Livrables Documents, reports (33) Portfolio of suitable post-processed high-impact weather events for the present day and near future Portfolio of suitable postprocessed highimpact weather events for the present day and near future Concepts for prototype products and business and adaptation strategies making use of the EUCP system Report about concepts for prototype products and business and adaptation strategies making use of the EUCP system Development of methods to merge probabilistic forecasts based on global initialised and non-initialised predictions to provide a seamless prediction system Development of methods to merge probabilistic forecasts based on global initialised and noninitialised predictions to provide a seamless prediction system Climate/non-climatic attribution of hydro-meteorological events and losses Climate/non-climatic attribution of hydro-meteorological events and losses Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities Merging methods based on, and added value of, the high-resolution regional climate simulations Report on merging methods based on and added value of the highresolution regional climate simulations Evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections Report on the evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections Potential future case studies and events of interest This deliverable will include a short description of the case studies used in WP4 the sectors concerned data and methods used and the success or difficulties encountered It will also use the experience from the work package to propose a set of future case studies or events to be considered in future projects together with a selection strategy based on discussions that occurred with stakeholders or from experience These cases will consider the sectors where WP4 has worked on but also other potential sectors This deliverable could therefore feed the thinking about the legacy of EUCP Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions in climate change response and adaptation Outlook of future hazards Outlook of future hazards Production of uncertainty quantifications/PDFs, including separation into different components Production of uncertainty quantificationsPDFs including separation into different components natural variability model uncertainty forcing uncertainty Recommendations for the development of a new generation of climate forecast systems Recommendations for the development of a new generation of climate forecast systems Evaluation of forecast quality over the 1-40 year time span for both global initialised forecasts and the non-initialised projections Evaluation of forecast quality over the 1-40 year time span for both global initialised forecasts and the non-initialised projections Exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions Report on exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions short technical briefing report Identification of optimal subset of future climate realisations and provision of event set of present and future extreme events Set of plausible scenarios optimised for the climate around 2050 and optimised for the transient period that are set in the context of the UQsPDFs from Deliverable D23 In addition selection of a set of short extreme weather episodes in present and future climate Simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level Report on simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level Fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events for the simulation of high impact events Report on the fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events Relevance of observational and emerging constraints and their reflection in the prediction distribution functions Relevance of observational and emerging constraints and their reflection in the prediction distribution functions Feedback and EUCP-design decisions (intermediate) Intermediate collection of reports about feedback and EUCPdesign decisions Evaluation of the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs Evaluation report on the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs Activities in research communities related to climate prediction Activities in research communities related to climate prediction Feedback and EUCP-design decisions (final) Final collection of reports about feedback and design decisions and joint activities between research communities Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions (short technical briefing report) Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions short