Project on Integrated Assessment model-based Scenarios for Sustainable development Objectives

Project Information

PICASSO

Grant agreement ID: 819566

DOI

10.3030/819566

Project closed

EC signature date 3 April 2019

Start date 1 June 2019

End date 30 November 2025

Funded under

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Total cost

€ 2 000 000,00

EU contribution

€ 2 000 000,00

Coordinated by

UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT
Netherlands

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Publications

Peer reviewed articles (24)

Plastic futures and their CO2 emissions

Author(s): Stegmann, Paul; Daioglou, Vassilis; Londo, Marc; van Vuuren, Detlef P; Junginger, Martin; Biobased Economy; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences; Energy and Resources
Published in: Nature, Issue 612, 2022, Page(s) 272–276, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05422-5

Future Global Electricity Demand Load Curves

Author(s): Castillo, Victhalia Zapata; Boer, Harmen-Sytze de; Muñoz, Raúl Maícas; Gernaat, David E.H.J.; Benders, René; Vuuren, Detlef van; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Published in: Energy, Issue Volume 258, 1 November 2022, 124741, 2022, ISSN 0360-5442
Publisher: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3935492

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Author(s): David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Abhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Fabrice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jonathan C. Doelman, Martina Dürauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpenöder, Nancy Jennings, Tamás Krisztin, Georgina M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp,
Published in: Nature, 2020, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

Disutility of climate change damages may warrant much stricter climate targets

Author(s): Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries Hof, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Detlef P van Vuuren
Published in: Environmental Research Communications, Issue 22 January 2024, 2024, ISSN 2515-7620
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad2111

Investment needs to achieve SDGs: an overview

Author(s): Kulkarni, Shridhar; McKenzie, Kendall; Hof, Andries; Ambrósio, Geanderson; Edelenbosch, Oreane; Köberle, Alexandre C.; Rijn, Jeroen van; Vuuren, Detlef van; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Published in: Investment needs to achieve SDGs: An overview, Issue July 11, 2022, 2022, Page(s) 1-15, ISSN 2767-3197
Publisher: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000020

Climate change impacts on the energy system: A model comparison

Author(s): Victhalia Zapata, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Seleshi G. Yalew, Silvia R. Santos da Silva, Gokul Iyer, Mohamad Hejazi, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Published in: Environmental Reearch Letters, Issue Volume 17, Number 3, 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5141

Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus

Author(s): Detlef P. Van Vuuren, David L. Bijl, Patrick Bogaart, Elke Stehfest, Hester Biemans, Stefan C. Dekker, Jonathan C. Doelman, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Mathijs Harmsen
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 2, 2022, Page(s) 1132-1141, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0418-8

Healthy lives and well-being for all at all ages: expanding representations of determinants of health within systems dynamics and integrated assessment models

Author(s): Eartha Weber; George Downward; Maria GM Pinho; Detlef P. Van Vuuren
Published in: Sustainable Earth Reviews, Issue 05 December 2023, 2024, ISSN 2717-1701
Publisher: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1186/s42055-023-00064-5

Global implications of lignocellulosic crop-based BECCS for terrestrial vertebrate biodiversity

Author(s): Steef V. Hanssen; Zoran J. N. Steinmann; Zoran J. N. Steinmann; V. Daioglou; V. Daioglou; Mirza Čengić; D.P. van Vuuren; D.P. van Vuuren; Mark A. J. Huijbregts
Published in: Global change biology Bioenergy, Issue 25 November 2021, 2021, ISSN 1757-1707
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12911

Scientific evidence on the political impact of the Sustainable Development Goals

Author(s): Biermann, Frank; Hickmann, Thomas; Sénit, Carole Anne; Beisheim, Marianne; Bernstein, Steven; Chasek, Pamela; Grob, Leonie; Kim, Rakhyun E.; Kotzé, Louis J.; Nilsson, Måns; Ordóñez Llanos, Andrea; Okereke, Chukwumerije; Pradhan, Prajal; Raven, Rob; Sun, Yixian; Vijge, Marjanneke J.; van Vuuren, Detlef; Wicke, Birka; Global Sustainability Governance; Environmental Governance; Innovation Studie
Published in: Nature Sustainability, Issue 5(9), 2022, Page(s) 795–800, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Nature Springer
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-022-00909-5

Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050

Author(s): Detlef P. van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm, Sebastian Busch, Elmar Kriegler, Julia Leininger, Dirk Messner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Johan Rockstrom, Keywan Riahi, Frank Sperling, Valentina Bosetti, Sarah Cornell, Owen Gaffney, Paul L. Lucas, Alexander Popp, Constantin Ruhe, Armin von Schiller, Jörn O. Schmidt, Bjoern Soergel
Published in: One Earth, Issue February 01, 2022, 2022, ISSN 2590-3322
Publisher: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003

Global sustainability scenarios lead to regionally different outcomes for terrestrial biodiversity

Author(s): Geanderson Ambrósio, Jonathan C Doelman, Aafke M Schipper, Elke Stehfest, Detlef van Vuuren
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2024, Page(s) 104055, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad73eb

