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European Climate Prediction system

Risultati finali

Climate/non-climatic attribution of hydro-meteorological events and losses

Climate/non-climatic attribution of hydro-meteorological events and losses

Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities

Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities

Evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections

Report on the evaluation and combination of potential observational/emergent constraints relevant to European climate projections

Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions

Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions in climate change response and adaptation

Evaluation of forecast quality over the 1-40 year time span for both global initialised forecasts and the non-initialised projections

Evaluation of forecast quality over the 1-40 year time span for both global initialised forecasts and the non-initialised projections

Simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level

Report on simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level

Fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events for the simulation of high impact events

Report on the fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events

Relevance of observational and emerging constraints and their reflection in the prediction distribution functions

Relevance of observational and emerging constraints and their reflection in the prediction distribution functions

Evaluation of the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs

Evaluation report on the difference methods to produce uncertainty quantifications/PDFs

Activities in research communities related to climate prediction

Activities in research communities related to climate prediction

End user requirements for the EUCP

Report on end user requirements for the EUCP including selection of indicators

Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions

Compilation and combination of multiple initialised climate predictions and delivery of real time climate predictions (in collaboration with WMO)

Recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects

Report on recommendations for collaboration protocols for identified cluster-projects

Policy briefings about knowledge gaps and best practice

Policy briefings about knowledge gaps and best practice

Data access, analytics and provenance infrastructure for scientists

Data access, analytics and provenance infrastructure for scientists

Training about EUCP data services infrastructure and use

Training aimed at scientists in work packages and partner projects. Training documents, recordings and minutes will be made available on website

Pubblicazioni

An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles

Autori: Anna Louise Merrifield, Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Iselin Medhaug, Reto Knutti
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/3, 2020, Page(s) 807-834, ISSN 2190-4987
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-807-2020

Extreme rainfall in Mediterranean France during the fall: added value of the CNRM-AROME Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Model

Autori: Quentin Fumière, Michel Déqué, Olivier Nuissier, Samuel Somot, Antoinette Alias, Cécile Caillaud, Olivier Laurantin, Yann Seity
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 55/1-2, 2020, Page(s) 77-91, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04898-8

How Reliable Are Decadal Climate Predictions of Near-Surface Air Temperature?

Autori: Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Markus G. Donat, Núria Pérez-Zanón, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Verónica Torralba, Simon Wild
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Issue 34/2, 2021, Page(s) 697-713, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0138.1

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and North Atlantic Jet: A Multimodel View from the Decadal Climate Prediction Project

Autori: Paolo Ruggieri, Alessio Bellucci, Dario Nicolí, Panos J. Athanasiadis, Silvio Gualdi, Christophe Cassou, Fred Castruccio, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Paolo Davini, Nick Dunstone, Rosemary Eade, Guillaume Gastineau, Ben Harvey, Leon Hermanson, Saïd Qasmi, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Emilia Sanchez-Gomez, Doug Smith, Simon Wild, Matteo Zampieri
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Issue 34/1, 2021, Page(s) 347-360, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0981.1

North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply

Autori: D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L. F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W. A. Müller, D. Nicolí, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. P
Pubblicato in: Nature, Issue 583/7818, 2020, Page(s) 796-800, ISSN 0028-0836
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Sandy coastlines under threat of erosion

Autori: Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Theocharis A. Plomaritis, Panagiotis Athanasiou, Arjen Luijendijk, Luc Feyen
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 10/3, 2020, Page(s) 260-263, ISSN 1758-678X
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0697-0

Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions

Autori: Andrew P Schurer, Andrew P Ballinger, Andrew R Friedman, Gabriele C Hegerl
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 15/10, 2020, Page(s) 104026, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab83ab

Multi-year prediction of European summer drought conditions for the agricultural sector

Autori: Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Louis-Philippe Caron, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Francisco J Doblas-Reyes
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 14/12, 2019, Page(s) 124014, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5043

Constraining Projections Using Decadal Predictions

Autori: Daniel J. Befort, Christopher H. O'Reilly, Antje Weisheimer
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/18, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087900

Benefits and added value of convection-permitting climate modeling over Fenno-Scandinavia

Autori: Petter Lind, Danijel Belušić, Ole B. Christensen, Andreas Dobler, Erik Kjellström, Oskar Landgren, David Lindstedt, Dominic Matte, Rasmus A. Pedersen, Erika Toivonen, Fuxing Wang
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 55/7-8, 2020, Page(s) 1893-1912, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05359-3