technical briefing report Merging method developed for storylines, and the production of combined time-series and events sets Report on merging method developed for storylines and the production of combined timeseries and events sets generated from a combination of initialised and noninitialised model simulations with guidance on their use Fully assessed multi-model based ensemble of simulations of high impact weather events for the historical and near future period Fully assessed multimodel based ensemble of simulations of high impact weather events for the historical and near future periods approximately 1 40 years Policy briefings - ready for dissemination Policy briefings ready for dissemination Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions (glossy non-technical policy card)) Development and exploitation of simulations for the EU Outermost Regions glossy nontechnical policy card Usability of EUCP service products for end users Usability of EUCP service products for end users End user requirements for the EUCP Report on end user requirements for the EUCP including selection of indicators Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions (in collaboration with WMO) Construction of probability forecasts for the near term horizon (up to 10 years) Construction of probability forecasts for the near term horizon up to 10 years from multiple sources of information for a number of the most commonly used variables and tailored to specific applications Recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects Report on recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects Policy briefings about knowledge gaps and best practice Policy briefings about knowledge gaps and best practice Open Research Data Pilot (1) Data Management Plan Data Management Plan Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. (2) Data access infrastructure for end-users with appropriate documentation Data access infrastructure for endusers with appropriate documentation Project website and internal collaboration platform Project website and internal collaboration platform available Other (2) Data access, analytics and provenance infrastructure for scientists Data access, analytics and provenance infrastructure for scientists Training about EUCP data services infrastructure and use Training aimed at scientists in work packages and partner projects. Training documents, recordings and minutes will be made available on website Publications Peer reviewed articles (162) Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios Auteurs: Tramblay, Y., et al. Publié dans: Earth Science Reviews, Issue 210, 2020, Page(s) 103348, ISSN 0012-8252 Éditeur: Elsevier BV DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103348 Irrigation of biomass plantations may globally increase water stress more than climate change Auteurs: Fabian Stenzel; Peter Greve; Wolfgang Lucht; Wolfgang Lucht; Sylvia Tramberend; Yoshihide Wada; Dieter Gerten; Dieter Gerten Publié dans: Nature Communications, Issue 2, 2021, ISSN 2041-1723 Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-21640-3 AMOC and summer sea ice as key drivers of the spread in mid-holocene winter temperature patterns over Europe in PMIP3 models Auteurs: Gainusa-Bogdan A, Swingedouw D, Yiou P, et al Publié dans: Global and Planetary Change, Issue 184, 2020, ISSN 0921-8181 Éditeur: Elsevier BV DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.103055 An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles Auteurs: Anna Louise Merrifield, Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Iselin Medhaug, Reto Knutti Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/3, 2020, Page(s) 807-834, ISSN 2190-4987 Éditeur: Copernicus Publications DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-807-2020 Convection‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps Auteurs: Lucas‐Picher, P., Argüeso, D., Brisson, E., Tramblay, Y., Berg, P., Lemonsu, A., Kotlarski, S., Caillaud, C. Publié dans: WIREs Climate Change, Issue 12(6), 2021, Page(s) e731, ISSN 1757-7799 Éditeur: Royal Meteorological Society and the Royal Geographical Society DOI: 10.1002/wcc.731 Extreme rainfall in Mediterranean France during the fall: added value of the CNRM-AROME Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model Auteurs: Quentin Fumière, Michel Déqué, Olivier Nuissier, Samuel Somot, Antoinette Alias, Cécile Caillaud, Olivier Laurantin, Yann Seity Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 55/1-2, 2020, Page(s) 77-91, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04898-8 