Project on Integrated Assessment model-based Scenarios for Sustainable development Objectives

Informazioni relative al progetto

PICASSO

ID dell’accordo di sovvenzione: 819566

DOI

10.3030/819566

Progetto chiuso

Data della firma CE 3 Aprile 2019

Data di avvio 1 Giugno 2019

Data di completamento 30 Novembre 2025

Finanziato da

• EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC)

Costo totale

€ 2 000 000,00

Contributo UE

€ 2 000 000,00

Coordinato da

UNIVERSITEIT UTRECHT
Netherlands

CORDIS fornisce collegamenti ai risultati finali pubblici e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti ORIZZONTE.

I link ai risultati e alle pubblicazioni dei progetti del 7° PQ, così come i link ad alcuni tipi di risultati specifici come dataset e software, sono recuperati dinamicamente da .OpenAIRE .

Pubblicazioni

Peer reviewed articles (25)

Plastic futures and their CO2 emissions

Autori: Stegmann, Paul; Daioglou, Vassilis; Londo, Marc; van Vuuren, Detlef P; Junginger, Martin; Biobased Economy; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences; Energy and Resources
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 612, 2022, Pagina/e 272–276, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05422-5

Future Global Electricity Demand Load Curves

Autori: Castillo, Victhalia Zapata; Boer, Harmen-Sytze de; Muñoz, Raúl Maícas; Gernaat, David E.H.J.; Benders, René; Vuuren, Detlef van; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Pubblicato in: Energy, Numero Volume 258, 1 November 2022, 124741, 2022, ISSN 0360-5442
Editore: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3935492

Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

Autori: David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner, Mike Barrett, Stuart H. M. Butchart, Abhishek Chaudhary, Adriana De Palma, Fabrice A. J. DeClerck, Moreno Di Marco, Jonathan C. Doelman, Martina Dürauer, Robin Freeman, Michael Harfoot, Tomoko Hasegawa, Stefanie Hellweg, Jelle P. Hilbers, Samantha L. L. Hill, Florian Humpenöder, Nancy Jennings, Tamás Krisztin, Georgina M. Mace, Haruka Ohashi, Alexander Popp,
Pubblicato in: Nature, 2020, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations

Autori: Joyeeta Gupta, Xuemei Bai, Diana M Liverman, Johan Rockström, Dahe Qin, Ben Stewart-Koster, Juan C Rocha, Lisa Jacobson, Jesse F Abrams, Lauren S Andersen, David I Armstrong McKay, Govindasamy Bala,
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numero 8, 2024, Pagina/e e813-e873, ISSN 2542-5196
Editore: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00042-1

Disutility of climate change damages may warrant much stricter climate targets

Autori: Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries Hof, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Detlef P van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Numero 22 January 2024, 2024, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad2111

Investment needs to achieve SDGs: an overview

Autori: Kulkarni, Shridhar; McKenzie, Kendall; Hof, Andries; Ambrósio, Geanderson; Edelenbosch, Oreane; Köberle, Alexandre C.; Rijn, Jeroen van; Vuuren, Detlef van; Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Sciences
Pubblicato in: Investment needs to achieve SDGs: An overview, Numero July 11, 2022, 2022, Pagina/e 1-15, ISSN 2767-3197
Editore: PLOS
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000020

Climate change impacts on the energy system: A model comparison

Autori: Victhalia Zapata, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Seleshi G. Yalew, Silvia R. Santos da Silva, Gokul Iyer, Mohamad Hejazi, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Environmental Reearch Letters, Numero Volume 17, Number 3, 2022, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5141

Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus

Autori: Detlef P. Van Vuuren, David L. Bijl, Patrick Bogaart, Elke Stehfest, Hester Biemans, Stefan C. Dekker, Jonathan C. Doelman, David E. H. J. Gernaat, Mathijs Harmsen
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, Numero 2, 2022, Pagina/e 1132-1141, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0418-8

