Periodic Reporting for period 3 - DRTB-HDT (STRATIFIED HOST-DIRECTED THERAPY FOR DRUG-RESISTANT TUBERCULOSIS: A RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED MULTI-CENTRE TRIAL)
Periodo di rendicontazione: 2023-01-01 al 2024-06-30
The social and economic impact of TB on patients has been modeled in an initial mathematical model which forms the basis for the final model that will be fueled by the collected data from the trial.
Through constructing a hypothetical cohort of individuals developing TB, the team was able to simulate lifetime health outcomes, stratified by country, age, sex, HIV status and treatment status. Globally, they estimated that 47 % of the total burden estimate (expressed in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs)) can be attributed to post-TB sequelae. The analysis also showed that post-TB sequelae produce nearly half of the total disease burden caused by TB. Estimates of global disease burden are commonly used to calibrate research and development spending. Finding that the true TB burden is almost twice previous estimates will help stimulate additional research as well as political attention and more research effort.