Precipitation From Persistent Extremes is Increasing in Most Regions and Globally Auteurs: Du, Haibo; Alexander, Lisa V.; Donat, Markus G.; Lippmann, Tanya; Srivastava, Arvind; Salinger, Jim; Kruger, Andries; Choi, Gwangyong; He, Hong S.; Fujibe, Fumiaki; Rusticucci, Matilde; Nandintsetseg, Banzragch; Manzanas, Rodrigo; Rehman, Shafiqur; Abbas, Farhat; Zhai, Panmao; Yabi, Ibouraïma; Stambaugh, Michael C.; Wang, Shengzhong; Batbold, Altangerel; Oliveira, Priscilla Teles; Adrees, Muhamma Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46, 2019, Page(s) 6041-6049, ISSN 0094-8276 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.1029/2019gl081898 The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, Part I: Evaluation of precipitation Auteurs: Nikolina Ban; Cécile Caillaud; Erika Coppola; Emanuela Pichelli; Stefan Sobolowski; Marianna Adinolfi; Bodo Ahrens; Antoinette Alias; Ivonne Anders; Sophie Bastin; Danijel Belušić; Ségolène Berthou; Erwan Brisson; Rita M. Cardoso; Steven Chan; Ole Bøssing Christensen; Jesús Fernández; Lluis Fita; Thomas Frisius; Goran Gašparac; Filippo Giorgi; Klaus Goergen; Jan Erik Haugen; Øivind Hodne Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 57, 2021, Page(s) 275-302, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-22378 Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions? Auteurs: Scaife AA, Camp J, Comer R, et al (2019). Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions? Atmos Sci Lett 20. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.922 Publié dans: Atmospheric Science Letters, Issue 20, 2019, ISSN 1530-261X Éditeur: John Wiley & Sons Inc. DOI: 10.1002/asl.922 How Reliable Are Decadal Climate Predictions of Near-Surface Air Temperature? Auteurs: Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Markus G. Donat, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Verónica Torralba, Simon Wild Publié dans: Journal of Climate, Issue 34/2, 2021, Page(s) 697-713, ISSN 0894-8755 Éditeur: American Meteorological Society DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0138.1 Western boundary circulation and coastal sea-level variability in Northern Hemisphere oceans Auteurs: Samuel Tiéfolo Diabaté; Didier Swingedouw; J. J. M. Hirschi; Aurelie Duchez; Philip Leadbitter; Ivan D. Haigh; Gerard McCarthy Publié dans: Ocean Science, Issue 18120792, 2021, Page(s) 1449-1471, ISSN 1812-0792 Éditeur: Copernicus Publications DOI: 10.5194/os-17-1449-2021 Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues Auteurs: Menary MB, Mignot J, Robson J Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 16, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326 Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and North Atlantic Jet: A Multimodel View from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project Auteurs: Paolo Ruggieri, Alessio Bellucci, Dario Nicolí, Panos J. Athanasiadis, Silvio Gualdi, Christophe Cassou, Fred Castruccio, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Paolo Davini, Nick Dunstone, Rosemary Eade, Guillaume Gastineau, Ben Harvey, Leon Hermanson, Saïd Qasmi, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Emilia Sanchez-Gomez, Doug Smith, Simon Wild, Matteo Zampieri Publié dans: Journal of Climate, Issue 34/1, 2021, Page(s) 347-360, ISSN 0894-8755 Éditeur: American Meteorological Society DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0981.1 Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation Auteurs: Seungmok Paik; Seung-Ki Min; Seung-Ki Min; Xuebin Zhang; Markus G. Donat; Andrew D. King; Qiaohong Sun Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086875 Estimating dune erosion at the regional scale using a meta-model based on Neural Networks Auteurs: Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Antolinez, J.A.A.A. & Ranasinghe, R. Publié dans: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (EGU), 2022, ISSN 1684-9981 Éditeur: Copernicus Publications DOI: 10.5194/nhess-2022-106 Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections Auteurs: Greve P, Kahil T, Mochizuki J, Schinko T, Satoh Y, Burek P, Fischer G, Tramberend S, Burtscher R, Langan S, Wada Y Publié dans: Nature Sustainability, Issue 1, 2018, Page(s) 486-494, ISSN 2398-9629 Éditeur: Springer Nature DOI: 10.1038/s41893-018-0134-9 Modes of climate variability: Synthesis and review of proxy-based reconstructions through the Holocene Auteurs: Hernandez A, Martin-Puertas C, Moffa-Sanchez P, et al Publié dans: Earth Science Reviews, Issue 209, 2020, ISSN 0012-8252 Éditeur: Elsevier BV DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103286 The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections Auteurs: J. Cos; F. Doblas-Reyes; F. Doblas-Reyes; M. Jury; M. Jury; R. Marcos; P.