Atlantic Ocean influence on Middle East summer surface air temperature

Autori: Muhammad Azhar Ehsan, Dario Nicolì, Fred Kucharski, Mansour Almazroui, Michael K. Tippett, Alessio Bellucci, Paolo Ruggieri, In-Sik Kang
Pubblicato in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0109-1

The impact of the AMV on Eurasian summer hydrological cycle

Autori: Dario Nicolì, Alessio Bellucci, Doroteaciro Iovino, Paolo Ruggieri, Silvio Gualdi
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-71464-2

European daily precipitation according to EURO-CORDEX regional climate models (RCMs) and high-resolution global climate models (GCMs) from the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP)

Autori: Marie-Estelle Demory, Ségolène Berthou, Jesús Fernández, Silje L. Sørland, Roman Brogli, Malcolm J. Roberts, Urs Beyerle, Jon Seddon, Rein Haarsma, Christoph Schär, Erasmo Buonomo, Ole B. Christensen, James M. Ciarlo ̀, Rowan Fealy, Grigory Nikulin, Daniele Peano, Dian Putrasahan, Christopher D. Roberts, Retish Senan, Christian Steger, Claas Teichmann, Robert Vautard
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/11, 2020, Page(s) 5485-5506, ISSN 1991-9603
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-5485-2020

The extremely warm summer 2018 in Sweden–set in a historical context

Autori: Wilcke, R. A., Kjellström, E., Lin, C., Matei, D., & Moberg, A.
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11 (4), 2020, Page(s) 1-22, ISSN 2190-4987
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1107-2020

Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology

Autori: F. M. Selten, R. Bintanja, R. Vautard, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-61721-9

Objective identification of potentially damaging tropical cyclones over the Western North Pacific

Autori: D J Befort, T Kruschke, G C Leckebusch
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Issue 2/3, 2020, Page(s) 031005, ISSN 2515-7620
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ab7b35

Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C

Autori: D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Doescher, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G. A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X.
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 45/21, 2018, Page(s) 11,895-11,903, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079362

Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate

Autori: Yochanan Kushnir, Adam A. Scaife, Raymond Arritt, Gianpaolo Balsamo, George Boer, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Ed Hawkins, Masahide Kimoto, Rupa Kumar Kolli, Arun Kumar, Daniela Matei, Katja Matthes, Wolfgang A. Müller, Terence O’Kane, Judith Perlwitz, Scott Power, Marilyn Raphael, Akihiko Shimpo, Doug Smith, Matthias Tuma, Bo Wu
Pubblicato in: Nature Climate Change, Issue 9/2, 2019, Page(s) 94-101, ISSN 1758-678X
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7

Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

Autori: D. M. Smith, R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. M. DelSole, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, L. Hermanson, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Yeager, X. Yang
Pubblicato in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 2/1, 2019, Page(s) 1-10, ISSN 2397-3722
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y

How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation?

Autori: Antje Weisheimer, Damien Decremer, David MacLeod, Christopher O’Reilly, T.N. Stockdale, S. Johnson, T.N. Palmer
Pubblicato in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2018, Page(s) 1-20, ISSN 0035-9009
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3446

Future evolution of extreme precipitation in the Mediterranean

Autori: Yves Tramblay, Samuel Somot
Pubblicato in: Climatic Change, Issue 151/2, 2018, Page(s) 289-302, ISSN 0165-0009
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2300-5

Toward a European Climate Prediction System

Autori: Chris D. Hewitt, Jason A. Lowe
Pubblicato in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Issue 99/10, 2018, Page(s) 1997-2001, ISSN 0003-0007
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0022.1

Robustness and Scalability of Regional Climate Projections Over Europe

Autori: Dominic Matte, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Pubblicato in: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Issue 6, 2019, ISSN 2296-665X
DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2018.00163

Robustness of European climate projections from dynamical downscaling

Autori: Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Morten A. D. Larsen, Ole B. Christensen, Martin Drews, Martin Stendel
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2019, Page(s) 1-13, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04831-z

Analysis of Ensemble Mean Forecasts: The Blessings of High Dimensionality

Autori: Bo Christiansen
Pubblicato in: Monthly Weather Review, Issue 147/5, 2019, Page(s) 1699-1712, ISSN 0027-0644
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0211.1

A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean

Autori: Erika Coppola, Stefan Sobolowski, E. Pichelli, F. Raffaele, B. Ahrens, I. Anders, N. Ban, S. Bastin, M. Belda, D. Belusic, A. Caldas-Alvarez, R. M. Cardoso, S. Davolio, A. Dobler, J. Fernandez, L. Fita, Q. Fumiere, F. Giorgi, K. Goergen, I. Güttler, T. Halenka, D. Heinzeller, Ø. Hodnebrog, D. Jacob, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, E. Kendon, S. Khodayar, H. Kunstmann, S. Knist, A. Lavín-Gullón, P.
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2018, Page(s) 1-32, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8

Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution

Autori: Bellprat, Omar; Guemas, Virginie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Donat, Markus G.
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, 10, Issue 5, 2019, Page(s) 1-7, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000339757

A Framework to Determine the Limits of Achievable Skill for Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictions

Autori: Yiling Liu, Markus G. Donat, Andréa S. Taschetto, Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes, Lisa V. Alexander, Matthew H. England
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Issue 124/6, 2019, Page(s) 2882-2896, ISSN 2169-897X
DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029541

Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset

Autori: R. Manzanas, J. M. Gutiérrez, J. Bhend, S. Hemri, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Torralba, E. Penabad, A. Brookshaw
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 02-2019, 2019, Page(s) 1-19, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04640-4

Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe

Autori: Luis R. L. Rodrigues, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Caio A. S. Coelho
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 02-2019, 2019, Page(s) 1-16, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4140-4

Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation

Autori: Pierre Spandre, Hugues François, Deborah Verfaillie, Marc Pons, Matthieu Vernay, Matthieu Lafaysse, Emmanuelle George, Samuel Morin
Pubblicato in: The Cryosphere, Issue 13/4, 2019, Page(s) 1325-1347, ISSN 1994-0424
DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1325-2019

Investigating the Effects of Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures on the Wind Drought of 2015 Over the United States

Autori: Lledó, Llorenç; Bellprat, Omar; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; Soret, Albert
Pubblicato in: Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, Issue 6, 2018, Page(s) 4837-4849, ISSN 2169-897X
DOI: 10.1029/2017JD028019

Characterization of the near surface wind speed distribution at global scale: ERA-Interim reanalysis and ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 4

Autori: Raül Marcos, Nube González-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba, Albert Soret, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 52/5-6, 2019, Page(s) 3307-3319, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4338-5

Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions

Autori: Marco Turco, Sonia Jerez, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Amir AghaKouchak, Maria Carmen Llasat, Antonello Provenzale
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Issue 9/1, 2018, Page(s) 1-9, ISSN 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05250-0

Climate controls on snow reliability in French Alps ski resorts

Autori: P. Spandre, H. François, D. Verfaillie, M. Lafaysse, M. Déqué, N. Eckert, E. George, S. Morin
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Issue 9/1, 2019, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-44068-8

The biggest unknowns related to decadal prediction: what 50 experts think are the 5 major knowledge gaps

Autori: Dragana Bojovic, Roberto Bilbao, Leandro B. Díaz, Markus Donat, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Marta Terrado, Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Pubblicato in: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2019, ISSN 0003-0007
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0190.1

Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting

Autori: Lukas Brunner, Ruth Lorenz, Marius Zumwald, Reto Knutti
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 14/12, 2019, Page(s) 124010, ISSN 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab492f

Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO

Autori: Panos J. Athanasiadis, Stephen Yeager, Young-Oh Kwon, Alessio Bellucci, David W. Smith, Stefano Tibaldi
Pubblicato in: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Issue 3/1, 2020, ISSN 2397-3722
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0120-6

Uncertainties in projections of sandy beach erosion due to sea level rise: an analysis at the European scale

Autori: Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Jaap Kwadijk
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Issue 10/1, 2020, Page(s) 11895, ISSN 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-68576-0

"Historical and future changes in global flood magnitude – evidence from a model–observation investigation"

Autori: Hong Xuan Do, Fang Zhao, Seth Westra, Michael Leonard, Lukas Gudmundsson, Julien Eric Stanislas Boulange, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Dieter Gerten, Simon N. Gosling, Hannes Müller Schmied, Tobias Stacke, Camelia-Eliza Telteu, Yoshihide Wada
Pubblicato in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Issue 24/3, 2020, Page(s) 1543-1564, ISSN 1607-7938
DOI: 10.5194/hess-24-1543-2020

Using the Budyko Framework for Calibrating a Global Hydrological Model

Autori: P. Greve, P. Burek, Y. Wada
Pubblicato in: Water Resources Research, Issue 56/6, 2020, ISSN 0043-1397
DOI: 10.1029/2019wr026280

Europe-wide precipitation projections at convection permitting scale with the Unified Model

Autori: Steven C. Chan, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Ségolène Berthou, Giorgia Fosser, Elizabeth Lewis, Hayley J. Fowler
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, Issue 55/3-4, 2020, Page(s) 409-428, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05192-8

Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework

Autori: Lukas Brunner, Carol McSweeney, Andrew P. Ballinger, Daniel J. Befort, Marianna Benassi, Ben Booth, Erika Coppola, Hylke de Vries, Glen Harris, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Reto Knutti, Geert Lenderink, Jason Lowe, Rita Nogherotto, Chris O’Reilly, Saïd Qasmi, Aurélien Ribes, Paolo Stocchi, Sabine Undorf
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Issue 33/20, 2020, Page(s) 8671-8692, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0953.1

Understanding the Distribution of Multimodel Ensembles

Autori: Bo Christiansen
Pubblicato in: Journal of Climate, Issue 33/21, 2020, Page(s) 9447-9465, ISSN 0894-8755
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0186.1

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models

Autori: Tokarska, K. B., Stolpe, M. B., Sippel, S., Fischer, E. M., Smith, C. J., Lehner, F. and Knutti, R.
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Issue 6(12), 2020, ISSN 2375-2548
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549

Development of the Community Water Model (CWatM v1.04) – a high-resolution hydrological model for global and regional assessment of integrated water resources management

Autori: Peter Burek, Yusuke Satoh, Taher Kahil, Ting Tang, Peter Greve, Mikhail Smilovic, Luca Guillaumot, Fang Zhao, Yoshihide Wada
Pubblicato in: Geoscientific Model Development, Issue 13/7, 2020, Page(s) 3267-3298, ISSN 1991-9603
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-3267-2020

Projections and uncertainties of sandy beach loss due to sea level rise at the European scale

Autori: Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Ranasinghe, R., and Kwadijk, J.
Pubblicato in: EGU General Assembly 2020, Issue EGU2020-10149, 2020, ISSN 1866-3508
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-10149

Evaluation and Expected Changes of Summer Precipitation at Convection Permitting Scale with COSMO-CLM over Alpine Space

Autori: Marianna Adinolfi, Mario Raffa, Alfredo Reder, Paola Mercogliano
Pubblicato in: Atmosphere, Issue 12/1, 2021, Page(s) 54, ISSN 2073-4433
DOI: 10.3390/atmos12010054

Making climate projections conditional on historical observations

Autori: Aurélien Ribes, Saïd Qasmi, Nathan P. Gillett
Pubblicato in: Science Advances, Issue 7/4, 2021, Page(s) eabc0671, ISSN 2375-2548
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abc0671

Internal variability versus multi‐physics uncertainty in a regional climate model

Autori: Alvaro Lavin‐Gullon, Jesus Fernandez, Sophie Bastin, Rita M. Cardoso, Lluis Fita, Theodore M. Giannaros, Klaus Goergen, Jose Manuel Gutierrez, Stergios Kartsios, Eleni Katragkou, Torge Lorenz, Josipa Milovac, Pedro M. M. Soares, Stefan Sobolowski, Kirsten Warrach‐Sagi
Pubblicato in: International Journal of Climatology, 2020, ISSN 0899-8418
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6717

A new spatially distributed added value index for regional climate models: the EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX-CORE highest resolution ensembles

Autori: James M. Ciarlo`, Erika Coppola, Adriano Fantini, Filippo Giorgi, XueJie Gao, Yao Tong, Russell H. Glazer, Jose Abraham Torres Alavez, Taleena Sines, Emanuela Pichelli, Francesca Raffaele, Sushant Das, Melissa Bukovsky, Moetasim Ashfaq, Eun-Soon Im, Thanh Nguyen-Xuan, Claas Teichmann, Armelle Remedio, Thomas Remke, Katharina Bülow, Torsten Weber, Lars Buntemeyer, Kevin Sieck, Diana Rechid, Daniel
Pubblicato in: Climate Dynamics, 2020, ISSN 0930-7575
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05400-5

Linking Ocean Forcing and Atmospheric Interactions to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in MPI‐ESM1.2

Autori: J. Oelsmann, L. Borchert, R. Hand, J. Baehr, J. H. Jungclaus
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 47/10, 2020, ISSN 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087259

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

Autori: Lukas Brunner, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Flavio Lehner, Anna L. Merrifield, Ruth Lorenz, Reto Knutti
Pubblicato in: Earth System Dynamics, Issue 11/4, 2020, Page(s) 995-1012, ISSN 2190-4987
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-995-2020

Towards European wide maps of climatologic homogeneous regions for rainfall

Autori: Zander MJ, Sperna Weiland FC, and Weerts AH
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Issue Proceedings of the EGU General Assembly 2019, vol 21,, 2019

Uncertainty analysis in land loss prediction due to sea level rise, for sandy systems, at the European scale

