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CORDIS

SUSTAINABLE ENERGY TRANSITIONS LABORATORY

Resultado final

D9.8 Report on second SENTINEL conference

98 Report on second SENTINEL conference month 25

D5.2 Model development to match energy demand models to user needs

52 Model development to match energy demand models to user needs The deliverable itself will be a report describing modifications to each of the models in the module month 21

D8.4 Report on in-depth experiments

84 Report on indepth experiments This will report on the detailed experiments with two intentions 1 to resolve inconsistencies between the SENTINEL framework and other models and thus identify particular technical strengths weaknesses and limitations and 2 highlight areas of high and low certainty energy systems modelling to help guide future research and decisionmaking month 41

D8.3 Model comparison analysis

83 Model comparison analysis This report will compare the results from the SENTINEL framework with those of other models identifying key similarities and inconsistencies month 37

D9.9 Final report on dissemination activities

99 Final report on dissemination activities This will provide a synopsis and crossevaluation of the different dissemination activities including achievement of KPIs and the third SENTINEL conference month 42

D4.3 Integration of system design results into economic impacts models

Integration of system design results into economic impacts models The deliverable will be a report describing the model linkages month 28

D4.2 Model development to match system design models to user needs

Model development to match system design models to user needs The deliverable itself will be a report describing modifications to each of the models in the module month 21

D8.1 Model protocol

81 Model protocol This deliverable will specify the modelling protocol to follow with the SENTINEL framework in order to examine the same midcentury results explored by other modelling packages It will describe the key input parameters which are fixed and free and the form of results to be generated month 18

D3.3 Integration of demand model results into system planning models

Integration of demand model results into system planning models The deliverable will be a report describing the model linkages month 28

D9.5 Report on initial SENTINEL conference

9.5 Report on initial SENTINEL conference. This will evaluate the success of the initial community building and training activity (13)

D9.2Dissemination and communication plan

9.2 Dissemination and communication plan. This will set out the specific plan for dissemination and communication, building on the draft plan set forth in section 2 of this proposal. The plan will identify the activities needed to fully exploit the results of the project, including an identification of the decision-making contexts where such exploitation will be likely, and hence needs to be specifically promoted. If necessary, the plan will be revised at the end of the first and second years of the project, with such revisions included in the first and second annual reports, respectively. (month 3)

D7.1 Case specification and scheduling

7.1 Case specification and scheduling. This will be a report detailing the specific decision-making cases, reviewing relevant literature related to the decisions, and containing a plan for the model specification and stakeholder interaction throughout the three case studies (month 18).

D9.4 Best practice guidelines for model transparency

9.4 Best practice guidelines for model transparency. This will be the primary document informing the modelling teams of the requirements for their models, supporting their final tasks of opening their models. The document will also include an identification and clarification of IPRs in the context of transparent models, and a plan for the management of those IPRs (month 12)

D2.1 Observed trends and modelling paradigms

2.1 Observed trends and modelling paradigms. This will review the theory and modelling trends underlying the particular module (month 9).

D9.10 Sustainability plan

910 Sustainability plan This will outline the governance structure the operational management structure the dissemination communication strategy and the funding sources for the SENTINEL platform and annual conference series beyond the end of the project

D4.1 Observed trends and modelling paradigms

Observed trends and modelling paradigms. This will review the theory and modelling trends underlying the particular module (month 9).

D3.1 Observed trends and modelling paradigms

3.1 Observed trends and modelling paradigms. This will review the theory and modelling trends underlying the particular module (month 9).

D5.1 Observed trends and modelling paradigms

Observed trends and modelling paradigms. This will review the theory and modelling trends underlying the particular module (month 9).

D1.2 User needs for an energy system modelling platform for the European energy transition

User needs for an energy system modelling platform for the European energy transition. This will set out the key user needs identified through the stakeholder outreach activities early in the project, and identify the decision-making contexts where SENTINEL results are potentially to be exploited, as input for WP9 (month 14).

D7.2 Model application in the case studies: challenges and lessons learned

72 Model application in the case studies challenges and lessons learned This deliverable will consist of a detailed report on the application of the SENTINEL framework to each of the case studies It will include details on input data model linkages employed key results and any critical challenges observed in the platform implementation month 36

D10.2 Detailed project management plan

10.2 Detailed project management plan. This will include a schedule per task, responsible partner-related subtasks, and dependencies on other tasks, as well as a Gantt chart and work breakdown structure. (month 2). Note: there will be two revisions to this document during the course of the project: one just before the end of the first reporting period, and one just before the end of the second reporting period. The deliverable will be accordingly updated.

