Model Development, 13/7, 2020, Page(s) 3267-3298, ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3267-2020

Projections and uncertainties of sandy beach loss due to sea level rise at the European scale

Author(s): Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Ranasinghe, R., and Kwadijk, J.
Published in: EGU General Assembly 2020, EGU2020-10149, 2020, ISSN 1866-3508
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-10149

Evaluation and Expected Changes of Summer Precipitation at Convection Permitting Scale with COSMO-CLM over Alpine Space

Author(s): Marianna Adinolfi, Mario Raffa, Alfredo Reder, Paola Mercogliano
Published in: Atmosphere, 12/1, 2021, Page(s) 54, ISSN 2073-4433
Publisher: Rotoweb Cantelli
DOI: 10.3390/atmos12010054

Making climate projections conditional on historical observations

Author(s): Aurélien Ribes, Saïd Qasmi, Nathan P. Gillett
Published in: Science Advances, 7/4, 2021, Page(s) eabc0671, ISSN 2375-2548
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abc0671

Internal variability versus multi‐physics uncertainty in a regional climate model

Author(s): Alvaro Lavin‐Gullon, Jesus Fernandez, Sophie Bastin, Rita M. Cardoso, Lluis Fita, Theodore M. Giannaros, Klaus Goergen, Jose Manuel Gutierrez, Stergios Kartsios, Eleni Katragkou, Torge Lorenz, Josipa Milovac, Pedro M. M. Soares, Stefan Sobolowski, Kirsten Warrach‐Sagi
Published in: International Journal of Climatology, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6717

A new spatially distributed added value index for regional climate models: the EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX-CORE highest resolution ensembles

Author(s): James M. Ciarlo`, Erika Coppola, Adriano Fantini, Filippo Giorgi, XueJie Gao, Yao Tong, Russell H. Glazer, Jose Abraham Torres Alavez, Taleena Sines, Emanuela Pichelli, Francesca Raffaele, Sushant Das, Melissa Bukovsky, Moetasim Ashfaq, Eun-Soon Im, Thanh Nguyen-Xuan, Claas Teichmann, Armelle Remedio, Thomas Remke, Katharina Bülow, Torsten Weber, Lars Buntemeyer, Kevin Sieck, Diana Rechid, Daniel
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05400-5

Linking Ocean Forcing and Atmospheric Interactions to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in MPI‐ESM1.2

Author(s): J. Oelsmann, L. Borchert, R. Hand, J. Baehr, J. H. Jungclaus
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, 47/10, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087259

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

Author(s): Lukas Brunner, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Flavio Lehner, Anna L. Merrifield, Ruth Lorenz, Reto Knutti
Published in: Earth System Dynamics, 11/4, 2020, Page(s) 995-1012, ISSN 2190-4987
Publisher: Copernicus Publications
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-995-2020

Towards European wide maps of climatologic homogeneous regions for rainfall

Author(s): Zander MJ, Sperna Weiland FC, and Weerts AH
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Proceedings of the EGU General Assembly 2019, vol 21,, 2019
Publisher: European Geophysical Union

Uncertainty analysis in land loss prediction due to sea level rise, for sandy systems, at the European scale

Author(s): Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Jaap Kwadijk
Published in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Proceedings of the EGU General Assembly 2019, Vol. 21, 2019
Publisher: European Geophysical Union

Global distribution of nearshore slopes with implications for coastal retreat

Author(s): Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Sandra Gaytan-Aguilar, Roshanka Ranasinghe
Published in: Earth System Science Data, 11/4, 2019, Page(s) 1515-1529, ISSN 1866-3516
Publisher: not applicable
DOI: 10.5194/essd-11-1515-2019

How to better predict North Atlantic’s atmospheric pressure patterns

Author(s): Based on paper by Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Gaytan-Aguilar, S., and Ranasinghe, R.
Published in: 2020
Publisher: EU