Project on Integrated Assessment model-based Scenarios for Sustainable development Objectives

Información del proyecto

PICASSO

Identificador del acuerdo de subvención: 819566

DOI

10.3030/819566

Proyecto cerrado

Fecha de la firma de la CE 3 Abril 2019

Fecha de inicio 1 Junio 2019

Fecha de finalización 30 Noviembre 2025

Financiado con arreglo a

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Coste total

€ 2 000 000,00

Aportación de la UE

€ 2 000 000,00

Coordinado por

UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT
Netherlands

CORDIS proporciona enlaces a los documentos públicos y las publicaciones de los proyectos de los programas marco HORIZONTE.

Los enlaces a los documentos y las publicaciones de los proyectos del Séptimo Programa Marco, así como los enlaces a algunos tipos de resultados específicos, como conjuntos de datos y «software», se obtienen dinámicamente de OpenAIRE .

Publicaciones

Peer reviewed articles (25)

Plastic futures and their CO2 emissions

Autores: Stegmann, Paul; Daioglou, Vassilis; Londo, Marc; van Vuuren, Detlef P; Junginger, Martin; Biobased Economy; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences; Energy and Resources
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 612, 2022, Página(s) 272–276, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05422-5

Future Global Electricity Demand Load Curves

Autores: Castillo, Victhalia Zapata; Boer, Harmen-Sytze de; Muñoz, Raúl Maícas; Gernaat, David E.H.J.; Benders, René; Vuuren, Detlef van; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Publicado en: Energy, Edición Volume 258, 1 November 2022, 124741, 2022, ISSN 0360-5442
Editor: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3935492

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Autores: David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Abhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Fabrice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jonathan C. Doelman, Martina Dürauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpenöder, Nancy Jennings, Tamás Krisztin, Georgina M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp,
Publicado en: Nature, 2020, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations

Autores: Joyeeta Gupta, Xuemei Bai, Diana M Liverman, Johan Rockström, Dahe Qin, Ben Stewart-Koster, Juan C Rocha, Lisa Jacobson, Jesse F Abrams, Lauren S Andersen, David I Armstrong McKay, Govindasamy Bala,
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición 8, 2024, Página(s) e813-e873, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00042-1

Disutility of climate change damages may warrant much stricter climate targets

Autores: Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries Hof, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Detlef P van Vuuren
Publicado en: Environmental Research Communications, Edición 22 January 2024, 2024, ISSN 2515-7620
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad2111

Investment needs to achieve SDGs: an overview

Autores: Kulkarni, Shridhar; McKenzie, Kendall; Hof, Andries; Ambrósio, Geanderson; Edelenbosch, Oreane; Köberle, Alexandre C.; Rijn, Jeroen van; Vuuren, Detlef van; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Publicado en: Investment needs to achieve SDGs: An overview, Edición July 11, 2022, 2022, Página(s) 1-15, ISSN 2767-3197
Editor: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000020

Climate change impacts on the energy system: A model comparison

Autores: Victhalia Zapata, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Seleshi G. Yalew, Silvia R. Santos da Silva, Gokul Iyer, Mohamad Hejazi, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Publicado en: Environmental Reearch Letters, Edición Volume 17, Number 3, 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5141

Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus

Autores: Detlef P. Van Vuuren, David L. Bijl, Patrick Bogaart, Elke Stehfest, Hester Biemans, Stefan C. Dekker, Jonathan C. Doelman, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Mathijs Harmsen
Publicado en: Nature Sustainability, Edición 2, 2022, Página(s) 1132-1141, ISSN 2398-9629
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0418-8

Healthy lives and well-being for all at all ages: expanding representations of determinants of health within systems dynamics and integrated assessment models

Autores: Eartha Weber; George Downward; Maria GM Pinho; Detlef P. Van Vuuren
Publicado en: Sustainable Earth Reviews, Edición 05 December 2023, 2024, ISSN 2717-1701
Editor: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1186/s42055-023-00064-5

Global implications of lignocellulosic crop-based BECCS for terrestrial vertebrate biodiversity

Autores: Steef V. Hanssen; Zoran J. N. Steinmann; Zoran J. N. Steinmann; V. Daioglou; V. Daioglou; Mirza Čengić; D.P. van Vuuren; D.P. van Vuuren; Mark A. J. Huijbregts
Publicado en: Global change biology Bioenergy, Edición 25 November 2021, 2021, ISSN 1757-1707
Editor: John Wiley & Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12911

Scientific evidence on the political impact of the Sustainable Development Goals

Autores: Biermann, Frank; Hickmann, Thomas; Sénit, Carole Anne; Beisheim, Marianne; Bernstein, Steven; Chasek, Pamela; Grob, Leonie; Kim, Rakhyun E.; Kotzé, Louis J.; Nilsson, Måns; Ordóñez Llanos, Andrea; Okereke, Chukwumerije; Pradhan, Prajal; Raven, Rob; Sun, Yixian; Vijge, Marjanneke J.; van Vuuren, Detlef; Wicke, Birka; Global Sustainability Governance; Environmental Governance; Innovation Studie
Publicado en: Nature Sustainability, Edición 5(9), 2022, Página(s) 795–800, ISSN 2398-9629
Editor: Nature Springer
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-022-00909-5

Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050

Autores: Detlef P. van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm, Sebastian Busch, Elmar Kriegler, Julia Leininger, Dirk Messner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Johan Rockstrom, Keywan Riahi, Frank Sperling, Valentina Bosetti, Sarah Cornell, Owen Gaffney, Paul L. Lucas, Alexander Popp, Constantin Ruhe, Armin von Schiller, Jörn O. Schmidt, Bjoern Soergel
Publicado en: One Earth, Edición February 01, 2022, 2022, ISSN 2590-3322
Editor: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003