D10.3 Report on external collaboration

103 Report on collaboration with other EU and national project This will briefly describe the external collaboration month 42

D2.5 Integration of socio-technological transition constraints into energy demand and systems models

25Integration of sociotechnological transition constraints into energy demand and systems models The deliverable will be a report describing the model linkages month 28

D3.2 Model development to match energy demand models to user needs

Model development to match energy demand models to user needs The deliverable itself will be a report describing modifications to each of the models in the module month 21

D2.4 Model development to match socio-technical transition constraints models to user needs

24Model development to match sociotechnical transition constraints models to user needs The deliverable itself will be a report describing modifications to each of the models in the module month 21

D7.3 User-oriented evaluation

73 Useroriented evaluation This will report on the strengths weaknesses and limitations of the SENTINEL framework as applied to each of the case studies A key feature will be the detailed analysis of stakeholder feedback on the case study exercises including in particular the usefulness of the model results for their decisionmaking challenges and recommendations for improved integration of model components month 40

D10.1 Internal project communication plan

10.1 Internal project communication plan. This will set out the precise details of the media to be used in the project for internal communication (month 1)

D5.3 Integration of market and economic model results into transition and energy demand models

53 Integration of market and economic model results into transition and energy demand models The deliverable will be a report describing the model linkages month 28

D1.1 Megatrends in the use of energy modelling results for policy- and

Megatrends in the use of energy modelling results for policy- and decision-making. This will review how the use of energy models has changed over time, and connect different modelling frameworks and paradigms to particular decision-making issues (month 8).

D6.1 Model and data interfaces

6.1 Model and data interfaces. This deliverable will consist of a modelling framework, and be supplemented with complete documentation describing its structure, functionality, and operation (month 12).

D6.2 Tracing uncertainty cascades

6.2 Tracing uncertainty cascades. This deliverable will consist of a modelling framework, and be supplemented with complete documentation describing its structure, functionality, and operation (month 24).

D2.3 QTDIAN model

2.3QTDIAN model. This will be the complete module, including a draft version of supporting documentation (month 21).

D8.2 Model comparison database

8.2 Model comparison database. This will be a database of the key results from applying the SENTINEL framework to the intercomparison study. It will include not only final results, but also intermediate data generated by sub-models, which are then fed into the other models. (month 28).

D2.2 ENVIRO model

2.2ENVRO model. This will be the complete module, including a draft version of supporting documentation (month 18).

D9.6 SENTINEL online platform

9.6 SENTINEL online platform. This will include the functionality of being able to operate models on the platform, and include the linkage protocols (month 18).

D9.7 Deployment of e-learning materials on SENTINEL platform

97 Deployment of elearning materials on SENTINEL platform These will be a number of online tutorials for utilizing and expanding on the SENTINEL framework month 24

D9.1 Project website

9.1 Project website. This will be the placeholder for the SENTINEL platform, containing the project logo and brief project description (month 1)

D9.3 Data management plan

9.3 Data management plan. This is a required element of the project, and will set forth the protocols for managing data not only collected in the project, but also those data generated by the models as part of the case studies and intercomparison. It will also include the anonymysation/pseudonymisation techniques that will be followed in the project (month 6)

Publicaciones

Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting

Autores: Wohland, Jan; id_orcid0000-0001-8336-0009; Brayshaw, David; Pfenninger, Stefan; id_orcid0000-0002-8420-9498
Publicado en: Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6), Edición 20, 2021, ISSN 1748-9326
Editor: Institute of Physics Publishing
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000492844

Developing scenarios in the context of the Paris Agreement and application in the integrated assessment model IMAGE: A framework for bridging the policy-modelling divide

Autores: M. Roelsfema, H. L. van Soest, M. del Enzen, H. de Coninck, T. Kuramochi, M. Harmsen, I. Dafnomilis, N. Höhne, D. P. van Vuuren
Publicado en: Environmental Science and Policy, 2022, ISSN 1462-9011
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.05.001

Pioneering a performance-based future for energy efficiency: Lessons learnt from a comparative review analysis of pay-for-performance programmes

Autores: D. Tzani, V. Stavrakas, M. Santini, S. Thomas, J. Rosenow, A. Flamos
Publicado en: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2022, ISSN 1364-0321
Editor: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2022.112162

Trends in tools and approaches for modelling the energy transition

Autores: Miguel Chang; Jakob Zink Thellufsen; Behnam Zakeri; Behnam Zakeri; Bryn Pickering; Stefan Pfenninger; Henrik Lund; Poul Alberg Østergaard
Publicado en: Chang , M , Thellufsen , J Z , Zakeri , B , Pickering , B , Pfenninger , S , Lund , H & Østergaard , P A 2021 , ' Trends in tools and approaches for modelling the energy transition ' , Applied Energy , vol. 290 , 116731 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116731, Edición 8, 2021, ISSN 0306-2619
Editor: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116731

Model-based policymaking or policy-based modelling? How energy models and energy policy interact

Autores: D. Süsser, A. Ceglarz, H. Gaschnig, V. Stavrakas, A. Flamos, G. Giannakidis, J. Lilliestam
Publicado en: Energy Research and Social Science, 2021, ISSN 2214-6296
Editor: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2021.101984

EnergyPLAN – Advanced analysis of smart energy systems

Autores: Henrik Lund; Jakob Zinck Thellufsen; Poul Alberg Østergaard; Peter Sorknæs; Iva Ridjan Skov; Brian Vad Mathiesen
Publicado en: Smart Energy, Edición 6, 2021, ISSN 2666-9552
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2021.100007

From the geopolitics of oil and gas to the geopolitics of the energy transition: Is there a role for European supermajors?