Science-policy: UNFCCC policymakers’ perspective of scientific scenarios and their policy relevance

Author(s): Jiesper Tristan Strandsbjerg Pedersen, Carla Gomes, Patrick O’Rourke, Detlef van Vuuren, Joyeeta Gupta, Filipe Duarte Santos, Rob Swart
Published in: npj Climate Action, Issue 4, 2025, ISSN 2731-9814
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00250-5

The use of environmental scenarios to project future health effects: a scoping review

Author(s): Eartha Weber; George S Downward; Kristie L Ebi; Paul L Lucas; Detlef van Vuuren
Published in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Issue July 2023, 2023, Page(s) 611-621, ISSN 2542-5196
Publisher: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(23)00110-9

Modelling PM2.5 reduction scenarios for future cardiopulmonary disease reduction

Author(s): Eartha Weber, Vassilis Daioglou, Laszlo Vreedenburgh, Jonathan Doelman, George Downward, Maria Gabriela Matias de Pinho, Detlef van Vuuren
Published in: Nature Sustainability, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01676-9

Three foci at the science-policy interface for systemic Sustainable Development Goal acceleration

Author(s): Prajal Pradhan, Nina Weitz, Vassilis Daioglou, Gabriel M. Abrahão, Cameron Allen, Geanderson Ambrósio, Frederike Arp, Furqan Asif, Therese Bennich, Tim G. Benton, Frank Biermann, Min Cao, Henrik Car
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-52926-x

Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE

Author(s): Jarmo S Kikstra, Vassilis Daioglou, Jihoon Min, Fabio Sferra, Bjoern Soergel, Elmar Kriegler, Hanbit Lee, Alessio Mastrucci, Shonali Pachauri, Narasimha Rao, Sebastian Rauner, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywa
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 20, 2025, Page(s) 054038, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adc3ad

Exploring pathways for world development within planetary boundaries

Author(s): Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jonathan C. Doelman, Isabela Schmidt Tagomori, Arthur H. W. Beusen, Sarah E. Cornell, Johan Röckstrom, Aafke M. Schipper, Elke Stehfest, Geanderson Ambrosio, Maarten van den Ber
Published in: Nature, Issue 641, 2025, Page(s) 910-916, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-08928-w

Multiple pathways towards sustainable development goals and climate targets

Author(s): Bjoern Soergel, Sebastian Rauner, Vassilis Daioglou, Isabelle Weindl, Alessio Mastrucci, Fabio Carrer, Jarmo Kikstra, Geanderson Ambrósio, Ana Paula Dutra Aguiar, Lavinia Baumstark, Benjamin Leon Bod
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2025, Page(s) 124009, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad80af

High-resolution global pathways to achieve 100% electricity access in 2030

Author(s): Victhalia Zapata, Anteneh G. Dagnachew, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Published in: Scientific Reports, Issue 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-23857-4

Reassessing the need for carbon dioxide removal: moral implications of alternative climate target pathways

Author(s): Lieske Voget-Kleschin, Christian Baatz, Clare Heyward, Detlef Van Vuuren, Nadine Mengis
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue 7, 2025, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.21

Towards improved representation of distributional impacts of climate change and mitigation policies in model scenarios

Author(s): Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries F Hof, Geanderson Ambrósio, Vassilis Daioglou, Detlef van Vuuren
Published in: Environmental Research Communications, Issue 7, 2025, Page(s) 125014, ISSN 2515-7620
Publisher: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ae1c04

Food and land system transformations under different societal perspectives on sustainable development

Author(s): Isabelle Weindl, Bjoern Soergel, Geanderson Ambrósio, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan Doelman, Felicitas Beier, Arthur Beusen, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Astrid Bos, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Florian Humpenöde
Published in: Environmental Research Letters, Issue 19, 2025, Page(s) 124085, ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8f46

A review of existing model-based scenarios achieving SDGs: progress and challenges

Author(s): K. Orbons, D.P. van Vuuren, G. Ambrosio, S. Kulkarni, E. Weber, V. Zapata, V. Daioglou, A.F. Hof, C. Zimm
Published in: Global Sustainability, Issue 7, 2024, ISSN 2059-4798
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.20

Thesis and dissertations (1)

Equity in Integrated Assessment Modelling - Advancing Just Climate and Sustainable Development Pathways

Author(s): Shridhar Kulkarni
Published in: 2026
Publisher: Thesis

Other (1)

Making climate change mitigation policy less regressive in the residential sector

Author(s): Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries Hof, Vassilis Daioglou, Detlef van Vuuren
Published in: Research Square (preprint), 2025
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7271981/v1

Non-peer reviewed articles (2)

Projections of Earth’s health under different environmental policies

Author(s): Detlef van Vuuren
Published in: Nature, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/d41586-025-01480-7

Climate action and clean cooking are vital for sustaining air pollution-related health benefits

Author(s): Eartha Weber, Vassilus Daioglou, Laszlo Vreedenburgh, Jonathan Doelman, George Downward, Maria Gabriela Matias de Pinho, Detlef van Vuuren
Published in: Nature Sustainability, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01680-z