Global sustainability scenarios lead to regionally different outcomes for terrestrial biodiversity

Autores: Geanderson Ambrósio, Jonathan C Doelman, Aafke M Schipper, Elke Stehfest, Detlef van Vuuren
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 19, 2024, Página(s) 104055, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad73eb

Science-policy: UNFCCC policymakers’ perspective of scientific scenarios and their policy relevance

Autores: Jiesper Tristan Strandsbjerg Pedersen, Carla Gomes, Patrick O’Rourke, Detlef van Vuuren, Joyeeta Gupta, Filipe Duarte Santos, Rob Swart
Publicado en: npj Climate Action, Edición 4, 2025, ISSN 2731-9814
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00250-5

The use of environmental scenarios to project future health effects: a scoping review

Autores: Eartha Weber; George S Downward; Kristie L Ebi; Paul L Lucas; Detlef van Vuuren
Publicado en: The Lancet Planetary Health, Edición July 2023, 2023, Página(s) 611-621, ISSN 2542-5196
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(23)00110-9

Modelling PM2.5 reduction scenarios for future cardiopulmonary disease reduction

Autores: Eartha Weber, Vassilis Daioglou, Laszlo Vreedenburgh, Jonathan Doelman, George Downward, Maria Gabriela Matias de Pinho, Detlef van Vuuren
Publicado en: Nature Sustainability, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01676-9

Three foci at the science-policy interface for systemic Sustainable Development Goal acceleration

Autores: Prajal Pradhan, Nina Weitz, Vassilis Daioglou, Gabriel M. Abrahão, Cameron Allen, Geanderson Ambrósio, Frederike Arp, Furqan Asif, Therese Bennich, Tim G. Benton, Frank Biermann, Min Cao, Henrik Car
Publicado en: Nature Communications, Edición 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-52926-x

Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE

Autores: Jarmo S Kikstra, Vassilis Daioglou, Jihoon Min, Fabio Sferra, Bjoern Soergel, Elmar Kriegler, Hanbit Lee, Alessio Mastrucci, Shonali Pachauri, Narasimha Rao, Sebastian Rauner, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywa
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 20, 2025, Página(s) 054038, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adc3ad

Exploring pathways for world development within planetary boundaries

Autores: Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jonathan C. Doelman, Isabela Schmidt Tagomori, Arthur H. W. Beusen, Sarah E. Cornell, Johan Röckstrom, Aafke M. Schipper, Elke Stehfest, Geanderson Ambrosio, Maarten van den Ber
Publicado en: Nature, Edición 641, 2025, Página(s) 910-916, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-08928-w

Multiple pathways towards sustainable development goals and climate targets

Autores: Bjoern Soergel, Sebastian Rauner, Vassilis Daioglou, Isabelle Weindl, Alessio Mastrucci, Fabio Carrer, Jarmo Kikstra, Geanderson Ambrósio, Ana Paula Dutra Aguiar, Lavinia Baumstark, Benjamin Leon Bod
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 19, 2025, Página(s) 124009, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad80af

High-resolution global pathways to achieve 100% electricity access in 2030

Autores: Victhalia Zapata, Anteneh G. Dagnachew, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Publicado en: Scientific Reports, Edición 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-23857-4

Reassessing the need for carbon dioxide removal: moral implications of alternative climate target pathways

Autores: Lieske Voget-Kleschin, Christian Baatz, Clare Heyward, Detlef Van Vuuren, Nadine Mengis
Publicado en: Global Sustainability, Edición 7, 2025, ISSN 2059-4798
Editor: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.21

Towards improved representation of distributional impacts of climate change and mitigation policies in model scenarios

Autores: Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries F Hof, Geanderson Ambrósio, Vassilis Daioglou, Detlef van Vuuren
Publicado en: Environmental Research Communications, Edición 7, 2025, Página(s) 125014, ISSN 2515-7620
Editor: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ae1c04

Food and land system transformations under different societal perspectives on sustainable development

Autores: Isabelle Weindl, Bjoern Soergel, Geanderson Ambrósio, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan Doelman, Felicitas Beier, Arthur Beusen, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Astrid Bos, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Florian Humpenöde
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, Edición 19, 2025, Página(s) 124085, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8f46

A review of existing model-based scenarios achieving SDGs: progress and challenges

Autores: K. Orbons, D.P. van Vuuren, G. Ambrosio, S. Kulkarni, E. Weber, V. Zapata, V. Daioglou, A.F. Hof, C. Zimm
Publicado en: Global Sustainability, Edición 7, 2024, ISSN 2059-4798
Editor: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.20

Thesis and dissertations (1)

Equity in Integrated Assessment Modelling - Advancing Just Climate and Sustainable Development Pathways

Autores: Shridhar Kulkarni
Publicado en: 2026
Editor: Thesis

Other (1)

Making climate change mitigation policy less regressive in the residential sector

Autores: Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries Hof, Vassilis Daioglou, Detlef van Vuuren
Publicado en: Research Square (preprint), 2025
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7271981/v1

Non-peer reviewed articles (2)

Projections of Earth’s health under different environmental policies

Autores: Detlef van Vuuren
Publicado en: Nature, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editor: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/d41586-025-01480-7

Climate action and clean cooking are vital for sustaining air pollution-related health benefits

Autores: Eartha Weber, Vassilus Daioglou, Laszlo Vreedenburgh, Jonathan Doelman, George Downward, Maria Gabriela Matias de Pinho, Detlef van Vuuren
Publicado en: Nature Sustainability, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Editor: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01680-z