Autori: Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Jaap Kwadijk
Pubblicato in: Geophysical Research Abstracts, Proceedings of the EGU General Assembly 2019, Issue Vol. 21, 2019

Global distribution of nearshore slopes with implications for coastal retreat

Autori: Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Sandra Gaytan-Aguilar, Roshanka Ranasinghe
Pubblicato in: Earth System Science Data, Issue 11/4, 2019, Page(s) 1515-1529, ISSN 1866-3516
DOI: 10.5194/essd-11-1515-2019

How to better predict North Atlantic’s atmospheric pressure patterns

Autori: Based on paper by Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M., Gaytan-Aguilar, S., and Ranasinghe, R.
Pubblicato in: 2020

Set di dati

Pre-processed data of atlas in EUCP-WP2

Autori: Liu, Yang; Kalverla, Peter; Alidoost, Fakhereh; Verhoeven, Stefan; Vreede, Barbara; Booth, Ben; Coppola, Erika; Nogherotto, Rita; Brunner, Lukas; Harris, Glen; Qasmi, Said; Ballinger, Andrew; Hegerl, Gabriele; McSweeney, Carol; O'Reilly, Christopher; Palmer, Tamzin; Ribes, Aurélien; de Vries, Hylke
Pubblicato in: Zenodo

Pre-processed data of atlas in EUCP-WP2

Autori: Liu, Yang; Kalverla, Peter; Alidoost, Fakhereh; Verhoeven, Stefan; Vreede, Barbara; Booth, Ben; Coppola, Erika; Nogherotto, Rita; Brunner, Lukas; Harris, Glen; Qasmi, Said; Ballinger, Andrew; Hegerl, Gabriele; McSweeney, Carol; O'Reilly, Christopher; Palmer, Tamzin; Ribes, Aurélien; de Vries, Hylke
Pubblicato in: Zenodo

Extreme Precipitation Potential and Slow-moving Extreme Precipitation Potential

Autori: Kahraman, Abdullah; Kendon, Elizabeth; Chan, Steven; Fowler, Hayley
Pubblicato in: Zenodo

Pre-processed data of atlas in EUCP-WP2

Autori: Coppola, Erika; Nogherotto, Rita; Brunner, Lukas; Booth, Ben; Harris, Glen; Qasmi, Said; Ballinger, Andrew; Hegerl, Gabriele; McSweeney, Carol; O'Reilly, Christopher; Palmer, Tamzin; Ribes, Aurélien; de Vries, Hylke; Kalverla, Peter; Alidoost, Fakhereh; Liu, Yang; Verhoeven, Stefan; Vreede, Barbara
Pubblicato in: Zenodo

Pre-processed data of atlas in EUCP-WP2

Autori: Liu, Yang; Kalverla, Peter; Alidoost, Fakhereh; Verhoeven, Stefan; Vreede, Barbara; Booth, Ben; Coppola, Erika; Nogherotto, Rita; Brunner, Lukas; Harris, Glen; Qasmi, Said; Ballinger, Andrew; Hegerl, Gabriele; McSweeney, Carol; O'Reilly, Christopher; Palmer, Tamzin; Ribes, Aurélien; de Vries, Hylke
Pubblicato in: Zenodo

IPSL-CM6A-LR tuning , datasets for figures 5, 6 and 7

Autori: Mignot Juliette
Pubblicato in: Zenodo

Software

Kriging for Climate Change Package

Autori: Qasmi, Saïd; Ribes, Aurélien
DOI: oai:zenodo.org:5233947; 10.5281/zenodo.5233947
Editore: Zenodo

Kriging for Climate Change Package

Autori: Qasmi, Saïd; Ribes, Aurélien
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.5233947; 10.5281/zenodo.5233946
Editore: Zenodo

ESMValTool Tutorial

Autori: Alidoost, Fakhereh; Andela, Bouwe; Bock, Lisa; Camphuijsen, Jaro; Drost, Niels; Hassler, Birgit; Kalverla, Peter; López-Tarifa, Pablo; de Mora, Lee; Mueller, Benjamin; Predoi, Valeriu; Swaminathan, Ranjini; Verhoeven, Stefan
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3974591; 10.5281/zenodo.3974592
Editore: Zenodo

ESD_weighting_large_ensembles: Paper Release

Autori: Merrifield, A. L.; Brunner, L.; Lorenz, R.
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4028924; 10.5281/zenodo.4028924
Editore: Zenodo

IPSL-CM6A-LR tuning , python codes for figures 5, 6 and 7

Autori: Mignot Juliette
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.4415817; 10.5281/zenodo.4415818
Editore: Zenodo