-A. Bretonnière; M. Samsó Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 13, 2022, Page(s) 321-340, ISSN 2190-4979 Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-321-2022 A Clustering Approach for Predicting Dune Morphodynamic Response to Storms Using Typological Coastal Profiles: A Case Study at the Dutch Coast Auteurs: Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Antolinez, J.A.A.A., Ranasinghe, R. Publié dans: Frontiers in Marine Science, Issue 8, 2021, Page(s) 1-20, ISSN 2296-7745 Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.747754 An interdecadal shift of the extratropical ENSO teleconnection during boreal summer Auteurs: O'Reilly, C., Woollings, T., Zanna, L. & Weisheimer, A. Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 46, 2019, ISSN 0094-8276 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.1029/2019gl084079 North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply Auteurs: D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L. F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W. A. Müller, D. Nicolí, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. P Publié dans: Nature, Issue 583/7818, 2020, Page(s) 796-800, ISSN 0028-0836 Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0 The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation Auteurs: Pichelli, E., Coppola, E., Sobolowski, S., Ban, N., Giorgi, F., Stocchi, P., Alias, A., Belušić, D., Berthou, S., Caillaud, C., Chan, S., Christensen, O. B., Dobler, A., de Vries, H., Goergen, K., Keuler, K., Lenderink, G., Lorenz, T., Panitz, H.-J., Schär, C., Pedro Soares, M. M., Truhetz, H., Vergara-Temprado, J., Cardoso, R. M., Kendon, E. J. & Mishra, A. N. Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 56, 2021, Page(s) 3581-3602, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05657-4 The blessing of dimensionality for the analysis of climate data Auteurs: Christiansen, B. Publié dans: Non-linear processes in Geophysics, Issue 28, 2021, Page(s) 409-422, ISSN 1023-5809 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.5194/npg-28-409-2021 Assessment of a full-field initialised decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 versio of EC-Earth Auteurs: Bilbao, R., S. Wild, P. Ortega, J. Acosta-Navarro, T. Arsouze, P.-A. Bretonnière, L.-P. Caron, M. Castrillo, R. Cruz-García, I. Cvijanovic, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Donat, E. Dutra, P. Echevarría, A.-C. Ho, S. Loosveldt-Tomas, E. Moreno-Chamarro, N. Pérez-Zanon, A. Ramos, Y. Ruprich-Robert, V. Sicardi, E. Tourigny and J. Vegas-Regidor Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 12, 2019, Page(s) 173-196, ISSN 2190-4979 Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-66 Benefits of sea ice initialization for the interannual-to-decadal climate prediction skill in the Arctic in EC-Earth3 Auteurs: Tian T, Yang S, Karami MP, et al Publié dans: Geoscience Model Development, Issue 14, 2021, Page(s) 4283-4305, ISSN 1991-9603 Éditeur: Copernicus Publications DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-4283-2021 Klotzbach P, Blake E, Camp J, et al (2019). Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecasting. Trop CYCLONE Res Rev 8:134–149. https://doi.org/10.6057/2019TCRR03.03 Auteurs: Klotzbach P, Blake E, Camp J, et al Publié dans: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Issue 8, 2019, Page(s) 134-149, ISSN 2589-3025 Éditeur: KeAi Elsevier DOI: 10.6057/2019tcrr03.03 Self-Organizing Maps Identify Windows of Opportunity for Seasonal European Summer Predictions Auteurs: Julianna Carvalho-Oliveira; Leonard F. Borchert; Eduardo Zorita; Johanna Baehr Publié dans: Frontiers in Climate, Issue 4, 2022, ISSN 2624-9553 Éditeur: Frontiers Media SA DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2022.844634 Physical storylines of future European drought events like 2018 based on ensemble climate modelling Auteurs: Karin van der Wiel; Geert Lenderink; Hylke de Vries Publié dans: Weather and climate extremes, Issue 33, 2021, ISSN 2212-0947 Éditeur: Elsevier BV DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-1823 Statistical adjustment, calibration and downscaling of seasonal forecasts: a case-study for Southeast Asia Auteurs: Manzanas, R.; Gutiérrez, J. M.; Bhend, J.; Hemri, S.; Doblas-Reyes, F. J.; Penabad, E.; Brookshaw, A. Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 54, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05145-1 Sandy coastlines under threat of erosion Auteurs: Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Theocharis A. Plomaritis, Panagiotis Athanasiou, Arjen Luijendijk, Luc Feyen Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, Issue 10/3, 2020, Page(s) 260-263, ISSN 1758-678X Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0697-0 Improved Decadal Predictions of North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre SST in CMIP6 Auteurs: Leonard Borchert; Matthew Menary; Didier Swingedouw; Giovanni Sgubin; Leon Hermanson; Juliette Mignot Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48 (3), 2021, ISSN 0094-8276 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091307 Modelling Mediterranean heavy precipitation events at climate scale: an object-oriented evaluation of the CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model Auteurs: Caillaud C., Somot S., Alias A., Bernard-Bouissières I., Fumière Q., Laurantin O., Seity Y., Ducrocq V. Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 56, 2021, Page(s) 1717-1752, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05558-y The Tuning Strategy of IPSL-CM6A-LR Auteurs: Mignot J, Hourdin F, Deshayes J, et al Publié dans: Journal of Advances in Modelling Earth Systems (JAMES), 2021, ISSN 1942-2466 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.1029/2020ms002340 HCLIM38: a flexible regional climate model applicable for different climate zones from coarse to convection-permitting scales Auteurs: Danijel Belušić, Hylke de Vries, Andreas Dobler, Oskar Landgren, Petter Lind, David Lindstedt, Rasmus A. Pedersen, Juan Carlos Sánchez-Perrino, Erika Toivonen, Bert van Ulft, Fuxing Wang, Ulf Andrae, Yurii Batrak, Erik Kjellström, Geert Lenderink, Grigory Nikulin, Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen, Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino, Patrick Samuelsson, Erik van Meijgaard, Minchao Wu Publié dans: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/3, 2020, Page(s) 1311-1333, ISSN 1991-9603 Éditeur: Copernicus Publications DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-1311-2020 Cost-benefit analysis of coastal flood defence measures in the North Adriatic Sea Auteurs: Amadio, M., Essenfelder, A.H., Bagli, S., Marzi, S., Mazzoli, P., Mysiak, J., Roberts, S. Publié dans: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (EGU), Issue 22, 2022, Page(s) 265-286, ISSN 1684-9981 Éditeur: Copernicus Publications DOI: 10.5194/nhess-22-265-2022 Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions Auteurs: Andrew P Schurer, Andrew P Ballinger, Andrew R Friedman, Gabriele C Hegerl Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/10, 2020, Page(s) 104026, ISSN 1748-9326 Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab83ab Improved models, improved information? Exploring how climate change impacts pollen, influenza, and mold in Berlin and its surroundings Auteurs: Langendijk, G.S., Rechid D. and Jacob D. Publié dans: Journal of Urban Climate, Issue 43, 2022, ISSN 2212-0955 Éditeur: Elsevier BV DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101159 Lehner F, Deser C, Maher N, et al (2020) Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. EARTH Syst Dyn 11:491–508. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020 Auteurs: Lehner F, Deser C, Maher N, et al (2020) Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. EARTH Syst Dyn 11:491–508. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020 Publié dans: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11, 2020, Page(s) 491-508, ISSN 2190-4979 Éditeur: Copernicus Gesellschaft mbH DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-491-2020 Correction to: Modelling Mediterranean heavy precipitation events at climate scale: an object-oriented evaluation of the CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model Auteurs: Caillaud C., Somot S., Alias A., Bernard-Bouissières I., Fumière Q., Laurantin O., Seity Y., Ducrocq V. Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 58, 2022, Page(s) 625-630, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05887-6 Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector Auteurs: Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Louis-Philippe Caron, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Francisco J Doblas-Reyes Publié dans: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 14/12, 2019, Page(s) 124014, ISSN 1748-9326 Éditeur: Institute of Physics Publishing DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5043 Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate Auteurs: Kushnir, Yochanan; Scaife, Adam A.; Arritt, Raymond; Balsamo, Gianpaolo; Boer, George; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Hawkins, Ed; Kimoto, Masahide; Kolli, Rupa Kumar; Kumar, Arun; Matei, Daniela; Matthes, Katja; Müller, Wolfgang A.; O’Kane, Terence; Perlwitz, Judith; Power, Scott; Raphael, Marilyn; Shimpo, Akihiko; Smith, Doug; Tuma, Matthias; Wu, Bo Publié dans: Nature Climate Change, 9 . pp. 94-101., Issue 4, 2019, Page(s) 94-101, ISSN 1758-6798 Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7 A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with implications for potential coastal overtopping Auteurs: Almar R, Ranasinghe R, Bergsma EWJ, Athanasiou P., et al Publié dans: Nature Communications, Issue 12, 2021, Page(s) 1-9, ISSN 2041-1723 Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-24008-9 Constraining Projections Using Decadal Predictions Auteurs: Daniel J. Befort, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer Publié dans: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087900 Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: An analysis with the EC-Earth3 model Auteurs: Carmo-Costa, T., R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado and E. Dutra Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 58, 2022, Page(s) 1311-1328, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05962-y Regional modeling of surface mass balance on the Cook Ice Cap, Kerguelen Islands (49ºS, 69ºE) Auteurs: Verfaillie, D., Favier, V., Gallée, H., Fettweis, X., Agosta, C. & Jomelli, V. Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 53, 2019, Page(s) 5909-5925, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04904-z Benefits and added value of convection-permitting climate modeling over Fenno-Scandinavia Auteurs: Petter Lind, Danijel Belušić, Ole B. Christensen, Andreas Dobler, Erik Kjellström, Oskar Landgren, David Lindstedt, Dominic Matte, Rasmus A. Pedersen, Erika Toivonen, Fuxing Wang Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, Issue 55/7-8, 2020, Page(s) 1893-1912, ISSN 0930-7575 Éditeur: Springer Verlag DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05359-3 Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty Auteurs: Christopher O'Reilly; Daniel J. Befort; Antje Weisheimer; Antje Weisheimer; Tim Woollings; Andrew Ballinger; Gabriele C. Hegerl Publié dans: Communications Earth & Environment, Issue 2, 2021, ISSN 2662-4435 Éditeur: Nature DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7 Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature Auteurs: Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, Dario Nicolì, Fred Kucharski, Mansour Almazroui, Michael K. Tippett, Alessio Bellucci, Paolo Ruggieri, In-Sik Kang Publié dans: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722 Éditeur: Nature Research DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0109-1 The impact of the AMV on Eurasian summer hydrological cycle Auteurs: Dario Nicolì, Alessio Bellucci, Doroteaciro Iovino, Paolo Ruggieri, Silvio Gualdi Publié dans: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322 Éditeur: Nature Publishing Group DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71464-2 Multi-Model Forecast Quality Assessment of CMIP6 Decadal Predictions Auteurs: Delgado-Torres C., Donat M.G., Gonzalez-Reviriego N. Publié dans: Journal of Climate, Issue 35, 2022, Page(s) 4363-4382, ISSN 0894-8755 Éditeur: American Meteorological Society DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0811.1 Testing Methods of Pattern Extraction for Climate Data Using Synthetic Modes Auteurs: Fulton DJ, Hegerl GC Publié dans: Journal of Climate, Issue 34, 2021, Page(s) 7645-7660, ISSN 0894-8755 Éditeur: American Meteorological Society DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0871.1 Robustness of future atmospheric circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain Auteurs: Ozturk T, Matte D, Christensen JH Publié dans: Climate Dynamics, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276 Éditeur: American Geophysical Union DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-06069-0 How to create an operational multi-model of seasonal forecasts? Auteurs: Stephan Hemri; Jonas Bhend; Mark A. Liniger; Rodrigo Manzanas; Stefan Siegert; David B. Stephenson; José M. Gutiérrez; Anca Brookshaw; Francisco J. 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