Autores: A. Bricoult, R. Slade, I. Staffell, K. Halttunen
Publicado en: Energy Research and Social Science, 2022, ISSN 2214-6296
Editor: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2022.102634

The COVID-19 crisis deepens the gulf between leaders and laggards in the global energy transition

Autores: R. Quitzow, G. Bersalli, L. Eicke, J. Joschka, J. Lilliestam, F. Lira, A. Marian, D. Süsser, S. Thapar, S. Weko, S. Williams, B. Xue
Publicado en: Energy Research and Social Science, 2021, ISSN 2214-6296
Editor: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2021.101981

What if we never run out of oil? From certainty of “peak oil” to “peak demand”

Autores: Krista Halttunen; Raphael Slade; Iain Staffell
Publicado en: Energy Research and Social Science, Edición 12, 2021, ISSN 2214-6296
Editor: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2021.102407

Why energy models should integrate social and environmental factors: Assessing user needs, omission impacts, and real-word accuracy in the European Union

Autores: Diana Süsser; Nick Martin; Vassilis Stavrakas; Hannes Gaschnig; Laura Talens-Peiró; Alexandros Flamos; Cristina Madrid-López; Johan Lilliestam
Publicado en: Energy Research and Social Science, Edición 23, 2022, ISSN 2214-6296
Editor: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2022.102775

Perspective of comprehensive and comprehensible multi-model energy and climate science in Europe

Autores: A. Nikas, A. Gambhir, E. Trutnevyte, K. Koasidis, H. Lund, J.Z. Thellufsen, D. Mayer, G. Zachmann, L.J. Miguel, N. Ferreras-Alonso, I. Sognnaes, G.P. Peters, E. Colombo, M. Howells, A. Hawkes, M. van den Broek, D.J. Van de Ven, M. Gonzalez-Eguino, A. Flamos, H. Doukas
Publicado en: Energy, Edición 215, 2021, Página(s) 119153, ISSN 0360-5442
Editor: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.119153

Better suited or just more complex? On the fit between user needs and modeller-driven improvements of energy system models

Autores: Diana Süsser; Hannes Gaschnig; Andrzej Ceglarz; Vassilis Stavrakas; Alexandros Flamos; Johan Lilliestam
Publicado en: Energy, Edición 23, 2021, ISSN 0360-5442
Editor: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121909

Modelling social aspects of the energy transition: What is the current representation of social factors in energy models

Autores: A. Krumm, D. Süsser, P. Blechinger
Publicado en: Energy, 2021, ISSN 0360-5442
Editor: Pergamon Press Ltd.
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121706

COVID-19 vs. stakeholder engagement: the impact of coronavirus containment measures on stakeholder involvement in European energy research projects

Autores: Süsser, Diana; Ceglarz, Andrzej; Stavrakas, Vassilis; Lilliestam, Johan
Publicado en: Open Research Europe, Edición 22, 2021, ISSN 2732-5121
Editor: Open Research Europe
DOI: 10.12688/openreseurope.13683.1

Diversity of options to eliminate fossil fuels and reach carbon neutrality across the entire European energy system.

Autores: Bryn Pickering; Francesco Lombardi; Stefan Pfenninger
Publicado en: VOLUME=6;ISSUE=6;ISSN=2542-4351;TITLE=Joule, Edición 9, 2022, ISSN 2542-4351
Editor: Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.009

Existing tools, user needs and required model adjustments for energy demands modelling of a carbon neutral Europe

Autores: Chatterjee, S, Stavrakas, V, Oreggioni, G, Susser, D, Staffell,I, Liliestam, J, Molnar, G, Flamos, A, Urge-Vorsatz,D
Publicado en: Energy Research and Social Science, 2022, ISSN 2214-6296
Editor: Elsevier Limited
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2022.102662

" ""The future of the European energy system: Unveiling the blueprint towards a climate-neutral economy. Workshop Synthesis Report"": Sustainable Energy Transitions Laboratory (SENTINEL) project "

Autores: Andrzej Ceglarz; Amanda Schibline
Publicado en: Edición 1, 2022
Editor: Zenodo
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7197737

Ohne Windenergie keine Energiewende. Die 1000 Meter-Abstandsregelung macht Windenergieausbau unmöglich und stellt damit den Kohleausstieg in Deutschland in Frage.

Autores: Tröndle, T., Süsser, D., Lilliestam, J.
Publicado en: 2019
Editor: IASS, Potsdam
DOI: 10.2312/iass.2019.052

" ""Pathways to climate neutrality in Europe with a spotlight in Greece: Challenges, uncertainties, solutions"" - Workshop Synthesis Report "

Autores: Nikos Kleanthis; Vassilis Stavrakas; Amanda Schibline; Andrzej Ceglarz; Diana Süsser; Serafeim Michas; Alexandros Flamos
Publicado en: Edición 16, 2022
Editor: UPRC RGI
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7299571

Open energy system modelling to support the European Green Deal

Autores: Diana Süsser; Bryn Pickering; Ludwig Hülk; Stefan Pfenninger
Publicado en: F1000Research, Edición 5, 2022
Editor: F1000 Research
DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.121619.1

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