Healthy lives and well-being for all at all ages: expanding representations of determinants of health within systems dynamics and integrated assessment models

Autori: Eartha Weber; George Downward; Maria GM Pinho; Detlef P. Van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Sustainable Earth Reviews, Numero 05 December 2023, 2024, ISSN 2717-1701
Editore: Springer Nature
DOI: 10.1186/s42055-023-00064-5

Global implications of lignocellulosic crop-based BECCS for terrestrial vertebrate biodiversity

Autori: Steef V. Hanssen; Zoran J. N. Steinmann; Zoran J. N. Steinmann; V. Daioglou; V. Daioglou; Mirza Čengić; D.P. van Vuuren; D.P. van Vuuren; Mark A. J. Huijbregts
Pubblicato in: Global change biology Bioenergy, Numero 25 November 2021, 2021, ISSN 1757-1707
Editore: John Wiley & Sons Ltd
DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12911

Scientific evidence on the political impact of the Sustainable Development Goals

Autori: Biermann, Frank; Hickmann, Thomas; Sénit, Carole Anne; Beisheim, Marianne; Bernstein, Steven; Chasek, Pamela; Grob, Leonie; Kim, Rakhyun E.; Kotzé, Louis J.; Nilsson, Måns; Ordóñez Llanos, Andrea; Okereke, Chukwumerije; Pradhan, Prajal; Raven, Rob; Sun, Yixian; Vijge, Marjanneke J.; van Vuuren, Detlef; Wicke, Birka; Global Sustainability Governance; Environmental Governance; Innovation Studie
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, Numero 5(9), 2022, Pagina/e 795–800, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: Nature Springer
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-022-00909-5

Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050

Autori: Detlef P. van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm, Sebastian Busch, Elmar Kriegler, Julia Leininger, Dirk Messner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Johan Rockstrom, Keywan Riahi, Frank Sperling, Valentina Bosetti, Sarah Cornell, Owen Gaffney, Paul L. Lucas, Alexander Popp, Constantin Ruhe, Armin von Schiller, Jörn O. Schmidt, Bjoern Soergel
Pubblicato in: One Earth, Numero February 01, 2022, 2022, ISSN 2590-3322
Editore: Cell Press
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003

Global sustainability scenarios lead to regionally different outcomes for terrestrial biodiversity

Autori: Geanderson Ambrósio, Jonathan C Doelman, Aafke M Schipper, Elke Stehfest, Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 19, 2024, Pagina/e 104055, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad73eb

Science-policy: UNFCCC policymakers’ perspective of scientific scenarios and their policy relevance

Autori: Jiesper Tristan Strandsbjerg Pedersen, Carla Gomes, Patrick O’Rourke, Detlef van Vuuren, Joyeeta Gupta, Filipe Duarte Santos, Rob Swart
Pubblicato in: npj Climate Action, Numero 4, 2025, ISSN 2731-9814
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00250-5

The use of environmental scenarios to project future health effects: a scoping review

Autori: Eartha Weber; George S Downward; Kristie L Ebi; Paul L Lucas; Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: The Lancet Planetary Health, Numero July 2023, 2023, Pagina/e 611-621, ISSN 2542-5196
Editore: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(23)00110-9

Modelling PM2.5 reduction scenarios for future cardiopulmonary disease reduction

Autori: Eartha Weber, Vassilis Daioglou, Laszlo Vreedenburgh, Jonathan Doelman, George Downward, Maria Gabriela Matias de Pinho, Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01676-9

Three foci at the science-policy interface for systemic Sustainable Development Goal acceleration

Autori: Prajal Pradhan, Nina Weitz, Vassilis Daioglou, Gabriel M. Abrahão, Cameron Allen, Geanderson Ambrósio, Frederike Arp, Furqan Asif, Therese Bennich, Tim G. Benton, Frank Biermann, Min Cao, Henrik Car
Pubblicato in: Nature Communications, Numero 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-52926-x

Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE

Autori: Jarmo S Kikstra, Vassilis Daioglou, Jihoon Min, Fabio Sferra, Bjoern Soergel, Elmar Kriegler, Hanbit Lee, Alessio Mastrucci, Shonali Pachauri, Narasimha Rao, Sebastian Rauner, Detlef van Vuuren, Keywa
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 20, 2025, Pagina/e 054038, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adc3ad

Exploring pathways for world development within planetary boundaries

Autori: Detlef P. van Vuuren, Jonathan C. Doelman, Isabela Schmidt Tagomori, Arthur H. W. Beusen, Sarah E. Cornell, Johan Röckstrom, Aafke M. Schipper, Elke Stehfest, Geanderson Ambrosio, Maarten van den Ber
Pubblicato in: Nature, Numero 641, 2025, Pagina/e 910-916, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-08928-w

Multiple pathways towards sustainable development goals and climate targets

Autori: Bjoern Soergel, Sebastian Rauner, Vassilis Daioglou, Isabelle Weindl, Alessio Mastrucci, Fabio Carrer, Jarmo Kikstra, Geanderson Ambrósio, Ana Paula Dutra Aguiar, Lavinia Baumstark, Benjamin Leon Bod
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 19, 2025, Pagina/e 124009, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad80af

High-resolution global pathways to achieve 100% electricity access in 2030

Autori: Victhalia Zapata, Anteneh G. Dagnachew, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Detlef P. van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Scientific Reports, Numero 15, 2025, ISSN 2045-2322
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-23857-4

Reassessing the need for carbon dioxide removal: moral implications of alternative climate target pathways

Autori: Lieske Voget-Kleschin, Christian Baatz, Clare Heyward, Detlef Van Vuuren, Nadine Mengis
Pubblicato in: Global Sustainability, Numero 7, 2025, ISSN 2059-4798
Editore: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.21

Towards improved representation of distributional impacts of climate change and mitigation policies in model scenarios

Autori: Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries F Hof, Geanderson Ambrósio, Vassilis Daioglou, Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Communications, Numero 7, 2025, Pagina/e 125014, ISSN 2515-7620
Editore: IOP Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ae1c04

Food and land system transformations under different societal perspectives on sustainable development

Autori: Isabelle Weindl, Bjoern Soergel, Geanderson Ambrósio, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan Doelman, Felicitas Beier, Arthur Beusen, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Astrid Bos, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Florian Humpenöde
Pubblicato in: Environmental Research Letters, Numero 19, 2025, Pagina/e 124085, ISSN 1748-9326
Editore: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8f46

A review of existing model-based scenarios achieving SDGs: progress and challenges

Autori: K. Orbons, D.P. van Vuuren, G. Ambrosio, S. Kulkarni, E. Weber, V. Zapata, V. Daioglou, A.F. Hof, C. Zimm
Pubblicato in: Global Sustainability, Numero 7, 2024, ISSN 2059-4798
Editore: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.20

Thesis and dissertations (1)

Equity in Integrated Assessment Modelling - Advancing Just Climate and Sustainable Development Pathways

Autori: Shridhar Kulkarni
Pubblicato in: 2026
Editore: Thesis

Other (1)

Making climate change mitigation policy less regressive in the residential sector

Autori: Shridhar Kulkarni, Andries Hof, Vassilis Daioglou, Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Research Square (preprint), 2025
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7271981/v1

Non-peer reviewed articles (2)

Projections of Earth’s health under different environmental policies

Autori: Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Nature, 2025, ISSN 0028-0836
Editore: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/d41586-025-01480-7

Climate action and clean cooking are vital for sustaining air pollution-related health benefits

Autori: Eartha Weber, Vassilus Daioglou, Laszlo Vreedenburgh, Jonathan Doelman, George Downward, Maria Gabriela Matias de Pinho, Detlef van Vuuren
Pubblicato in: Nature Sustainability, 2025, ISSN 2398-9629
Editore: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-025-01680-z