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Celluloepidemiology: a novel paradigm for modeling T-cell responses on a population level.

Project description

Modelling population T-cell responses

The EU-funded CELLULO-EPI project aims to conduct extensive research on the evolutionary process that immune cells undergo under the influence of parameters such as age, gender and time since infection. The proposed interdisciplinary approach termed 'celluloepidemiology' combines the investigation of specific cellular immune responses against pathogens on a population level with mathematic modelling. The models will be optimised and tested using T-cell data for pathogens from 500 individuals with known first infections with chikungunya and measles and longitudinal data from individuals re-exposed to chickenpox and parvovirus B19. This study will result in a much better understanding of the development of an immune system and the workings of infectious diseases.

Objective

As a paediatrician who specialized in immunology and as a physicist who specialized in mathematical modeling of infectious diseases, I want to introduce with this project a paradigm shift in infectious disease epidemiology through the concept of celluloepidemiology.

Celluloepidemiology is a term I invented to describe my proposed interdisciplinary approach combining unique cellular immune responses against pathogens on a population level with mathematical modeling, thereby generating unique and otherwise not obtainable multidimensional T-cell profiles.

CELLULO-EPI will develop and use such a highly innovative model to simulate how T-cells against pathogens evolve in a synthetic population as a function of age, gender, time since infection and other relevant variables. This model will be parameterized and fitted by cross sectional T-cell data against a wide set of pathogens from 500 individuals (sampled again after 1 year), unique data from individuals with known first infections with dengue and measles and longitudinal data from individuals re-exposed to chickenpox and parvovirus B19.

The insights of CELLULO-EPI will be pivotal for public health. One important example: Varicella-zoster virus (VZV) causes chickenpox but also shingles after VZV reactivation. Vaccination can prevent chickenpox, but the predicted increase in shingles incidence has blocked chickenpox vaccination in many EU-countries. Indeed, re-exposure to chickenpox is hypothesized to protect against shingles through boosting of T-cells. Unfortunately, none of the available epidemiological or immunological tools allow for adequate validation of the boosting hypothesis. However, CELLULO-EPI will be able to solve this persisting VZV vaccination dilemma. Furthermore, CELLULO-EPI will also redefine infectious disease epidemiology, for example by allowing us to back-calculate the time since last exposure.

I am convinced CELLULO-EPI can revolutionize infectious disease epidemiology and public health.

Host institution

UNIVERSITEIT ANTWERPEN
Net EU contribution
€ 1 499 734,00
Address
PRINSSTRAAT 13
2000 Antwerpen
Belgium

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Region
Vlaams Gewest Prov. Antwerpen Arr. Antwerpen
Activity type
Higher or Secondary Education Establishments
Links
Total cost
€ 1 499 734,00

Beneficiaries (1)